Takumi Kitamura
Management
Good evening. This is Takumi Kitamura, CFO of Nomura Holdings. I will now give you an overview of our results for the first half and second quarter of the year ending March 2019. Please turn to page 2. During the first six months of our fiscal year, investors became markedly risk averse due to concerns of U.S.-China trade friction and a fall in emerging markets currencies on the back of pricing U.S. interest rates. The Nikkei remained range bound between 22,000 and 23,000. Market Volumes were at their lowest since July, September quarter in 2016. Amid this challenging environment, net revenue declined 22% year-on-year to ¥554.9 billion, while income before income taxes was down 91% at ¥14.1 billion. Three segment before income taxes declined 61% to ¥48.8 billion on the back of sluggish performance in both Wholesale and Retail. Retail investor sentiment worsened during the first half and our Retail business reported lower transaction levels mainly in stocks, investment trusts and foreign bonds. Our Asset Management business continue to grow steadily, but reported a sequential decline in revenues as last year’s revenues were lifted by an approximately ¥12 billion gain related to American Century Investments. In Wholesale, Fixed Income revenues were down due to sluggish performance in Rates, Credit and EM FX. Other segment was dragged down by expenses of about ¥20 billion related to our recent settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice and about ¥30 billion loss related to economic hedging, transactions. As a result, we reported a net loss of ¥6 billion for the six month period and EPS was negative ¥1.78. In addition, we have set a dividend per share of ¥3 to shareholders of record as of the end of September. Moving now to our second quarter results, please turn to Page 3. The graph on the bottom right shows three segment income before income taxes of ¥26 billion. This was up 14% quarter-on-quarter as Wholesale returned to profit after booking a loss in the first quarter. The top right shows firm-wide income before income taxes of ¥500 million, representing a sequential decline of 97%. Outside of the three business segments, we booked a loss before income taxes of just over ¥25 billion, which includes a number of one-off expenses. First, in the United States, we booked ¥19.8 billion in expenses related to legal settlement. The Department of Justice had been investigating certain residential mortgage-backed securities securitized by our U.S. subsidiary in 2006 and 2007. To avoid protracted and expensive litigations for transactions that occurred over 10 years ago, we decided to settle the matter. Second, we recognized an FX translation adjustment loss. We have been winding up a subsidiary in the Middle East and North Africa region as part of plans to set up a representative office. Since this subsidiary was established, the yen has depreciated, and we recognized an FX translation adjustment loss of ¥7 billion. This was sitting on our balance sheet and because the subsidiary was deemed to be effectively wound up in the second quarter, we recognized the ¥7 billion as an expanse. The third factor is related to economic hedging, which is a regular item in our quarterly reporting. For the second quarter, we booked a loss of ¥16 billion. During the quarter, the interest rate for certain emerging markets currencies and the yen interest rate moved up significantly, leading to a wider-than-normal negative impact. Net loss for the quarter was ¥11.2 billion. EPS was negative ¥3.32. Next let’s take a closer look at each business. Please turn to Page 6 for an overview of Retail. Net revenue was ¥85.7 billion, down 8% quarter-on-quarter. Income before income taxes declined 39% to ¥12.2 billion. A fall in emerging markets currencies and uncertain market conditions impacted retail investors sentiment. As you can see in the bottom half of this slide, total sales were down 13% from last quarter. By product, sales of secondary stocks, investment trusts and bond slowed, while discretionary investments increased. Turning now to Page 7. The bottom left shows net inflows into discretionary investments of ¥83.8 billion, lifting client assets to over ¥2.8 trillion. Annualized recurring revenue was ¥90.9 billion and the recurring revenue cost coverage ratio was 31%. The bottom right shows net inflows of cash and securities of about ¥680 billion. This was mainly due to a higher ratio of purchases of JGBs for individual investors and primary bonds using new funds as well as contributions from IPO transactions and large stock deposits. Looking just at the Retail channels mainly for individual investors, inflows were around ¥120 billion. Please turn to Page 8 for Asset Management. Net revenue declined 5% to ¥24.7 billion. Income before income taxes declined 13% to ¥8.9 billion. The decline was mainly because gain and loss related to American Century Investments negatively affected quarter-on-quarter results. Excluding that, the underlying business performed well. Combined inflows into the Investment Trust and Investment Advisory businesses have remained positive for nine straight quarters. Assets under management grew to a record high of ¥52.8 trillion. As you can see on Page 9, net inflows were ¥436 billion for the quarter. The Investment Trust business reported inflows into ETFs and privately placed funds for financial institutions. The Investment Advisory business won a mandate to manage Japanese equities for a domestic public pension fund, and internationally, we booked inflows into U.S. high-yield products and UCITS funds. As shown on the bottom right, assets in defined contribution funds reached nearly ¥1 trillion, driven by an increase in participants in corporate DC plans and a broader scope of the population qualifying for iDeCo. We also enhanced our product lineup aimed at encouraging people to build up their assets of postretirement, such as our offering of target year funds set at five year intervals that automatically rebalance assets according to the target timing of each individual client. Please turn to Page 10 for an overview of Wholesale results. From April this year, we changed our accounting policy, so the revenues and expenses for certain Instinet transactions are now shown as net value rather than gross value. As a result, revenues and expenses both declined by ¥4.6 billion in the first quarter and ¥4.1 billion in the second quarter. There was a neutral impact on pretax earnings. With the return of yen interest rate volatility in the second quarter and on an uptick in the market participant activity, Japan and AEJ reported stronger Fixed Income revenues. Equities revenues remained roughly unchanged, while Investment Banking revenues were down slightly due to fewer revenue opportunities. As a result, Wholesale reported an 8% increase in net revenue to ¥147.7 billion. Income before income taxes was ¥4.9 billion, which although still muted, represented a rebound from last quarter’s loss. As you can see in the graph on the bottom left, revenues in Japan and AEJ improved, but declined in the Americas and EMEA. Please turn to Page 11. Global Markets net revenue increased 10% to ¥123.8 billion. Fixed Income net revenue grew 21% to ¥69.6 billion as challenged trading revenues rebounded driven by Japan, offsetting a slowdown in client revenues in the Americas and EMEA. As the heat map on the top right shows, in Japan, speculation of Bank of Japan policy tweaks drove a return of volatility and client activity, resulting in an improvement in the Rates products. In AEJ, the arrow is pointing up due mainly to an improvement in Credit. In the Americas and EMEA, Rates and Credit were softer and the arrow is pointing diagonally down. Equities net revenue was ¥54.2 billion. As you can see on the right, Japan offset a slowdown in the Americas and EMEA, resulting in roughly flat revenues quarter-on-quarter. By product, Cash Equities revenues declined on lower market, while derivatives revenues increased on the back of an improvement in Japan. Please turn to Page 12 for Investment Banking. Net revenue declined 5% to ¥23.9 billion. Amid a contraction in the global fee pool, Japan and AEJ delivered resilient performance, while EMEA and Americas reported lower revenues. Transactions were delayed due to U.S.-China trade friction and other factors contributing to a decline in M&A and solutions-related revenues. However, as shown on the right, we won multiple Asia-related cross-border mandates and continued to support our clients’ global financing needs. Please turn to Page 13 for an overview of non-interest expenses. Firm-wide non-interest expenses totaled ¥282.5 billion, up 9% quarter-on-quarter. The sequential increase is due mainly to higher expenses in Other, which includes the ¥19.8 billion related to a settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice and ¥7 billion FX translation adjustment loss related to the winding up of subsidiary in Middle East and North Africa region. Excluding those two factors, firm-wide expenses declined quarter-on-quarter. Please turn to Page 14 for an overview of our financial position. Our balance sheet at the end of September totaled ¥45.4 trillion, up ¥2.6 trillion from ¥42.8 trillion at the end of June. This increase is mainly attributable to yen depreciation and an increase in repurchase agreements. As shown on the bottom left, Tier 1 capital was ¥2.7 trillion, roughly unchanged from the end of June, while risk assets stood at ¥15 trillion, a decline of ¥770 billion, mainly in market risk. As a result, our Tier 1 capital ratio was 18% at the end of September, and our common equity Tier 1 ratio – capital ratio was 16.9%. Our leverage ratio was 4.44%, and our liquidity coverage ratio was 191.1%. That concludes the overview of our second quarter results. To sum up, second quarter income before income taxes was impacted by over ¥40 billion due to one-off expenses and a loss related economic hedging transactions. This resulted in a loss for the quarter and a very tough set of results. Although, these one-off expenses will disappear from the third quarter onwards, we once again recognize the challenges surrounding profit levels in our core businesses, especially Retail and Wholesale. Our Retail business is the industry leader with over 5.3 million client accounts, but we believe we need to grow our client base even further. To maximize client satisfaction in the most efficient way, it will be a key to clearly identify client segments, so that the right person makes the right proposals to the right clients. In terms of further developing our client franchise, we saw an increase in client meetings in the first half of the year that led to business with current high net worth clients who hold great potential, but we had not been able to build up sufficient relations yet. Another sign of changes starting to gradually take effect is that net flows of cash and securities turned positive during the first half. In the second half of the year, while we are yet to see a full-scale rebound in revenues, we will continue with these initiatives to ensure that we improve client satisfaction while pursuing business growth. In relation to our Wholesale business, as I said here three months ago, we have been reallocating management resources to play to our strengths. In October, Wholesale revenues have been improved from the previous quarter and looking at the drivers of this improvement in terms of regions, we are confident that we are heading in the right direction. We have started to review our cost base centering on corporate functions and will work ahead of schedule to realize the ¥60 billion fixed cost reduction program we have committed to. Thank you very much.