Rich Wasielewski
Analyst · Grodsky Associates. Please proceed with your question
Thanks, Connie, and good morning, everyone. Last year, during our third quarter 2017 conference call, we discussed how several key medical customers had built up their on-hand inventory from an overaggressive forecast and how it would impact our year-end and the beginning of 2018. Now, fast-forward, this year, we’re in a more advantageous position. Our overall medical background -- backlog ending the third quarter of 2018 is up 63% year-over-year compared to last year when it was down 36%. The prior year inventory situation is behind us and we’ve recovered nicely here in the back half of 2018. We entered our fourth quarter with $27.7 million in total 90-day backlog, which is double-digit percentagewise, up both year-over-year and sequentially, led by the improvement in the medical orders. We’re encouraged by the quarterly performance and continued profit improvements. For the last seven quarters, our results have lagged, but the last two quarters were outpacing our industry and the economy. Our customers remain optimistic and confident due to the current industry trends and the strong economy. Our capital equipment industrial customers can detract with the U.S. economy, which both posted a 3.5% GDP growth in the third quarter. The country is on pace for the strongest annual GDP in 13 years. Another helpful trend is the medtech companies are expected to attract $9.1 billion in venture funding, according to Silicon Valley Bank, which would match last year’s record high. Large medical OEMs are leading the way this year, while private capital investing is slightly down. And the defense industry, it’s having one of its best years in recent memory, as reported by Washington Post and other news outlets. The defense budget has grown significantly with all of the top five defense contractors posting healthy Q3 results. With all these favorable indicators, there are a couple of challenges that continue to impact the EMS industry and our results. And that’s electronic component shortages and the China tariffs. The component shortages are expected to continue into next year due to its current supply and demand dynamics. On the demand side, the electronics industry is seeing stronger demand from the mobile, industrial and automotive markets. New vehicles, for example, have more sensors for technology, like driver assistance and warning indicators. There’s smart cars, there is smart homes, there is smart factories, all elements of exploding Internet of Things. All these connecting and sharing data requires electronics. The most common components in short supply include capacitors, especially multi-layered ceramic capacitors or what they call MLCCs, along with resistors and memory. Many of these are relatively low cost components that have been around for decades. Because they are legacy parts, the components manufacturers are not expanding capacity. Instead, the manufacturers are investing in next-generation products. And of course, these take time with technology transitions. For Nortech, we estimate these shortage had a negative revenue impact of approximately 5% in the third quarter. Our gross margins were also impacted, not only from the loss volume, but related inefficiencies and production starts and stops. It’s also leading to higher inventory levels. We’re constantly changing production schedules to match increasing lead times and shortages. This results and costly setups and replanning. We’ve made several process changes and will continue to work with our customers and supply chain partners to minimize the impact. Tariffs are another challenge, but at least for now with minimal impact on our Company. Our China production is in country, for country, and here in North America, we’re buying most of our components and materials domestically. Next, onto major projects and business investments of interest, planned for completion by year-end in the first quarter of 2019. In Mexico, we’re our schedule and on budget to move into a newly built 78,000 square-foot production facility before year-end. It’s roughly 5 miles from our previous location in Monterey, conveniently located right across the street from the airport in the industrial park. This new facility will double our footprint, improving our production workflow, expanding our engineering capabilities and providing an enhanced customer and supplier experience. Another strategic investment is the consolidation of our two Minneapolis offices. We are relocating our Devicix by Nortech medical device products development group to an expanded corporate headquarters building here in Maple Grove, Minnesota. The remodeled space will provide new engineering labs, prototype production facilities and an improved customer collaborative space, and because -- and it carries a nice annual savings and reduced lease costs and other expenses. Our increased focused on the combined Devicix by Nortech product development and production branding efforts have built a strong pipeline. Our third quarter 90-day backlog ended at $5 million which is double the prior year. Also, we’re upgrading our ERP system with implementation planned for the first quarter of 2019. A quick update on my succession planning. We announced in August I am planning on retiring with nationwide search and interview process that’s underway. The Board has been vetting candidates and is pleased with the search firm and progress made so far. I'll continue in my current role and assist in making a smooth transition. In closing, this morning, our management team remains optimistic for all the reasons we've outlined today. We’ve worked through our major medical customer inventory issues in the first half of the year and are in significantly better position than a year ago. Customer confidence and demand trends are positive in the core markets and strong across all major revenue and profit generating groups. Growth trends are favorable in the U.S. economy and our EMS industry here in North America. Our industry is projected to grow 5% in 2018 and continue that annual pace through 2022. The tariff and shortage issues are challenges but they are industry issues, not just Nortech issues, and we are working to minimize that impact. That concludes my remarks this morning. We will now open it up for questions. Operator, please open the line.