John Kline
Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead
Thanks, Rob. We are pleased to report that overall conditions in the direct lending market continue to be very healthy. Companies within most industries have very good access to capital and new sponsor back purchases are generally occurring at very high multiples across a range of industries. Companies with many of our – within many of our core defensive growth sectors, such as software, healthcare technology, field services and technology enabled business services have compelling momentum in their businesses and are attracting a particularly high level of sponsor attention. Interest spreads and loan structures across the direct lending market are consistent with what we have observed last quarter, reflecting the ongoing competitive lending environment. Despite the strong competition for new loans, we still believe that returns remain attractive both on an absolute basis and relative to other credit markets that we see. While deal flow has been solid over the last couple of months, we expect an acceleration in the second half of the year, based on the deal velocity that we see a New Mountain's private equity business and the building backlog of credit opportunities in our forward pipeline. Turning to page 16. We now show how potential changes in the base rates could impact NMFC's future earnings. As you can see, the vast majority of our assets are floating rate loans, while our liabilities are 55% fixed rate and 45% floating rate. NMFC’s current bounce sheet mix offers our shareholders consistent and stable earnings in all scenarios where LIBOR remains under 1%. If base rates rise above 1% as the economy normalizes or accelerates, there is meaningful upside to NMFC’s net investment income. For example, assuming our current investment portfolio and existing liability structure, if LIBOR reaches 2%, our annual NII would increase by 8.4% or $0.10 per share. At 3% LIBOR, earnings would increase by 19% or $0.23 per share. We believe this positive interest rate optionality offers meaningful value to our shareholders compared to that offered by fixed right debt investments. Page 17 addresses historical credit performance, which shows NMFC’s long-term track record. On the left side of the page, we show the current state of the portfolio where we have $3.1 billion of investments at fair value with $24 million or less than 1% of our portfolio currently on non-accrual. This quarter, as mentioned earlier, we did not place any new borrowers on non-accrual. On the right side of the page, we present NMFC’s cumulative credit performance since our inception in 2008, which shows that across $8.4 billion of total investments. We have $647 million that had been placed on our watch lists with $236 million of that amount migrating to non-accrual. Of the non-accruals, only $79 million had become realized losses over the course of our 12 plus year history. Page 18 is a view of our credit performance based on underlying portfolio company leverage relative to LTM EBITDA. As you can see, the majority of our positions have shown results that are very consistent with our underwriting projections exhibiting either very minor leverage increases or in many cases, leveraged decreases. We believe the strong and consistent performance across our portfolio is particularly notable in a period of time effected by a global health crisis. On the lower right side of the page, we show a group of seven companies that have more than two and a half turns of negative leverage drift. These companies represent a small portion of our portfolio that have underperformed partially due to adverse conditions caused by the well-documented volatility in certain parts of the economy. From a liquidity perspective, we believe that all seven companies have adequate resources to pursue their post-COVID business plans, which all contemplate higher profits compared to those of the past 12 months, two of the companies are still rated green due to strong equity support and meaningful momentum in 2021, after a more difficult year in 2020. UniTek has rated yellow based on some performance volatility through COVID, but has shown solid momentum in 2021. Our orange and red names with material leverage drifts are all still facing challenges relating to the upheaval in certain segments of the economy. However, of the four, three have positive business momentum, which gives us optimism regarding longer-term recovery. The chart on Page 19 tracks the company's overall economic performance since its IPO. At the top of the page, we show that our net investment income has always cumulatively covered our regular quarterly dividend. On the lower half of the page, we focus on below the line items where we show that since inception highlighted in the blue box and NMFC has experienced approximately $20 million of net realized losses. And in gray, we show that NMFC has total net unrealized portfolio markdowns of $18 million. Combined these two numbers represent $38 million of cumulative net realized and unrealized losses. This bottom line number represents a $47 million improvement compared to last quarter driven by the positive change in our portfolio marks that we discussed in detail earlier in the presentation. At $38 million, our net realized and unrealized losses are lower than before COVID. And at the lowest level that we have experienced since the end of 2017. As we look forward, we remain confident in our core credit portfolio, continue to see strengths in our well-performing REIT subsidiary and have very good momentum in our equity positions. Page 20 show that stock chart detailing NMFC’s equity returns since IPO, while the performance of our stock was impacted by fears around the pandemic. Over the course of the last year, we have seen material improvement in our share price, as investors have become more comfortable with the trajectory of the U.S. economy and gain confidence in the stability, attractive yield and upside of our portfolio. Since our IPO, over 10 years ago, NMFC has a compounded annual return of 10.5%, which represents a very high return for a fixed income strategy. To that end NMFC’s performance has materially exceeded that of the high yield index, as well as an index of BDC peers that have been public, at least as long as we have. Page 21 provides a final look at NMFC’s cumulative returns compared to the individual returns of peers. As you can see, NMFC has been the second best performer amongst the peer group that we attract since the IPO. We continue to build on this total return performance with our $0.30 per share dividend, which based on the current stock price represents an annualized dividend yield of approximately 9%. Turning to our investment activity tracker on Page 22, this quarter, our total originations were $102 million offset by $95 million of loan repayments yielding $7 million of net originations. This balanced activity is reflective of our business, continuing to operate well within the range of our new leveraged guidance. Page 23 shows the strength of our new deal activity since the end of the quarter, reflecting the active market that I mentioned in my opening comments. So far in the quarter, we have committed to new investments of $229 million consisting mostly of high quality private financings offset by $151 million of repayments yielding net originations of $78 million. Given the active deal environment, we do have a long list of companies on our repayment watch list, which we believe could be exiting our portfolio throughout the next quarter. These loan repayments represent a material source of cash to fund both our commitments and forward pipeline of new deals. Turning to Page 24. As shown on the left side of the page, our origination mix by asset type in Q1 was heavily oriented towards senior assets, including first lien loans and new investments supporting the expansion of our SLP loan programs. Overall, the senior oriented assets represented 76% of our total new deal flow in the quarter. Repayments consisted of 46% second lien assets and 30% first-lien assets. Additionally, we show repayments in our net lease portfolio, which occurred as a result of applying modest asset level leverage to certain real estate properties that were purchased with a 100% equity earlier in the year. The resulting portfolio mix shown on the right side of the page remains heavily weighted towards the senior and secured assets. On Page 25, we show the average yield of NMFC’s portfolio with stable from Q1 to Q2 at approximately 8.8%. For the quarter, we were able to originate a group of assets with a weighted average yield of 9.5%, while actually improving our asset mix towards more senior oriented assets. While this environment is competitive, the available spreads in the marketplace remain support of our about NII targets. On Page 26, we have detailed breakouts of NMFC's industry exposure. The center pie chart shows overall industry exposure while the surrounding pie charts gives more insight into the very significant diversity within our healthcare, software and services portfolio. As you can see, we have successfully avoided nearly all of the most trouble sectors while maintaining high exposure to the most defensive COVID resistance sectors within the U.S. economy. Finally, as illustrated on Page 27, we have a diversified portfolio with our largest single name investment at 5% of fair value and the top 15 investments accounting for 39% of fair value. It is worth noting that while Edmentum was our largest position at 5% of the portfolio at quarter end, after the partial exit of our equity position, Edmentum now represents approximately 3.4% of our portfolio. With that, I'll now turn it over to our CFO, Shiraz Kajee to discuss the financial statements and key financial metrics. Shiraz?