Thomas Kaplan
Analyst · B. Riley Securities
But before that, let me get to the best part of the questioner's remarks. First of all, I find it very gratifying, we all do that you're able to make this comment about our integrity and your family's investment in NOVAGOLD. Needless to say, as Electrum is the largest shareholder of the company. And as the largest shareholder of Electrum is my family. I take it very much to heart that I have a responsibility to my family, but all the other shareholders and in your case, your own family, to do the best possible thing that we can. And I would say that the thing that Greg and I are most proud of since having come into the story together in 2011, we are celebrating 15 years of joyful monogamy. And one of the things that we are most proud of is that any promises that we made, we kept. To the extent that we disappointed, I think 100% of our shareholders understood it was for reasons beyond our control. And we had all the tailwinds that I think and John Paulson thinks will take us to $100 per share. But we had one headwind. And when you think that a year ago, our stock was at $2 and change, and reached 14, and I have no doubt that we will vastly surpass that and multiply past $14. You understand that we took it to heart as much as any shareholder that we were being held back. And once that was relieved approximately a year ago, we knew that we would be on our way to $10 to $15 to $30, and we think well beyond that for all of the reasons that have become so clear to everyone that whether people realize it or not, and I'm not saying we're going back to a gold standard, because we'll never see that kind of discipline ever again in human economics. But we are seeing the remonetization of gold. We are seeing that central banks have shown through their purchases that gold is the asset that they hold because it doesn't represent someone else's liability. When central banks hold gold, when central banks buy gold, they're making a statement. To the extent that some central banks need to lay off some gold as Turkey is said to have, that proves, proves to all of the rest of them that gold is the asset that you want to own because gold traditionally in a crisis gets hit because if it's in a bull market, it may be one of the only things in which people have a profit. So the ability to not just buy but the ability to sell something, if you need to take some chips off the table because I don't know, you have missiles that are flying into your territory and need to be taken out with Patriots. That's a good thing, not to be concerned about. And this is one of the things that I enjoy most in the time that I've been bullish on gold and publicly so since gold was at $500 in 2007. And when I said my first equilibrium for gold would be between $3,000 and $5,000, people thought I was nuts. Similarly, when I said that silver will go to triple digits, people thought I was nuts, but that's my stock in trade. I don't know how to build a mine. Greg Lang knows how to build the mine. Richard Williams knows how to build the mine. They know how to do it on budget and on schedule. I can't figure out how to make chrome work over Safari. But I don't need to. You surround yourself with the very best people. My job is to protect my family's wealth. And by extension, all of the families that depend on me, including our management team and including our shareholders. So with that, let me go back to a chart that I spoke to on our last conference call because I wanted to give people a heads up as to what might happen. It wasn't required, but it might happen. In fact, what I would call the 1987 correction started 3 days later. Now I'm not going to say that I was predicting it. I was going to say that it should be expected. And for that reason, whereas people who predict a downdraft are seen as Cassandra's, I wasn't actually being a Cassandra in this case. And I have been a Cassandra in different cases, like on the Middle East. But in this instance, I was presenting people with my belief that we could have in 1987. 1987 is not so much remembered for how you felt when you thought the world was caving in, in October of '87. It was -- it is and should be remembered as the blip that created the best buying opportunity of the bull market in stocks. The best because we've already seen the stock market go to 2,750. And when it pulled back to 1,650, you have to fade these numbers a bit, I'm sorry. That was actually the cream of the opportunity to be able to build the position if you didn't have one or to add on weakness in a bull market that has all the structural factors going forward. And if anything, we can see that the world is a very different place. I hope that it's going to turn out to be a much safer place. But without getting into politics, the reality is that we're in unchartered waters economically and the debt burden will never be repaid. So just for all these reasons, if you didn't own gold on the way up, taking advantage of a pullback was what I was trying to express, while some people were a little bit upset that I said that there could be such a pullback, the reality is we're looking at it. So look at this chart again because this is the exact same chart as I issued. And I'll just repeat the sentence that I repeated 3 months ago. As a curiosity, I want you to go back and look back at the mid-1980s. The blip, which barely is noticeable is the crash of '87 that a lot of us thought was going to be the harbinger of The Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse. You can't even see it as the Dow march from 1,000 to 45,000 and up to 50-some-odd thousand plus leap in value over the decades. A few days later, '87 began. And then it was compounded by the need for people to be able to have some liquidity due to the war with Iran. So once again then let me reiterate, in the words of Ray Dalio, one of our greatest contemporary applied historians, Gold is now the second largest reserve currency behind the U.S. dollar. To understand why you need to look at the history of fiat currencies like the dollar and hard currencies like gold. The way I see it, we're currently facing a classic currency devaluation similar to what we saw in the 70s or 80s. In both of those cases, fiat currencies around the world all went down together and all went down in relationship to hard currencies like gold. If events today follow a similar pattern that makes hard currencies an attractive asset to hold. For all of you who've known me or listened to me over the years when I was asked which currencies to own, I said, if you have to own a paper currency on the dollar. But the real currency is gold. And now I don't really know what paper currencies are going to thrive the most. But I will repeat something which I've said now over the last couple of years, regardless of your view on currencies against gold, the dollar is actually collapsing. So every once in a while, you'll have a pullback, but the long-term trend on gold, to my mind, is going to be very similar and indeed price-wise, it actually looks at, but that's coincidence. Very similar to what we saw in the Dow Jones. And so for those, if you haven't taken advantage of the pullback, my strong recommendation is that you do. And I can only say that what my family does, we are long-term holders in our flagship gold asset Donlin and will absolutely remain so because to our mind, if we sell it, we can't go into something at least as good, and we really think impossible to go into anything better. So thank you for being a long-term shareholder. Thank you for your support. I can tell you it means a lot to us. And the last conference call for those who managed to stay through it. One of the callers actually said that he and his wife had an argument over NOVAGOLD during the tough times, but that the revival of NOVAGOLD actually saved his marriage. And we regarded that as probably not only the funniest, but the most heartwarming piece of news we've had all year. So with that, I thank you and all of the shareholders who have kept the faith. All I can do is promise you that I, the entire management team is devoted to being able to unlock the fullest value of what we consider to be the greatest gold development story in the world and what will be the largest single gold mine in the best jurisdiction on the planet. Thank you.