Earnings Labs

Newmont Corporation (NEM)

Q2 2007 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 2, 2007

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon I would like to thank all participants for standing bye. Welcome everyone to the New Mining Corporation Second Quarter Earnings Release Conference Call. We would like to inform all participants that your lines will be placed on a listen-only mode until the question and answer session. (Operator Instructions). We would also like to inform you that this call is being recorded. If you have any objections to this you may disconnect at this time. It is now my pleasure to begin and to introduce the first speaker for today Mr. Richard O’Brien, CEO and President. Thank you sir, you may begin. Richard O’Brien: Thank you very much operator. Thank you everyone for joining us today on our second quarter conference call. With me today on our call are Russell Ball, our recently appointed Senior Vice President and CFO; Brant Hinze, our Regional Vice President of North American Operations; and Randy Engel, our Senior Vice President of Strategy and Corporate Development. I'd also like to introduce today John Seaberg, who working with Randy will head-up our Investor Relations Group going forward. Feel free to call John and his team with any questions you might have following our call today. Before I get started, I'm going to turn it over to John to make a few brief comments about the SEC risks or our risks that are inherent in the material we are covering today.

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Management

John Seaberg

Management

Thanks Dick. Before we get started, please remember that we will be discussing forward-looking information, involving the risks that are unique to our industry as further described in our filings with the SEC. Richard O’Brien: Thanks, John. Now, I would like to start by outlining our path forward as we enter the next chapter of Newmont's storage history, A chapter that's focused on rebuilding Newmont's position as the gold company of choice for investors seeking leverage to rising gold prices. Like many of our peers in the industry over the last few years, we have faced our share of challenges. And we hold ourselves accountable to you to address these challenges decisively and systematically everyday and in everything that we do. Over the past several months, and since my appointment as CEO on July 1st, we worked with our Board to initiate a programmatic approach, to recapture our position as the world's largest fully unhedged gold company. To renew focus on and commitment to our core gold business, and to improve our financial foundation, actions are designed to quickly refocus our team on rebuilding the world's premier gold mining company. As we move forward we also acknowledge that we have much work ahead, including stabilizing our costs profile, improving our operational performance, delivering on our existing projects and creating value from our investment prospects. This work will require consistency, commitment, and execution in a very competitive environment and we will require that execution and commitment every day, day-after-day and every quarter. We know that our success will be measured incrementally, just as confidence will be earned through consistent delivery of results. And we are blessed here at Newmont with a rich foundation of legacy from which we can begin these efforts, to rebuild Newmont as the gold company of choice…

Brant Hinze

Management

I would like to startup by saying that the Phoenix, Nevada, the rest of Nevada is on-track with guidance. And the second half of the year, Nevada is weighted toward the second half. We do have some items I would like to talk about here. Leeville, right now is coming into its own. We are expected to be on plan at 3,200 ton per day production by the end of the year. We have our Twin Creeks and Carlin operations that are performing in line with plan, with our oxide or high-grade oxide currently being exposed in Twin Creeks pit as well as in the North Carlin, the pit mine coming on strong. Additionally, as well too we have two leach pads that are coming online in the second quarter, two leach pads expansions that are coming online in the second half of 2007. As Dick mentioned, we do have the power plant that is under construction and we’ll see the benefits of that next year in 2008, and also the reinvestment into our mining and operating fleets, which were beginning to see some benefits in the second half of 2007 but will realize the full benefits of that reinvestment in 2008. We do have operating challenges, I will talk a little bit more in detail about Phoenix in coming slides, and we have some of the same challenges that others have in labor shortages and which has resulted in increased contract services costs, some of things that we are doing about that. Our training programs that we have implemented are bearing fruit, and we are seeing the benefits, in particular in the underground training program as well too our Carlin east mine is coming to an end and we are utilizing the manpower from Carlin east to move over…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. (Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from John Hill, Citi Investment Research.

John Hill - Citi Investment Research

Analyst

Yes. Good afternoon everyone and thanks for a very detailed presentation. Looking at the guidance for Nevada for the rest of the year, it looks like you need to achieve something on the order of $370 an ounce cash cost to hit that overall guidance spend of $400 to $440. How much conviction do you have that we are going to get there. That’s a pretty good step down?

Brant Hinze

Management

You know as I stated earlier, we are weighted to the second half of the year. And with what we have coming online, like I said, the ramp up of Phoneix or Leeville coming into the oxide ores at Twin Creeks, what we are seeing at Pete and North Carlin and the leach pads coming online in the second half. I feel that we are certainly within that guidance on the remainder of Nevada.

John Hill - Citi Investment Research

Analyst

Okay, great. And just a quick follow-up, I think the commentary in Phoenix on the call sounds quite a bit more hopeful than the press release. The press release really could have been written a year ago, as a whether hard [stone] ore, crusher availability, recoveries of multiple concentrates streams, that’s what we heard. I think it was last August or so on site. I mean, what have we really accomplished in the last year there?

Brant Hinze

Management

Well, I think I went through a list of some the accomplishments that we have seen. And the thing that I also emphasize is that we are in a new drilling program at Phoenix and until we have that new drilling program completed in that new model built, at this point right now, it's hard to give any additional information on Phoenix. Richard O’Brien: I think it is important John to recognize though, that we have worked hard on metallurgical issues. We've improved the recoveries, cyanide utilization. I think they have made progress in some areas at Phoenix, but as Brant says, we are not out of the woods in Phoenix at all. We still have work to continue to do there. As he mentioned, by next year, mid-next year, we should have a more detailed analysis of where the plan is going to go, going forward. So, not out of the woods, we continue to work Phoenix hard, and as we've said, both in the press release and on the call, it really is probably the number one risk here for us to deliver on production and guidance in Nevada.

John Hill - Citi Investment Research

Analyst

Very good. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from John Bridges, JP Morgan.

John Bridges - JP Morgan

Analyst

Hi, Dick, everybody. Richard O’Brien: Hi, John.

John Bridges - JP Morgan

Analyst

Many thanks for the update on the progress. We heard this morning about sustainable developments and mining companies building wind mills. I thought Brant might be talking about hybrid trucks for later in this year. Maybe next… Richard O’Brien: We forgot to mention that.

John Bridges - JP Morgan

Analyst

Maybe next quarter. With Phoenix could you give us a color as to why you're going with this program. It feels a little bit like the difficulties that Newcrest went through with lower grade peripheral or at Telfer. Are they any parallels with that?

Brant Hinze

Management

I can't speak specifically to the orders at Telfer, but what I can say right now is one of the variability's that we are seeing in Phoenix is because of the order characterization and recognizing where we are in the deposits early on in a long-life deposit. We are on the very fringes of it and this variability right now on the characterization, whether its oxide transition or sulfide, I think is one of the major contributors to the difficulties that we are seeing.

John Bridges - JP Morgan

Analyst

And these fringes tend to be poorly drilled because they represent a small faction of the ore body, I seem to think.

Brant Hinze

Management

That is correct and that is one of the reasons, as well too, that we are going back with the additional drilling program, so that we can better define and characterize the orders.

John Bridges - JP Morgan

Analyst

Okay, just to follow-up on Nevada. You had a pretty chunky strip ratio this quarter. Is your cost going to come down on a low strip ratio in the second half?

Brant Hinze

Management

Yes, that's true and as I said if you look at Nevada we are in that cycle. In Nevada we tend to be heavy strip in the first half of the year and then we hit the orders and come online with our higher grade orders, like we see in Twin Creeks in the second half of the year. We certainly love to break that cycle. But that's the nature of our operations at this point right now. So we will see these ores come online and coming stronger in the second half.

John Bridges - JP Morgan

Analyst

From your write-off it sounds if you're back to the old Newmont way of coming through with the bumper fourth quarter. And do you have or could you give us an indication as to what's going to hamper the strip ratio in Q3 and Q4?

Brant Hinze

Management

Yeah. Certainly as indicated, our strip ratio will come down. And you're right, if you look at the second half of the year, in particular from a Nevada perspective, one of the things I will be looking at, going forward, is breaking that second half cycle in future planning.

John Bridges - JP Morgan

Analyst

Okay. And you're something like six to one this quarter, are we going to four to one. Something like that? Richard O’Brien: John I don't think we have the number available for today. It is coming down; we'll try to get you the number going forward.

John Bridges - JP Morgan

Analyst

Okay thanks. I'll look after that hybrid truck next time. Richard O’Brien: Yeah, do get it.

Brant Hinze

Management

Yes, we are working on it.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from Victor Flores, HSBC.

Victor Flores - HSBC

Analyst

Thank you. Good afternoon. I have two or three questions. First of all, just turning to the operations, the comment was made that Leeville is, I believe coming into its own which is great. Could you give us some statistics to sort of point us as to how it's coming into its own, perhaps what production was during the quarter and what the cash costs were and where do you see that going, say, in the second half and in 2008?

Brant Hinze

Management

Yeah. When you look at Leeville and saying that it's come into own, we are completing the development phases of Leeville. So, we had the batch plans that came online in July and then we have the second batch plans that are coming online in September. And looking at that, that gives us the full capacity then for back drilling at about 3,200 tonne a day rate. And when we say it's coming into its own, that's what we mean, so we will reach the 3,200 tonne a day rate by the end of the year and this batch plans allow us to get there.

Wayne Murdy

Analyst

Victor, plus also what we're seeing is with the colony’s mine shutting down. We are moving some of our own employees that Brant talked about earlier who've gone through their training program and replacing the expensive contracted labor that we've had there to get the development, to get the production out. So, we are seeing a shift in that workforce and it is significant, to the bottom line, as far as cost.

Victor Flores - HSBC

Analyst

Okay.

Brant Hinze

Management

And to answer your other question Victor, we don't give production, separate production cost guidance for Leeville just because the way plant is running in the Nevada operation. We really are looking at a lot of centralized processing and cost.

Wayne Murdy

Analyst

It's just an indication of what we think for the third quarter and speaking to Brant's earlier comment we will mine about 315,000 tons, about 0.459 will contain ounces of about 140,000 ounces. As Dick alluded to, those ounces get processed at different locations, but we are looking at CAS roughly of about $300 an ounce for those ounces in the third quarter. Obviously, that CAS will fluctuate quarter-on-quarter based on the amount of production versus development as you well know, Victor.

Victor Flores - HSBC

Analyst

Okay. That's a good indicator. And then, some other question with respect to Yanacocha. With the mill coming on next year and then having a full year in '09, I believe, when recently I was talking about some production numbers that perhaps were indicative and perhaps new. Mine, as the operator, can you give us a bit of a sense of where that project is going in terms of the oxide mill, and what you see happing to heap leach tons going forward?

Randy Engel

Analyst · John Tumazos Independent

Hey, Victor, It’s Randy. Newmont’s guidance that we have out there right now is in the 10-K is the 1.6 to 1.8 that you have seen. There is as we’ve discussed, recovery upside in the mill. In the gold mill, but really our 10-K language is what’s out there from Newmont for the time being.

Victor Flores - HSBC

Analyst

Alright, fair enough. Great guys, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. (Operator Instructions). And our next question comes from Patrick Chidley, Barnard Jacob Mellet.

Patrick Chidley - Barnard Jacob Mellet

Analyst

Hi, good afternoon, everyone. I would like to ask few more sort of general questions about strategy. I think with the opening comments there, you alluded to maybe some different ways of doing business and that would mean perhaps whether you’d be looking to hedge more of your costs in terms of fuel cost, for example, and also in terms of looking, re-looking at exploration projects, which ones would you be looking at? And perhaps would you be looking at demanding a higher rate of return on new projects. Richard O’Brien: Well, with respect to the first question on hedging cost, I think the last several years have shown the importance of cost applicable to sales per ounce in terms of valuing gold companies. I think to the extent that we can manage our cost through an appropriate hedging program. It is definitely something that we will take under consideration. We'll analyze that, we’ll have some debate about it internally and then we'll make a decision as to whether we're going to execute and I'd say that applies to input commodities whether that's oil or diesel, whether it's some of the other commodities that we need that are derivative of that. We currently already have in place some initiatives in the purchasing side of the business with respect to tyres and other commodities that we need to process. So, I think we are going to be perhaps more active in evaluating. We'll let you know when as and if we execute something that would be material.

Patrick Chidley - Barnard Jacob Mellet

Analyst

Alright. Richard O’Brien: With respect to exploration projects and returns I'd say couple of things; one, I think its important for us when we talk about placing reserves, to focus on exploration but to also focus on development opportunities and other growth opportunities across the world. We can't just rely on exploration. When we look at returns for projects I think it’s important to recognize that our job is to provide gold options to investors, which partially comes from the return we should expect at an expected gold price in the future. And partly comes from the ability to expand a contract, based on what happens with gold prices, building in some more flexibility into some of our projects and focusing on a more consistent delivery pattern over a longer period in time. So I think well that is the formula we're considering, again it’s only words at this point and need to put that down in terms of the investment that you see us make, the leverage to gold price that those projects are able to actually show. And we have some work in this regard that we need to do. But I think the view should be that we will make investments in gold, that those investments in gold should lead the gold price leverage and when and if gold prices respond, we should get the proper returns out of those gold projects.

Patrick Chidley - Barnard Jacob Mellet

Analyst

So, basically adding some flexibility to your investments in terms of being able to switch on overall production as and when the gold price allows or? Richard O’Brien: Partly that and partly just being responsive to market prices in terms of retaining our cost structure, so that we are not always reaching for that last ounce of cost in the latest pit that we designed. Trying to design how we operate to be more predictable over a series of years, rather than one year focus. And again continuing to look for the responsibility to look for replacing reserves in the out years through that combination of exploration, growth oriented projects around the world and development of some of the opportunities that we have internally.

Patrick Chidley - Barnard Jacob Mellet

Analyst

Alright, could you maybe highlight a couple of opportunities that perhaps are not at the forefront of the current plan that maybe you could be within in a years time. Would be hearing lot more about? Richard O’Brien: No, I think I mentioned the ones I am comfortable mentioning, which are those in our portfolio, Akyem in Ghana, Conga in Peru and potentially the NASA project.

Patrick Chidley - Barnard Jacob Mellet

Analyst

Okay. There has been no talk about the Elang project for a while in Indonesia and I was just wondering whether that would be one of those projects or is that been? Richard O’Brien: It could potentially be, as you will recall, we were in a drilling program there last year, we had a social incurrence path the drill camp went through some social unrest, the camp was burned, luckily our people were evacuated and there weren’t issues. We are still working out with the community, as we always try to do. How do we get back into along and continue the drilling program that we had in place. Once that’s done, we’ll continue to further look at optimizing that ore body and determining whether or not it's economical at a reasonable copper price.

Patrick Chidley - Barnard Jacob Mellet

Analyst

Alright, and one final thing, I'd like to ask if you could consider releasing more information in terms of what the future strip ratios that some of the mines will be going forward because its obviously one of the largest variables that in an analyst side here, we just don’t necessarily get that information. Richard O’Brien: Hey, Patrick, we've noted your request. We'll see what we can do about that.

Patrick Chidley - Barnard Jacob Mellet

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from Barry Cooper with CIBC World Markets.

Barry Cooper - CIBC World Markets

Analyst · CIBC World Markets

Yeah. Good day. A question on -- about the issue with respect to the accounting method, now that you've dropped below 45%, will you go back to equity accounting as opposed to consolidated accounting on that asset?

Russell Ball

Analyst · CIBC World Markets

Barry its Russ, no, we weren’t and you're right, normally one would expect that a 45% ownership interest and we would be equity accounting. But in terms of the FIN 48 requirements which relate to the special purpose entities that post in on the world if you want, throughout disproportionate share of the economic benefits through the partnership we will still continue to consolidate, but at a 45% rate. And there is some disclosure in the queue which we provided earlier today, which reflects that so we'll consolidate, but it will be at the 45% rather than the 52.85 -- 875% we have been doing historically. Richard O’Brien: So the minority interest expense on the income stage will go up.

Barry Cooper - CIBC World Markets

Analyst · CIBC World Markets

Right. Okay then further on that issue, you had a realized copper price of $3.92 for the quarter. I am assuming, in part, that was due to a provisional pricing carry over into the second quarter. But I am wondering, is that $3.92 also include TCRC charges, which traditionally you've deducted from your realized price when you quoted it?

Russell Ball

Analyst · CIBC World Markets

Yeah, Barry, good question. It’s a little bit both, and if you look on page 37 of the Q, what that’s made up as a gross, which was essentially the spot price of $3.49. Again, we are 100% on hedges bought too and those hedges are done. We had a mark-to-market adjustment of $0.43 based on the increase in the copper price from the Q2 quarter end. And refining charges with $0.39 per pound for a net of $3.53 a pound. And again you will see a table, both based in dollars and cents per pound on page 37 of the Q if you want some more details.

Barry Cooper - CIBC World Markets

Analyst · CIBC World Markets

Okay. So then when you have the two paragraphs in your press release, the one related to $1.10 to $1.20 for your costs, and then you've realized the $3.92, is that on the apples-to-apples comparison?

Russell Ball

Analyst · CIBC World Markets

The $1.10 will include the TC/RC, so a better comparison would be 33.

Barry Cooper - CIBC World Markets

Analyst · CIBC World Markets

Right. Yeah. Okay. Good enough. And then the last question, you indicate that Mitrais is not a big component there and now there is a shutdown and then I am assuming you are not anticipating that it can be done probably. Can you just give us an idea of what kind of production levels in cost were coming from Mitrais. Either historical basis or what you had planned for this year, because we don't get that breakdown anymore?

Russell Ball

Analyst · CIBC World Markets

Yeah, Mitrais is, round number 120,000 ounce operation a year. So, we will shutdown towards the end of June as everyone knows of that unfortunate incident. And it’s a function of when we will back up and running. The holding cost there for us is about $1.5 million a month round numbers so that kind of puts it into spec but its not a huge driver in Nevada clearly but I'll ask Brant to speak to kind of where the investigation when we may potentially be up an running again.

Brant Hinze

Management

Yeah, at this point right now our maximum exposure for the second half would be 60,000 ounces that's assuming that we're not reopen there before the end of the year. We have completed our reopening plan and have submitted that to the agencies and we're now waiting for a response from them.

Barry Cooper - CIBC World Markets

Analyst · CIBC World Markets

And the cost on 120,000 ounces would be roughly what?

Russell Ball

Analyst · CIBC World Markets

340 an once, Barry.

Barry Cooper - CIBC World Markets

Analyst · CIBC World Markets

340? Okay. And then the final question relates to Boddington. I guess when Phoenix was originally acquired there was expectations that gave us somehow the learning process of Phoenix or conversely Boddington depending on which ever one got build first would lever yourself into a better understanding of how to tackle a second one. And I'm just wondering given the rather unfortunate circumstances about Phoenix how has that changed your view on Boddington and indeed has there been any change of scope or plan there because of what's happened to Phoenix?

Russell Ball

Analyst · CIBC World Markets

Barry, you're right, I'll address that. When we look at Boddington, very different flow sheet clearly different ore body, we did go to the high pressure grinding rolls as everyone is probably aware, we have looked at how those have performed at severity and are very comfortable with that decision quite frankly. We have done some extended work looking at some of the license learned out of Phoenix and have applied those two to Boddington. But when we look at it an overall process with respect to we have had a number of people coming and look at the flow sheet revisit our plan as far as the meteorological balance and the estimated ramp-up curve and we are very comfortable despite the issues at Phoenix. I will say that the Boddington project was a little more fortunate in that, we went through more of what I would call as stage gating process, than we did on Phoenix, given the construction schedule. So, we've had more internal and external peer review. Obviously Anglo is a partner on that, as was Newcrest until fairly recently. So, in addition to the Newmont folks looking at it we have had lot of people looking at it from Johannesburg and from Melbourne in the case of Newcrest. So, Barry no real changes but it is a very different flow sheet, we have had people from Boddington and Phoenix to look at it but the issues are somewhat more Phoenix specific than in general to the nature of the copper, remember that the copper at Boddington is a pretty small stream in the schema things.

Barry Cooper - CIBC World Markets

Analyst · CIBC World Markets

Right. Okay, thanks a lot. Richard O’Brien: Sure, Barry.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from John Tumazos from John Tumazos Independent.

John Tumazos - John Tumazos Independent

Analyst · John Tumazos Independent

Good afternoon and congratulations on all the busy work you have been getting done. Concerning the Merchant Banking business and I apologize if there was something in the recent disclosure I might have missed, with that business decelerating are the investments and Shore Gold, Gabriel Resources, Energy properties continued long term investments or are they something that is the opportunity came you could use the proceeds to pay for a miner and mill somewhere?

Randy Engel

Analyst · John Tumazos Independent

Hey John, it’s Randy. On the Newmont Capital portfolio really the two sides of the spectrum we are looking at, keep in mind that we try to emphasize divestiture of our non-core assets or reinvestment in our core gold business. So those assets that have gold investment characteristics such as the Miramar, Rosia Montana and although Shore Gold is a diamond play would have some comparable gold investment characteristics to it, those would be assets we’d be more likely to classify in that core gold business. The same that would certainly sit outside that would be the oil and gas royalty streams things of that nature.

John Tumazos - John Tumazos Independent

Analyst · John Tumazos Independent

Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Oscar Cabrera, Goldman Sachs.

Oscar Cabrera - Goldman Sachs

Analyst

Good afternoon guys. Just I think most of the points have been covered. But I got two quick questions. With respect to Akyem in Ghana, you are talking about development and optimization studies. Can you remind us what the options there are and when you say a decision expected in 2008, would this be early 2008 or later in the year? Richard O’Brien: Oscar, it's right. The Akyem project is one that’s going through the Stage-Gate process. We recycled it based on the significant increase in capital cost that not only Newmont is experienced but the industry. We are looking at that, it is a nominal 500,000 ounce a year operation. It’s 1.8 grand and it’s pretty near surface. So, the economics are compelling in addition to which we have a significant infrastructure in Ghana that we can leverage. However, we made a conscious decision to slow down given the capital spend that we have and quite frankly the ability to get resources to develop that project, not only internal resources, but resources through our EPC contractors, whether its floor or ethnic event, you guys know these stories as well as anyone. So, we continue to evaluate it. The real issue for us, again, still remains the economics, which are looking better as we continue to optimize it. But, also we still don’t have a permit, and we are working through that issue. The issue relates to backfilling of that pit, and I think we've disclosed that over the last couple of quarters. So, it is a two-pronged approach. I would say that from a social and a local perspective, we have strong support for the project and we continue to work that, in addition to at the national level, working through the appropriate channels. Again, power remains an issue on Ghana and if we brought this project on we would just be adding to the load. So, tied in into the decision to develop Akyem needs to be an overall understanding and whether that means ITP provided down the road or more reliability around the hydro power. We just need to make sure that if and when we do decide to develop this project we have the power to keep the mill churning.

Brant Hinze

Management

And I would say Oscar that decision will probably get may towards a latter part of next year as we work through all the issues. So, with that, Oscar do you have another question?

Oscar Cabrera - Goldman Sachs

Analyst

Yes, if I may, just a real quick one. On Boddington, you talked about the 44% completion. You gave us an idea of what the type of capital expenditures are you looking for in the project. In terms of the capital expenditures that you need to make, like I mean 44%, does that mean that you have about $450 million spent there and the rest would have an impact based on the exchange that we are seeing now? Richard O’Brien: No, I would say we're less spent on that, because the bulk of the profit to-date has been earned through engineering. We are really only getting into the field right now. Most of our long lead items have been procured, but a significant spend and particularly the Aussie dollar spend relates to the construction in the field and really that's ramping up as we speak. So, it would be less, I don’t have the exact number, ask it but I'll get them to John and he could forward them later.

Oscar Cabrera - Goldman Sachs

Analyst

Okay, great thanks very much guys. Richard O’Brien: Alright, thank you for your attention today. We appreciate you participating in our call and as I mentioned the IR department Randy, John and others are prepared to take your questions should you have some after the call. Thanks again, I appreciate your attendance.

Operator

Operator

I would like to thank everyone for participating in today's Newmont Mining Corporation teleconference call and at this time all parties may disconnect.

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Management