Takumi Kitamura
Analyst · Credit Suisse Securities
This is Kitamura, CFO. I will now give you an overview of our result for the first-quarter using the document titled Consolidated Results of Operations. Please turn to Page 2. The market remained volatile during the first quarter due to the impacts from monetary policy around the world and the Brexit vote in the UK. Retail investor sentiment was subdued on the back of yen appreciation and weaker equity markets. The fixed income market started to stabilize and client activity increased. Amidst this environment, we were able to report a significant rebound in performance with income before income taxes of JPY62.8 billion as we delivered solutions matched to client needs and continued to act as a liquidity provider. The three international regions reported total income before income taxes of JPY16.9 billion thanks partly to cost reduction initiatives. This resulted in a decline in our effective tax rate to 25%. Net income was JPY46.8 billion, ROE was 7% and EPS was JPY12.71, representing a good start to the fiscal year. As you can see on the bottom right, income before income taxes from the three business segments was JPY67.5 billion, up significantly from last quarter. Retail reported lower income before income taxes as the retail investors sat on the sidelines, but asset management income before income taxes doubled, lifted by dividend income and other factors. In wholesale, fixed income had a good quarter as client activity and the trading environment improved. Cost reductions also took effect and income before income taxes rebounded strongly. Today we also announced a share buyback program with an upper limit of 100 million shares or JPY45 billion in order to allot shares upon the exercise of stock options and to improve capital efficiency and maintain a flexible capital policy. Let's now take a look at the results for each division, starting with retail. Please turn to Page 5. Retail reported net revenue of JPY83.8 billion, down 1% quarter-on-quarter. The decline is mainly due to slower sales of stocks and bonds. However, investment trusts and discretionary investments improved from the weak prior quarter. Income before income taxes declined 29% to JPY8.7 billion. Please turn to Page 6. This quarter saw a continued volatility in the equities and FX markets and a further decline in interest rates, representing a challenging environment – investment environment for our retail clients. In times like these, we place even greater focus on maintaining close dialogue with our clients and provide solutions that meet their exact needs. As you can see on the bottom right, we emphasis discussions on discretionary investments to uncover our clients' latent needs. This resulted in a doubling of net inflows into discretionary investments to JPY107.2 billion. Despite of a negative impact from market factors, asset under management and discretionary investments grew to over JPY2.2 trillion, as shown here on the bottom left. Next, please turn to Page 7 for asset management. Net revenue increased by 28%, lifted by dividend income, realized gains from the potential liquidation of an overseas entity and other factors. Income before income taxes was JPY12.2 billion, the highest level since September 2007. Assets under management declined by JPY2.8 trillion from March to JPY37.3 trillion due mainly to market factors. This also includes the impact of outflows of corporate short-term funds from money market funds. The investment trust business continued to take inflows into privately placed funds and investment trust for discretionary investments. In the investment advisory business, we saw outflows from Japanese public pension funds and Japanese equity products overseas. However, we continued to book inflows into U.S. high yield products. As you can see on the bottom right of Page 8, our investment into American Century Investments was completed on May 19th. We have established a Business Opportunity Committee and set up working groups to draw up concrete strategies to realize the benefits of collaboration. Please turn to Page 9 for an overview of the wholesale segment. Net revenue was JPY190.9 billion, up 40% quarter-on-quarter. Fixed income made a strong contribution to revenues across all regions and products. Expenses were JPY144.3 billion and have been steadily declining each quarter. Our cost base has been lowered significantly, mainly in compensation and benefits following the strategic review of our EMEA and Americas businesses. As a result, income before income taxes rebounded to JPY46.6 billion. Let's now look at each business line in more detail. Please turn to Page 10. Global markets booked net revenue of JPY170.5 billion, up 57% quarter-on-quarter. Fixed income net revenue was JPY107.9 billion, increasing nearly four-fold quarter on quarter. As the heat map on the right shows, the arrows in all regions are pointing up with rates products having a particularly strong quarter in each region. In the Americas, spread products such as credit and securitized products improved, while credit also reported strong revenues in Asia-Pacific. Meanwhile, equities net revenue declined 22% quarter-on-quarter as last quarter included a gain on the sale of Chi-X shares and client activity slowed in the first quarter. Please turn to Page 11 for investment banking. As shown in the bar chart on the top left, first quarter net revenue was JPY20.4 billion down 27% from last quarter. Gross revenue was JPY33.9 billion, declining on the back of fewer ECM transactions and the impact of the yen appreciation. In Japan, market turmoil and seasonal factors led to a shrink in the people. However, we retained the top spot on the Japan ECM league table by accurately capturing the needs of issuers. Revenues from industrial realignment and consolidation transactions and cross-border M&A were relatively strong. Our international business booked stronger revenues, driven by the Americas. M&A multiproduct deals and large bond offering by financial institutions and other clients contributed to revenues. Please turn to Page 12 for an overview of expenses. Group net interest expenses for the first quarter totaled JPY275.7 billion, down 6% quarter-on-quarter, due mainly to yen appreciation and lower business development expenses and occupancy and related depreciation. Looking at the quarterly trend, you can see we are making progress through our ongoing cost reduction program, steadily lowering Group-wide expenses. Expenses are down 13% on a year-on-year basis. Compensation and benefits have declined 19% compared to the same period last year as with the implementation of pay for performance and as we worked on reducing costs mainly in our international operations. We will continue to lower our fixed costs globally by having the front, middle and back offices work together to drive further cost efficiencies. Please turn to Page 13 for our balance sheet. Total assets were JPY42.9 trillion, gross leverage was 16.2 times and the net leverage was 9.8 times. Our tier 1 ratio was 16.9% and our CET1 ratio was 16.3%, both up significantly from March due to the lower market risk. Applying the fully-loaded 2019 Basel 3 standard to our balance sheet at the end of June gives a CET1 ratio of 15.5%. Our leverage ratio was 4.28% and our LCR or liquidity coverage ratio was 190.8%. That concludes the overview of our first-quarter results. To sum up, the first quarter was marked by volatile market conditions, but in our Japan business we enhanced dialogue with clients and worked with them to find the best solution for their needs. Internationally, we gained traction in addressing our key management challenge of returning our international business to profitability by undertaking a strategic review of our EMEA and Americas businesses to concentrate our resources on areas where our clients rely on us. These initiatives in Japan and abroad are still a work-in-progress, but we are pleased with the direction we are moving in. We will maintain our fundamental strategic direction globally, put clients' needs first and step up cross divisional and regional collaboration to best meet the needs of our clients, and this will put us in an even better position to deliver consistent earnings. We look forward to your continued support. Thank you