I think one of the big, I would say, misunderstanding, people always take the budget cut from what they were planning to, right, not from the previous year. So yes, obviously, if you go to the $35 million or to further $40 billion, people see a huge cut. But if you take it from year-to-year, to be able to come back to your question about activities, what was the spend in 2019? And what will be the spend in 2020? And you see that, and then you get a much -- a modest less cut. It's not as 30%, 40% as people say because that's from the budget. So if you go from $29 billion to go to the $25 billion or the $20 even billion, you're talking now about 15% to 20%. What you -- the cut, what you see today, again, you have 4 months of natural delays because of the COVID-19. So a lot of this will come from the mega projects. You have all this mega development. You get all this gas processing, all this $5 billion, $6 billion, $7 billion, that already gets delayed by 4, 5 months. And some of it, they will postpone it as well. So you're going to get a big shift from that.
And then you get your upstream budget, and the upstream budget today from the field, 0 changes. But obviously, they -- it will happen. You will see changes, and the changes will come, in my past experience, it comes on 2 fronts. The projects that are, you want to call it, nice to have or exploration, gets postponed for a year and the projects that are offshore complicated gets postponed. And then you will get -- what you will get is a price discount. So they will ask everybody for the price discount. And overall, all this gives you the activity or the budget drop. So the upstream activity will not drop as people think.
Remember, Saudi always maintain their [ MSCT ], which is -- and they always do it, and they prove to the whole world for all these people that are skeptical that they cannot produce 10 million, they did produce 12.3 million barrels. So -- and they will always maintain that. So they are always looking at the long term, and they will maintain the activity for that.