Zhe Yin
Analyst · JPMorgan
[Interpreted] Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining Noah Holdings Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. As we entered the second quarter, Noah's transformation reached a new stage. On our first quarter earnings call, we said that Q1 represented the beginning of the validation of Noah's new operating model. After the second quarter, I believe we can take that conclusion one step further. Revenues associated with our legacy model are being phased out in an ordinary manner, while our new operating model is not only being validated, but it's also beginning to generate revenue, asset growth and profit. Most importantly, our AI wealth management department, a new AI-enabled front office operating model we have been developing over the past year has now established its first meaningful proof points in Singapore. This quarter, we observed three developments that have become increasingly clear. First, Singapore has provided the first meaningful validation of our AI wealth management department model in approximately 10 months and the business achieved monthly profitability in July. Second, performance-based income reached RMB 238 million in the first half of the year, demonstrating how the growth investment capabilities we have built over many years are increasingly translating into earnings. Third, while our total employee headcount declined 17% year-over-year, U.S. dollar-denominated AUM increased by 11.7%. More importantly, our overseas RM headcount declined by 36.2% year-over-year, while overseas assets continued to grow. This suggests that we are beginning to decouple asset growth from RM headcount growth, a relationship that has historically been highly linear in traditional wealth management. This is also the most important message we would like to communicate to the market today. For Noah, AI is no longer simply about improving efficiency or reducing costs. It is beginning to change how we organize our front office, how we serve clients and how we expand globally. Today, I will discuss our financial performance, our Mainland China business, our international business and our key priorities for the second half of the year. In the second quarter, we generated net revenue of RMB 620 million. Operating income was RMB 216 million, up 34% year-over-year with an operating margin of 34.8%. Non-GAAP net income attributable to Noah was RMB 238 million, up 25.9% year-over-year and 77.8% quarter-over-quarter. For the first half of the year, net revenues were RMB 1.25 billion, broadly flat year-over-year. Operating income reached RMB 452 million, up 30.3% year-over-year with an operating margin of 36.3%, representing an improvement of 8.4 percentage points from the same period last year. Non-GAAP net income was RMB 372 million, up 3.9% year-over-year. This quarter also marked Noah's 63 consecutive quarter of non-GAAP profitability since our IPO. While total revenue remained broadly stable compared with last year, the composition of our revenue and our operating efficiency has changed meaningfully. I would like to explain this change clearly. On one hand, revenues associated with the legacy model are being phased out in an ordinary manner. Net distribution income declined 36% year-over-year in the first half, including a 53.8% decline in insurance-related products. This contraction reflects deliberate strategic choices we have made. I will discuss the Mainland China and international business separately in more details later. On the other hand, revenues associated with our investment capabilities are increasingly being realized. Net performance-based income or what we call carry reached RMB 238 million in the first half, up 364% year-over-year. Distribution income from investment products increased 13.4%. Investment income was RMB 39.79 million compared with a loss in the same period last year. At the same time, operating efficiency continued to improve. Operating costs and expenses declined 11.6% year-over-year in the first half, including a 12.7% reduction in personnel costs. These improvements reflect both disciplined cost management and organizational streamlining. But more importantly, we believe that they reflect a structural change in how Noah is beginning to operate. We are now increasingly operating with a leaner, more digitalized model that relies more on platform capabilities and less on simply adding headcount. This is one of the structural outcomes we are beginning to see after several quarters of sustained investment in AI. Our view of the earnings structure is clear. During the transformation period, carrier realization and cost discipline provide support for profitability. And for recurring revenues to return to sustainable growth, new growth engines must come online. The AI wealth management department is one of new growth engines we are now actively validating. This will be one of management's most important priorities in the second half of the year. We maintain the outlook we provide on our first quarter earnings call. We expect our full year operating margin to remain at a healthy level above 30%, while quarterly results may naturally fluctuate depending on product mix and the timing of expenses. Carry is not a onetime outcome driven by luck. It is the result of a long-term systematic investment capability that can continuously generate value across investment cycles. Our underlying model consists of three layers. The first layer is investing as an LP in leading global funds, which gives us exposure to the most advanced industry insights and investment opportunities. The second layer is using our fund of funds portfolio to broaden that information network and observe the collective investment decisions of leading global investment institutions. The third layer is co-investment and direct investment, where we convert the information advantage accumulated through the first two layers into more concentrated sources of potential return and carry. Together, these three layers form the foundation of our continuously evolving product portfolio. Funds established in different vintages are at different stages of their life cycles. As earlier funds progressively enter the harvesting period, they create the foundation for recurring carry realization rather than dependent on any single investment or exit. At the same time, AI and data capabilities are further strengthening this investment system. On the asset side, we positioned ourselves relatively early in several core segments of the global AI value chain, and many of these assets remain in the early to middle stages of value realization. We look through these 60 underlying funds and use institutionalized data system and cross-validation to understand what leading GPs are investing in together, where they are increasing their exposure and where capital and industry trends and converging. On the client side, AI is helping us address another equally important question. It is not only about selecting the right products, it is also about identifying the right client and matching the right product with the right client at the right time. Investment judgment, client understanding and asset allocation are increasingly being connected through data. The deeper the data becomes, the more precise our judgment can be. When clients achieve strong investment outcomes, the reinvestment rates and AUM can increase, which in turn creates the potential for future carry. This is the long-term flywheel we are working to build. Our Hong Kong platform has historically distributed cumulative USD 158 million in carry already, demonstrating a track record of actual realization. Of course, alternative investments are inherently cyclical and carry will fluctuate from year-to-year. We will not normalize or make linear assumptions around carry, and we will continue to provide updates each quarter. In terms of transaction values, total fundraising reached RMB 40.5 billion in the first half, up 22.4% year-over-year. U.S. dollar-denominated product fundraising reached USD 2.45 billion, up 8.4% year-over-year, accounting for 41% of the total. As of end June 30, group AUM returned to sequential growth and reached RMB 140.9 billion. U.S. dollar-denominated AUM reached USD 6.5 billion, up 11.7% year-over-year, while U.S. dollar-denominated AUA reached USD 9.78 billion, up 7.5%. Our balance sheet remains strong. As of June 30, we held approximately RMB 5 billion in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments with 0 interest-bearing debt. We also made important progress this quarter in resolving the legacy Camsing matter. During the first half, we completed the issuance of shares to clients who had previously entered into the settlement agreement. In the second quarter, we introduced a new settlement proposal for clients who had not yet settled and the number of investors accepting the proposal continues to increase. Given the adequate provision we made previously record, we recognized a partial reversal during the second quarter. The uncertainty associated with this legacy matter has now been meaningfully reduced. Our Mainland China business continued in the direction we established in the first quarter, returning to the fundamentals of investment and asset allocation with greater focus on standardized assets that offer sustainable long-term allocation value. In the second quarter, Mainland China generated net revenues of RMB 384 million. For the first half, net revenues totaled RMB 776 million, up approximately 20.7% year-over-year. Noah Upright raised RMB 8.27 billion in the first half and generated net revenues of RMB 414 million, up 59.8% year-over-year. For Upright, our operating philosophy is becoming increasingly simple. The most important measure of success is whether our clients make profits. We focus on client profitability, client retention and weighted investment returns. Our current product shelf is primarily focused on defensive strategies such as market neutral quantitative strategies and CTAs. In the current market environment, we are not pushing scale for the sake of scale. Instead, we are placing greater emphasis on asset quality, client investment outcomes and long-term trust. Gopher generated net revenues of RMB 341 million in the first half, broadly flat year-over-year. Our Mainland China insurance business generated net revenues of RMB 382 million in the first half. We have proactively reduced and gradually exit the traditional high commission protection product model, shifting instead to a comprehensive services such as family succession and inheritage planning. This adjustment began before the relevant regulatory requirements and reflected our own long-term assessment of client value. The future positioning of our Mainland China business is becoming increasingly clear. We will focus on secondary market investments, serve clients through professional investments and asset allocation capabilities and use AI to improve client engagement and service efficiency. Let me first review the numbers for our international business. Net revenues from the International segment were RMB 469 million in the first half, accounting for 37.7% of group net revenues and declining 21.9% year-over-year. This decline needs to be understood in context. Nearly 90% of the decline came from the deliberate contraction of our insurance business and the exit from legacy referral channels. Excluding those 2 factors, revenue from U.S. dollar-denominated investment products were broadly flat year-over-year, while our client base and assets continue to grow. U.S. dollar-denominated AUM increased 11.7% year-over-year. As of end June, registered overseas clients reached 21,059, up 11% year-over-year. Overseas diamond and black card clients reached 1,791, up 8.9%. Active overseas clients reached 3,494 in the second quarter, up 8.5% sequentially. Our assessment of the current stage of our international business, therefore, remains unchanged. We are not losing clients on assets. The legacy engines are simply being phased out faster than the new engines are coming online. This is consistent with the revenue mix transition we have discussed with the market over the past several quarters. However, one development in the second quarter is particularly important. As of the end of the second quarter, overseas RM headcount was down 36.2% year-over-year, while U.S. dollar-denominated AUM increased by 11.7%. Under the traditional wealth management operating model, these 2 outcomes would rarely occur at the same time. Historically, the industry's growth formula has been straightforward, more RM leads to more clients. More clients lead to more AUM and more revenue. However, the past year, we have been working to change that equation. On our first quarter earnings call, we introduced the three front office engines that we believe will define Noah's future operating model. First, AI-empowered RMs; second, the AI wealth management department; and third, AI plus ecosystem expansion. After the second quarter, we are beginning to see the second front office engine, the AI wealth management department, move from an organizational concept into a real operating model. So what is the AI wealth management department? It is not simply about giving traditional RMs a few additional AI tools. At its core, it represents a new way of organizing the front office of a wealth management business. Historically, one client was typically associated with one RM. The client experience, product understanding, frequency of engagement and often a significant amount of client information were highly dependent on that individual RM. This makes traditional wealth management industry inherently difficult to scale. The AI wealth management department seeks to redesign this process. AI and a centralized wealth management team handle a significant portion of high-frequency standardized and digitalized client engagement and daily services. Licensed professionals are responsible for the critical stages requiring judgment, compliance and professional accountability. Ecosystem partners then expand our client reach. Under this model, a client no longer belongs simply to an individual RM. The client is served by the combined capabilities of the entire Noah platform. This is where we believe AI can fundamentally change wealth management. It is not simply about helping one RM preparing materials faster. It is about giving wealth management the opportunity to move from an individual productivity model towards an institutionalized productivity model. Singapore is the first market where we have fully tested this model. From its launch in the fourth quarter of last year, Singapore AUM grew from less than USD 100 million to more than USD 400 million by the second quarter, and the business achieved monthly profitability in July. What's even more important is how the growth was achieved. Today, 92% of clients are covered by our AI-enabled service model for day-to-day engagement, while licensed professionals remain responsible for regulatory activities, professional judgment and compliant delivery. This allows our professionals to spend significantly less time on repetitive administrative work, information organization and standardized servicing and more time on the things that truly require human capability, understanding clients, building trust, identifying needs and communicating around important decisions. AI at the same time, external ecosystem partners contributed 42% of our new AUM. Singapore raised USD 158 million in the first half, up 126% year-over-year. And this growth was achieved without relying on a large expansion in RM headcount. For us, the significance of these numbers goes well beyond the growth of the Singapore business itself. For the first time, they demonstrate that Noah may be able to gradually shift wealth management from a growth model highly depending on recruiting more RMs toward a model driven by an AI platform, licensed professional plus ecosystem partners. As this model continues to be validated, it has the potential to change our unit economics, management spend and ability to replicate our business globally. This is why we view the AI wealth management department as a potentially important new growth curve for Noah. Looking at our international business by segment. ARK Wealth generated net revenues of RMB 193 million in the first half, including RMB 88.65 million in the second quarter. Olive Asset Management generated net revenues of RMB 198 million in the first half. U.S. dollar-denominated private equity fundraising reached USD 410 million, up 13.4% year-over-year. U.S. dollar-denominated structured products and hedge fund fundraising reached USD 590 million, up 33.2%. Glory generated net revenues of RMB 78.24 million in the first half, while its independent broker network expanded to 238 professionals. Our international strategy has not changed. We remain focused on serving Chinese high net worth families around the world. Their assets, families, residency, education and next-generation planning are becoming increasingly global. Historically, serving these clients [ simultaneously ] across Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan, Canada, Australia, the U.K., Europe and the United States would have required a large local RM and operating organization in every market. That made economically efficient global coverage extremely difficult. Yet the AI wealth management department changes the core structure of globalization. Markets that previously could not be economically covered because of insufficient client density may increasingly become addressable through a combination of the AI wealth management department, local licensed professionals and ecosystem partners. This is why we often say AI is making it possible for the first time for Noah to serve Chinese high net worth families around the world at scale.