William Morrison
Analyst · Morgan Stanley
Thanks, Bev, and good morning, everyone. It's my pleasure to speak with you today about Northern Trust's first quarter earnings. Earlier this morning, Northern Trust announced first quarter net income of $151 million and reported earnings per share of $0.61. Our first quarter results include an expense credit of approximately $0.02 per share related to the 2008 IPO of Visa, which impacted all Visa member banks. In our press release issued today, we present operating results, which exclude this Visa-related item. We believe operating results provide the clearest indication of results and trends in our core businesses. Our commentary for the remainder of today's conference call will focus on operating results, which again exclude only the Visa-related item. First quarter operating net income was $145 million, and operating earnings per share was $0.59. Before I review the key drivers of our first quarter performance, let me briefly discuss current market conditions and how they impact our results. As has been the case for several quarters, extremely low short-term interest rates, coupled with narrow spreads at the short end of the yield curve, continue to have a negative impact on our net interest income, some investment management fees and securities lending revenues. Overnight interest rates in the United States averaged only 16 basis points in the first quarter, down from the already low 19 basis points in the fourth quarter. Three-month LIBOR averaged 31 basis points, an increase of only 2 basis points sequentially. Short-term interest rates for the euro and sterling were also at low levels by historical standards, although short-term interest rates in the euro rose in the first quarter in anticipation of the European Central Bank increasing interest rates, which it announced on April 7. Equity markets, as you know, improved for the third consecutive quarter with the S&P 500 advancing 5.4% in the first quarter. The international IFA Index, however, was up just 3/10 of 1% in the quarter. Equity markets rose in the fourth quarter of 2010 as well, which is relevant to fees that we earn on C&IS custody and PFS wealth management, our businesses which primarily use a quarter-lag methodology in calculating some fees. Finally, using the 1-month lag methodology, which is relevant to fees that we earn in PFS, excluding wealth management, equity markets improved 10.5% in the first quarter. So all in all, a modestly favorable equity market environment for the first quarter of 2011. With that background, let me get into the detail behind our first quarter results. Revenues on a fully taxable equivalent basis were $908 million in the first quarter, essentially flat both year-over-year and sequentially. Trust, investment and other servicing fees are the largest component of our revenue mix, representing 57% of total revenues in the first quarter. Trust, investment and other servicing fees of $515 million were flat year-over-year and up 2% sequentially. In our Institutional business, C&IS trust, investment and other servicing fees totaled $271 million in the first quarter, down 9% year-over-year and up 1% on a sequential quarter basis. C&IS fees include 3 primary categories: custody and fund administration, institutional asset management and securities lending. Let me discuss each of those briefly. C&IS custody and fund administration fees were $169 million in the first quarter, up 6% year-over-year and up 2% sequentially. The increase in both periods reflects new business success in global custody, fund administration, investment operations outsourcing and domestic custody, as well as higher market values. Our C&IS new business results in the first quarter reflect the uneven nature which we have discussed many times over the years. While last quarter was the best quarter in our history, this quarter's results were softer. That said, our global competitive positioning and pipeline of opportunities continue to be excellent. For example, Northern Trust was named Global Custodian of the Year in March at the 10th Global Pension Awards in London. Also, as announced in the first quarter, we now provide asset servicing solutions to 34% of the top 200 pension schemes in the United Kingdom. We also recently announced that the Queensland Investment Corporation, one of Australia's leading fund managers, has entered into an investment operations outsourcing agreement with Northern Trust. This is a very significant new client for our global fund servicing team and for our Asia-Pacific region. C&IS investment management fees were $67 million in the first quarter, up 5% year-over-year and were flat sequentially. Waived fees associated with institutional money market mutual funds equaled $4.6 million in the first quarter, up from $3.6 million in the fourth quarter. The higher level of waived fees reflects lower yields on the funds due to lower interest rates at the short end of the yield curve. Absent fee waivers, C&IS investment management fees were up 6% year-over-year and 1% sequentially, reflecting higher market values as well as new business in our manager of manager, index management and short-duration businesses. Securities lending fees equaled $17 million in the first quarter, down from $56 million in last year's first quarter and equal to $17 million reported last quarter. We'd ask you to recall that our securities lending fees in the prior year's first quarter included $38 million in positive marks associated with the one mark-to-market investment fund used by certain securities lending clients. All remaining securities in that fund were sold in the third quarter of 2010. There were no mark-to-market impacts in the first quarter. Adjusting for the prior year impact of those marks, our securities lending fees decreased 3% year-over-year, primarily reflecting a 10% decline in average volumes. Our institutional fees are impacted by the value of assets that we custody, administer and manage on behalf of our institutional clients. Institutional assets under custody were a record $4 trillion at quarter end, representing an increase of 18%, or almost $600 billion year-over-year, and 7% or $260 billion sequentially. Growth in assets under custody primarily reflect strong new business success, higher equity market values and the strengthening of the euro and sterling relative to the U.S. dollar. Global custody assets, a sub-component of assets under custody, were also a record at $2.5 trillion, up 26% or $512 billion year-over-year, and 9% or $206 billion on a sequential quarter basis. Managed assets for institutional clients were $494 billion at quarter end, down $4 billion or 1% compared with 1 year ago but up $5 billion or 1% sequentially. Recall that during the fourth quarter, a large global investor reduced assets under management with Northern Trust by approximately $21 billion in passive strategies of primarily equities. That reduction was the primary driver of the year-over-year decline in institutional managed assets. Securities lending collateral equaled $110 billion at quarter end, down 10% or $12 billion year-over-year but up 10% or $10 billion sequentially. Now let's move to our Personal Financial Services business. Trust, investment and other servicing fees in PFS were $244 million in the first quarter, an increase of 12% year-over-year and 3% on a sequential quarter basis. Growth was driven by improved market values and by new business. The very low level of short-term interest rates once again resulted in the waiver of some fees on money market mutual funds. These fee waivers reduced PFS fees by $12 million in the first quarter compared with $10 million in the fourth quarter and $16 million in last year's first quarter. PFS new business in the first quarter was the best quarterly result since we've been tracking this metric. All regions posted sequential growth in net new business, led by our Northeast region and the Wealth Management group. We attribute these strong results to our consistent and focused client-oriented business strategy, to the strength of our brand and to renewed merger and acquisition activity, which has led to money and motion in the marketplace. We have also seen new business success due to competitor disruption notably in the mid-Atlantic and Midwest regions. Fees in PFS are derived from the assets that we manage and custody for personal clients. PFS assets under management were a record $168 billion at quarter end, up 13% or $19 billion compared with a year ago and up 9% or $14 billion versus last quarter. Assets under custody were also a record at $385 billion at quarter end, up 13% or $44 billion year-over-year and 4% or $14 billion sequentially. Approximately 37% of PFS-managed assets were invested in equity securities at quarter end compared to 36% last quarter. Net interest income was $245 million in the first quarter, and the net interest margin was 1.32%. Net interest income increased 2% year-over-year. This increase was driven primarily by a 12% increase in average earning assets, partially offset by a 12 basis point decline in our net interest margin. Growth in earning assets was concentrated in lower-yielding assets such as Federal Reserve deposits, interest-bearing deposits with banks and securities. Loan demand remain soft, increasing only $297 million on average year-over-year. The 12% decline in our net interest margin was driven by the mix shift on the balance sheet toward lower-yielding asset securities, as well as by an ongoing compression of the yield in our securities portfolio. As we've said in the past, maturing investments are being reinvested at lower rates. For example, the yield on government-sponsored agency securities was 0.78% in the first quarter, down 32 basis points from 1.10% in the year-earlier quarter. Sequentially, net interest income increased 5%. The sequential drivers are similar to what I just mentioned in my year-over-year commentary. Average earning asset growth of 6% sequentially was concentrated in lower-yielding assets as average loans increased only $180 million and the yield on agency securities declined by 5 basis points sequentially. I'd like to make one additional point on net interest income in the first quarter. As I'll discuss later in this call, loan recoveries were higher in this quarter than in recent quarters. In fact, we reported our highest quarterly level of loan recoveries ever. Some of the amount recovered as per our accounting standards, was applied to interest income. Absent the impact of these loan recoveries and related interest income, our net interest margin would have been very slightly lower when compared with the fourth quarter. Foreign exchange trading income was $85 million, up 6% compared with the first quarter of 2010 and down 14% compared with last quarter. The year-over-year increase was due to higher volumes and volatility. The sequential decline primarily reflects lower volatility. Other operating income of $36 million decreased 8% year-over-year and 15% sequentially. The year-over-year decline reflects lower nontrading foreign exchange gains and a loan sale that was recorded in the first quarter of last year. The sequential quarter decrease also reflects lower nontrading foreign exchange gains, as well as the $3 million gain on the sale of a building last quarter. In the first quarter, we recorded $5 million in credit-related other-than-temporary impairment on 5 residential mortgage-backed investment securities held within our balance sheet securities portfolio, reflecting additional deterioration on previously identified impaired securities. Notwithstanding the impairment charge this quarter, the quality of our balance sheet securities portfolio remained strong with 85% of the portfolio rated AAA as of March 31. Our loan provision was $15 million in the first quarter, down from $40 million recorded in both the first and the fourth quarters of 2010. Net charge-offs were $22 million, down $9 million year-over-year and down $22 million sequentially. Net charge-offs deserve a little bit closer look this quarter. Gross charge-offs were $35 million, down $10 million dollars when compared with the fourth quarter, with about 2/3 related to real estate exposures. Recoveries, however, totaled almost $14 million, our highest quarterly recoveries ever, primarily reflecting cash received on two previously charged off loans. Absent those two recoveries, our loan-loss provision in the first quarter would have been about $10 million higher than the $15 million recorded in the quarter. Nonperforming loans decreased $8 million sequentially to $325 million at quarter end, with all nonperforming categories, except residential real estate, declining on a sequential quarter basis. Nonperforming residential real estate loans equaled $158 million at quarter end, up $5 million sequentially, and represented 49% of total nonperforming loans. Other real estate owned increased $11 million on a net basis sequentially and was carried at $56 million at quarter end. Nonperforming assets increased $3 million to $381 million, representing 1.36% of total loans, a ratio that continues to position Northern Trust favorably among our banking industry peers. Let me shift my comments now to a review of the first quarter expense. In all comparisons, I'll be referring to operating expenses, which include the Visa item that I mentioned at the outset of today's call. Total operating expenses were $663 million in the first quarter, representing an increase of 7% year-over-year. Expenses were essentially flat sequentially. Compensation expense was $294 million, up 7% or $19 million year-over-year and 4% or $12 million sequentially. The primary drivers of the year-over-year increase were higher accruals for cash-based incentives and higher salaries associated with annual merit increases. The primary drivers of the sequential quarter increase were higher stock option expense and salaries. Stock option expense was $15 million in the first quarter compared to $5 million in the fourth quarter. Stock option expense is typically higher in the first quarter of each year due to the requirement to immediately expense options granted to retirement-eligible employees. Employee benefit expense was $55 million in the first quarter, down 13% or $8 million year-over-year and down 2% or $1 million sequentially. In the first quarter, we recorded a $9.7 million reversal of an employee benefit accrual for which the 2010 goal had not been met. Absent that reversal, employee benefit expense would have been $65 million, resulting in an adjusted year-over-year increase of 2% or $1 million, and a sequential quarter increase of 16% or $9 million. The adjusted sequential quarter increase primarily reflects higher FICA insurance expense, which is a normal seasonal pattern, as well as higher pension and health care expense. Outside services expense was $124 million in the first quarter, up 17% or $18 million compared with last year and down 4% or $5.5 million sequentially. The year-over-year increase reflects higher consulting, investment manager sub-advisory and technical expenses, as well as acquisition-related cost associated with our recently announced agreement to acquire Bank of Ireland Securities Services. The sequential quarter decline represents lower expense associated with legal and technical services. Equipment and software expense was $73 million in the first quarter, up 10% or $7 million year-over-year and down 6% or $5 million sequentially. The year-over-year increase reflects higher software amortization expense associated with ongoing capital investments in technology. The sequential decrease represents the typical annual pattern where expense associated with depreciation and amortization of equipment and capitalized software is typically lower in the first half of the year. Other operating expenses were $74 million in the first quarter, an increase of 11% or $7 million year-over-year, reflecting increased business promotion and advertising, higher charges for account servicing activities and higher staff-related costs, such as hiring, relocation and training, offset by a $3 million decrease in FDIC insurance premiums. On a sequential quarter basis, other operating expenses decreased 3% or $2 million. The sequential decrease primarily reflects lower staff-related expenses and lower charges associated with account servicing activities, offset partially by higher business promotion expense. Our effective tax rate in the first quarter was 34.3% compared with 26.7% in the fourth quarter of 2010 and 32.4% for the full year 2010. Our first quarter tax rate includes a higher state tax provision associated with the Illinois corporate income tax increase effective in January of 2011. Our below normal tax rate in the fourth quarter reflected the favorable resolution of certain state tax matters and our election to indefinitely reinvest the earnings of an additional non-U.S. subsidiary. Let me make a few closing remarks before we open the line for questions. First, we are continuing to invest in our businesses to ensure that we're extremely well positioned to serve our clients in the U.S. and around the world. For example, in 2010, we invested approximately $510 million in technology, covering a broad range of initiatives that will benefit our clients and prospects for years to come. In PFS, we acquired Waterline Partners in late 2010, a top-ranked investment advisory firm based in Los Angeles. We're progressing toward a summer opening of the new PFS office in Washington, D.C., and we're making strategic hires throughout PFS, bringing on seasoned senior professionals to bolster our presence in key existing markets. In C&IS, we announced in February our agreement to acquire the fund administration, investment operations outsourcing and custody business of the Bank of Ireland Group, an acquisition which we expect will close later in the second quarter. Supporting organic growth through investment in infrastructure and people, combined with strategic acquisitions, is reflective of our commitment to having the talented staff, the world-class capabilities and enviable client base necessary to drive growth in the future. Second, we remain committed to the financial strength of our company, a hallmark of Northern Trust and a key differentiator through the difficult times of the past few years. Our capital levels are very strong with Basel I tier 1 capital and tier 1 common equity ratios of 13.5% and 13%, respectively, at quarter end. Under the Basel III framework, as we currently understand the regulations, we estimate that our current capital levels would exceed all regulatory requirements. Our historical commitment to financial strength allowed Northern Trust to maintain its dividend throughout the financial crisis, something that only one other large bank in the United States was able to do. We reinstituted our share repurchase program in the first quarter, buying back approximately 700,000 shares at a cost of about $36 million, as we returned to our historical practice of repurchasing shares issued under equity compensation programs, including shares issued over the past two years. Our strong financial condition also positions us well to take advantage of attractive strategic acquisitions, such as the one I mentioned earlier. We feel very good about the positioning of Northern Trust despite the economic and interest rate environment, and we're focused on positioning the businesses to serve our clients and prospects well now and into the future. Before I conclude, I want to point out that our annual shareholders meeting begins at 10:30 Central Time this morning. As is customary for our first quarter earnings call, we'll need to end today's call to allow sufficient time for all of us to get to the annual meeting. Please accept our apologies in advance in the event that we have to close off the Q&A period earlier than is our normal practice. Thank you again for your time today. Bev and I would be happy to answer questions. Now, Audra, if you will please open the line for questions.