Steve Taylor
Analyst · Lake Street Capital. Please state your question
Thank you, Alicia and Erica and good morning. Welcome to Natural Gas Services Group’s fourth quarter 2018 earnings review. This morning, we reported fourth quarter 2018 results and we are pleased with our operational performance in the fourth quarter of the year driven by strong sequential rental revenue growth of 7% in the quarter. While our growth included continued progress in our high horsepower category, majority of the rental revenue growth in the quarter was a result of solid performance from our core mid horsepower fleet. Sales revenue declined by about $1 million sequentially, primarily the result of our decision to reallocate production plant resources to higher margin rental fabrication, thereby reducing opportunities for sales revenue. However, our sales backlog at the end of the fourth quarter was at its highest level since the third quarter of 2017. We did have a non-recurring expense this quarter of a little over $0.01 per common share related to potential strategic growth initiatives, but our margins were generally higher in the quarter, which sets the stage for solid performance for the company in the coming year. I will provide details when we review our financial results. So, looking at total revenue, NGS reported total revenue of $16.2 million for the fourth quarter of 2018, a 3% decrease compared to the same quarter of 2017. The decrease was primarily driven by decrease of sales, the magnitude of which is largely by an increase from rental revenue. From a rental perspective, we had 102 more units running in the fourth quarter 2018 from the same period of 2017. Total revenue decreased slightly by 1% when compared to the third quarter of 2018 due to the timing of sales revenue from compressor sales. However, the decrease was partially offset by 7% sequential increase in rental revenue for the fourth quarter of 2018. Total adjusted gross margin for the 3 months ended December 31, 2018 increased at $8.2 million from $7.9 million for the same period ended December 31, 2017. Adjusted gross margin, which just not include depreciation, as a percentage of revenue for the 3 months ended December 31, 2018 was 51%, an increase from 47% for the comparable period of 2017. Sequentially, adjusted gross margin increased from $7.8 million in the previous quarter of 2018. Adjusted gross margin as a percentage of revenue increased to 51% for the 3 months ended December 31, 2018 compared to 48% in the previous quarter. The increase in the adjusted gross margin as a percentage of revenue can be attributed to higher gross margin in our rental business and the slight mix shift towards higher margin rentals this quarter. Selling, general and administrative expenses were $2.4 million, remained relatively flat for the year-over-year and sequential quarters, goes down 10% in the full year comparative periods. As mentioned we did have a non-recurring expense in the fourth quarter of over $160,000 or over $0.01 per share due to potential growth initiatives. Operating income was $106,000 in the fourth quarter compared to breakeven in the third quarter and an operating income of approximately $220,000 in the fourth quarter of 2017. Our operating income while positive is fluctuating more than usual in the comparative periods due to normally lower total revenues caused by lower sales revenues, again due to the rental unit revenue displacement. Higher depreciation expenses due to larger horsepower units being placed into service as they are fabricated and variability in SG&A expenses. We continued to experience some anomaly between our deployment of higher horsepower and lower corresponding revenues and income. This is almost totally due to the timing differences between deployment of the equipment and the receipt of forward rental revenue and associated income. The variation being caused by scheduling, commissioning and startup activities that take place after the units are build. To demonstrate this, almost 80% of our growth in higher horsepower rental revenue in 2018 was consumed by increased depreciation. Additionally, due to varied commissioning schedules only 8% of forward rental deployed higher horsepower fleet is being collected right now. These are timing delays and not permanent delays and a natural phenomenon of moving into a new market until such high capital costs and longer startup cycles. The good news here is that we are beginning to place more higher horsepower equipment every quarter which should have a positive effect on the aforementioned variability in revenue and income gains. Looking at net income, due to the non-cash adjustment for income tax expense related to executive compensation, we reported a net loss of $280,000 for the three months ended December 31, 2018 compared to net income of $18.7 million for the same period in 2017. Excluding the tax adjustment expense, net income for the period was $351,000. Excluding the $18.4 million tax benefit from the 2017 tax act in the fourth quarter last year, our adjusted net income for the three months ended December 31, 2017, was flat at $352,000. Sequentially, we adjusted net income of $351,000 in the fourth quarter of 2018 compared to net income of $236,000 in the third quarter of 2018. For the fourth quarter of 2018, the company posted a loss per diluted share of $0.02 compared to the $1.42 in 2017. Excluding the non-cash income tax adjustment in the fourth quarter, earnings would have been $0.02 per diluted share. Excluding the fourth quarter 2017 tax benefit, year-over-year quarterly earnings were flat. Sequentially, diluted earnings per share decreased $0.04. However, excluding the income tax adjustment expense earnings per diluted share increased $0.01. Earnings before interest taxes, depreciation and amortization or EBITDA for the three months ended December 31, 2018, was $5.8 million, a slight increase from $5.6 million for the same period in 2017 and $5.7 million for the third quarter of 2018. EBITDA margins have roughly averaged about 35% of revenue in all comparative periods. Total sales revenue which includes compressors, flares and aftermarket activities can be somewhat unpredictable that can cause considerable swings for the period. The uncertainty of this somewhat unpredictable nature of sales revenues can depend on the market and customer preference which often times changes period-to-period. On a year-over-year basis, NGS sales revenue decreased by $2 million to $2.9 million for the fourth quarter of 2018. The revenue drop was primarily due to a decrease in part sales when compared to the large parts order in the fourth quarter 2017, but we also saw compressor and flare sales off in that quarter too. When comparing to the previous quarter, total sales revenue fell by $1 primarily due to a shift in compressor sales revenues due to the allocation of the large part of our fabrication floor space to contracted rental fabrication. Compressor sales revenues of $1.5 million for the fourth quarter 2018 were down slightly year-over-year from $2.1 million. The sequential quarter’s sales decreased from $2.9 million in the third quarter of this year to $1.5 million this current quarter with about $1 million of that sales decline due to the aforementioned fabrication space reallocation. Fourth quarter 2018 total sales gross margin as a percent of revenue was 20% compared to 22% in the third quarter of 2018 and 21% a year ago. There can be quite a bit of margin variation period to period in our sales business due to scheduling and bidding, but significantly gross margins for the year average 23% compared to 19% for the same time period in 2017. Our sales backlog as of December 31, 2018 was approximately $14 million. This compares to sales backlogs of approximately $8 million in Q1, $4 million in Q2 and $13 million in Q3 of 2018. This is the highest backlog we have had since the third quarter of 2017. We continue to be pleased with our rental results, with rental revenue of $12.8 million for the fourth quarter of 2018 and increased sequentially year-over-year and for the full year 2018 compared to 2017. Additionally, rental revenue in the fourth quarter of 2018 was the highest since the fourth quarter of 2016. The full year 2018 versus 2017 rental revenue increased 4%. Year-over-year, quarterly rentals increased 12% and with sequential quarterly rental revenues increasing 7%, we have seen an acceleration in recent rental revenue growth. We continue to expand our large horsepower presence and receipt of additional order in January, which represents approximately $17 million in CapEx. This order, in addition to the large order I mentioned on the last call, will keep our fabrication shops full through the first quarter of 2020. Last call I mentioned that we are going to build 12 large horsepower speculative units in 2019. All of those have now been contracted in advance for their build. We do however plan to build more spec units towards the end of this year and into 2020. As of December 30, 2018, a full 18% of our utilized horse power is classified as large horsepower. This is a significant shift in our fleet makeup and demonstrates I think the strategic direction we chose a couple of years ago was a correct one. To keep up with what we take will be continued growth in large horsepower market we have secured additional fabrication space. Compared to the third quarter 2018, our average rental rates on a per unit basis increased 3% are essentially flat on an average per horsepower basis. Rental gross margins this quarter were 57%, an increase from third quarter rental gross margin of 55%, but marginally down from last year’s quarter of 58%. Fleet size at the end of December totaled 2,572 compressors in addition of 6 units or almost 5,000 horsepower in the fourth quarter. Over the past 12 months, we have added 31 new fleet units that totaled 29,500 horsepower, with 99% of that being in our large horsepower category. This represents an increase of 8% in total fleet horsepower, while rented horsepower has increased 25%. Our utilization as measured by horsepower climbed from 55% last quarter to 58% this quarter, while unit-based utilization grew from 52% to 53% this quarter. We saw an increase in rental units utilized at quarter end of 8% year-over-year and 3% sequentially. While our horsepower running in the field increased 25% year-over-year and 6% sequentially. We start 2018 with a rental compression CapEx estimate of $20 million to $25 million and in last quarter raised that to $30 million and there is rivalry in the year end. Of that, $30 million, approximately 95% has been contracted. Based on the additional higher horsepower business that we have a direct line of sight of, we estimate our 2019 rental compression CapEx to be in the range of $37.5 million to $40 million. Of this, almost 99% is already contracted. Moving to the balance sheet, our total bank debt is $417,000 as of December 31, 2018 and our cash balance remains strong at just over $53 million. This amount is down about $16 million since beginning of 2018 with a vast majority of the cash being invested in our new higher horsepower rental compression equipment and our new corporate office. Positive net cash flow from operating activities was $23.4 million for 2018 compared to $17.5 million for 2017, a 34% increase in cash flow. Overall, we are pleased with our fourth quarter and 2018 results especially given the volatile market environment in which we operate. We continued to have one of the strongest balance sheets in the industry which provides a significant competitive advantage as we evaluate both intrinsic and extrinsic growth opportunities. As we have said before, we will be patient and disciplined in evaluating opportunities, but we will not be afraid to make meaningful commitments for the right opportunities. We continue to believe we have the right tools and flexibility in place to take advantage of compelling opportunities. We continue our conservative focus on managing capital which has also served us well. Since 2010 we have self funded over $230 million in capital equipment, nearly 95% of which is additions to our rental compression fleet. Moreover, approximately 95% of the capital we are currently spending is for equipment backed by long-term contracts at above market rates with solid counterparties. However we are certain the volatility in commodity markets will continue. We are also confident that 2019 is looking to be the solid year for Natural Gas Services Group. Forecast exists at completions will continue to grow in key resource plays, which will require additional compressional horsepower. Our existing contracts for new compression including continued growth in our higher horsepower offerings support our optimistic growth outlook for the coming year. All-in-all, we are pleased with our performance in 2018 and enthusiastic about our prospects in the coming months especially given our strong start to the year. Erica, that’s the end of my prepared remarks, so please open the lines for any questions.