Natascha Viljoen
Analyst · Bank of America Securities
Thank you, Francois. 2025 was a milestone year for projects, punctuated by the successful commissioning of Ahafo North, a major achievement that now enables the mine to begin delivering an average of 300,000 ounces per year, and we are pleased to report that the total capital spend for the project is expected to come in at the lower end of our estimated range at approximately $950 million. Building on this strong momentum, we continue to advance our 2 other major projects in execution towards completion. Beginning with the second expansion at Tanami, with the 1.5 kilometer concrete shaft lining now complete, we are shifting focus to equipping the shaft and completing construction of the underground crushing and associated materials handling system. Construction for the headframe and mechanical work is expected to be completed in late 2026 with full project completion still on track for the second half of 2027. At Cadia, development for both panel caves continues, and we are progressing towards cave completion at PC2-3 in the fourth quarter of this year as planned. In addition, I'm pleased to announce that in December, we fired the first drawbell at PC1-2, making an important milestone for this project and initiating the next critical phase of cave development. And we continue to advance tailings work at Cadia while progressing the necessary government approvals to support continued operations beyond the current facilities for decades to come. In addition to these major projects in execution, we received full funds approval for the nearshore barrier mine life extension at Lihir, which involves the construction of an in-ground concrete water seepage barrier, unlocking access to over 5 million ounces of low-cost ounces from the Kapit ore body and extending Lihir's mine life to beyond 2040. And we continue to advance the feasibility study at Red Chris for the block cave expansion project with full funds approval targeted in the second half of 2026 when we plan to provide a more fulsome update. With the strong progress made in 2025, we are well positioned to continue delivering value from our world-class portfolio in 2026. Now I want to take a look now at 2026. And as with 2025, we are providing high confidence 1-year guidance within a plus or minus 5% range, along with a few of the key drivers supporting longer-term production growth. Beginning with production. Our 2026 guidance remains consistent with the indications provided on our third quarter call with total attributable production of 5.3 million ounces, including 3.9 million ounces from managed operations and 1.4 million ounces from non-managed operations. This outlook reflects the year-on-year changes from the planned mine sequencing at Ahafo South, Pe asquito and Cadia as well as the production impact from the Boddington bushfires in December. But we are pleased to report that the recovery following the fires is going well, and our team has successfully repaired the critical water supply infrastructure and processing operations have now restarted at full levels. This guidance also incorporates lower-than-expected ounces from Nevada Gold Mines and Pueblo Viejo as indicated by the managing partner. And importantly, through a careful assessment of our mine plan at Yanacocha and in light of the current gold price environment, we have identified a highly capital-efficient plan, which leverages current infrastructure to continue mining operations through 2026 and into early 2027, adding additional low-cost ounces that are expected to benefit our production profile in early '27 with further potential upside. For the full portfolio, we expect production to be relatively evenly weighted throughout the year with a modest second half weighting of about 52%. And as previously indicated, 2026 represents a trough in our production cycle due to planned mine sequencing across several operations as we position the portfolio to return to production growth in 2027 and beyond, maintaining our longer-term outlook of approximately 6 million ounces of gold and 150,000 tonnes of copper annually. Turning now to our cost outlook. As mentioned at the start of the call, we have made great strides towards improving and managing the cost within our control, and this will remain a key priority in 2026, especially when operating in a volatile macroeconomic environment. Last year, we committed to measuring the success of our cost and productivity program by our ability to control absolute cost. And in 2026, the only expected increases to our cost applicable to sales are those directly linked to timing impacts and higher gold prices, including production taxes, working participation costs and third-party royalties. Importantly, even with these price-linked impacts, all-in sustaining costs are expected to be more than $100 per ounce lower than they would have been without the cost savings initiatives launched last year, demonstrating the structural improvements we've made to our cost base. As previously indicated, we are providing guidance on a byproduct basis going forward, consistent with our industry peers while continuing to report both by-product and co-product cost for comparability. On that basis, 2026 all-in sustaining costs are expected to be approximately $1,680 per ounce. This assumes a $4,500 per ounce gold price, a $60 per ounce silver price and a $5 per pound copper price. And for every $100 increase in gold price, we expect a $6 increase in our all-in sustaining costs due to taxes, royalties and profit-sharing payments. Beyond the macroeconomic impacts, the year-over-year change is primarily driven by the reasons we addressed on our third quarter call, including lower gold production from planned mine sequencing, changing in inventory at multiple sites and the timing shift of sustaining capital from 2025 to 2026. But without the $150 million shifting from 2025, we now expect sustaining capital of about $1.95 billion in 2026. Of that, roughly 52% is weighted to the second half of the year, primarily related to tailings work at Boddington and Cadia to support production capacity and future mine life as well as the advancement of the ventilation work at Tanami, which is expected to be completed this year. Turning to development capital. We expect to invest about $1.4 billion in 2026 as we advance our major projects in execution, continue the feasibility study work at Red Chris and progress the mine life extensions at Lihir and Cerro Negro. We expect 55% of total spend to be weighted to the second half of the year, primarily due to the start of the work on the Lihir nearshore barrier. We also expect a modest step-up in exploration and advanced project spend to about $525 million this year as we continue to invest in value creating near our existing assets, including Brucejack, Ahafo South and Merian, as Francois previously touched on. Reclamation spend for 2026 is expected to be around $850 million, in line with 2025, primarily related to the construction of water treatment plants at Yanacocha, which are expected to be completed in 2027. Once complete, we expect total reclamation spend to return to more normal levels of between $300 million and $400 million in 2028. In the first quarter of 2026, we expect to make over $1 billion of tax payments, primarily due to accruals made in 2025. As a result and in addition to normal working capital seasonality, we expect first quarter free cash flow to be lower than the fourth quarter of 2025. Looking ahead, our longer-term production growth profile is supported by several clear and executable drivers. The continued ramp-up of Ahafo North, delivering new low-cost ounces beginning this year, the completion of the Boddington stripping campaign in 2026, enabling access to higher gold and copper grades beginning in 2027, the completion of Tanami Expansion 2 in the second half of 2027 as planned, the ongoing development of the Cadia panel caves extending mine life into the middle of this century and access to low-cost ounces at Lihir following the completion of the nearshore barrier, extending mine life well into the 2040s. Together, these opportunities provide a clear path to renewed production growth, supported by disciplined capital allocation and a portfolio designed to deliver value through the cycle. I will now turn the call over to Peter Wexler to walk through our enhanced capital allocation framework. Thank you, Peter.