Trey Karlovich
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets
Great. Thanks, Mike. A lot to be excited about with NGL right now and in the future. Let's talk about the quarter. We had a very strong quarter financially, and we have made significant progress in simplifying our business. The highlights of the quarter from a financial perspective includes the sustained strong performance of our Crude Logistics business, driven by volumes on Grand Mesa Pipeline. A record quarter from our Liquids segment, which benefited from lower commodity prices for propane and butane, contributing to very strong demand for products, continued growth of our Water Solutions volumes, along with the full integration of Mesquite and now Hillstone assets into our Delaware Basin system and a further reduction in our refined products segment, where we completed the wind down of our mid-continent business and streamlining of our remaining businesses. All of these items contributed to adjusted EBITDA of over $200 million for the quarter, well above industry analysts' expectations and a raise of our annual guidance. We have met our financial target for distribution coverage, as Mike mentioned, with a current quarter coverage of 2.5x and an LTM coverage ratio about 1.25x. We expect to remain above our target coverage for the foreseeable future. Our LTM pro forma adjusted EBITDA at 12/31/19 is approximately $660 million as calculated for our debt covenant compliance purposes. This includes our historical adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations and pro forma additions for a full year of the acquisitions, primarily, Mesquite and Hillstone, along with credit for organic capital expenditures, subject to certain limitations. We funded the Hillstone acquisition during the quarter through the issuance of an additional $200 million of Class B preferred units and the remaining purchase price borrowed under our revolving credit facility. We also closed a small joint venture for the Limestone Ranch in Lea County, New Mexico, during the quarter and utilized approximately $55 million to complete that transaction. The continued wind down of our refined products business, along with earnings in excess of distributions for the period, contributed to a significant reduction in borrowings under the credit facility. Total debt outstanding at 12/31/19 totaled just under $3.1 billion, resulting in our total leverage at 5x as calculated under our credit facility, which is expected to stay around this level for the next couple of quarters, while we continue to eliminate working capital, integrate Hillstone and grow produced Water volumes. Our targeted leverage metric, including working capital borrowings, is 4x or lower, and we are focused on achieving that goal. We have proven that we will take the steps necessary to meet our financial targets, and we expect nothing different in this case. We have already reduced total leverage by approximately 2x over the past two years, including reducing future working capital needs by at least $400 million. We've improved our distribution coverage by over 40% over the same period and also grown our business by over 40% on an EBITDA basis during that same period. We did all of this while also improving the cash flow profile and predictability of earnings and simplifying our business while focusing on our core strengths. Now, we will cover some of the details driving our operating results for the third quarter and year-to-date fiscal 2020. Adjusted EBITDA, excluding discontinued operations, totaled approximately $200 million for the quarter and almost $428 million year-to-date. Discontinued operations includes the historical results of the TPSL and mid-continent businesses, which have been liquidated, along with the results of our glass blending business, which we are in the process of liquidating as well. We would like to note that the current quarter discontinued operations also includes TPSL's $17 million share of the biofuel tax credits, which NGL retained in the sale of that business and will receive the benefit. The remaining $14 million benefit from these credits is recognized in the continuing operations of the Refined Products segment. As a reminder, while I cover each segment, adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure that we reconcile to our earnings -- in our earnings release, investor presentations and quarterly reports to operating income, which is a GAAP measure for each segment. Looking at the Crude Oil division. The Crude segment continues to show steady performance and generate approximately $56 million of adjusted EBITDA this quarter and $162 million year-to-date. This is in line with the upper half of our original 2020 adjusted EBITDA guidance range. So we are raising and tightening our range to $215 million to $220 million for this segment for the full year. Grand Mesa volumes averaged 134,000 barrels per day this quarter and has averaged about 130,000 barrels per day this year, remaining in line with our expectations. We expect volumes to remain at these levels through the upcoming quarter as well. Our other Crude Logistics' assets have also performed in line with expectations with our marine fleet operating at full utilization, continued strong demand for our cushing storage and no significant variances in basin differentials driving minimal volatility. This business continues to see very little earnings volatility, despite the changes in crude prices as there remains very little direct commodity exposure in this segment. Jumping to Water. Water adjusted EBITDA was $62 million for the quarter and has totaled $160 million year-to-date. The current quarter includes two months of Hillstone, which closed on October 31. Total disposal barrels were almost 1.6 million barrels per day during the quarter. This is adjusted to account for only 61 days of the Hillstone asset. The increase in volumes over the prior quarter was primarily driven by strong growth behind the Mesquite assets, which averaged almost 475,000 barrels per day during the quarter, and Hillstone, which contributed approximately 270,000 barrels per day for the quarter, again, adjusted for 61 days. The growth in volumes in the Delaware Basin were partially offset by declines, mostly in the Eagle Ford, as rig counts have declined, but also in the DJ Basin, which we believe was mostly weather and timing related during the quarter. Approximately 67% of disposal volumes were delivered via pipeline during the quarter, and we exited the quarter with over 70% of volumes on pipe. We are expecting pipe volumes to continue to increase on our existing systems as our volume growth is focused on the Delaware Basin gathering system. That system continues to show strong growth as the producers behind our system execute on the drilling and development programs. We are expecting water disposal volumes to continue to increase in the basin and expect a significant increase in the middle of next year when Exxon brings the Poker Lake project online as well as other dedicated producers expected volume increases. As a reminder, the Poker Lake dedication includes approximately 70,000 acres in Southern New Mexico under a 20-year, fee-based contract with Exxon. The infrastructure for this dedication is almost complete, requiring minimal incremental capital to support the disposal volumes. Exxon is in the very early innings of their Delaware Basin development plan, and we are not expecting significant contributions from this dedication until mid-2020. We received an average disposal fee of $0.62 per barrel for the quarter, which is consistent with our disposal fee year-to-date. Our skim oil volumes totaled approximately 3,400 barrels per day during the quarter, and realized skim oil revenues, after hedges, totaled approximately $56.90 per barrel, with an average skim oil cut of 21 basis points. We are well hedged for calendar 2020, with approximately 3,700 barrels per day hedged at an average price just over $56 per barrel. We also have hedges in place through calendar 2021 at approximately $55 per barrel. Fresh water sales increased this quarter as well. As a reminder, we have fresh water agreements in place, supporting a significant amount of our New Mexico permitted volumes for calendar 2020. Our Karns City solid facility in the Eagle Ford came back online during the quarter and drove the slight increase in solid volumes. The work performed on this facility as well as certain well workovers, pump replacements and upgrades drove our maintenance capital expenditures so far this year. Operating expenses were $0.42 per barrel for the quarter adjusted for the partial quarter for Hillstone compared to $0.40 per barrel year-to-date. The increase is mostly related to the integration of systems acquired and not yet realizing certain synergies. OpEx remains higher than budget as we work to automate facilities, increase utilization, integrate acquisitions and streamline operations. We're also continuing to move facilities from high-cost diesel generators as we connect them to the electric power grid. We continue to focus on reducing disposal operating expense across the system with a target of $0.30 per barrel. Based on results to date, along with the updated timing from producers on expected volume increases, we currently expect to be below the low end of our previous adjusted EBITDA guidance range for fiscal '20. Per our most recent conversations with our producer customers and the activity we see in the field, the Water volumes are coming. We estimate that Water volumes are approximately three months behind our original expectations. Based on this delay, we are adjusting our FY '20 adjusted EBITDA guidance range to $240 million to $250 million. Moving to Liquids. Adjusted EBITDA for Liquids segment totaled a record $69 million this quarter and has totaled $100 million year-to-date, already exceeding the high end of our annual guidance, which we also raised last quarter. We are raising our adjusted EBITDA guidance again for this segment to $115 million to $120 million for fiscal '20. The quarterly results are not just timing related. We continue to benefit from our recently acquired terminals, including our Chesapeake export facility, which has loaded 29 ships since April as demand has exceeded our initial expectations. The Chesapeake team has done a great job managing this increase in volumes, while also upgrading the facility to support future opportunities. Butane sales remained strong through the quarter, and we benefited from low commodity prices and building our inventory position coming into the period. Butane demand diminishes in our fiscal fourth quarter, but the overall year has been very robust. Wholesale propane started the winter season with strong demand from late season crop drying and a cold November and margins benefited early in the quarter. We've seen the forecast warm up for the remainder of the winter in certain operating areas. We are well positioned from an inventory standpoint to manage a potentially warmer season from a margin perspective. However, volumes could be impacted. Potentially lower propane volume was factored into our updated guidance for this segment. Finally, Refined Products. Our remaining Refined Products business will primarily consist of our rack marketing business, which carries minimal inventory and markets barrels through third-party terminals across the United States and our Renewables business, which is centered around biofuels marketing. Those divisions are reflected in our continuing operations, while the remaining divisions have been removed and are now carried in our discontinued opportunities. The segment adjusted EBITDA for continuing operations was $24 million for the quarter and has been $34 million year-to-date, above the high end of our adjusted EBITDA guidance range as a result of the biofuel tax credits. We realized the benefit for the 2018 and 2019 biofuel tax credits during the quarter with a portion associated with our continuing business, totaling approximately $14 million, which is reflected in this segment. We do not expect the biofuel market to generate the type of volatility we have seen in recent years as the credit is now in place through 2022. Our continuing businesses have been more stable, predictable and carry much less inventory, and therefore, working capital requirements compared to businesses we have exited. Based on our restructuring of this business and the results year-to-date, including the benefit from the tax credits, we are also increasing our adjusted EBITDA guidance range for this segment to $35 million to $40 million. Our growth capital spending is decreasing as we complete our largest infrastructure projects, including the Western Express and Lea County Express pipelines and the interconnections of the Mesquite and Hillstone systems into our legacy system. Maintenance capital expenditures have been relatively consistent the past few quarters and are expected to remain at this level. We expect to be able to fund our growth capital expenditures in fiscal '21 with our excess cash flow from operations. In summary, this was a record quarter for NGL, and we are proud of our accomplishments. We have simplified our business strategy, yet maintained a prudent diversity of cash flows. We have focused on our core areas of expertise and grown our business significantly. We are focused on reducing our leverage, while continuing to execute for our stakeholders. That concludes our prepared remarks. We will now open the line for questions.