Barry Sloane
Analyst · Ladenburg. Your line is open
Thank you, Jenny. I want to point out that we recently had an Investor and Analyst Day in Newtek approximately for six weeks ago, it was fantastic. We spent two hours with the investment community going over our business and our business model. We drilled down deep into sort of what we do as a company and also how – what we do in a BDC format, changes how we look to the investment public, some of that, part of that presentation has now been indoctrinated into what we are want to be doing quarterly. This PowerPoint presentation is already currently on our website for those of you that want to go follow along newtekone.com, NEWONE.com [ph], go to our website, go to the Investor Relations section, you will be able to see the PowerPoint. Going to Slide #2, Newtek’s differentiated BDC model and why we think our model is better. The company is primarily investing in senior secured loans and in operating businesses, which we’ve owned and operated for over 10 years. We believe those are less risk investment than what some of their competitors are investing in which were mezzanine loans, subordinated debt with equity kickers with interest rates of 10% to 14%. They need to put levered debt instruments on their books in order to be able to pay the 2%, 20% ops. We do not pay 4% external management fee to an external advisor or an internally managed BDC, we didn’t touch one of our advantages. So one of the things that we emphasized recently in the Investor Analyst Day meeting is risk per reward. We think that what you are core investing in under our BDC model is significantly less risky than what our competitors have to put into their BDCs in order to pay a similar dividend. We do not make equity investments in CDOs. We currently have no SBIC leverage and although SBIC leverage doesn’t necessarily count to the leverage test for SEC perspectives, it still leverage and it’s still debt, and it still has to be paid back. Today, we have announced a forecasted $57 that is a fully diluted expected $57 for 2017 which would include equity raises that’s a 2.6% increase in the dividend over what we expect for 2016 which is a $1.53 which we have forecasted but have not yet officially declared the fourth quarter dividend. We are reaffirming our 2016 dividend forecast of $1.53 for the full year. Moving on to Slide #3, we want to point out to the investment community that the company and the management team which I applaud for their hard work every single day has had a very good performance from a stock price perspective, Newtek’s five year return including dividends and this is as of December 31, 2015, we wanted to do it on a calendar year basis, 113%, so that’s north of 20% a year, three year return, 97.5% going to 30% one year return, 24.5% we hope to be able to drive that kind of return so far this year. We do endeavor to declare that is entirely up to the board of directors, the fourth quarter dividend to be paid within this calendar year in the event that occurred that would be approximately $1.93 of cash dividends that would wind up being paid in 2016. So performance investors, I think, it’s important to note that. Moving to Slide #4, we talked about our forecasted 2017 dividend of 22.6% increase. We also want to point out that net asset value for the quarter ended September 30, 2016 is now $14.26, there is a 1.9% increase over the recent quarter of $14.11 on June 30, 2016 at a 2.2% increase of NAV $203 million or $14.06 a share at December 31. What we endeavor to do is hope to perform well from a financial perspective and offer increasing dividends and increasing NAV with the course of time. I would also like to point out on Slide #4, that our debt to equity ratio at the end of the quarter was 85.3% on September 30, 2016. Moving to Slide #5, I want to give an explanation with respect to our debt to equity ratio, it is important to note that particularly at quarter end we tend to do a significant amount of funding of our SBA 7(a) loans which were then levered, we wind up inflating the balance sheet at the end of the quarter. So we did on Slide #5 was we created sort of a pro forma debt adjustment which will show the amount of SBA loans on the government portions which typically settle within 10 days from trade date, that would actually once they settle, they would actually knock the total leverage amount down to 73.6%. There is very full throated and quantifiable explanation of how we do tend to inflate our debt to equity ratio at the end of each quarter. Slide #6, we talk about additional leverage of the portfolio companies. Our current Goldman Sachs facility is $38 million. There is approximately $22 million drawn against that, so we have a significant amount of leverage that is available. We are currently drawing at 2.5 times trailing 12 months of EBITDA and we have recently put in a request to Goldman to increase the size of that facility as we are currently looking at a lot of other acquisitions in the pipeline. Moving to Slide #7, current investment opportunity targets. There is fairly full pipeline. We have been very busy, some of these things are more mature than others, I do not anticipate any closings in calendar year 2016 but I do think we will have closings in early calendar year 2017. When you look at our targeted EBITDA goals, which we have been able to meet historically with BankServ and Premier, we’re typically a 4 o 6 times EBITDA type buyer that provides a 17% to 25% type unlevered pretax return, put a little leverage, you are clearly in the 20s even after tax very accretive to current dividend as well as being able to add these businesses to existing businesses to bulk them up to be able to get closer to public comps which is extremely important in the payment space, we want to do that in the technology space as well as some other sectors going forward. On Slide #8, another important point, in 2015, approximately 35.8% of the total dividend that we paid out in 2015 was a qualified dividend, so in our business model, we get a lot of our dividends from the portfolio companies as they earn money, pay tax and then distribute the money up to the holding company, this is a major differentiator in our business model to most other BDCs. Most people that are investors that are in a taxable account are taxed at the high end of their personal tax rate. So there is a major difference between being taxed at 39.8% versus 20% which is the qualified rate. I think it's important to note that this is what we saw in 2016 from a taxable standpoint. I do anticipate that this will be a similar type of a distribution in 2016, we obviously won't know that until we do a tax returns, but I think this is something that you can potentially expect and forecast. On Slide #9, another important comparison to us to BDCs particularly the internally managed ones is priced to NAV which is currently 1.05, 1.04 versus our internally managed BDC competitors Triangle, Main Street, Hercules and KCAP; KCAP with the weakest performer at about 0.77 a NAV. The others are well above NAV. On average about 1.35. We believe that we have a good opportunity as we continue to grow in size, demonstrate, we just had our two-year anniversary converting to a BDC to show that we do pay dividends at our projected rates on a regular basis and as people are beginning to understand our model more and more, and what I mean by understanding our model more and more, understand that we don’t record that same dividend every single quarter. It’s not flat which is why we go out and give annual guidance. We would like to get credit as a management team and a board for being willing to go out and stay, we think a $1.57 fully diluted next year that’s 14 months out in the future. So, you know, we have many, many discussions. We have a lot of deliberation and these are numbers that we’re comfortable with please understand that. We love to meet, beat, and exceed those if we can to the chance we may not but understand management is going out 14 months ahead of time. Most BDC investors base their yield on the projection for the next quarter and it’s fairly stable and we think when you look at particularly externally managed BDCs, the chance for improvement in NAV is primarily based upon interest rates falling or a tightening of credit spreads and when you look at the universe and the world, interest rates falling particularly in the current rate environment, that’s tough one and credit spreads tightening, I would say that also might be a tough one. Putting that aside, we like our model, and we think that our ability over the course of time to increase NAV and increase dividends given our model is extremely competitive. On Slide #10, approximately 60% to 65% of our dividend and earnings comes from SBA business. We funded 85.9 million of loans in the third quarter that is a record, that’s an increase of 33% over the same period a year ago. For the nine months, our loans fundings were up approximately 30%, I think it’s important to note that we finally started to get the 504 business in gear, we’ve got a pipeline of around $20 million of 504 loans and I believe we funded approximately $405 [ph] million loan so far. The income from 504 lending does not happen until we sell the conventional piece down the road, those will most likely all be 2017 type events and the 504 activity is in a portfolio company at CDS. We’ve also picked up some nice business in CDS in our line of credit and inventory and line of credit and receivables. We hope to report profits for that segment in the fourth quarter. We have not been able to that historically. On Slide #11, we talk about what I would prefer to sort of our pedigree in Newtek small business finance, that’s our SBIC at the 7(a) loans. We are the largest non-bank SBA lender in the United States according to volume statistics. We held that, our position for many years and we’re proud of it. We hope to continue to do so. We are the seventh-largest SBA 7(a) lender including banks. We have a 13-year history in originating these loans. The SBA has been in this business for 61 years. We’ve issued 6 S&P rated securitizations, all of the ratings have been upheld. I would like to announce today that we’re in the market with our seven transaction with Deutsche Bank and this probably will be our largest transaction ever, we look forward to reporting the results of that transaction in the very near future On Slide #12, you could take a look at the growth of our lending business and our pipeline. Referrals up year-over-year 55%, I think it's important to note close loan units 48% increase, very valuable. It’s showing that our operations are efficient, they are they're getting better, better staff, better management, better software that’s coming out of our CIO and his deb team, we’re very, very excited about the opportunity to grow the lending business using technology. We use technology to acquire $8 million worth of perspective lead opportunities. Going forward, we use technology to create the efficiencies and handoffs from assembly to underwriting, to credit committee to pre-close to post close. We've also had a trend of doing more smaller loans which are good for credit and it’s good for diversification as well as cross selling opportunities down the road Slide #13 talks about the size of our pipeline which obviously is prequaled loans and underwriting and approved pending closing that’s up 22%. Average net premium for the first nine months of the year are 112.09%. The recent quarter was a little lower getting about 11.8 [ph] around that – 11.8 [ph]. We don’t see that as any major changes or any major trends. The market is fairly stable, the things that you have to keep an eye on for this in our opinion is supply and demand but most importantly prepayment expectations that would relate to a very robust economic activity which we currently do not see. On Slide #15, we’re able to show that our gains on sale are a reoccurring event, they’ve been reoccurring for 13 years. I want to point out that the differential in 2014 and 2015 that 2014 was the first year we converted from C-corp to a BDC and it made sense for us to roll our production and gain on sale and not sell it in 2014 when [ph] taxable and roll it into 2015 when we were free of corporate tax. So that's the big difference there. We look forward to reporting our 2016 number. So Slide #16, we have a very strong credit history, a 13 year history, I would like to point out, we had one fairly large loan in the recent quarter that went into a nonperforming status, I think it was in excess of 2 million. We believe the lone is very well collateralized, our historic severity rate is approximately 30%, but we feel very good even though we had a pickup in that particular area in the quarter. On Slide #17, our charge-offs in very good shape 0.74% very much in line with industry averages in this particular area and our business model clearly supports these types of charge-offs. On Slide #18, you can see the comparative portfolio data as we’ve got better since what we refer to as the great recession. We do more existing loans, more goes to existing businesses, less business acquisitions, less startups, loans that are primarily secured by commercial real estate and residential real estate with good diversification in industry and in state. Slide #19 and 20 are slides that we’ve talked about for about 10 years. I am not going to go into them. We want to leave them in the presentation for those newcomers, this effectively is how we make money and create cash in the 7(a) business. Slide #21, talks about our 504 business, talks about the fact that the economics of this business were extremely attractive, this particular business when you make the loan, the first mortgage and the second mortgage essentially get sold off or we may wind up looking at a securitizations strategy on the first mortgages. In any event the typical SBA 504 loan structure is to an business loan, so it’s a C&I, loan, it is an owner-occupied piece of commercial real estate that collateralizes the loan up to 90%. The government provide a 40% second, we provide a 50% first, the government takes us out on a quarterly basis with debentures, we are left with a 50% LTV conventional first at a very high yield. The economics of the 504 business are present on Slide 23 and we estimate that our returns are in the high 30s with no balance sheet after everything is sold off. On Slide #24, we like to point our comparative valuations to other public companies that do similar things that we do, Live Oak Bank trading at 2.48 times book, they are primarily a one bank branch that does SBA 7(a) loans, we like to point out that BankUnited is a very large bank acquired an entity similar to ours and an non-bank lending license with a $200 million portfolio or uninsureds and they paid a 10% premium on that. Our uninsured 7(a) loans that are performing on average are sitting on our books at approximately 99% at par. On Slide #25, we talk about the valuation of our payment processing business. We are very, very happy with the performance of our payments business, the acquisition of Premier which has enabled us to create a consolidation of our payments business primarily in our new Lake Success facility, is enabling us to reduce real estate risk, reduce management infrastructure, customer service deployment as well as customer acquisition strategies are being combined to create some significant efficiencies. We feel very good about market and industry comps. There was a new public company CardConnect that was created by a company that is slightly larger than ours. The effectively were acquired by a SPAC trading at 14 times earnings very similar in size. The Vantiv, Global and First Data are decent comps but this particular one is closer in size to where we are and we feel very good about our valuations, we feel good about making acquisitions in this space to be able to continue to bulk up and squeeze out a variety of different market efficiencies. On Slide #27 [ph], we talk about our Managed Tech Solutions business which has been a difficult business for us over the course of time, I want to continue to point out that we’re extremely constructive about the marketplace for selling cloud solutions and technology solutions to small to medium-sized businesses. There is no question whether you look at Gartner, Forrester every investment bank believes technology in cloud spending is going to continue to increase and there are estimates out there that it would be close to a double spend in three years. We have got to do a better job of executing, we have some acquisitions in the pipeline that we think will bring us to a better place in this particular market. We still feel that our comps are fairly priced when you look at entities like GoDaddy. Endurance Rack [ph]. spaceweb.com, these are all businesses that create a multiples of 2 to 4 times revenue. Slide 29 just gives you a general feel for the breakdown of where EBITDA comes from, so obviously the earnings or the dividend are primarily driven by 7(a). We do believe in the future particularly with some of these acquisitions. We look forward to the business services businesses taking a bigger slice of that pie. We’re happy to announce some additions to the senior management team; Tim Ihlefeld joined us, this was an open spot for about six months. Tim has joined us as Executive Vice President of Strategic Alliances. He has got a great background in managing our 11 RVP and business development professionals. I would also like to announce that Glenn Weisberg has joined for a West Coast RVP position. We have been devoid of a West Coast RVP almost since our inception. We have an office in Irvine obviously California is an important part of the U.S. economy particularly for small business albeit is very competitive, California is typically 20% to 25% of GDP and we are frankly light in California business activity. So we think by bulking up in California with a greater sales and marketing presence will help the overall business On page 32, in summary, I do want to point out that we are really excited about our performance this quarter as well as looking into 2017, we’re excited that management feel comparable indicating $1.57 on a fully diluted basis for a dividend next year, that’s approximately 2.6% increase. We’re excited that we been able to reevaluate and move our NAV up approximately a 2.2% increase over the end of last year, 1.9% sequentially quarter-to-quarter. This is a company with a proven track record. You are investing in a management team that’s been together over 10 plus years particularly in the lending unit. We have a 13 year lending history with default and delinquency statistics. One of the important things is this is a company that’s been able to access the o capital markets on a going forward basis at lower and lower cost of capital and is able to deploy that capital in businesses that are getting significantly higher returns than the average BDC without the risk, that is an extremely important thing to know. We’re very, very proud of what we’re doing. In addition, shareholders should be comforted the fact that management's interests are very much aligned with the shareholder base, we’re not externally managed, we’re internally managed, management board employees are about 15% of the outstanding shares. With that, I would like to turn the presentation over to Jenny to give us a financial review.