Ignacio Rosado
Analyst · Morgan Stanley. You can open your microphone
Thank you, Rodrigo, and good morning everyone. Thank you for joining us today. As we review our first quarter 2025 results. Let's move to Slide 3 where we highlight our results for the quarter. Before discussing our quarterly performance, I want to briefly acknowledge the current macro environment. The past few months have been marked by significant volatility with concerns over global economic slowdown, geopolitical tensions, inflation and supply chain disruptions. While the environment remains challenging, we continue to see strong medium and long-term fundamentals for zinc, copper and other key metals supported by demand drivers like infrastructure development and industrial revitalization. Supply constraints and historically low zinc treatment charges persist, but we believe new demand opportunities will continue to emerge. Nexa is well positioned to navigate this environment focused on improving margins through disciplined operational performance and cost control. In the first quarter of 2025, we faced some operational challenges at certain sites, which led to production volumes slightly below our initial estimates. In the mine segment this was mainly due to a typically heavy rainfall in the Pasco region, impacting El Porvenir and Atacocha's performance, as well as Aripuanã where precipitation levels were approximately 30% above historical averages. Although our smelters also operated slightly below our budget, we remain in line with our 2025 guidance, which anticipates a year-over-year reduction of approx 15,000 tons to reflect a more volatile market environment and lower TCs. Despite these challenges, we deliver an adjusted EBITDA of $125 million with margins remaining within historical ranges. Our consolidated net revenues total $627 million, even with lower smelting sales volumes. [Audio Gap] times at the end of the first quarter, temporarily impacted by seasonal working capital intensity, which is higher early in the year. We expect to normalize these variations over the coming quarters. Turning to Aripuanã, the heavy rains affected the performance of our tailings filters. I would like to confirm that acquisition of the fourth filter has been completed. It is currently under construction. We are confident that this filter will pave the way to utilization capacity increase and better support the operation during the rainy season. In line with our growth strategy and commitment to extend the life of our assets, Phase 1 of the Cerro Pasco Integration project focused on the tailings pumping and piping system is progressing well. I will share more details later in this presentation. Now, let's move to Slide 4 to discuss our operating performance. Turning to the operating performance of our Mining segment, zinc production in the first quarter of 2025 reached 67,000 tons, down 23% year-over-year and 8% quarter-over-quarter. The year-over-year comparison was also impacted by the cessation of operations at Morro Agudo. In addition, lower output at El Porvenir, Atacocha, Aripuanã, mainly due to heavy rainfall contributed to the decrease, while Vazante experienced restricted access to higher grade areas during this period. Looking at cash cost, our mining cash cost significantly dropped to $0.11 per pound compared to $0.26 per pound in the same period last year. This reduction was mainly driven by higher byproduct contributions, lower treatment charges and foreign exchange gains partially offset by lower zinc volumes. Compared to the previous quarter, the mining cash cost increased by $0.12 per pound due to lower zinc volumes, which was partially offset by higher byproduct prices and lower treatment charges. Our cost per run of mine in the quarter was $48 per ton, up 7% year-over-year and 8% quarter-over-quarter, mainly due to lower treated ore volumes and the inclusion of Aripuanã in the consolidated run of mine from the quarter. Excluding Aripuanã run of mine costs remained flat in both comparisons. Now let's move to Slide 5. Turning to our Smelting segment, the total sales in the first quarter reached 130,000 tons decreased by 6% year-over-year and 14% quarter-over-quarter. This reduction was primarily driven by lower production at Tres Marias and Juiz de Fora. The year-over-year decline was partially offset by better operational performance at Cajamarquilla. Our 2025 guidance has already anticipated a reduction in smelter volume to accommodate a more volatile market environment and overall lower treatment charges. Looking at costs, consolidated smelting cash cost in the quarter was $1.17 per pound, up from $0.98 per pound in the same period last year. This was mainly due to higher raw material costs driven by increased zinc prices and lower TCs. These impacts were partially offset by higher byproduct contribution and positive foreign exchange variations. Compared to the previous quarter, cash costs decreased by 7%, mainly reflecting lower zinc prices and reduced operational costs. However, these effects were partially offset by lower volumes and continued pressures from low TCs. Our conversion cost for the first quarter was $0.33 per pound compared to the $0.30 per pound in the same period last year. This is slightly increase was mainly due to higher variable costs and maintenance expenses, partially offset by foreign exchange gains. Compared to the previous quarter, conversion costs rose by 11% driven by lower volumes and higher variable costs. Let's move to Slide 6 where we will begin discussing Aripuanã. In the first quarter, Aripuanã's production volume declined due to intense rainfall in the region, with precipitation volumes 30% higher than in previous years. This led to a temporary reduction in production to stabilize operations and prevent overloading the dry stacking process. Treated ore volumes also decrease quarter-over-quarter as plant downtime increase due to preventive and corrective [ph] stoppages carried out during this period. Concentrate quality remains stable and within commercial specifications, while metallurgical recoveries improve performing at target levels. Regarding costs reported for the first time since the start of the operations, they stayed within the 2025 guidance range. We anticipate a reduction in unitary costs in the upcoming quarters as we enhance plant capacity and increase sales volume, thereby improving operational efficiency and cost effectiveness. As previously announced, Aripuanã mine life increased to 15 years compared to 13 years in 2023. This reflects our successful efforts to replace and expand mineral reserves year-over-year, reinforcing the asset's strengths and sustainability. This year's exploration strategy for Aripuanã includes drilling programs to validate the continuity of mineralization and enhance geological confidence at the Massaranduba target located in the southeast area of the mine. As disclosed last quarter, we approved the acquisition of a fourth tailing new filter. This investment will improve operational efficiency by enhancing our filtering capacity and supporting full production. We expect the filter to be delivered and installed in 2025, with commissioning planned for the first quarter of 2026. We expect to deliver higher adjusted EBITDA and operating cash flow in 2025, supported by our ongoing efforts to reduce costs and improve margins. Let's move to Slide 7 to discuss the latest advancements in the Cerro Pasco Integration project. On this slide, I would like to highlight our progress with the Cerro Pasco Integration project. During the quarter we advance on Phase 1, which comprises the tailings pumping and piping system. Engineering activities for the tailings infrastructure at El Porvenir and Atacocha proceeded on schedule and major equipment manufacturing is underway with construction scheduled to commence during the second quarter of this year. Preparatory work for the Phase 2, including technical assessments of the Picasso Shaft and the underground integration, is also progressing as planned. As mentioned before, Phase 1 involves the construction of a tailings treatment plant at El Porvenir along with a 6 kilometer tailings piping connecting the El Porvenir processing plant to the Atacocha tailings storage facilities. The primary goal is to significantly extend the operational capacity of the tailings and storage infrastructure, ensuring long-term sustainability at the Cerro Pasco Complex. This phase also lays the groundwork for subsequent stages of the project, which includes integrating the underground mines and upgrading the ore shaft at El Porvenir. Now, let's move to Slide 8 where we will discuss some of the key value drivers of the project. A key value driver is access to high quality mineral resources in the underground section of Atacocha, unlocking its economic potential through a highly attractive net smelter return. Tapping into these resources will boost mineral resources and reserves, improve average head rates, and provide greater operational flexibility for the asset. Moreover, our exploration focus remains on the integration target, a region with exceptional geological potential and a highly promising upside for the project. Ultimately, the combination of these levers adds substantial value and paves the way for long-term success at the Cerro Pasco Complex. We remain confident in the project's progress and most importantly, in its potential value addition. I will turn the call over to José Carlos del Valle, our CFO, who will walk us through our financial results. José, please go ahead.
José Carlos del Valle: Thank you, Ignacio. Good morning, everyone. I will now continue with Slide 9. Starting with the chart on the upper left. Total consolidated net revenues for the first quarter increased by 8% year-over-year. This growth was mainly driven by higher metal prices, except for lead. These gains were partially offset by lower smelting sales volumes. However, compared to the fourth quarter of 2024, net revenues declined by 15%, mainly due to lower smelting sales volumes and decreased zinc and lead prices. Moving on to profitability. Our consolidated adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter reached $125 million, representing a 3% decrease year-over-year. This decline was primarily driven by lower smelting sales volumes, partially offset by higher zinc prices increased byproduct contribution and foreign exchange gains. Compared to the fourth quarter of 2024, adjusted EBITDA decreased by 36% mainly due to lower sales volumes in both the Smelting and the Mining segments, higher costs and expenses and lower TCs paid by third party concentrate suppliers. Finally, our consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin reached 20% in the period, two percentage points lower than in the same period a year ago. Let's move on to Slide 10. Looking at the top left of the slide. In the first quarter of 2025, we invested $50 million in CapEx, with nearly all of this amount directed toward sustaining activities including mine development, maintenance and tailing storage facilities. Additionally, investments related to Phase 1 of the Cerro Pasco Integration project total $1 million in line with the projects execution plan. As previously disclosed in our annual guidance, the total investment expected for this project in 2025 is $44 million. Accordingly, our 2025 CapEx guidance for the year remains unchanged at $347 million, with disbursements expected to accelerate in the upcoming quarters. With respect to mineral exploration and project evaluation, we invested a total of $16 million. Of this amount, $12 million was specifically allocated to mineral exploration and mine development to support ongoing exploration activities. We expect investments in these areas to also accelerate in the upcoming quarters. Reason why we are reaffirming our 2025 guidance for exploration and project evaluation at $88 million. Now let's move on to the next slide to discuss our cash flow generation for the quarter. Starting from the left with our $125 million of adjusted EBITDA net of non-operational items. Nexa generated a healthy operating cash flow before working capital variations of $158 million for the quarter. From this amount, we paid $76 million in interest and taxes and invested $51 million in CapEx across our operations. Additionally, loans and investments had a positive net impact of $4 million. We also saw a positive impact of $4 million related to foreign exchange variations primarily due to the appreciation of the Brazilian real against the U.S. dollar. Finally, we experienced a negative working capital impact of $265 million. This is in line with the typical payment cycle observed in the first quarter of each year, reflecting our established payment terms and annual tax and labor obligations in the jurisdictions where we operate. As in previous years, we reaffirm our focus on implementing initiatives to optimize Nexa's working capital cycle such as enhanced receivable [ph] and payments management. We expect this working capital position to gradually reverse in the following quarters. Combining all these factors, our total free cash flow in the first quarter of 2025 was negative at $226 million. Now, let's move to Slide 12. As you can see, our liquidity position remains healthy, allowing us to maintain a solid balance sheet and an improved and extended debt maturity profile. At the end of the first quarter of 2025, our available liquidity stood at approximately $721 million, including our undrawn $320 million sustainability linked revolving credit facility. Looking at our debt profile, the average maturity at the end of the first quarter of 2025 was 5.3 years with an average cost of debt of 6.3%. Importantly, as of March 31, our total cash position was sufficient to cover all obligations maturing over the next three years. In terms of leverage, our net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio increased from 1.7 times at the end of 2024 to 2.1x at the end of the first quarter of 2025. This increase was primarily due to the seasonal decrease of $226 million in our cash balance quarter-over-quarter and to a lesser extent to a slightly lower adjusted EBITDA over the last 12 months. As previously disclosed and in line with our proactive approach to liability management, in April, Nexa successfully extended its debt maturity profile from 5.3 years to approximately eight years through a new bond issuance and through tender offers for the existing nodes due in 2027 and 2028. The new $500 million 12-year bond carries a 6.6% coupon and allowed us to repurchase around $105 million and $289 million of the existing 2027 and 2028 notes respectively. Additionally, as announced on April 23, the remaining 2027 notes of approximately $110 million are planned to be fully redeemed via a make whole call option to be executed on May 23rd. These transactions mark a significant milestone for the company extending Nexa's debt maturity profile, enhancing financial flexibility, reinforcing our solid credit metrics and our investors confidence, and reducing near-term refinancing risk. We continue to evaluate opportunities to further optimize our capital structure, diversify our funding sources and strengthen our liquidity. As I have mentioned before, maintaining a debt maturity profile that is aligned with the long life of our assets while securing the most competitive financing costs remain a top priority. In line with this, we consistently explore strategic initiatives to extend maturities, reduce our average cost of debt and assess financing alternatives, all with the goal of enhancing our financial position and long-term resilience. Now moving to Slide 13. Regarding zinc market fundamentals, in the first quarter the LME zinc price averaged $2,838 per ton, reflecting a 16% increase year-over-year and a 7% decrease quarter-over-quarter. The quarter was marked by volatility driven by geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainties, including concerns over a potential global economic slowdown and speculation about the impact of tariffs. Despite this, zinc market fundamentals remain resilient and continue to support prices. On the supply side, concentrate inventory levels remain limited reflecting the ongoing tight market and even considering some restocking after the Chinese New Year, they still remain constrained, reinforcing expectations of lower refined metal production ahead. Spot TCs in China started to timidly recover from the negative territory seen last year, turning slightly positive in January and reaching $79 per ton in March, a sign of market improvement although the environment remains tight. Meanwhile, benchmarking negotiations resulted in a sharply lower TC of $80 per ton, down 52% from 2024. This level is critical for smelter margins and may lead to further constraints in the refined metal supply. Looking ahead, we maintain a positive mid-to-long term outlook with continued support for zinc prices. Moving now to Slide 14. During the first quarter the LME copper price averaged $9,340 per ton, up 11% year-over-year and 2% quarter-over-quarter. The U.S. investigation on copper imports triggered accelerated buying and boosted premiums. Copper market fundamentals continue to be strong and prices are expected to remain supportive. As for silver, the LME price averaged $32 per ounce, up 37% year-over-year and 2% quarter-over-quarter. Short term fundamentals for silver remain positive, largely driven by concerns around future availability and supported by its role as a safe haven asset. Over the mid-to-long term, the outlook is expected to remain bullish as demand continues to outpace supply expectations. Looking ahead, metal prices in general are likely to remain volatile amid ongoing trade tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty. For base metals in particular, strong fundamentals are expected to continue to sustain prices in 2025, driven by low inventories, challenged smelter or production and their role in their global energy transition. I will now hand the presentation back to Ignacio for his final remarks.