Stefan Descheemaeker
Analyst · Credit Suisse. Please go ahead
Thank you, Tony, and welcome to the team for your first quarterly earnings. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you all for joining us on the call today. We're pleased to review our results for the first quarter and to report that we are executing well and remain on track to deliver the 2022 guidance we set back in February. Our business has been significantly disrupted by a difficult macro backdrop, and we see these results as a great achievement for our team. We're not entirely satisfied with our performance, but we are encouraged by the resilience of our business model, the strength of our brands and our ability to navigate difficult waters. With the war in Ukraine, we faced an unprecedented geopolitical challenge starting the first quarter of 2022. Our input costs have risen sharply year-on-year, while our consumers are coming under increasing pressure from high inflation across Europe. It is with this backdrop that we're focusing on performance and delivery, driving world-class retail execution and strengthening our consumer proposition, while further refining our supply chain through targeting investments and process improvements. Looking ahead to the rest of the year, we are well hedged on input costs, and we expect at least one more round of price increases to help offset a significant portion of our cost inflation. Supported by our strong free cash flows, we plan to maintain our investment in brand and supply chain improvements, supporting us in 2022 and beyond. We're also investing in our latest acquisition in Adriatic [ph] we are well positioned for the future. With that, I'd like to recap our first quarter key financial metrics, beginning with reported revenues of €733 million, which increased by 3.6%, driven by the first year of inclusion of our newly acquired Adriatic business. Organic revenue declined by 4.5%, reflecting difficult volume comparisons against the COVID lockdown that were still in place this time last year. We delivered an adjusted gross margin of 27.9%, 250 basis points lower year-on-year, reflecting the impact of acquisition, lower organic sales and higher raw material costs. Adjusted EBITDA of €132 million represents a 4% decline compared to last year, as higher input costs before pricing weighed on the results. And finally, adjusted EPS was €0.43 per share. Although this represents a 9% decline versus last year, we are still on track to deliver our 2022 adjusted EPS guidance of €1.71 to €1.75. Turning to slide four. In the first quarter, positive revenue growth was driven by the first time inclusion of both Adriatic closer business and a small boost from currency. Our organic sales declined 4.5% as we lapped last year's strong volume results driven by COVIDs lockdowns. We lost sales in the U.K. due to a poultry shortage and lost sales in another large market due to a pricing dispute with a major retail customer. Stripping out these one-off items, our organic revenues would have been down low single digits for the period. We have since successfully resolved both issues. We did not get the full benefit of our pricing actions during the quarter, as the pricing was phased [ph] across the period with many of our increases weighted to March. We expect our second quarter sales trends to improve as we get the full benefit of our first quarter pricing and begin lapping post-COVID lockdowns comparison. However, we do not expect our margin recovery to gain momentum until the second half of the year after we take our next round of pricing on top of our first one from Q1. Traditionally, we take pricing once annually, acting early in the year. However, we are in a period of unprecedented cost inflation, and we will be taking more pricing midyear to recover costs. We're planning at least one more wave of pricing for the second half of the year, starting early in the U.K. This should boost our top line and help offset the record inflation we are experiencing. Just to be clear, there is always a time lag between COGS increases, which are linear and our price increases to the retailer, which are staggered. What matters to us is the long-term evolution of our margin, and we believe it is imperative to recover gross profit dollars and margin this year to position us appropriately for next year. We are on track to deliver that recovery in 2023. Our market share trends were highly encouraging in the quarter. Overall, we grew value share 10 basis points across all of our markets. However, we grew share 60 basis points on average in our top four markets, which represents more than 60% of our sales. These are the must-win battles where we define our commercial success. Higher input costs weighed on our gross margin and profit in Q1. However, we are well prepared for the rest of 2022 with roughly 85% of our raw material hedged. On energy, we are effectively recovered for 2022 and have begun hedging for 2023. In edible oils, we have had no shortage to date, and we've taken a covered position on all our requirements for 2022. With this supply crisis, we have accelerated the execution of our risk mitigation strategies, and we have taken step to diversify our sourcing portfolio across key ingredients. We're also adjusting our product formulations wherever appropriate, while still meeting our high-quality standards. We're also quickly taking steps to reduce the volume of Russian water space we use in our products further derisking our business. In the year-to-date, we have been highly encouraged by the performance of our new business in the Adriatic region, driven by an outstanding team across the eight markets. Our Easter performance was strong, giving us confidence of a return to pre-COVID tourism levels for the summer selling season when ice cream consumption peaks. The integration program is progressing well, and we are confident we will meet our €15 million synergy target by 2024. In August 2021, we announced a $500 million buyback program, which expires in August 2024. In Q1, we repurchased nearly €27 million in shares, and we continue to regard share repurchase and highly accretive option to drive shareholder value. Turning to slide five. This is not the first time Nomad has been tested during a period of uncertainty. Over our history, we’ve passed through multiple challenges and have come out a better company on the other side. After Nomad creation in 2015, we turned the company around and created growth culture in Must Win Battle focus, which is now at the center of who we are today. We managed through the unique challenge of breaking in 2019 and then the COVID pandemic in 2020 and 2021. We will be challenged this year by high inflation in the war in Ukraine, but I believe we have robust plans in place and are well positioned to deliver to our commitments and come out a strong organization. In this difficult environment, we are continuing to provide security of supply for our retail partners, and I'm especially pleased with how our supply chain has evolved to meet these new challenges. In 2020 and early 2021, we navigated the exceptional COVID demand growth when our facilities were running at higher than 90% capacity. Through late 2021 and this year-to-date, we have step-changed our capacity to source, convert and supply at the highest quality despite global shortage of raw materials and exceptional inflationary pressures. Our current service level improved significantly from a year ago, finishing the first quarter of 2022 at a 96% fill rate, an improvement of 300 basis points versus the same period last year. Additionally, we've maintained our focus on innovation, and we are actively evolving our portfolio to reflect new market realities. This is especially important in light of the rapidly climbing costs for all of our proteins. Our flagship Green Cuisine plant protein line is gaining share, and we have more innovation planned for the second quarter with that brand. We are also pleased that in the Grocer Gold Award for 2022, Green Cuisine has been short listed for food brand of the Year. In addition, our Proud to Power Team GB for the 2020 [ph] Tokyo Olympics campaign has also been short listed for consumer initiative of the year. Finally, it is worth noting that even with this difficult backdrop, we are resolute in our focus on our social responsibility commitments. We've maintained our efforts on meeting our OEG goal, especially in the area of net carbon neutrality. When looking out to the balance of 2022, we believe we are on track to deliver against our most important financial metrics. As Samy will discuss later in more detail, we are guiding to grow our business in line with what we have achieved in recent years. I believe it is important to look at what we have accomplished in the creation of this business in 2015. After consolidating Birds Eye, Iglo and Findus, we've grown revenues from €1.9 billion to €2.6 billion in 2021 with a run rate this year of €2.9 billion, including a full year of our new Adriatic business. We expect to have more than double adjusted EPS from 2016 to the end of 2022. We have successfully integrated more than €1 billion of accretive acquisitions, including Goodfellas, Aunt Bessie's and Findus Switzerland, and we plan to add more value-creating strategic assets in the future. There is volatility in the situation, including our supply chain, and we expect to see some elasticity in our sales this year, but we are confident that our business is well positioned to produce good results under difficult conditions. Also I'm confident that our growth will accelerate when this period of uncertainty eases, supported by our excellent team across Europe, a strong brand portfolio and a proven track record of deploying capital in an optimal way, driving value for our shareholders. With that, I will now hand the call over to Samy to review our financial results and guidance in more detail. Samy?