Dan Frumkin
Analyst · Sandler O'Neill
Alex, good morning. How are you? So, listen, let me walk you through. I'm happy to disclose in response to a question a bit more detail that should allow hopefully everybody to model it. So as Michael said in his notes, it's about 20% of existing deposits. For ease, let's just call that $2 billion worth of deposits. I think that makes the math easier. You need to remember we are a multi-currency balance sheet. And this is a multi-currency acquisition as well. So, of the $2 billion, $1 billion, about half of it, will be U.S. dollars, and then 25% will be pounds, and 25% will euros. So if we just -- and the business has very little lending and the cost of deposits are really minimal. So if we go through the earnings, if you assume that we'll take the U.S. dollars and put half in cash half in investments, which I think is a pretty conservative assumption, and again this is at it beds in over time and when it's stabilized. So this is probably late-'18, early '19 by the time we get to that point. Cash, we're earning about 86 basis points on cash at the moment, $500 million. That's a little over $4 million worth of earnings. In investments, I think our investment yield, as we published, is 227 basis points, that times $500,000 is a little over $11 million. So, those two things added together gets you almost $16 million of income. On the pounds, we expect to use about 300 million of the 0.5 billion we will get in pounds to fund our U.K. lending proposition. So, this gives us more scope to increase lending in the U.K. and naturally funded through these deposits. So that earns about 3% gross yield on those loans. So, 300 million times 3% is about 9 million. Then, you have 200 million left over that we split between cash and investments. Again, one month guilds are T bills -- U.K. T bills are earning about 27 basis point, so that will be about 300 rand and three-year guilds are about 81 basis points. So, that would be about 800,000. So, the 9 million for loans plus the little bit left over gets you a little over 10 million. So between the U.S. dollars and the pounds, you are about 26 million of earnings. We earned nothing on the euros although rates are moving so we might, but that the moments just assume nothing to keep the math simple. And then, there is some FX and custody revenue, some non-interest income that we think will be about 5 million annual run rate. So, all of that gets you to about 31 million of additional revenue. The issue really becomes is that -- and from a cost perspective, there is complete overlap in Guernsey and Cayman. I don't think there will be much incremental cost of few people, but nothing overly substantial. But we do have to stand up Jersey. Again, it's a brand new island for us. A bit like the conversation we had about Singapore. It's a strategically important island for us. It actually opens up some strategic optionality for us going forward in terms of other opportunities. But, we do have to build a bank there. We have already been given a banking license and had some conditions too to meet, but they are all relatively standard, so we are well down the path and standing it up. Now we also get some people in Mauritius. So in terms of expenses, I think roughly you could assume 90 people in Jersey at a 10,000 a person is 9 million. 35 people in Mauritius at 50,000 a person is 1.8 million. And then, we have a lease to lease some premises. And there is some other expenses as you would expect. Let's call that 3 million. So, you end up with about 40 million in expenses against the 31 million in revenue. So, it should contribute when stabilized on an annual basis about 70 million a year or sort of the 9% plus or minus accretive. Is that helpful, Alex?