Barry Sloane
Analyst · JMP Securities. Your line is now open
Thank you, operator and welcome everybody to our second quarter 2019 financial results conference call. I'd like to thank all the participants – call today for your investment in Newtek as well as your continued interest.Joining me today on the call is our Chief Accounting Officer, Chris Towers. I'd also like to call everyone's attention to our website, where you can follow the presentation along from the PowerPoint that's typically hung at the time we released earnings last night. Go to newtekone.com. Go to the Investor Relations section and you will be able to take a look at our presentation.I'd now like to forward everyone's attention to page 2 on the presentation and we do like to start-off with our historic equity returns of NEWT. So you could see over the course of five years and these prices are all as of June 30th; five-year return 209%, three-year return 139%, one-year return 26.3% that also includes the dividends during the period of time when we were a BDC, which almost fully encompasses that five-year return. So we're extremely proud of our history and being able to deliver results to our shareholders.Moving forward to slide number three and looking at our second quarter 2019 financial highlights, we were able to grow total investment income for the month – for the quarter ended June 30, 2019 an increase of 24% over the three months ended in the prior quarter in the prior year.Our net investment income NII with GAAP reported income for BDCs, we had a narrowing loss, which was originally $2.1 million for the three months ended in June 30, 2018 to $1.1 million. We are clearly proud of that narrowing and we will go into what that actually stands for and what it means and why it's clearly beneficial to our shareholders.Adjusted NII, which we view as a better metric for us given that it encompasses all of our SBA 7(a) loan activity, we had a real strong quarter with an increase of 29.5% compared to the quarter one year earlier ended June 30, 2019. And adjusted NII exceeded analyst forecast by a penny. I should note that the company only gives annual guidance on dividends and we leave the quarterly breakouts to the analysts. Sometimes, we do have vagaries relative to analyst consensus on different metrics. That's up to them. We give annual guidance and pretty much stick to it.Net asset value increased by almost 1%, 0.9% over NAV of $15.19 a share at December 31, 2019. We came in at $15.33, as of June 30, 2019. Debt-to-equity ratio of 127.9% as of June 30, 2019 on a pro forma basis looking at the broker receivable, we will talk about that in our next slide. It would have only been 114.5%, about almost a 14% delta.Total investment portfolio increased by 17.6% and that increase was based upon the June 30, 2019 number versus a year earlier to June 30, 2018. We're also proud to announce that we had our credit facility from Capital One Bank go up by $50 million to $150 million from $100 million, a 50% increase and that was signed off and approved by the SBA which is indicative of our good standing not only with our senior lenders in the 7(a) business, but also our regulator.Slide number 4 this is a slide that we have kept utilizing. I think it's important to note that at the end of the quarter we have a broker receivable. The broker receivable is based upon cash that we'll be receiving from the 11 Wall Street assemblage by a government-guaranteed piece.Essentially, we view the broker receivable offsets against our line of credit and this particular portion of the line of credit is a short-term liability it's within 10 days. We may actually take a position and have a conversation with the SEC to get further clarification on whether or not this portion of the liability should be considered short-term and not be included in the debt to equity calculation. But we look at this once again, as a self-liquidating receivable. The proceeds from the brokers go directly into a secured account to paying out Capital One. So we view this as a portion of a short-term liability, but we have been calculating the ratio historically, as if the line of credit is one long-term liability for us.Moving to slide number 5 we talked about NII, which is the GAAP term for BDCs. As many of you are aware, we have significant gain-on-sale income from SBA 7(a) loans. This has been a reoccurring event for Newtek for 16 years. Now BDCs do not make loans and sell them. They make loans and hold them. They are a different type of investment vehicle. We utilize the BDC format. It's been a great format for us for five years. And based upon the way NII is calculated that gain on sale comes out of the calculation which is why we look a little bit like an odd duck and show up as a net investment loss.Important to note that as our loan portfolio grows and our servicing income grows and our contributions that we anticipate from our conventional lending business and other portfolio companies continue to float up, we believe that the trend of this particular form of income will get larger and larger. We're happy to report the gains from this particular area.We do tell our investors that we're different. We make no bones about it. We ask investors and analysts please do the work. I would like to applaud our analyst community who typically has to create an entirely new business model to be able to track us from any other BDC. We believe that those investors and analysts that have done the work.Clearly, if you look at our historic returns over the last five years and even 10 years, you have been rewarded and I think in the throes of the financial collapse in 2009, our stocks traded at about $0.50. We did the reverse split which would have equaled about $2.50 per day. So for those people that have worked with Newtek, studied Newtek, understand its business model historically, it's been rewarding. We do ask the investment community and analysts and we're thankful for those that have done the work.On slide number 6, we felt it was important to demonstrate the upward trend in adjusted NII. If you take a look at '16, '17 and '18, very nice growth here. We've also forecasted a $1.95 dividend for the 2019 calendar year. We typically state in those forecast that we anticipate and have always been able to do so that the dividend will be paid out of earnings. So, those that believe in those two forecasts from the company could see, they will have further growth in adjusted NII for the year.In reply to one of the bloggers out in the investment community who made a comment that our earnings have not been growing year-to-year, I need to point out that the fallacy in that statement relates to the special dividends that the company participated in. I would point investors to the 12/28/2015 press release, where we talked about approximately a $34 million distribution of which was made in $8 plus million of cash, 1.8 million of shares which frankly changed our whole share count. That is an incorrect comment that our earnings have not been growing year-over-year since we became a BDC. Once again I strongly suggest that people do their work and we certainly appreciate those that have invested in Newtek.On slide number 7, we do point out that we do have seasonality in earnings. The fourth quarter and third quarter are bigger quarters for loan originations and fundings. They're also bigger quarters for our payments business which is a significant part of our dividend, our earnings and our adjusted NII. If you take a look at the trends, approximately 55% of our earnings do come in in the second half of the calendar year.Moving to slide number 8 in dividends and dividend forecast, we paid a second quarter dividend of $0.46 a share against the reported yesterday $0.57 in adjusted NII. That was a 9.5% increase over the company's second quarter 2018 cash dividend of $0.42 and a fairly significant jump in the adjusted NII number year-over-year as well. We mentioned we recently bumped up our dividend guidance from $1.90 to $1.95. The cash dividend paid in 2018 was above 80. We originally forecasted above 83 for 2019. So we're proud to state that we're clearly moving in the right direction based upon what we see.And our metrics you can take a look at where we initially forecast a dividend in 2016. And it's at above 50 or currently at above.95. And as we always state, historically our annual cash dividends paid have been between 90% to 100% of taxable income and we do anticipate our 2019 dividend payout to be within that range. I think, once again it's important to note, please do not confuse us with other BDCs.Most other BDCs have a really hard time being able to maintain their dividend and most of them trade, I'll use the word right around NAV and they should. It's a static portfolio with purchase loans. And as we are growing our dividend, we should command better stock prices and as we grow our earnings, obviously in tandem with the dividend.Slide number 9 talks about our 7(a) lending highlights, a 15.1% growth and increase in 7(a) loans funded during the three months ended June 30, 2019. Looking at July, and once again, we forecast annually and why we forecast annually because, we don't want to have to exaggerate that we funded $35.9 million of SBA loans in 2019, a 215% increase over $11.4 million fundings in July of 2018. I mean, those are factual numbers, but the point here is that, please look at us on an annual basis, not quarter-to-quarter. It's a business, things do not go up in a straight line. I like to remind everybody on this call, we had a week in December of last year where we stock traded off 25%. It was trading in the $15 range.I can't tell you how many investors that I've spoken to, primarily institutions that have said, gee, did you get in? No, I kind of missed that window and that dip. Well, maybe here we have another one to get in. And the question is, are people going to take a look at what we're doing from a long-term trend perspective or they're going to freeze when the opportunity comes to participate?We're still looking at a 2019 7(a) funding forecast of $580 million to $620 million for 7(a). That would be 27.9%. Given what we've experienced over the first half of the year, I would probably guide to the midpoint or lower end of that range to be fair, but we're still keeping that wide guidance and it is still possible to be able to certainly hit the midpoint or the high point. But I will tell you, we're keeping the range, but we're guiding to the midpoint or the lower point.Sufficient capital on slide number 10 to be able to do our business. We're thrilled that the market gave us the opportunity with the recent dip and rally in the fixed income market, to have been able to issue a bond that is listed on NASDAQ, NEWTL. The bond is trading well. It's trading at a premium.$55 million on the issuance side, not including the green shoe, that will give us some very nice capital going forward, doesn't require us to raise additional capital with respect to fundings or equity, gives us tremendous amount of flexibility. There's really good loan demand. We made a big investment in human capital, real estate. All that expense is baked into our historic numbers. We're well positioned for future growth and anticipate some nice operating leverage going forward.Slide number 11, we talk about our conventional loan joint venture with BlackRock. We're really excited about it. We closed on April 29 a $100 million senior secured facility with Deutsche Bank which will give us additional leverage and will enable us to recording up to $200 million, if we need it.We believe that the JV investment in non-conforming conventional loans could be material and growing, contributing to our future business. Based upon what we see, it's not inconceivable that between 1% or 2% of our current referrals could qualify for this non-conforming program.I'd like to remind the investment community in the audience, I believe, the JV closed around mid-May. So relative to mid-May through June, we're only operational for about 40 days.Slide number 12, we talked about the NEWTL raise. We're going to be refinancing the NEWTZ 7.5% notes of 2022. As I mentioned to you, these notes as of August 2 were trading at $25.35 on a $25 par amount. Egan-Jones maintained their A minus rating.So for those of you that are focused on leverage, the rating agencies are going to tend to serve as our guide for leverage going forward and we're pleased that Egan-Jones looked at our business model, looked at our growing dividends, looked at our credit quality, diversification and maintained our rating of A minus.Slide number 13, we talk about NewTracker. Many of you are familiar with the fact that one of the major value propositions in investing in Newtek Business Services Corp is, we're not a group of investment professionals that buy loans and lever them and take asset management fees.We are a living, breathing business with 450 employees, superior technology, growth none of which shows up in NAV number. NewTracker 1.0, which has been our core platform, was launched over a decade ago. We've got a patent, not only on the software but on the service methodology. It's been really the secret sauce of our company.We're excited that Dan Hendel, Director of IT and his development team, who are doing a fabulous job for us, anticipates rolling out NewTracker 2.0 during the third quarter of 2019. NewTracker gives full transparency into our back office from our referral partners and gives referral partners complete confidence that we're taking care of their clients. It also helps our management team manage our staff, our business service specialists who are assembling loans, underwriters putting credit memos together.So this launch will enable us to have all data recorded calls, e-mails to clients, all-in-one place, give us more full robust data platform, enable our master central database capability to grow, which ultimately will increase our outbound capability.We are extremely efficient in our loan origination platform. You'll see that going forward, as our pipeline, which might appear to be slowing in growth or stagnant, is just more a function of being able to efficiently put through and work on the loans that makes sense and get over the goal line.Slide number 14, just wanted to point out a great crew of analysts. We have five companies that do follow us and we certainly appreciate the work that they do on our business and our model. Slide number 15, 16, 17, 18, we've covered this in recent calls and our Analyst Day Meeting tremendous senior addition to staff.Once again important to note in over the last six months we spent a lot of time and energy working on taking referrals and training BSS' to be able to take some of those. Some of those need to go into a 504 bucket now, some of those need to go into a non-conforming bucket. We've got to get the software right. We've got to get the staff trained to recognize, which one of these loans fit and provide the better solution for all. These things do not go up in a straight line. So I'll let -- some of you always have commented on my joke about taking after slide rule. So we look at the first half of this year as a year of investment. We plowed a lot of money back into software, into training, into additional staff, into real estate. We'll continue to do that in the investment over our five-year and 10-year history as paid off handsomely to our shareholders.Looking at slide number 20, we look at this as our pedigree. We're the largest non-bank SBA lender under the 7(a) program. There is only 14 of these licenses. New licenses haven't been issued over the past decade. We're the fourth largest 7(a) lender including banks. We surpassed JP Morgan recently in this category and do more SBA loans in entities like Capital One Bank, Bank of America, et cetera. We've got a great track record and history of the full severity and frequency. We've done nine securitizations average loan size of $179,000.With slide number 21 take a look at our pipeline and some people go, "Oh my god, it's slowing." We don't agree with that. We're just being a lot more efficient. We're able to weed out loans quicker. We feel very good about our pipeline. We feel very good about making our loan forecasts and our budget earnings for the year.For the three months ended, loans -- June 30th loan fundings increased 15% year-over-year and we had a terrific July funding $35.9, which is typically a slow month for us. Growth in loan referrals up 5.6%. Mind you some of these referrals partners, we do need to call through. For those of us that are giving us opportunities without a great hit rate, we might slow them down and we're always adding new referring partners to the party.We're excited about our business model. To our knowledge no one really runs the business using technology to acquire large quantities of opportunities cost effectively. We looked at over 65,000 opportunities last year. We'll probably look at a similar count this year, but we're excited about what we're coming -- what we're looking at for gross referral volumes.Premium trends for gain on sale for the 7(a) 11.5% that's up. The current market dynamics of a slowing economy and rates declining are a very good strong trend for this particular segment of our business. So we are constructive and assume prepayments will slow, which will cause investors to buy these bonds at higher premiums. Less robust economic activity also causes less prepayments.Slide number 24, we talk about the seasoning of the portfolio. We've got a large portfolio right now that's seasoning, and it's seasoning at a faster rate than adding new loans, which means that the portfolio is aging. As we've discussed, the default curve on loans of this nature, you get the peak amount of delinquencies and defaults in month 24 through 40, we are experiencing that. You could see some of that slowdown on slide number 25. I want to point out extremely comfortable with these trends. Slide number 26, we have recategorized our non-performing loans into sub-performing and non-performing. I will give you some examples of why we're doing that. Sometimes I think we get a little too granular to educate the investment community.We're too transparent. We don't want to be confusing but we want to share information. A sub-performing loan is a loan that we look at as from a valuation standpoint as a loan that will be able to be paid off principal and interest based upon the current balance out of the cash flows of the business. A non-performing loan is a loan that is in liquidation. The business no longer will be able to repay us and we're in the process of liquidating the collateral.I'd like to go to slide number 27 and these are important statistics that you can't deem from a K or a Q. You've got to base this based on our 20-year track record as a public company five-year track record as a BDC and a really strong management team that is transparent and has a high degree of integrity with how it looks at these things. These are two loans that were the non-performing category. So for those of you that are familiar with looking at banks in this area non-performing means written off, not in our lending world.Non-performing loans means that the loan is 90-days past delinquent; it falls into that category. These were two loans that recently paid off in full. Okay? The first loan -- and we've redacted the name, paid off in full based upon the sale of the commercial real estate collateral. That was a $365,000 loan.The second loan $1.050 million, we wound up repurchasing this out of a government guaranteed pool. The loan was transferred to liquidation. Our workout team had the loan paid off in full. Here is an example of a loan that showed up in our 120-day past due category. This loan literally on August 1st, the borrower sold the commercial real estate collateral. The loan was paid off in full.Driving your attention to slide number 29, this is the slide you should be -- hitting NII, once we are marking portfolio our balance sheet is marked off on -- is marked on a real-time basis. So if we think there is an impairment to the loan that will occur every single quarter.The charge-offs hit the earning stream. We think that these numbers will gravitate to higher numbers. Our business model supports that. When we get into the belly of the curve as a guesstimate somewhere between 1% to 1.5%. I want to repeat these are comfortable numbers for us giving our credit criteria and a high return on equity business.Slide number 30, 31, 32 you are familiar with. Here is the important aspect: we practically do no startups. We do a smaller amount of business acquisitions. And a lot of our loan is collateralized by -- for the purpose of acquiring, rehabilitating, refinancing commercial real estate clearly good trends that give us better quality credits and we are very pleased with the performance of our portfolio.Slide number 33, 34 the investment community quite familiar with. Moving over to our portfolio company review, the 504 business I'll go to slide number 37 has been a slow roller than we've anticipated. We only funded $10.2 million of SBA 504 loans through July 31, 2019. We are revising our guidance down to $75 million in fundings from a previous forecast of $100 million and $100 million in closings.Delta between closings and fundings is sometimes loans are partially funded and is a portion of construction that occurs. However, we continue to be optimistic regarding our 504 program. We've a pipeline that's growing and as we are repositioning ourselves and bringing in more talent in this area and going to larger size loans, we are confident this business will take off.On slide number 38 these were loans sales of the conventional first piece that we made during the second quarter of 2019. $14.1 million of 504 first position loans were sold. Some of these were sold servicing released. Some of them were retained 25 basis points on. But you could see the nice prices that we get.We typically receive 1 point to 2 points of origination fee both on the senior piece and on the second lean which gets taken out by the government. So you could see that when you look at from where these loans go on our books, we can make gains of 4, 5 and 6 to 7 points not including the carry on the portfolio.The return on equity at this business we could see on slide number 40, quite high. Our non-conventional lending pipeline once again, I believe the venture closed somewhere around May 10, May 15. We funded our first loan on May 20. We funded $20.5 million of loans in the JV through July 31.You could see the pipeline is starting to jump. We are starting to get this criteria out to our alliance partners. As you can imagine, it certainly takes a while for this to flow through, but with that jump in the pipeline, we are very excited about this business. We have no income coming from the conventional loan joint venture this year. We do believe it can be material for next year.Important to note operating leverage, we are getting significant operating leverage off of our business, off of our loan referrals, off of our assemblers, our underwriters their capability to service. These are things that don't show up in NAV.We have operating businesses underneath the BDC umbrella that doesn't show up in NAV. The fact that we are the number one nonbank lender, fourth largest in 7(a). We have a $2.1 billion capability in the servicing portfolio. We've got two entities that are as -- none of these things show up in NAV. And we'll get to that when we get to our final conclusion.Slide number 42, our payment processing business growing nicely. Adjusted EBITDA 9.5% over the same period last year, I also like to note this growth is occurring at the same time even though we sold off a significant portion of reoccurring income in the fourth quarter with the Elavon portfolio which was about $1 million of reoccurring income.So we are very pleased. We point to the public comps. We point to the growing business. This business which I think has $150 million to $155 million enterprise value only has $35 million of debt. This business certainly can be leveraged further in the event that cash was needed for operations a lot of value being created every single day in our payments business.43, we talk about our technology business. We have 3 entities. We look forward to a real good report for the second half of this year, primarily coming from Newtek Technology Solutions which we have struggle with. IPM and Sidco were acquisition that were made only about 2.5 years ago.We look forward to reporting, we are optimistic about our technology portfolio companies and the ability to execute on strategy which you could take a look at on slide number 44. We believe there is a great opportunity in the cloud services space to be able to provide things like desktop business service, security as a service, IT as a service, to give business secure e-mail, hybrid cloud, private cloud, public cloud, big opportunity. We're not competing with Amazon, we're not competing with Google, we're not competing with Microsoft Azure in the space. They're dealing with the major big companies. They're not dealing with that middle-market entity. We think this is a great opportunity as a portfolio company. And we think that we could get nice contribution from this business in the future.Moving the slide number 45. From an investment summary in conclusion, we are an internally managed BDC. We don't pay ourselves any management fees. Management's interest is very much aligned with shareholders. We've got a significant portion of our outstanding float I think it's close to a 6.7% of the outstanding shares. Management's interest is very much aligned with shareholders.We don't do second liens. We don't have SBIC leverage. We're not investing in CDO equity. We have no direct lending exposure to the oil and gas industry extremely important. This isn't our first rodeo; we've got a 16-year lending track record that survived through 2008-2009 without hair cutting any debt holders or getting a bailout from the government.I want to point out one important aspect. That is our premium to NAV on the stock price. As you could see, I think we made a very strong factual argument today about growth in dividends. Growth in dividends and growth in earnings are the way to value Newtek Business Service Corp. We are BDC. We appreciate the benefits that the BDC model gives to us, particularly to tax effective treatment and the ability to raise capital, which we've done very nicely over the last five-years including our recent baby bond offering. And we don't need a lot of leverage to be able to grow our business, because we invest in things that generate higher rates of return, because we operate them.We're not buying packaged products in an auction from Wall Street. So there are people that are having some heartburn on the premium to NAV. Well for argument sake, what if we were distributing $3 a share? And NAV shouldn't move that much, because a significant portion of our NAV is invested in floating rate loan securities that really shouldn't trade at a big premium, right? However, that is a portion of the business. The gain on sale, the servicing income, the platform that's enabling us to do non-confront none of that's valued in NAV.So for those of you that are looking at us versus main or other BDCs, it's just a different business in a BDC rapper. And for those of you that can go back to your finance one-on-one textbook, a stock price is based upon a discounted back of future earnings streams. So we feel that history has served us well in this particular space. And if and we anticipate and hope that we'll continue to performance we have, the market will reward us. And please although we are a BDC, this comparison to other BDCs is irrelevant. They've entirely different business. Please follow the cash flow.When you look at us from a risk perspective, which is really important I took a look at Main Street, the bellwether. $11 million average investment, 180 investments. We have over 2,000 borrowers in our book 180,000 average balance. What's less risky? Apollo $15 million average investment 120 to 130 units. What's less risky?And then I look at two to one, let's say versus I don't know 1.3 or 1.4 to 1 and if I were a bank and I looked at a company like ours, what I have a lot of heartburn over a 66.67% LTV versus a 60% LTV would that cost me not to invest or for was in the midpoint? But the fact of the matter is this is how in today's genre risk is measured in the BDC space.Now I realize, I might be a lone wolf, but I'm going to make a comment: it's wrong. You need to look at all these other factors. You need to do the work. Historically, that work has been rewarded. I appreciate your time that you've spent with us today.I would like to turn the presentation over to Chris Towers our Chief Accounting Officer.