Stephen Taylor
Analyst · Lake Street Capital. Please state your questions
Thank you, Alicia and Erica, and good morning. Welcome to Natural Gas Services Group’s fourth quarter 2017 and full-year earnings review. We are pleased with our full-year 2017 results and are encouraged that our fourth quarter results provide an indication of recovery in our business. For the first time since the first quarter of 2015, the beginning of one of the worst cyclical downturn in our generation we saw a quarterly increase in rental revenue. Our sales revenue for compressors and aftermarket partner services were also strong throughout the year. Additionally, pricing has shown some recent strength something we are certainly please to see. Our growing contracted rental demand we have the largest backlog of compression fabrication working over four years. As we have previously announced we entered the larger horsepower arena now two years ago and recently accelerated our penetration into that market. Our activity in this segment is going well and we look for it and the rest of our business to grow in 2018. As we review the financials I’ll note that this fourth quarter had a couple of moving pieces in it. Primarily the reduction in the federal income tax rate in Q4 and the attended very large increase net income and some minor inventory adjustments due to lower of cost to market in obsolescence reviews. Considering all these factors are part of our earnings per share this quarter was $1.42. However, without the effects of the tax decrease and the inventory adjustments our adjusted earnings would have been $0.05 per share. Now with all that said, let's get to the details. Starting with total revenue and look at the year-over-year comparative quarters. Our total revenues were essentially flat running to $16.7 million in both the fourth quarter 2016 and 2017. Rental revenues were up approximately $1.1 million this quarter compared to the same quarter last year, our total sales revenue was up a little over $1 million. For the sequential quarters of the third quarter 2017 compared to the fourth quarter total revenues were up about 5% or nearly $750,000 to $16.7 million in the fourth quarter 2017 from $15.9 million in the third quarter 2017. Rental revenues were up by a little over $120,000 this quarter in total sales increased over 15% or $650,000 compared to the third quarter 2017. This is the first quarterly increase in rental revenues we have seen since the first quarter of 2015. On a full-year basis for 2017 total revenues decreased 5.5% to $68 million; we saw a significant shift in our mix between higher margin rental revenues and medium margin sales revenue. In 2016, our mix was 80% rentals and 20% sales and shifted in 2017 it was 70-30 mix. As I refer to gross margin on this call I am describing a non-GAAP adjusted gross margin that does not include depreciation. Looking at our gross margin comparing the fourth quarter 2016 to the current quarter, total gross margin declined from $9.1 million to $7.9 million. This decrease was due to a combination of lower overall revenues, software margins in sales and rental this quarter and a mix shift toward sales. I’ll get into the specifics on these as we talk about the individual product launch. Sequentially, total gross margin decreased a little over $385,000 to $7.9 million, which was 47% of total revenue. On a full-year basis, 2017s gross margin was $33 million, a decrease from 2016s gross margin of $39.8 million. Selling, general and administrative expenses for the year-over-year quarters increased a little over a $100,000 which was down 1.5% of the sequential quarter. SG&A increased 12% in the full-year period, primarily due to non-cash stock option acceleration charge taken in the first quarter 2017. Operating income and comparative year-over-year quarters were down approximately $750,000 get slightly over $200,000, primarily due to the rental sales and mix shift we experience in a high level of relatively fixed depreciation expense. Sequentially, operating income fell from $600,000 to a little over $200,000, primarily resulting from the decline in rental margin and $273,000 inventory charge related to lower cost of market and obsolescence adjustments in the fourth quarter. Without this adjustment, operating income would have more than doubled to almost $500,000. On a full-year basis, operating income was $1.6 million in 2017 compared $8.4 million in 2016. The current quarter and full-years net income was dramatically impacted by the recent tax changes and the impact from the lower statutory tax rate. As such I will discuss net income with or without the legislative impact. Including the tax impact, in a comparative year-over-year fourth quarters, net income increased to $18.7 million this year compared to $1.2 million in the fourth quarter 2016. Without the new lower tax rate, net income decreased about $350,000 this year compared to $1.2 million in the same quarter in 2016. Sequentially, with the tax law changes, net income rose from a little over $500,000 to $18.7 million. That’s the tax law changes, net income declined $170,000. The full-year comparisons for 2017 show an increase of $13 million from 2016, including the tax effect and a decrease of $5 million without the impact of the tax law changes. You can see that NGS recorded very large net income gain of $18.35 million because of recent tax law changes, which resulted in a reduction of the statutory rate of 34% to 21%. This large gain was by the way, the non-cash item, extends from the new lower 21% tax rate being applied to our deferred tax assets and liabilities, thereby reducing the liability on our balance sheet. Going forward, we expect, although a lot of variables can change this that our total effective tax rate including state taxes will be in the 15% to 18% range, compared to our historical rate of 28% to 30%. However, we would likely not see a significant increase in the available cash in a lower rate because we have historically been able to defer for a large amount of our federal cash taxes due to our higher levels of investments over the years. As I refer to EBITDA in the following discussion, it is the non-GAAP measure of adjusted EBITDA, which is the same as EBITDA we have used in prior years, but without the impact from the non-cash equivalent retirements we experienced in 2016. On a year-over-year quarterly basis, EBITDA declined from $7 million in the fourth quarter 2016 to $5.6 million in the fourth quarter 2017, largely due to the mix shift between rentals and sales and lower rental gross margins. Sequentially, EBITDA decreased $5.9 million to $5.6 million. However, taking into account the previously mentioned inventory adjustments, sequential EBITDA was essentially flat. Comparing the full-year of 2016 and 2017, EBITDA decreased from almost $31 million to about $23 million. EBITDA margin this year average 34% of revenue. On a fully diluted basis earnings per share this quarter was $1.42 per common share with the tax changes or $0.03 per common share without the tax impact. Our full-year EPS was $1.51 per common share including the tax changes and $0.11 without. Without the non-cash inventory adjustments and the 2000 tax adjustment, EPS was $0.05 per common share this quarter. Total sales revenues which include compressors, flares, and after-market activities for the year-over-year quarter increased $1 million or 27% to $4.9 million in the fourth quarter 2017. The largest sales increase we saw were in flare sales and compressors parts. Our margins decreased from 29% to 21%, but this is primarily due to an excessively high margin sale we had in the fourth quarter 2016. For the sequential quarters, total sales revenues increased over $650,000 or 15% to $4.9 million in the fourth quarter 2017, again led by flares and one-time sale of gas engines that contributed to higher part sales. Margins decreased from 24% to 21% due to the inventory adjustment were recorded in the fourth quarter 2017. Without that adjustment the margin would have increased to 26%. Total sales revenues for the comparative annual periods were up 48% or $6.6 million to $20.2 million. Compressor sales were half of that increase with flares and part sales splitting the balance of the incremental revenue growth. Total sales gross margin increased from 18% last year to 19% this year. Compressor sales for the fourth quarter were $2.1 million and an 11% margin, compared to $2.6 million in the fourth quarter 2016 at a 25% margin. This slight variance in margin was the multiplying effect of a highly profitable compressor sale last year and the inventory adjustments in each quarter. Considering these changes, the margin would have essentially been the same between periods. Revenue last quarter was $2.7 million at a 17% margin. Although the gross margins have been somewhat variable, we continue to deliver industry leading margins. Our sales softened a bit in the fourth quarter. We ended 2017 with $13.4 million in compressor sales, a third higher than the $10 million recorded in 2016. Additionally, our compressor sales gross margins increased from 12% last year to 13% for the full-year. Without the inventory adjustment, our compressor sales gross margin would have been close to 15% for 2017. Our compressor sales backlog remain strong at an approximately $7 million as of December 31, 2017. This compares to $6 million at the end of December 31, 2016. Rental revenue decreased from $12.5 million in the fourth quarter 2016 to $11.4 million for this current quarter. The gross margins coming in at 58% for the current quarter. Sequentially, rental revenues slightly increased from $11.3 million to $11.4 million. Again, the first sequential increase in three years. Gross margin decreased to 58% this current quarter compared to 62% in the prior quarter. This decline was primarily due to higher lubricating oil costs and increased makeready and overhaul expenses. Most likely we have seen in past periods of increasing activity, we will likely experience higher makeready expenses going forward as we prepare rental equipment to go out on new rental contracts. Without these higher expenses, rental gross margin would have been 60%. Looking at rental revenue on a full-year basis, revenues were down from $56.7 million to $46 million with our gross margin averaging 61% throughout 2017. From a pricing perspective, our average fleet rental rate this quarter was down 6% from the year ago quarter, but up almost 1% from the prior quarter. In the past, I have also reported what I called our spot rental pricing which was the average new set pricing in the most recent quarter. Now however, with more of the larger horsepower equivalent being set, those average rental prices are being skewed so they are no longer meaningful, and I will discontinue reporting them. Fleet size at the end of 2017 was 2,546 compressors or approximately 370,000 horsepower. This is a net addition of 16 new rental units for the year all of which were either larger horsepower units or VRUs. We are putting our money where our mouth is, and dedicating a vast majority of our capital spending which reflects our strategic commitment to these relatively new compressor classes. Our fleet utilization this quarter was 49.5% to 50%, depending on whether you look at unit or horsepower utilization. Even though we saw an increase in rental revenue this quarter, the utilization is not that reflected that because of the interplay between the larger horsepower units going out which continue more rental revenue per unit in the smaller horsepower lower revenue equivalent that might come back. We should see some upward changes in the utilization as we get more of a balance between the different horsepower classes going out and coming back. In 2017, we spent a total of $8.3 million in capital expenses with approximately $6.6 million of that on the new fleet compression. 85% of the spending was in the last half of the year for larger horsepower rental units. This is an increase from 2016 expenditures, which were a total of $4.3 million was $3.6 million dedicated to compression. For 2018, we project capital spending of between $20 million to $25 million for rental fleet compression, with 85% to 90% of that being for large horsepower. We have also committed to constructing a headquarters building for NGS here in Midland. Line has been purchased and constructions starting with anticipated occupancy in the first quarter 2019. Total cost of the building would be a little over $13 million including the land, but we will occupy only 1/3 of it. We expanded the square footage so that other tenants in the building will essentially pay our way. Our current lease is going to expire mid-year. As we start to canvass the market, we were surprised to discover that the cost to rent office space in Midland is now higher on average in Dallas and Houston. This will enable NGS to break in on this investment after 1 or 2 typical lease terms here in addition, being cash flow and earnings accretive. Going to the balance sheet, as of December 31, 2017, our total debt remains at less than $500,000, with cash in the bank of approximately $69 million. Our cash flow from operations was $17.5 million in 2016, or 26% of revenue. This compares to 2016 when cash flow from operations was $31.8 million, with the majority of the year-to-year difference being changes in working capital account with the biggest range being the inventory increase to build a larger horsepower equipment. As I've discussed on prior calls, NGS is present expanding our large horsepower rental offerings. We have historically participated in a small to medium horsepower market, it has served us well and we will continue to compete vigorously in net but the request of customers a couple of years ago, we entered the 400 horsepower and 600 horsepower market. Although this was at the depth of the downturn, there were indications that larger horsepower equivalent could be a good market and we started to move into it. Recently, we had the opportunity to move in even larger 1,300 horsepower market, again at the request of some customers, and this is what we are presently building. This is an opportunistic situation but we were able to take advantage of it due to our cash availability and our engineering and fabrication expertise. It's also the right time to enter this market based on its fundamentals. The large horsepower market is experiencing very good utilization; pricing strength is growing and increasing scarcity of this equipment makes the market attractive. We also think there's a fairly along runway of activity to keep the demand for this equipment is relatively high level. The size of the higher horsepower market is approximately 75% larger when measured by horsepower with a number of our present customers using the size equipment. We should also open up new geographical areas and customer segments for us to penetrate. We also see the operating profile as being advantageous. A built-in density of horsepower, higher revenue per location, a tendency towards longer average contract terms and potentially higher incremental margins. It will take some time, but most of our capital build program is directed to this market, and you'll see our fleet makeup change over time towards higher horsepower. [Indiscernible] add that we are not abandoning in our core fleet, and we have seen our smaller equipment start to move. And we will use that cash flow to help move funding to move into higher horsepower. Supporting this initiative is our continued strong operation ability and balance sheet. We continue to have no debt, almost $70 million in the bank and we are only a handful of companies in the oilfield services space that's never had negative quarterly earnings. From a macro perspective, activity levels are always subject to oil and gas price dynamics. And counter intuitively, our growth is geared more to oil price and natural gas now. The near-term process and average looks strong and I'm cautiously optimistic about the longer term. U.S. is now the second largest producer of crude oil in the world, and we'll deliver approximately 80% of the incremental oil supply required globally over the next few years. This of course, means that the Permian basin will lead that effort. With all that, we think 2018 will be a growing year for the Company, and I look forward to reporting on our progress in the future. That's the end of my prepared remarks, and I'll turn the call back to Erica for questions that anyone might have.