Barry Palmer
Analyst · ROTH Capital Partners
Thanks, Jason, and good morning, everyone. As Jason just outlined, our first half performance was stronger than expected entering the year and gives us the confidence to raise our full year revenue outlook. More importantly, the quarter reinforced that North American Construction Group is in an inflection point. The strategic groundwork we have put in place is increasingly translating to measurable growth, stronger earnings visibility and more resilient operating profile. Our operating platform continues to evolve, and there's even more opportunity ahead of us. We are now seeing clear evidence that our broader geographic reach, expanded capabilities and operating discipline are working together. Our focus is to convert that opportunity into quality earnings and free cash flow through consistent execution across all operations. On Slide 11 summarizes the 3 strategic building blocks supporting our growth. First, scaling toward a national Tier 1 contractor platform in Australia; secondly, securing infrastructure awards across North America; and third, expanding mining services in Canada and the United States. These are distinct markets, but the underlying model is consistent. We established a position where our equipment, people and execution capabilities create the right to win. We then deepen our customer relationship, expand the scope of work and allocate capital where we can earn attractive returns. The regional updates that follow are proof that this strategy is gaining further traction. On Slide 12, Australia remains our primary growth engine. Revenue has increased approximately 31% compound annual rate from the first half of 2024 through the first half of 2026, and first half 2026 revenue was 14% above the second half of 2025. This momentum reflects the scale we have added through MacKellar and IMC, supported by favorable operating conditions and strong market demand. Together, MacKellar and IMC give us a broader national presence and the capability to pursue larger, more comprehensive scopes across all of Australia. IMC's new eight-bay Muchea workshop is another important step. It expands our maintenance capacity and supports our equipment rebuild program as well as the larger projects we expect to pursue over time. The strategic value extends beyond scale. We are increasing our exposure to lower capital unit rate work and diversifying across gold, lithium, iron ore, nickel and other critical minerals. This combination will support more consistent utilization and a better balance of growth and returns. This integration is also benefiting from a close alignment in safety, culture, core values and maintenance capabilities, which is critical to sustaining performance as the business expands. As of June 30, our Australian operations had approximately $3.4 billion of contractual backlog and a further $3.9 billion bid pipeline, supported by approximately $278 billion of public infrastructure spending and a $242 billion major project pipeline. This gives us meaningful runway as we continue building the platform. Turning to Slide 13. In Northern Canada, where I want to focus on our infrastructure discussion for today's call. Our strategy is to position capital and capabilities where our operating experience provides a clear advantage. Nuna is a strong example with a fleet of approximately 230 heavy equipment assets. New equipment is arriving to Nunavut during the third quarter, increasing capacity and mechanical availability at an established mine site. We expect that expansion to drive approximately 20% site level revenue growth with our ownership stake providing NACG exposure to Nuna's growing earnings contribution. At the same time, we are executing a land-and-expand strategy across priority mining regions. The Yukon infrastructure award and 3 initial projects in Ontario established footholds from which we can pursue larger follow-on scopes. Our ability to safely deliver on time, on budget with 0 deficiencies is how we earn the opportunity to do more for these customers. Nuna's deep remote operating expertise, established infrastructure and indigenous partnerships are difficult to replicate. Those capabilities position us well as critical minerals, defense and nation building investment advances across Northern Canada. With approximately $5 billion of opportunities in the regional pipeline, we see a significant pathway to long-term growth while remaining disciplined in how we pursue it. Turning to Slide 14. In the oil sands, customer demand is shifting towards more equipment-intensive work as haul distances lengthen and operating requirements broaden. This creates an attractive opportunity for North American that can provide reliable fleet availability and consistent service, but it has also required a disciplined operating plan. During the second quarter, we formally identified 260 multi-life heavy equipment assets as our target fleet and aligned our maintenance and operations team around clear objectives. Mechanical availability is a primary operating measure with a medium-term target of 70%. Improving reliability reduces downtime, provides greater schedule certainty and allows us to capture visible demand more efficiently. This is not simply about increasing activity. It's about improving the quality of earnings. We are concentrating on investment for assets and scopes that meet our return thresholds with incremental investments targeting IRRs above 40% and a clear line of sight towards gross profit margins in the 15% range. Better fleet performance, selective capital allocation and operating discipline are the levers that we will translate strong customer demand into resilient margins. Turning to Slide 15. This shows the depth of our diversity and the opportunity set. Our total bid pipeline exceeds $12 billion with approximately $3.6 billion currently in active tender and procurement. The active pipeline is balanced geographically with approximately $1.8 billion in Australia and $1.8 billion in North America. It is also balanced by type with 54% in mining services and 46% in infrastructure across 14 resource categories. Expected award timing is weighted across the second half of 2026 and into 2027 with additional opportunities beyond that period. We do not need every project to move forward to create meaningful growth. Our priority is to convert the opportunities where our capabilities provide a clear advantage and where the risk-adjusted returns meet our standards. Turning to Slide 16, our outlook. Record contractual backlog of approximately $3.8 billion as of June 30 underpins our full year expectations. Based on stronger-than-expected revenue in the first half, including a quarterly revenue record for Q2, we are raising our combined revenue guidance to a range of $1.6 billion to $1.8 billion. The new midpoint of $1.7 billion is $100 million above our prior midpoint and approximately 14% above our full year 2025 results. We are growing. We continue to expect adjusted EBITDA of $380 million to $420 million and free cash flow of $110 million to $130 million. At the midpoint, that represents $400 million of adjusted EBITDA and $120 million of free cash flow. In Australia, we expect optimal dry seasonal conditions in Queensland to support MacKellar while IMC activity ramps up in Western Australia. In the oil sands, utilization should improve following the spring breakup, supported by fleet optimization and incremental project scopes. At Nuna, we expect the seasonally strong third quarter to be followed by fourth quarter uplift from the Nunavut fleet expansion. Taken together, our first half performance, record backlog and identifiable second half operating drivers support the raised revenue outlook and our continued confidence in the adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow ranges. Our job is now straightforward, safely execute with discipline, improve the quality of earnings and convert the opportunity embedded across the platform into sustainable shareholder value. Lastly, I'm extremely pleased to announce that our Chairman, Martin Ferron, has confirmed that our CEO search is going very well, and we plan to announce our new CEO in the coming weeks. That concludes the Q2 presentation, and we would be happy to take any questions you may have..