Ignacio Rosado
Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead with your question
Thank you, Roberta, and thanks to everyone for joining us this morning. Please let's move now to Slide 3, where we will begin our presentation. We had a very strong performance in our operations in this quarter. As anticipated, mining production increased from the first quarter of this year, mainly due to the resumption of the Vazante mine to full production. As previously disclosed, Vazante was affected by heavy rainfall. The smelting business also performance and total metal production was up 15% quarter-over-quarter as a result of the higher supply of zinc in concentrate from Vazante in Brazil and the improved operational performance of Cajamarquilla in Peru after the temporary decrease in roaster utilization in March. Our solid operational performance combined with our efforts to mitigate inflationary cost pressures and with a positive effect on prices, generated a record high adjusted EBITDA and a strong operating cash flow. We are happy to announce that we are on track to meet our production, sales and investment guidance for the year. Our cash cost guidance, however, has been revised, and I will explain this in more detail in the upcoming slides. Aripuana ramp-up is progressing in accordance with our plan, and the first batch of copper in concentrate was delivered at the beginning of July. The exploration program in Aripuana also continued to progress, and we believe we will be able to increase its mineral resource at the end of the year. Our balance sheet continues to be strong with financial leverage decreasing to 1.3x from 1.5x in the previous quarter. Regarding ESG, we are close to finalizing our updated strategy, and we expect to disclose our new long-term goals during the coming months. Now moving to the next slide. In Slide 4, you can see that zinc production in the second quarter decreased 3% year-over-year because of lower average head grade and treated ore volume. However, compared to the first quarter of this year, zinc production of 79,000 tons increased by 19%, mainly driven by higher treated ore volume and higher zinc grade. Average grade was positively affected by the increase in production from Vazante and at Cerro Lindo, treated ore volume recovered as expected, although organic material in some of our ore bodies remains a challenge. Following higher treated ore volume copper, lead and silver production in the second quarter increased by 39%, 14% and 16% from the first quarter of this year. For the upcoming quarters, we expect zinc and lead production to be similar to the second quarter, while copper and silver should be slightly lower. However, we believe we are on track to achieve from the mid to the upper range of the production guidance for all metals. Moving now to the next slide. In Slide 5, run of mine mining cost in the second quarter was $43 per ton compared to $38 per ton in the second quarter of last year, reflecting inflationary pressures on costs and lower ore throughput. Compared to the first quarter of this year, run of mine mining cash costs decreased by 5% with improved volumes due to the Vazante resumption, returned to operational stability at Cerro Lindo and our cost control initiatives. Mining cash cost in the quarter decreased by 14% compared to the prior quarter, which was mainly explained by higher zinc volume and by-products credits and lower operating costs, which were partially offset by higher TCs and the Brazilian real appreciation against the U.S. dollar. Now moving to the smelting segment in Slide 6. In Slide 6, in the second quarter, metal sales totaled 152,000 tons, down 3% year-over-year, but up 13% quarter-over-quarter following higher production in Peru and in Brazil. In Brazil, smelter production increased quarter-over-quarter because of the improved zinc in concentrate supply from the Vazante mine, in addition to a better performance in the Tres Marias smelter after its roaster maintenance. In Peru, production increased because, as mentioned before, at the end of the first quarter, there was a temporary decrease in the roaster utilization in Cajamarquilla due to the maintenance activities. For the upcoming quarters, smelter production is expected to remain stable compared to the second quarter of this year. As all sites are operating at full capacity, sales are expected to follow higher production volume and our 2022 guidance remains unchanged. Our smelting cash cost in the second quarter increased by 35% compared to the same period of last year, mainly driven by higher zinc prices. Compared to the first quarter of this year, a smelting cash cost increased by 8%, and this factor was due to higher operating and maintenance costs, lower by product prices following the market trend and the Brazilian real appreciation. These factors were partially offset by higher volumes. Conversion costs in the second quarter was $0.29 per pound compared to the $0.25 per pound in the first quarter of this year. This increase is mainly driven by the increase in energy prices and other variable costs. Now moving to Slide 7. Growing concerns about the global recession have put downward pressures on commodities. And base metals had a significant decrease in prices. We also believe that inflationary cost pressures could persist in the second half of this year. And as a result, we have updated our cash cost guidance for both segments. Full year mining cash costs have increased to $0.28 per pound, given year-to-date performance and forecasts for lower by-product metal prices. Full year smelting cash costs have been revised to $1.37 per pound from $1.15 per pound, primarily driven by higher zinc prices, higher energy costs as well as higher fuel and consumable prices. Now moving to the next slide to our Aripuana project. As announced in early July, the ramp-up activities at Aripuana Mine have safely started, and we are happy to confirm that the first batch of copper in concentrate was delivered at the beginning of the month. The ramp-up is progressing as planned, and we are focused on a steadily increasing the plant throughput rate. The milling capacity utilization rate is expected to reach an average of 30% to 40% in the third quarter of this year and 70% to 80% by December of this year. Hence, commercial production is expected in the fourth quarter. At the end of June, there were approximately 670,000 tons of ore available in stockpiles, which is enough to cover six months of the estimated ramp-up period. Furthermore, the mine is already fully operational and underground mining activities are focused on developing and preparing new areas and increasing mineral reserves with our infill drilling campaigns. In the second quarter, we invested $27 million in Aripuana, totaling $54 million in the first half of this year, which include a negative effect of the Brazilian real appreciation against the U.S. dollar of $5 million. The total estimated CapEx for the project remains unchanged at $625 million. Now moving to the next slide, where I will give you an update on Aripuana's exploration program. In Aripuana, almost 16,000 meters of infill drilling were completed at Ambrex in the second quarter. No drilling activity was executed at Babacu as we decided to anticipate the infill drilling campaign at the Ambrex ore body to potentially increase our resources. The latest drill holes resulted indicated that the mineralization has been confirmed, we should support the conversion of inferred to indicated mineral resources. At a Babacu target, we have received excellent assay results, which confirm a high-grade mineralization zone as shown on the slide. For the third quarter, we expect to complete infill drilling at the Ambrex ore body and resume the exploratory program of the Babacu target. Now moving to the next slide to show our financial results. In Slide 10, I am pleased to report positive momentum for the second quarter of 2022, delivering a strong operating performance and sound financial results. Beginning with the chart on your upper left, total consolidated net revenues for the second quarter increased by 21% year-over-year, and this was mainly driven by higher LME prices. In the first half of this year, consolidated net revenues reached $1.6 billion versus $1.3 billion in the first half of last year, an increase of 20%. In the second quarter of this year, consolidated adjusted EBITDA increased by 23% year-over-year. This performance is mainly explained by higher metal prices, changes in market prices in respect of quotation period adjustments and higher by-product sales. These positive factors were partially offset by preoperational expenses of the Aripuana project, inflationary pressures on operating costs, higher exploration investments, an increase in workers' profit sharing participation. Compared to the first quarter, adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter increased by 37%, mainly driven by higher volumes. In the first half of this year, consolidated adjusted EBITDA reached $494 million versus $413 million in the same period of last year. In the next slide, I will discuss the financial performance by segments. In the mining segment, net revenue totaled $370 million in the second quarter, a 19% increase versus the second quarter of last year. This factor was mainly driven by higher average LME prices and the increase in by-products volume. Adjusted EBITDA for the mining segment of $145 million follow the upward trend and increased 3% year-over-year. Compared to the first quarter of this year, adjusted EBITDA increased 14%, mainly driven by higher volumes. Increases in net revenue and adjusted EBITDA during the first half of this year compared to the same period of last year were also driven by higher prices. In the smelting segment, net revenue in the second quarter totaled $683 million, an increase of 31% versus the second quarter of last year, also supported by higher LME prices, which offset the decrease in volumes. In the same period, adjusted EBITDA totaled $140 million, an increase of 52% that was explained by the positive net price effect of $58 million and higher by-products contribution, which offset the increase in operating costs, lower volumes and the Brazilian real appreciation. In the first half of this year, net revenue for the smelting segment totaled $1.2 billion compared to the $989 million in the first half of last year, while adjusted EBITDA totaled $223 million compared to $176 million. Now moving to the next slide to show our investments. In the second quarter, we invested $98 million in CapEx being $27 million directly associated with the Aripuana project. In the first half of this year, CapEx amounted to $180 million, where $54 million was related to Aripuana and the remaining mainly related to sustaining CapEx. The Brazilian real appreciation against the U.S. dollar had a negative impact of $8 million in the quarter and $13 million in the first six months of this year. We are happy to announce that our 2022 CapEx guidance remains unchanged at $385 million. With regard to mineral exploration and project evaluation, we invested a total of $24 million in the second quarter, being $13 million related to mineral exploration and mine development. In the first half of this year, we invested a total of $40 million related to these topics. As part of our long-term strategy, we are maintaining our efforts to replace and increase mineral reserves and resources, supporting our organic growth. Total plant exploration and project evaluation expenditures are expected to be $82 million in 2022. So guidance remains unchanged. Now moving to the next slide where I will discuss our cash flow generation in the quarter. In Slide 13, the cash flow provided by the operations was $241 million. We had $49 million from interest paid and taxes and $69 million invested in sustaining CapEx. Therefore, Nexa has generated $123 million of cash before expansion projects and working capital during the period. Our free cash flow from the second quarter was positive in $29 million. This free cash flow was also affected by $27 million invested in Aripuana, the investment in Tinka of $7 million included in loan and investments, dividend payments to noncontrolling shareholders of $9 million related to Pollarix, our company, which manages our energy assets, foreign exchange effects on cash and cash equivalents of $16 million, an increase in working capital of $23 million. Now moving to the next slide, where I will discuss our cash flow generation in the first half of the year. In the first half of the year, the cash flow provided by the operations was $465 million. We had $139 million from interest paid and taxes, $115 million invested in sustaining CapEx as well. Therefore, Nexa has generated $211 million of cash flow before expansion projects and working capital. Our free cash flow for the period was negative $139 million, also explained by, $54 million invested in Aripuana, $60 million explained by the early redemption of our 2023 notes in the first quarter of this year, dividends of $59 million, which included Pollarix and working capital changes of $179 million. This high amount of working capital has been highly impacted by a negative variation of $166 million in inventories in our smelting segment due to the higher lead times in logistics and also a negative variation of $63 million in trade payables, partially offset by a positive variation of $42 million in trade receivables. We expect to reverse most of the increases in inventories during the coming months. Now moving to Slide 15. In Slide 15, you can see that our liquidity remains strong, and we continue to report a healthy balance sheet with an extended debt profile. By the end of the second quarter, our current available liquidity was approximately $933 million, which includes our undrawn revolving credit facility of $300 million. As of June 30, the average maturity of our total debt was 5.1 years, with a 5% average debt costs. Our leverage measured by the net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio was 1.3x compared to -- with 1.5x at the end of the first quarter and 1.2x a year ago. Now moving to the next slide on ESG. I am now on Slide 17. Here, I will briefly give you an update on the progress we are making in our ESG program. First, I would like to highlight that we are enhancing our ESG strategy to reflect our commitment to long-term value creation and sustainable development. Since last year, our team has worked hard to develop a broad study base on different fronts, including climate change, natural capital related water use, social legacy, health, safety and well-being and people. Several strategic discussions were held and we are in the final process to define our main ESG long-term goals for 2030, which we expect to disclose in the coming months. Now turning to our last slide. I would like to close this presentation by briefly reinforcing our priorities for the rest of the year. As I mentioned earlier, Aripuana is in the ramp-up stage. Our efforts now are on the commercial production, while our exploration strategy focuses on increasing mineral resources and the extension of the life of the mine. We remain focused on efficiency and competed to improving our cash flow generation and productivity in all aspects of our business, in addition to continue to deliver on guidance. The expansion of the life of the mine of our operations continues to be an important goal to drive organic growth. With regard to our exploration project pipeline, we are reevaluating our project portfolio. And in parallel, we are very active in the market, assessing growth opportunities. Finally, as mentioned before, enhancing our ESG strategy is key to our business, so we will be communicating our main goals for 2030 in the coming months. Thank you all for attending this presentation. With that, I will be happy to take your questions.