John Kline
Analyst · Wells Fargo
Thanks, Rob. Since our last call, direct lending market conditions have continued to improve. Deal flow was sluggish throughout the summer, but has shown signs of improvement supported by add-on M&A activity for existing portfolio of companies along with select new sponsor-backed buyouts. Our forward pipeline continues to build week-over-week, leading us to believe that we could see a flurry of post-election deal activity. Secondary trading levels in the broader sub investment-grade credit markets, which we view as a gauge of market health, have nearly returned to pre-COVID levels. Most loans made to companies in our core defensive growth sectors, such as software, health care technology and technology-enabled business services, are performing particularly well.
Going forward, these sectors should continue to attract capital as investors seek to maximize exposure to COVID-resistant companies that can do well even in uncertain times. Overall, we believe that spreads in the private credit market continue to be attractive on a relative basis compared to virtually all other yield-oriented options, many of which offer less yield today than in pre-COVID times.
Turning to Page 14. We show how potential changes in the base rate could impact NMFC's future earnings. As you can see, the vast majority of our assets are floating rate loans with our liabilities evenly split between fixed and floating rate instruments.
As of our last call in July, 3-month LIBOR was 25 basis points. Since then, it has been flat at approximately 22 basis points today. While this low LIBOR level has pressured our earnings, NMFC has benefited from 1% LIBOR floors on 76% of its assets. Given where rates are today, there is extremely limited downside from further negative base rate movements. Conversely, if base rates exceed 1%, NMFC's earnings will be positively leveraged to any increase above that level.
Page 15 addresses historical credit performance. On the left side of the page, we show the current state of the portfolio where we have about $2.9 billion investments at fair value, $64 million of which are currently on nonaccrual. This quarter, as mentioned earlier, we did not place any new investments on nonaccrual.
On the right side of the page, we present NMFC's cumulative credit performance since inception, which shows that across nearly $8 billion of total investments, we have $600 million that have been placed on our watch list, with $220 million of that amount migrating to nonaccrual. Of the nonaccruals, only $74 million have become realized losses.
The nonaccruals that have not become credit losses represent about $146 million of cost. While some of these troubled names have risk of becoming permanently impaired, we do have optimism that over time, with the ongoing support of our private equity team members, we will be able to take actions to achieve material credit recoveries and in some cases, gains on these assets.
Page 16 is a view of our credit performance-based on underlying portfolio company leverage relative to LTM EBITDA. As you can see, despite COVID, the majority of our positions have shown performance that is very consistent with our underwriting projections, exhibiting either very minor leverage increases or in many cases, leverage decreases.
There are 6 names that have more than 2.5 turns of negative leverage drift. Three of these names, including UniTek, Edmentum and Benevis, were covered in Rob's comments. I will discuss the other 3 now.
The first name is company BZ, which is a marketing services business that we noted on our previous call. The company has underperformed over the past 12 months due to various internal operational challenges. Company BZ continues to receive sponsor support and has benefited from recent management upgrades and strategic acquisitions.
Company BY is a financial services compliance company which benefits from strong long-term business trends but has been challenged by past management missteps and business impacts from COVID. In response, the sponsor has made material changes to management and injected significant equity capital into the business to support liquidity and growth.
Finally, company CA sells products and services for high school and college graduations which have materially been impacted by COVID. While performance has been challenged in 2020, the company continues to take actions to position itself for success in 2021 and beyond through both liquidity enhancing actions and business improvement. In summary, while we have seen a slightly higher number of companies experienced material multiple drift, we note that this is a backward-looking metric and believe the aggregate performance of this group of companies will improve over time.
The chart on Page 17 tracks the company's overall economic performance since its IPO. At the top of the page, we show that our net investment income has always covered our regular quarterly dividend. On the lower half of the page, we focus on below the line items. First, we look at realized gains and realized credit and other losses. As you can see looking at the row highlighted in green, we have had success generating real economic gains every year through a combination of equity gains, portfolio company dividends and trading profits.
Moving down the page, the orange section of the chart shows year-to-date realized losses of $36.5 million, $32.3 million of which were crystallized in Q1. In Q2 and Q3, we have experienced just $4.2 million of additional realized losses relating primarily to our balance sheet deleveraging program, which is now complete.
As a result of this activity, we now have cumulative net realized losses since inception, highlighted in blue, of approximately $17 million. While we do everything in our power to avoid them, over the long term, we do expect to incur realized credit losses on our investment portfolio, which we hope to largely offset with realized gains just as we have historically accomplished throughout our nearly 10 years as a public company.
Looking further down the page, we show the material impact from unrealized portfolio markdowns of $128 million since inception and cumulative net realized and unrealized losses of $144 million highlighted in yellow. The bottom line number represents a $59 million improvement compared to last quarter driven by the positive change in our portfolio marks that we discussed in detail earlier in the presentation.
Cumulatively, we've recovered $112 million of unrealized losses since the Q1 low point of the company's fair market value. We continue to believe that most of the remaining cumulative net unrealized loss is reflective of temporary business conditions and will recover in time.
Page 18 shows a stock chart detailing NMFC's performance since IPO. While the performance of our stock inclusive of our quarterly dividend has historically been very strong compared to relevant benchmarks, over the past 8 months, NMFC's stock price has had soft performance versus certain benchmarks. However, our overall track record exceeds that of the high-yield index and materially exceeds the return of an index of BDCs that we have followed since our IPO.
Page 19 provides a final look at the stock performance compared to the individual stocks of our peers that have been public at least as long as we have. While we seek to improve our performance going forward, this chart shows that we remain a top performer among this cohort of competitors.
Finally, we break down NMFC's total return attribution since inception on Page 20, where on the far right side of the slide we show that the core of our value creation has been cash distributions of $13.27 per share supported by consistent income from our defensive growth lending portfolio. Offsetting this dividend performance has been a $1.84 per share decline in book value, most of which has occurred in 2020, and the $2.35 per share decline related to the contraction of our book value multiple since our IPO.
As we have mentioned, we believe that NMFC has good prospects to improve in both areas of underperformance while maintaining a compelling and consistent dividend. As of yesterday's closing share price, assuming our announced $0.30 per quarter dividend payout, NMFC's annualized dividend yield is approximately 12.6%.
Turning to our investment activity tracker on Page 21. This quarter, our originations were almost exactly equal to our repayments, yielding de minimis net originations. New originations primarily consisted of various delayed draw fundings supporting M&A for our existing portfolio companies highlighted by a financing for insightsoftware as well as an investment into our SLP III first-lien loan program, which continues to operate very well in this environment. While we acknowledge COVID as a material risk, based on conversations with our clients and our building investment pipeline, we do expect overall activity to pick up after the election.
On Page 22, we have several detailed breakouts of NMFC's industry exposure. The center pie chart shows overall industry exposure, while the charts on the right and left give more insight into the diversity within our services and health care verticals. As you can see, we have successfully avoided nearly all of the most troubled sectors while maintaining high exposure to the most defensive, COVID-resistant sectors within the U.S. economy.
On the lower half of the page, we show that the portfolio continues to have a high degree of first-lien exposure with nearly 70% of our portfolio invested in senior-oriented assets. Additionally, we present a breakout of risk ratings that match the heat maps shown in the beginning of our presentation. Finally, as illustrated on Page 23, we have a diversified portfolio with our largest single name investment at 3.7% of fair value and the top 15 investments accounting for 36% of fair value.
With that, I'll now turn it over to our CFO, Shiraz Kajee, to discuss the financial statements and key financial metrics. Shiraz?