Barry Sloane
Analyst · Ladenburg
Thank you very much, and welcome, everyone, to our second quarter 2020 financial results conference call. Joining me on today’s presentation is Chris Towers, our Executive Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer. Also, for those of you that would like to follow in on the conference call’s presentation, you can go to our website, newtekone.com, N-E-W-T-E-K-O-N-E.com, your business solutions company. You can go to the Investor Relations section and go to Presentations. You’ll be able to follow along on the PowerPoint. I’d like to point everyone’s attention to the forward-looking statement comment on Page number 1 and then move forward to Page number 2. Our second quarter 2020 financial highlights. Newtek reported at the market close yesterday record financial results across several key metrics for the three and six months ended June 30, 2020. This was a great quarter for us. We’re extremely proud of the way our company shifted due to the pandemic. We had to immediately change and focus our business model to accommodate the altered economic landscape. We basically ceased our forward movement on our pipeline of SBA 7(a) loans, which has obviously been our steady business for over 17 years, and positioned ourselves to participate in the SBA and Treasury and a federally sponsored PPP program. We obviously look at the shifting, and our performance is the mark of a company that is able to excel under adverse circumstances. As we go through this presentation, please note that we’ve got a great second half to go through in 2020. And we also encourage our shareholders to look at Newtek on a long-term basis. We look forward to giving a forecast for 2021 that will be a little bit more normalized than the lumpy forecast that we will – or the lumpy results that we’ll have in this calendar year 2020. We have already declared a dividend for the third quarter, which we’ll talk about. We believe we’ll have solid dividend distributions for the remainder of 2020. And we are releasing a forecast, which we had pulled back at the end of Q1 for adjusted NII in the range of $1.80 to $2.30. I know it’s a fairly wide range. We really want to be fair and honest to our shareholders, all stakeholders and the investment community. And that range is predicated on an additional PPP program and other things that are going to be occurring going forward. We’ll get into that as we get deeper into the presentation. But we feel comfortable with this range. There’s a variety of different probabilities here. I feel very comfortable on the lower end. It’s conceivable. We could actually take out the upper end, depending upon what gets legislated. And obviously, if you take a look at the success that we had in the PPP program economically for the second quarter, we’ll talk about the next program, the likelihood of it happening, where it stands, et cetera. Company is in real good shape from a long-term perspective, both with respect to income generation and quality of the portfolio, which we’ll go into. Moving to Slide number 3 to go through this fairly quickly. Our total investment income, 230% increase quarter-over-quarter this year versus last. Net investment income, a change of $1.42 to $0.06 loss. NII typically excludes capital gains. The income from PPP was considered regular income, therefore, hit the NII number, which is why we have a bit of an anomaly in NII and adjusted NII. Third bullet, adjusted NII, 140% increase, $1.37 per share, a record for three months ended June 30. Net asset value also increased to $15.66, a nice gain over the prior quarter. We’re very happy with our debt-to-equity ratio of 1.2. We aspire to keep that debt-to-equity ratio low even at the end of the third quarter. So we’ve got plenty of ability to lever the balance sheet in here. We could talk about our risk and why we think we are capable of holding higher levels of debt than some of my other competitors in the BDC space that have hidden leverage in their asset quality. Total investment portfolio increased by 13%. Looking at six months, 123% total investment income gain six months this year, six months last year. Net investment income, $1.42 versus a loss of $0.11. Adjusted NII, $1.58 versus $1.01. I should point out that we have declared a $0.58 dividend for the third quarter. So we feel pretty good about where we are with respect to paying up dividends and paying amount of income, which is our dividend policy. Moving to Slide number 5, Paycheck Protection Program. Most of our investors listening in are very familiar with the PPP program. We’ve been talking about it significantly, so I’m not going to get too deep into the weeds in explaining what it is. There’s information, obviously, in this PowerPoint and in previous press releases. I think it’s important to reference and remind the investment community that, in addition to earning fee income, the CARES Act also provided for the payment of principal and interest on our current portfolio of SBA loans. To repeat that, this is not a deferment. This is actual cash payment made by the SBA and Treasury directly to us, so our borrowers have been relieved of that duty. It’s almost like they got a capital infusion during this period of time, which is valuable, particularly given the difficult economic climate that we have. I think as we finish off on this Slide number 5, important to note, there’s currently bipartisan support in Congress for the extension of the PPP program. I think this is pretty much agreed to between the Democrats, the Republicans and President Trump. There’s been dialogue that they pretty much have an agreement in terms of what this will look like. Also important to note that there’s about $130 billion, I believe, in leftover money. So this doesn’t require a new appropriation, but they’re maybe going to top it off with an additional $16 million, which will be used for other SBA-type programs, which we can talk about. Also to note that in the original CARES Act, there was $17 billion put aside for payment of principal and interest. There’s still money left available for that. So if the program does get renewed, there is a possibility that our investor base will receive another three to six months' worth of P&I. That – important to note, that doesn’t need to be appropriated. So clearly, that creates less friction going forward legislatively. Going to Slide number 6. Our performance in PPP loans, $34.7 million in fees ending June 30, 2020. We believe by the close – well, by the close of business on August 4, we funded $1.15 billion of PPP loans. We still have a few left to fund. We anticipate by August 8, that’ll approximately be 10,200 new borrowers. We received, I believe, over 100,000 requests for PPP loans from different participants, adding to our enormous database of customers. We’re proud to report that we funded two years' worth of loan production in slightly over four months' time. And realistically, most of that was done within four weeks. So we’re extremely proud of the staff, the team, the software and the methodology to basically utilize technology to process loans in a very quick fashion in accordance with policies and procedures set forth by the SBA. We partnered with our alliance partners to sell 100% participations in PPP loans, which left us with no balance sheet. We have a very small balance sheet of PPP loans. I think it’s about $5 million or $6 million worth, but everything else was sold in a 100% basis. I think it’s important to note that what we did in PPP really dictates the power of the Newtek model, no branches, no brokers, no BDOs, no bankers. We fitted very well in the confines of the market today where you’re basically driving referrals back to professionals that are providing solutions, whether they’re lending solutions, payment processing solutions, insurance solutions, technology solutions or payroll health and benefit solutions in remote locations. That’s the model. It works really well, and we’re clearly demonstrating that we’re able to perform and execute on it. Slide number 7 talks about the CARES Act a little – in a little bit more detail. We’re hopeful the Congress will authorize the SBA to extend additional P&I payments. We chatted about that in addition to be able to earning additional fee income. There’s also – and once again, I don’t want to get too much into the weeds here, but there is upside portions of the builds and then that Rubio has a piece that would provide long-term funding and significant fee income to lenders like ourselves. There is a bill that has gotten recent support by Young and Bennet in the Senate. That would basically call the RESTART program that would also provide 100% guaranteed financing through the 7(a) program. So as a lender in this space, we believe we’re in a good spot through corona, and also, obviously, having the government as your partner in many instances is helpful. Obviously, they want our portfolio to be current. They want our borrowers to be in good shape. Our borrowers employ a significant portion of the citizens of the United States. I think Americans are more and more familiar with the importance of small business. This is our market. This is our space. We think this is our time to shine. Moving forward to Slide number 8. These are some additional highlights. We had some residual funding of 7(a) loans, which we funded during the three months ended June 30, $17.4 million. We’ve announced that we’re restarting our 7(a) business, extremely selective. We’re looking for companies with an operating history, hard collateral, plenty of liquidity, strong guarantors, paying attention to the geography. And there’s plenty of businesses to provide funding to. Just to pick out a couple of categories; RV parks, marinas, boat dealers, pest control companies, staffing companies, freight companies. These are all businesses that actually are doing well. Now we don’t want to lend to overheated segments of the market. So we’ve got to be careful in our underwriting. But I think it’s important to note, the worst at times is the best of times to make these types of loans, and we’re looking forward to opening up in the second half of the year. We’re indicating $150 million of funding in Q3, Q4, most of that most likely coming in Q4, as we rebuild our pipeline, and we anticipate having a robust 2021 getting back to 2019 origination levels. We are also restarting our 504 loan program. So we’re looking forward to getting some fundings there in Q3 as well as rebuilding the pipeline. And our conventional lending JV right now is on hold. We are looking to start that up in the future. We’ll talk about the performance of that portfolio, which has been stellar, and we’re looking to grow that business. We think that’s a significant contributor to our business and our business model down the road. On Slide number 9, we talk about dividends for 2020. We just paid a Q2 dividend of $0.56 to shareholders of record on July 15, 21% increase over the second quarter 2019 cash dividend. And we declared a third quarter cash dividend payable on Sept 21. So for shareholders of record all the way out to Sept 21 get a $0.58 dividend. So with the payment of the third quarter dividend, we’ll have paid $1.58 per share for the first three quarters, which will be a 9.7% increase. We, obviously, are looking at the second half of the year with a lot of potential variables relative to PPP, 7(a) and the portfolio, and that’s why we have to come up with such a wide disparity. Obviously, I think many of you are aware, Newtek is a business development corporation. It’s an internally managed BDC. What we earn, we pay out. Second quarter of 2020 NAV discussion, we chatted about an increase in NAV, $15.66 as of June 30, 2020. As of last night’s close, we clearly traded a nice premium to the market, and we’ve historically done that through. In November, it will be 6 years outstanding most of our history. Slide number 11, just talking about future opportunities in challenging markets. We’ve seen tremendous changes in our economy based upon COVID. And I think COVID has done several things. Number one, it’s pushed a lot of businesses that were on the cusp in a week already to an accelerated default. Number two, it’s forced a lot of the trends that we’ve seen in the market. So when you see e-commerce further accelerating entities like social media giants, Facebook, Google, et cetera, those mediums to reach people through social media and e-commerce, obviously, becoming more and more important. Important to note, we’ve got to pay attention to that as well. When you look at what we do in IT, we provide small-and medium-sized businesses the ability to work mobily, securely and remotely. Let us manage your IT. Health and benefits area, clearly, major changes in shifts, particularly with health care. We are able to give businesses the ability through a cloud-based payroll solution and health and benefits solution to shift over to us at far less expensive matters and far more efficient than their legacy sales-oriented Paychex and ADP model. Obviously, in insurance, tremendous changes in policies. We’re able to work with them remotely, just as Geico does, to help small-and medium-sized businesses look at their insurance risks. And then obviously, in the payment space, tremendous shift to the e-commerce landscape. We’re able to help businesses with contactless payments, our Newtek payment systems, which we’ll talk about through POS on cloud. We’re really very well positioned to help businesses meet the challenges in a post-COVID world. Slide number 12 talks about sort of our pedigree in the 7(a) landscape. We’re still the second largest SBA 7(a) lender as of June 30, including banks, largest non-bank lender, 10-year history of rated securitizations, both AA and A. Everything has upheld their rating. Many other lenders in the small business space are experiencing tremendous stress. We are not. We’ll probably put out some data in the near future, talking about how well our securitizations have held up. Once again, important to note, the average loan size in the portfolio is a beautiful $179,000 per uninsured piece in the portfolio that gives us great diversification with geography and risk. You could see how important risk diversification is when it comes to geography and it comes to industry type. Obviously, I really wouldn’t want to have a lot of small luncheonettes in Manhattan today. That would be fairly devastating; or for that matter, gymnasiums in New Jersey. So the diversification that we have in our portfolio is fantastic. This is why you do it. It’s extremely valuable, and it’s worked well for our portfolio metrics, which you’ll see. Moving to Slide number 13. Growth in loan referrals. For this calendar year, we’re going to be using units versus dollars. The dollars are a little bit skewed based upon PPP issues. But you could see, we’ve been overwhelmed with loan referrals. We’ve received an excess of 100,000 in units for six months. 80,000 came in the second quarter. We’re really, really thrilled about our model. This is great for customer acquisition. Our database of customer opportunities is very deep, well over 1 million SMBs in our database to be able to market to and cross-sell. We look at our company versus other fintech companies like OnDeck Capital, Kabbage, Lendio. OnDeck recently wound up merging into another public company for about $90 million. I think their portfolio is rapidly approaching a 40% delinquency rate. Look, I’ve got to say that if they’re getting a $90 million valuation for technology, I’m very proud of what wily built here at Newtek as well as our ability to manage credit for over 17 years, particularly during the 2008, 2009 cycle and the current cycle. All of these providers have got interesting technologies on the front end, but they really do not do a credit analysis. They don’t do credit work like our technologies do. We’re a real 50-state lender, and we’re able to do this across multiple different business silos. Slide number 14. Net premium trends in a normal 7(a) environment are important to us. We talked about the slowing of prepayments and the potential increase in prices, which we were constructive on. Looking out in the third quarter, we’re seeing prices for 10-year paper north of 1 11, and we’re looking at prices of the longer date of 25-year paper north of 1 17. The splits are between 1 11, 1 12 on larger pools, get a bit of a discount, but the premium trends for some of the guaranteed sales, real strong. Slide number 15 talks about the seasoning of our portfolio. We’re now at 32.6 months. We’ve shared an S&P analysis on seasoning of portfolios and the issue of businesses being able to survive that default curve and how it really flattens out after 40 months. We’re very comfortable with the market and the portfolio, which we’ll talk about, as well as our ability to liquidate loans and to be able to earn a great dividend for our shareholders going forward. Slide number 16 shows our delinquency rates and trends as of 12/31 to 3/31. We actually improved our currency rate almost to 94% even through the period of March, dealing with the concern about COVID, which really began in February and March. Obviously, with the payments from the government went up to 99% current. We feel pretty good about our customers. We are speaking and reaching out aggressively from a servicing standpoint to all of them. We’re preparing them for October when these payments may cease. We’re working with them. We’ve got dialogue going with respect to them contracting where it need to, expanding where they need to, working on cost control. We are a very active, aggressive servicer. I can tell you that historically, one of the things that the fintechs typically don’t do is they don’t service. We do. We work with clients. We make sure on a going-forward basis that they’re doing what’s best for their business to be able to meet their responsibility to us and the U.S. government. Slide number 17 is an example which we do tend to give about liquidation. We use a 40% severity, which is our historic severity on loss on the portfolio, including cost to collect and interest. This was a client that went bad on August of 2017. Actually, that’s where we provided them the funding. It was a national digital billboard company, been around for 20 years. They ran into trouble. We’re able to sell all of the assets and get all of our money back 100% recovery. Slide number 18 is a slide we’ve used for close to 17 years. It shows the net cash created on the 7(a) loan. Slide number 19 shows the income treatment. Moving into a portfolio company review as we get back into the 504 business, we wanted to demonstrate to newbies to our story about the way a 504 loan works, how you get a first conventional second lien provided by the government, which gets taken out by the government. A great product for borrowers. They get a 90% loan to value against commercial real estate with extremely low interest rates. I think the second debenture by the government has got a two handle. I think it’s like 2.75% with a 20-year term on it. We typically lend at a fixed 5% at a higher rate, but the blended rate is close to 4% with the long am schedule. So it’s a great loan for a borrower. We like this business. Capital One Bank has a facility with us to be able to warehouse it, and the SBA takes out the second. We typically sell the conventional first. Slide number 22 shows the return on equity for that type of business. Slide number 23 talks about our conventional lending portfolio and our joint venture with BlackRock TCP. We have a portfolio in the JV as well as on our balance sheet, approximately $92 million, 100% current as of June 30, 2020. This is an attractive portfolio. It’s kept loans in different markets, strength of the personal guarantors, liquidity in the personal guarantors. The fact that the personal guarantors have got multiple businesses very well healed, has kept this portfolio performing. We’ve actually got 1 restaurant in the portfolio that is in New York City. It has been closed, won’t probably open until April, but they have enough liquidity to continue to keep us current throughout the whole process. And that’s the value proposition of our underwriting to make sure we lend to really good businesses. I think it’s important to note, when you look at the current economic crisis that we’re in, this is a crisis that is caused by a pandemic, and it’s basically been caused by the government shutting down businesses and restricting commerce. Clearly, the initial shutdown was caused to bend the curve in northeastern regions like Connecticut, New York and New Jersey. Substates, particularly in the Sun Belt, when given the opportunity to open have opened and stayed opened, their curve peers, early stages have began to flatten, which makes us optimistic that eventually, the virus and the government shutdowns will be less and less. Obviously, going back to school is a key issue here, opening up the economy is a key issue, and also being safe is a key issue. I think the point I want to make here is this is a very unique situation for lenders where lenders typically encounter defaults because you’ve got a weak economy without much stimulation, whether either created by the government or the own inertia of the business climate. This is an economy where the businesses are shut and can’t open. And that’s not 100%. It’s in spotty geographies, and it’s in spotty industries. So it’s a market that we think has a very good chance of recovering, recovering well, and we are extremely constructive on our business model going forward, which we’ll talk about. And when we look at what we’ve done in the conventional loan portfolio, if you lend money to good businesses with good value and good guarantors and owners, you can come out okay. Slide number 24 talks about our payments business. Obviously, this business has been affected, particularly with a reasonable percentage of retail restaurants. Thank goodness, it’s not dominated by that. But it looks like we’re on a run rate for $1 million to $2 million of EBITDA per month for the remainder of 2020, which we’re very pleased about. And going forward, on Slide number 25, this is good data for anybody interested just in economics and business. The Visa, MasterCard and American Express receipts for our clients, down 23% in March, 37% in April, 27% in May, 14% in June, 5% in July. Now I will say, we’re early in August. But the first 5 days of August are indicating things are slowing again. And I think they’re slowing again not dramatically, maybe – and once again, these are five days. So I wouldn’t say that this is particularly valid. But you’ve got the unemployment benefits that might slow down consumer spending. You’ve got some PPP that might be running out. So it is clear that government stimulus is still required to continue to bridge this economy to when the pandemic is less of an effect and a drag on business. We’re looking for a 10% to 15% decline in the NMS EBITDA. One of our portfolio companies, Mobil Money, has a major impact. That company is primarily dominated by newer cab drivers. Traffic in the Newark Airport was down 90% to 95%. That clearly affected this business, which should throw off close to $1 million in free cash flow. And right now, that’s on a run rate of probably $100,000. But there’s obviously upside from that, and we look forward to air traffic recovering and newer cab drivers having more opportunity. Slide number 26 gives a good indication of where we see the future of payments. We acquired POS on Cloud. We’re very excited about having our own branded POS system. The long and the short of it is, our POS system is an all-encompassing system that can process payments, integrate with an e-commerce website, in other words, pull up a menu for a business or pull up a retail e-commerce purchase chart from a QR code. Both the e-commerce and the store present combined and integrate into a GL accounting software. We integrate with all food delivery services like Uber Eats, Grubhub, DoorDash. We also have time and attendance on the POS, which integrates right into our payroll solution systems, enabling us to offer payroll, workman’s comp, health and benefits. One complete system. We can brand this for all of our financial institutions. We’re excited about rolling out and hitting on Newtek payment systems going forward. Slide number 27, Newtek technology portfolio companies. We have three of them, Newtek Technology Solutions, our cloud-computing managed service business, Phoenix; IPM based out of New York; and Cloud Nine based out in Louisville, Kentucky. These businesses are doing well. Forecasted 2020 EBITDA, $3 million to $4 million. That’s up from a $203,000 forecast – actual number in 2019. We are obviously excited about the opportunities in cloud services, particularly working with the small-to medium-sized business clientele. We talked about payroll and benefit solutions. We think we can help businesses significantly as we move into this COVID-dominated world and where customers and businesses want more cloud-based solutions and want to have their employees have availability to that cloud-based site to take a look at their own benefits and payroll information. Slide number 31 is indicative of our historical stock performance. As you could see, the company has been a stellar performer over five years, three years, five-year return, 200%; three-year return, 88.4%; last year, 42%. Our 10-year return, about 800%, which equates about 25% per year. So I guess, if you all go back and you look at our history, our stock does tend to be volatile. And we’ve had many dips like we’ve had this year. I think we hit a low of $7.58. But the company has got a great management team that’s got a history of being here 5, 10, 15 years. We stick together. We figure out as operators and entrepreneurs with an ownership mentality of these businesses, how to make it work, how to overcome adversity, how to shift, how to give the marketplace what it needs given that point in time. Slide number 32 is a current event. The SEC held an open meeting yesterday to vote on a rule proposal that would amend a number of disclosure delivery and advertising requirements for mutual funds and BDCs. Here’s the important aspect of it. Commissioners voted on a proposal that is now out for comment for 60 days. That would allow acquiring mutual funds to basically exclude the AFFE disclosure fee from their bottom line. I know this sounds a little complicated. I’ll try to simplify it in CEO talk. Institutional investors have not been able to buy BDCs pretty much since June of 2014 when the former SEC chairperson decided that the expense ratios for running the business, whether it was an internally managed expense, which is ridiculous; or an external fee, neither to be doubly calculated to keep neutral funds from buying other mutual funds and having investors paying fees twice. To make a long story short, my interpretation of this open meeting is that the commissioners are putting out for comment to allow institutional investors to acquire up to 10% of their total assets in BDCs. Number one, that would increase the shareholder base. Number two, what happened in 2014 was it excluded BDCs from being involved in the Russell and the S&P 500. This is a potential game changer for BDCs, and we’re very excited about it. We hope this happens and prospectively, would take a market clearing yield in BDCs and prospectively tighten as it would significantly widen the investor base from one that is dominated by retail with some institutional investment to more institutional investment. Moving to Slide number 33. This is an important slide, risk for reward. We have historically stated that we believe we have less risk than the average BDC. I think that’s relevant because when you compare – look at a market clearing yield, a main street, which has had market clearing yields of six and then at times, eight, currently, I believe. And you’ve got other BDCs that have market clearing yield, like Ares at 11 or Apollo at ridiculous numbers. A lot of that is based upon the risk inherent in the portfolio. I think it’s once again important to note, our assets, not highly leveraged. We don’t have SBIC debt. As a matter of fact, a lot of our overhang at the end of the quarter is based on government-guaranteed obligations that get liquidated. So we operate at a much lower leverage. We have a diversified portfolio with average credit risks in the loan book of 179,000 floating rate. It’s an asset class we’ve managed over 17 years. And therefore, I think that when you look at what’s the right market clearing yield for Newtek, we think it’s important to take into consideration what the risk is inherent in the portfolio for that market clearing yield. And when you look at a portfolio of assets that are based upon leveraged loans that require five – four, five, six times EBITDA turns, means those businesses must grow. They must grow. This is a tough environment for growth. Even if you get a rebound, it’s a tough environment for growth. So we understand the discount that’s applied to others. Relative to us, we’re in a low growth to no growth type lending environment. That’s what we look at. Obviously, businesses that are growing, we don’t penalize them. We just don’t give them excessive leverage on the advance rate. But I also obviously look at our portfolio, and people believe and it is accurate that these businesses are less liquid. They have less access to capital. The counterbalance to that is, looking at what the treasury and the SBA in Congress has done to provide P&I payments, to provide PPP money, to provide another round of PPP money, we think we’re in pretty good shape here. And we think that the historic risk view of a portfolio like ours is somewhat overstated. Now I do want to comment, our portfolio of loans is very different than a typical fintech lender that makes a loan in 48 hours. We do 20-page credit writeups. We take all available collateral. We have multiple guarantors of the business owners, anybody over 20%. We take leans on personal assets, corporate assets, and we’re typically looking at operators that have been around for a couple of years versus start-ups. Entirely different. We’d like you to take a close look at Newtek as a 17-year manager of risk in its portfolio. Then moving to Slide number 24. Once again, it’s just a quick investment summary. And now I would like to turn the presentation over to Chris Towers.