Joe Lambert
Analyst · TD Securities. Please go ahead
Thanks, Jason. Looking at Slide 16, this slide summarizes our priorities for 2023. I have previously discussed our commitments to increase our skilled trades shown in item four, but wanted to highlight the other three areas that will be particularly important to progress in 2023. The first area of focus on core to our culture and values is our on-going efforts to ensure each and every one of our employees returns home safely at the end of every workday. Although we have an extensive health and safety management system, and multiple initiatives for improvements, far too extensive doing the depth here today, we feel our growing workforce requiring increased new hires and an industry supply lower inexperience will be best served with an increased focus on further developing our frontline supervision, expanding our green hand training programs. The second area prioritizes continued expansion of our operational and maintenance expertise. We will prioritize new technologies such as our telematics system, which is now installed on half of the fleet with the remaining fleet installed scheduled for 2023. And continuing the in-house and vertically integrate our maintenance services and supply, such as a previously mentioned ML Northern acquisition and our component remanufacturing business with the newly expanded facility and added large hydraulic cylinder rebuild capabilities. We believe this prioritization and focus will continue to lower costs and improve equipment availability and utilization. Last but not least, item three describes our prioritizing of winning bids and achieving our target of greater than 2 billion in backlog by end of next year, which is a great transition to our next slide 17. Slide 17 highlights the net increase around 600 million to our already strong bid pipeline. In Q3 we also received RFPs bid and were awarded several winter projects in oil sands, totaling around $100 million, which never showed up on this list, and essentially have us fully booked through winter. We continue to expect to win our fair share of the large red dot regional oil sands tender, but believe this scope award is delayed or possibly scheduled for re tender next year, although we have not heard so formally. Lastly, we believe we will see another meaningful blue dot went outside of oil sands over this winter, which will continue our diversification success and potentially offer some upside to our forecast and smaller fleet 2023 utilization. On Slide 18, our backlog sits at 1.5 billion. And we continue to replenish and win our fair share of work across all resource sectors. What I continue to believe as a key takeaway on this slide is that our backlog is roughly proportionate to our diversification target, demonstrating both competence and sustainability of our diversification efforts. Last night on backlog I previously stated expectations of exceeding 2 billion before the year is out. But with the assume deferral the regional oil sands tender award, which was the driver of that expected increase, we have locked likewise deferred our expectations to next year. On Slide 19 we have provided our revised outlook for 2022. With our strong Q3 results, progress on priorities, Q3 tender wins and focus on safe and efficient close to the year, we have been able to increase the midpoints for almost all of our key financial metrics. A bit of free cash flow was deferred into the New Year predominantly due to work expanded and extended at our Northern Ontario Goldmine, JV with Nuna. We made what we believe were high value investments in growth through the acquisition of ML Northern and ensure old friendly buybacks, which we see is complete for the year and will direct the remaining expected free cash flow to deleverage. On Slide 20, we have provided our initial outlook for 2023. As stated in my letter to shareholders, we expect some pressure on earnings and free cash flow due to increased interest rates, but are pleased to show continued annual EBITDA growth coming out of a record expected combined revenue of over $1 billion. Free cash flow of between $85 million and $105 million continues to show the strength of our business, and we are eager to continue the trend execute the 2023 work safely and effectively and continue to properly grow and diversify our business. Regarding 2023 capital allocation, we continue to assess our options in light of market and other macro conditions. And we'll provide our expected outlook in more detail on our next call. In closing, I'd just like to thank our fantastic NACG employees, partners and clients for all your efforts and support in helping us achieve these record third quarter financial results in a challenging economic environment characterized by high cost inflation and increasing interest rates. With that, I’ll open it up for any questions you may have.