Ignacio Rosado
Analyst · Scotiabank
Thank you, Rodrigo. And good morning to everyone. Thanks for joining us today to go over our third quarter results of 2024. Let's move to Slide number 3 where we will begin our presentation with the main highlights of the quarter. We are pleased with our third quarter and year-to-date results. We have delivered consistent operational performance and maintained financial discipline. Our commitment to cash flow generation initiatives has been a key driver supported by positive momentum in metal prices, especially zinc, which reinforces industry resilience and strengthen market fundamentals. With nine months behind us, we are on track to meet our full year outlook. Zinc metal and oxide metals rose by 3% quarter-over-quarter supported by improved demand in our home markets. In mining production, zinc was relatively flat compared to last quarter while lead and silver increased by 2%, each driven by higher treated ore volumes and grades. Copper production decreased by 4% due to lower grade areas in the period. Our financial results were strong. Total consolidated net revenues for the third quarter reached $709 million, up by 9% year-over-year largely due to higher average LME prices. Adjusted EBITDA was $183 million, 111% higher than the $87 million reported in the same quarter last year with adjusted EBITDA margin of around 26% expanding by 12 basis points. This performance was mainly driven by higher byproduct contribution, higher zinc prices and lower mineral exploration and project evaluation expenses. Our net leverage ratio improved to 2.2 times, down from 2.7 times in the second quarter of this year and 3.1 times in the third quarter of last year. Regarding Aripuanã, I would like to provide further details later, but here are some key points. Aripuanã generated positive operating cash flow and marked its third consecutive quarter of EBITDA growth. Treated ore volumes rose significantly due to improved plant performance and stability. Notably, we reduced plant downtime and corrective maintenance boosting operational efficiency. However, zinc production experienced a minor dip in the third quarter of this year compared to the second quarter, primarily due to lower grades and increases in talc levels in the flotation circuit. On the Cerro Pasco integration project, I am pleased to share that the tailings pumping system, a key step in Phase 1, is currently undergoing the internal approval process. I will provide more details in the upcoming slides. Additionally, as previously disclosed, we announced the sale of the Pukaqaqa greenfield project and a non-operational Peruvian subsidiary, Minera Pampa de Cobre, the owner of the Chapi mine. These sales align with our portfolio optimization strategy, prioritizing efficient capital allocation to high return assets. Now let's move to Slide number 4 to discuss our operating performance. Regarding the operating performance of the segment, zinc production reached 83,000 tons in the third quarter of this year, down by 5% year-over-year. This decline was primarily due to the absence of contributions from Morro Agudo along with lower zinc average grades, particularly at Vazante and El Porvenir. Compared to the second quarter of this year, zinc production remained relatively stable supported by higher volumes from Vazante, El Porvenir and Atacocha. This was partially offset by the absence of contributions from Morro Agudo and a slightly lower volumes from Cerro Lindo and Aripuanã. In terms of cash costs in the third quarter of this year, the cash cost decreased to minus $0.01 per pound compared to $0.34 per pound in the third quarter of last year. This decrease was mainly attributed to lower treatment charges and higher byproduct contribution in the period. Compared to the second quarter of this year, mining cash cost also decreased by $0.04 per pound, driven by lower operating costs and slightly higher zinc volumes. The cash cost for the first nine months of the year has performed within our updated guidance range for the year. It is worth mentioning that last week we issued a press release informing the market of the reduction in our cash cost guidance for 2024, which reflects a 64% decrease from the previous guidance issued last February. This adjustment is supported by higher LME metal prices, year-to-date performance increased by products contribution and a slightly lower TCs. The cost per run of mine for the quarter was $46 per ton, up 6% year-over-year due to lower treated volumes resulting from the cessation of mining operations at Morro Agudo. This was partially offset by lower operating costs related to third party services, personnel and energy. The cost per run of mine in the first nine months of the year performed within our unchanged guidance range for the year. Now moving to Slide number 5. Regarding the operating performance of the smelting segment, metal sales totaled 153,000 tons in the third quarter, down 1% from the third quarter of last year. Compared to the second quarter of this year, metal sales increased by 3%, driven by higher production volumes at Cajamarquilla and Três Marias, along with constructive demand in our domestic market. Consolidated smelting cash cost in the quarter was $1.16 per pound, up from $1.01 per pound in the third quarter of last year. This increase is mainly attributed to higher raw material costs resulting from increased zinc prices and lower TCs, as well as higher operating costs, which was partially offset by product contribution. When compared to the second quarter of this year, cash costs decreased by 3%, mainly explained by lower TCs, which was partially offset by the impact of lower zinc prices on our concentrate purchases and increased byproduct contribution. Our conversion cost was $0.32 per pound compared to the $0.29 per pound in the third quarter of last year, mainly due to higher operational costs related to maintenance expenses. This was partially offset by the positive impact of foreign exchange variations in the period. Compared to the second quarter of this year, conversion cost increased by 6%, driven by higher variable and one-off energy costs in Cajamarquilla, which were partially offset by a decrease in maintenance expenses. I want to highlight that both cash costs and conversion costs in the first nine months of 2024 performed within our unchanged guidance range for the year. Now moving to Slide number 6 where we will start talking about Aripuanã. The third quarter of '24 was another important quarter for Aripuanã. We achieved positive adjusted EBITDA for the third consecutive quarter and recorded our first full quarter of positive operating cash flow. This improved financial performance was driven by our ongoing efforts to enhance operational efficiency alongside a strong zinc price environment. In terms of production, as I mentioned in the first slide, we noted a significant improvement in treated ore volumes by 12% in September compared to the second quarter of this year and a remarkable 27% increase compared to the first quarter of this year. However, the performance of our tailings filters is currently limiting our capacity to exceed 90%. Throughout the year, we have been actively working to enhance tailings filter performance. However, due to operational limitations of the existing filters, we have decided to acquire a fourth filter, which is expected to be delivered in 2025. This addition will significantly boost our filtering performance and support further production increase. We also made meaningful progress in reducing plant downtime, achieving our lowest levels to date with 33% decrease compared to the second quarter of this year and 40% compared to the first quarter of this year. Moreover, we maintain a stable concentrate quality within commercial specifications. It is important to note that during this quarter, average recoveries for zinc and lead were impacted by lower average grades and increased talc levels in the flotation circuits. In terms of metal production, we experienced flat zinc output and increasing copper production and a decrease in lead. Looking ahead, we anticipate further increases in treated ore and throughput rates, higher metal recoveries and cost reductions, all aimed at improving our results. Now moving to Slide number 7, where we will talk about the advancements of the Cerro Pasco integration project. In this slide, I would like to highlight our progress with the Cerro Pasco integration project. As discussed in our previous calls, this project has the potential to unlock significant value for Nexa. In the third quarter of this year, we made important strides across various work fronts, including the start of the approval process for the tailings pumping system. The execution involves the construction of a tailings treatment plant in El Porvenir and a 6 kilometer tailings pipeline connecting the El Porvenir plant to the tailings storage facilities in Atacocha. In addition to the tailings pumping system Phase 1 includes investments to raise the El Porvenir tailings dam, which is already underway as part of El Porvenir's regular sustaining CapEx. It also considers future investments to elevate Atacocha's tailings facility. The whole phase is to significantly extend the operational capacity of the tailings storage facilities at the Pasco complex, prolonging the operations. In the next slide, I will provide further details on the tailings pumping system. Now moving to Slide number 8. As said before, the key benefit of this investment is a substantial increase in tailings storage capacity at the Pasco complex, allowing us to operate for over 10 years. The estimated execution period for this project is two years from 2025 to 2026 with an expected operational start in the first half of 2027. The total investment for this initiative is estimated to be between $85 million $90 million distributed over two years of execution. Key components of the system include a thickener area, water clarification and reagent system in El Porvenir, as well as the tailings, pumping and transportation system, along with the necessary electrical infrastructure. We are confident in the potential this investment brings to our operations, the subsequent phases of the project and the sustainability of the Pasco complex. I will turn the call over to José Carlos del Valle, our CFO, who will present our financial results. Jose, please go ahead.
José Carlos del Valle: Thank you, Ignacio. Good morning to everyone. I will continue on Slide 9. As you can see from the chart in the upper left, total consolidated net revenues for the third quarter increased by 9% year-over-year. This increase was primarily driven by higher LME metal prices with exception of lead, although it was partially offset by slightly lower smelting sales volume and a lower net premium. When compared to the second quarter of 2024, net revenues decreased by 4%, driven by lower LME base metal prices and lower byproduct contribution, partially offset by increased smelting sales volume and higher net premium. For the first nine months of 2024, net revenues totaled $2.03 billion, up by 4% from the same period a year ago. In terms of profitability, consolidated adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter of 2024 reached $183 million, up from $87 million a year ago. This improvement was mainly attributed to higher byproduct contribution, increased zinc prices and higher margins in Aripuanã. Compared to the second quarter of 2024, adjusted EBITDA decreased by 11%, driven by lower base metal prices and lower byproduct contribution, partially offset by an increase in smelting sales volume. For the first nine months of 2024, adjusted EBITDA totaled $517 million, a remarkable 75% increase compared to the same period last year. This growth was primarily driven by higher byproduct contribution, increased zinc prices and higher margins in Aripuanã. Additionally, lower costs and reduced mineral exploration and project evaluation expenses contributed to this increase. Finally, it is worth noting that our consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 26% in the third quarter of 2024, representing a 12 basis point improvement compared to the third quarter of 2023, although decreased by 2 basis points compared to the second quarter of 2024. Now let's move to the next Slide number 10. On the top left of the slide, we can see that in the first nine months of 2024, we invested $191 million in CapEx with nearly all of this amount directed towards sustaining activities, including mining development and tailing storage facilities. In line with our ongoing capital allocation strategy, we have reduced our capital expenditures guidance by $11 million updating the figure from $311 million to $300 million. With respect to mineral exploration and project evaluation, we invested a total of $45 million in the first nine months of 2024 with a $28 million allocated specifically to mineral exploration and mine development to support our exploration activities. Following the typical pattern we observe each year, we expect our investments to increase in the fourth quarter of 2024. Therefore, we are maintaining our 2024 guidance for exploration and project evaluation at $72 million. Now let's move on to the next slide where I will discuss our cash flow generation for the quarter. Starting with the $183 million of adjusted EBITDA net of non-operational items, we generated a strong cash flow from operations before working capital variations totaling $198 million in the quarter. We then paid $38 million related to interest and taxes and invested $55 million in the total CapEx in our operation. Additionally, loans and investments had a negative impact of $6 million, primarily due to premiums paid on our bond repurchase program along with payments for loans and financing and lease liabilities. These effects were partially offset by the cash dividend received from Enercan and net sales of financial investments. We also paid $7 million in contractual dividends to non-controlling interests. Furthermore, we had a positive impact of $2 million from foreign exchange variations on our cash and cash equivalents, driven by the appreciation of the Brazilian real against the US dollar during the period. Finally, we had a negative effect of $43 million related to working capital. Despite a negative year-to-date position, we remain focused on implementing initiatives, such as enhanced residual management to reverse this position in the next quarter. Combining all these effects, our free cash flow generation in the third quarter of 2024 amounted to $51 million. Now moving to Slide number 12. In this slide, you can see that our liquidity has improved and remains healthy and we continue to maintain a sound balance sheet with an improved and extended debt maturity profile. At the end of third quarter of 2024, our available liquidity was approximately $845 million, which includes our undrawn sustainability linked revolving credit facility of $320 million. Regarding our overall debt profile, the average debt maturity in the third quarter of 2024 was 5.7 years, resulting in an average cost of debt of 6.36%. Importantly, as of September 30th, our total cash position is sufficient to cover all obligations maturing over the next 3.9 years. In terms of leverage, our net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio decreased from 2.7 times to 2.2 times quarter-over-quarter. This decline is primarily attributed to the increase in adjusted EBITDA over the last 12 months and a reduction in net debt. We will remain attentive to market conditions, continuously evaluating options to optimize our financial structure, diversify our funding sources and enhance our liquidity position. Maintaining a maturity profile aligned with a long life of our assets and achieve the most competitive cost is our utmost priority. The extension of our debt profile is part of our ongoing optimization efforts and reflects our commitment to proven financial management and confidence in the long term prospects of our business. Moving now to Slide 13. Regarding the same market fundamentals, it is now noteworthy that in the third quarter of 2024, the LME zinc price averaged $2,779 per ton, up by 14% from the third quarter of 2023 and down 2% from the second quarter of 2024. As anticipated, the fundamental for zinc remains solid and constructive, providing positive support for prices with recent levels exceeding $3,000 per ton. These fundamentals are underpinned by a trend that began this year when low zinc prices in the second half of 2023 prompted some players to cut zinc production. This decision adversely affected global concentrate supply, resulting in decreased treatment charges. As illustrated in the lower part of the slide, TCs have been sharply declining since September 2023. Spot TCs in China have been trading at negative levels since mid-June to July this year, which has begun to adversely impact smelters' margins by increasing raw material costs. Consequently, in August, a group of Chinese smelters, part of the China zinc smelter purchase team, announced potential cuts to metal production due to tighter supplies of zinc concentrate and low TCs. Given this scenario, we expect metal production in 2024 to be lower than in 2023. In our view, these market conditions are unlikely to dissipate quickly continuing to provide positive support for prices. Moving now to Slide 14. In the third quarter of 2024, copper price averaged $9,210 per ton, up by 10% from the third quarter of 2023 and down 6% from the second quarter of 2024. In the short term, copper prices are expected to remain positively supported by China's economic stimulus, which could provide additional support to copper demand along with a still tight concentrate market. For silver, the price averaged $29 per ounce in the third quarter of 2024, up by 25% from the third quarter of 2023 and 2% from the second quarter of 2024. The short term fundamentals for silver are also positive, driven by the energy transition and concerns about future silver availability as most silver is produced as a byproduct of other metals and relies on new mine projects to coming online. Nexa is a significant silver producer with annual production estimated to be around 11 million to 13 million ounces according to our 2024 guidance. Looking ahead, copper and silver prices are expected to remain positively supported by US monetary policy, economic stimulus in China and efforts related to the energy transition. Now I will hand over the presentation back to Ignacio for his final remarks.