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Natuzzi S.p.A. (NTZ)

Q2 2017 Earnings Call· Mon, Sep 25, 2017

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen and thank you for standing by and welcome to the Natuzzi Second Quarter and First Half 2017 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Joining us on today’s call from Italy are Natuzzi’s Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Pasquale Natuzzi and then Mr. Nazzario Pozzi, Chief Officer of the Natuzzi Division; Mr. Giovanni Tucci, Chief Officer of the Softaly Division; the Chief Financial Officer, Mr. Vittorio Notarpietro and Piero Direnzo, Investor Relations. As a reminder, today’s call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Piero. Please go ahead.

Piero Direnzo

Analyst

Good morning to our listeners in the United States and good afternoon to those of you connected from Europe. Welcome to the Natuzzi’s second quarter and first half 2017 financial results conference call. After a brief introduction, we will give you room for a Q&A session. Mr. Pasquale Natuzzi, together with the top management team, will be glad to answer your questions. Before proceeding, we would like to advise our listeners that our discussion today could contain certain statements that constitute forward-looking statements under the United States Securities Laws. Obviously, actual results might differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements because of risks and uncertainties that can affect our results of operations and financial condition. Please refer to our most recent 20-F filed with the SEC for a complete review of those risks. The company assumes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking matters discussed during this call. And now, I would like to turn the call over to the Chief Executive Officer. Please, Mr. Natuzzi.

Pasquale Natuzzi

Analyst

Thank you, Piero and good morning to everyone. As I am sure you are aware the first half of 2017 has been a challenging one for our industry. Some of our competitors are reporting declining sales and some of our customers are closing branches of their stores. I am pleased to report to you that in spite of this difficult environment, Natuzzi has grown revenue in the second quarter over the second quarter last year. But a single quarter may not give the entire picture. So, let me give you a more comprehensive and updated view of our business. As of week 37, which is September 17, this is the situation. Natuzzi Italia, the high end of our brand portfolio, which represents of the group sales, is growing at significant rates in EMEA, Asia-Pacific and America. In particular, the Natuzzi Italia directly operated stores are doing better and show sellout of the flow with the strong double-digit increase driven by higher sales per ticket and higher number of contracts. So the investment on the brand and the organization and store started giving positive results. Addition is almost flat worldwide, but as a result of the combination of different situation in each geographic region, North America is almost flat, Brazil is improving, Asia-Pacific is growing strongly while EMEA is suffering some distribution issues in Northern Europe and in Italy with Divani&Divani. Divani&Divani, which is the Italian version of the addition product, was built at the beginning of 1990 as the first chain specialized in leather upholstery. So it has in Italy, a strong brand recognition and reputation. Such poor performances are related to the some old location, the store concept that needs to be updated and consequently even the communication, and that’s why we are focusing now. It’s a huge project…

Nazzario Pozzi

Analyst

Thank you, Pasquale. Good morning and good afternoon. During the second quarter, the Natuzzi branded revenues have increased by 4.1% over the same period last year, as a consequence of the execution of our brand strategy which we went through with you in our previous calls. The average price per seat sold, first of all, has increased by 5.2% and this has reflected the value proposition we bring to our customers as opposed to competing on prices and affecting our margins, which we have always projected as of now. As a second point, the product line extension which we have been pursuing over the last 12 months is progressing fast as a key component of our Harmony Maker brand strategy. And in particular, furnishings net sales increased by 15.3% over the second quarter of 2016 and today furnishings do represent 20.2% of Natuzzi Italia branded sale. Thirdly, the new retail strategy has delivered both like-for-like growth and positive operating profit and we have also pursued of course new openings as per our plan. Total net sales of the directly operated stores have increased by 32.3% during the second quarter of 2017 against the second quarter of 2016. And on a like-for-like basis, growth was 17.7% against the first quarter of 2017 and 6.1% against the same quarter last year, so a significant like-for-like growth. Operating result of our directly operated stores on a like-for-like basis was positive at €100,000 in the second quarter against a slight loss in the first quarter of 2017. And such performance is proving to be even stronger on a year-to-date basis through September 17, 2017. The order flow, the order portfolio from the direct operated stores shows a 3.4% growth on a like-for-like basis against the same period the last year. While when we include…

Giovanni Tucci

Analyst

Good morning. Thank you, Nazzario. I am Giovanni Tucci and I am responsible for the global business of the Softaly division. Softaly represents the private label portion of our group and is of course the successor to Mr. Natuzzi’s original vision having started in 1959. The business has changed much since then. It is truly global requiring nuances for different markets around the world. It faces many new competitive forces all of which have pressured these returns and sustain its ability to make money. We have worked hard to offset the cost elements of this competition and I am happy to report that we can compete in today’s environment. We are now focusing on the rationalization of the business, the acquisition of new partners with whom we can have high growth and profitable relationships, continuing to build the organization and team around the world to support these efforts. It is my view that we are building the best team in the business. We have made progress, but we have more work to do in specific areas. We have gained new customers throughout Europe, in UK, Germany, France and Italy. In fact, we remind that EMEA grew revenues by 5% in full year 2016 versus full year 2015 on top of the plus 20% growth in full year 2015 versus the previous year and thanks to the solid support and partnership we created with all the leading retailing groups on the European industry. We continue growing by 4.5% in the second quarter 2017 versus the same period of the previous year. Total sales of our Softaly division in the second quarter 2017 were €29.5 million, up 7.6% compared to the second quarter of the 2016 as a result of a 15.2% increase in the Americas and 4.5% increase in EMEA as…

Vittorio Notarpietro

Analyst

Thank you very much, Giovanni. Let me follow the sense of our CEO and also my colleague speech going deeper with some additional details and numbers. Just to summarize, again, as of September 17, the sell-in order flow says that the group order flow is better than previous year by 1.1%, but within that number, which is positive, we can see that Natuzzi branded order flow is up 5.9%, while private label is down 10.4% under current exchange rates. Furnishing sales which related in Natuzzi Italia total living selling proposition is delivering strong results everywhere with the business given the positive sign of the appropriateness of the brand and retail strategy. As of today, we have within Natuzzi branded business, a still small directly operated retail division with 60 stores all over the world, Italy, Switzerland, Spain, UK, United States, China and recently also in Mexico. Consider when we are commenting the numbers that Nazzario has displayed before, that today the percentage of total retail sales on total group turnover is 13%, 14%. But as said many times in recent quarter’s conference call, our retail expansion is the key of our strategy and we must go deeper in analyzing that today small numbers to better understand also that today actual numbers, including SG&A and future growth plans. Nazzario has already explained in detail the retail numbers demonstrating that, that business is improving. So, let me come back to the second quarter profit and loss. Cost of goods has improved, but we know there is a positive impact of raw materials and we also know to have room to improve the efficiency in our manufacturing costs. All the variable cost to transportation and commissions and advertising have been properly managed. The total percentage on sales went from €15.7 million in Q2…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] David Kanen, Kanen Wealth Management, please go ahead.

David Kanen

Analyst

Good afternoon, gentlemen. Congratulations on growing the top line. I just have some questions about the increased SG&A and then a little bit about the DOS model going forward. So first, how many stores do you expect to open in 2018 that are directly operated and then can you explain to me the gross margin impact on the growth from those stores? Your blended gross margin I think was around 35%. What is the contribution margin from the additional sales from these directly operated stores?

Nazzario Pozzi

Analyst

Hello, hello, Nazzario speaking.

David Kanen

Analyst

Yes. Did you hear my question?

Nazzario Pozzi

Analyst

Yes, yes, thank you. Thank you very much. For 2018, we plan to open up to 10 directly operated stores of Natuzzi Italia and some of these locations have already been secured, whereas some others are still under negotiations or we are still scouting for the right locations. So, this is our plan. But as I mentioned in the past, we will never compromise on the quality of the locations. Given this plan, we target breakeven or low single-digit profitability at store level in the first year of opening in the first 12 months, because as we – as Vittorio has highlighted, our business model is mainly represented by special orders. So, customers do buy today and they pay deposit today, we made product on a made to measure basis for customers and we deliver invoice after certain lead time. So, when we opened 1 store for the first quarter, we get 100% of operating cost whereas we only get revenues after the third month – in the third month and for what. So, the full year EBIT reflects such starting financial of the business.

David Kanen

Analyst

Okay, I understand. So what you are saying is you absorbed the costs in the first 3 months without the benefit of the revenue, I understand, 10 stores targeted and – for DOS stores for 2018. And then on the store level, you expect breakeven to positive EBITDA, but what I am trying to understand is the margin impact, is it safe to say the average store will do like $3 million of these new generation DOS stores. Is that about right?

Nazzario Pozzi

Analyst

Over €2.5 million in the first 12 months and then growing year on year.

David Kanen

Analyst

Okay. So, let’s say you opened 10 stores that averaged €2.5 million in the first 12 months, on that what I am saying is on that $25 million of incremental revenue what is the gross margin being that you are vertically integrated, what is the gross margin that contributes overall to the company?

Nazzario Pozzi

Analyst

The operating margin?

David Kanen

Analyst

Not operating, I am saying gross margin.

Nazzario Pozzi

Analyst

In terms of product, gross product margin…

Vittorio Notarpietro

Analyst

Hi, David. Nazzario mentioned the retail business model that after the first startup cost, the startup period has the aim to reach EBITDA of around 10%, I mean in the best location, the best format. As a producer, for Natuzzi Italia, for example, we have very good contribution margin that we mentioned we discussed it in previous call, which is around 30% on average. Okay. So, if you imagine the two companies, one is retail, the goal is to have an EBITDA of 10, the other one is the manufacturer and as far as Natuzzi Italia is concerned, we have, in our price list, a contribution margin of around 30%. So, you can make the calculation that you are trying to do with the new addition of 10 stores.

David Kanen

Analyst

I see. So that $25 million of incremental revenue probably will have a gross margin closer to 70% and a contribution margin of 30%.

Vittorio Notarpietro

Analyst

What is the 70% sorry?

David Kanen

Analyst

I am sorry.

Vittorio Notarpietro

Analyst

You mean integrated contribution margin for the entire company?

David Kanen

Analyst

No, no, I am just saying that $25 million of incremental revenue that comes from DOS of Natuzzi Italia product, the gross margin on that – what I am trying to understand is the gross margin on that should be much higher?

Vittorio Notarpietro

Analyst

Yes, yes, you are right. So please when we can see that the 2.5 multiplied by 10 equal to 25, that’s the retail, the sell-out, when we consider the impact of that gross margin for the manufacturer, you have to calculate the markup, okay, the retail markup, so 25 if we have a markup of 2 for the industry, for the plant is half of that.

David Kanen

Analyst

I understand. Okay, okay. I see. How you account for it, okay. Okay. And then on – I would just like to understand the $4.8 million increase in SG&A. So, have you made most of the hires that you need to support the growth in DOS going forward? Will SG&A remain roughly at this level to support that growth or are you going to continue to ramp it up as you add, let’s say, in 2018, you are going to add what another 10 stores hopefully, what will be the increase in SG&A if at all?

Vittorio Notarpietro

Analyst

I understand your question. Okay, let’s divide the problem in two. First one is the portion of those costs related to, let’s say, headquarter retail management. Of course, we will not have 2 or 3 or 5 marketing nation of marketing managers. So that part of the structure maybe will grow, but normally should stay more stable than growth. And then the second part of the business, which is stores, stores must be open. For each store, you have to hire new people, you have to pay new leases, new amortization, new depreciation and new utilities and new – so on. So, there is a portion of that, that will stay stable. There is a portion of that, that will continue to grow according with the number of the new stores we will open.

David Kanen

Analyst

So, how should I model that out like if you open 10 DOS stores, what is the variable component of SG&A? How much will it increase to support those 10 stores for that $25 million of revenue?

Vittorio Notarpietro

Analyst

You could model the core structure for stores opening by considering P&L breakeven at store level in the first 12 months. So as I mentioned to you, store opening will bring fixed and variable cost and some of those operating cost is embedded in the EBIT breakeven I mentioned to you in the first12 months.

David Kanen

Analyst

I see. I see how you are looking at it, okay. So I will go back and retroactively figure that out, okay. And then the last question and I will let somebody else I will get back in queue, you were talking about you gave some color on how orders are going through September. Can you just repeat that, what kind of sales momentum if any that you have going through the month of September for Q3?

Pasquale Natuzzi

Analyst

We started this morning with the updated order flow of all the groups just to give guidance about that. We are 1.1% all-in in our order flow by the 37th week. So, that’s the sell-in portion of the business and that’s the reality, which is the combination of good things and some reduction in some areas that we mentioned, Italia is what it is, additions in Northern Europe is another issue and we mentioned private label, which is negatively contributing to those numbers. So, you have a fair idea about the entire year with the order flow I mentioned at the very beginning of my speech. Then we will manage the retail sell-out, but that the sell-out so far is just 13.8% of our total turnover. So, any miracle that Nazzario and my colleague should do in the next month will not change the year end numbers so dramatically this year and that’s the point on which we are focusing on the scale of retail business.

David Kanen

Analyst

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And it appears there are no further questions at this time. I will turn the conference back over to our presenters for any additional or closing comments. This will conclude today’s conference. Thank you all for your participation. You may now disconnect.