James A. MacLennan
Analyst · Clarkson Capital Markets
Thank you, David, and good morning to everyone on the call. Today, I'll address some details on our fourth quarter revenues and operating costs as well as certain items relating to the balance sheet. I plan to spend most of my time this morning walking you through our prepared guidance for the full year of 2013. I'll cover a number of line items from the consolidated statement of operations and details regarding our planned level of capital expenditures for 2013. Last evening, we reported fourth quarter 2012 net income of $128 million or $0.50 per diluted share on total revenues of $966 million. The results compared to net income in the third quarter 2012 of $115 million or $0.45 per diluted share on total revenues of $884 million. Contract drilling services revenues improved $88 million or 11% in the fourth quarter to $922 million compared to revenues of $833 million in the third quarter. The improvement was driven primarily by a 353 day, or 7% increase in operating days, together with improved average daily revenues including dayrate adjustments to cover annual operating cost escalations. Together, these improvements contributed $107 million to fourth quarter revenues. Several rigs returned to work in the fourth quarter following shipyard programs or mobilization periods that covered all or a substantial portion of the third quarter, including in our floating fleet the drillships Leo Segerius and Phoenix along with the semisubmersible Clyde Boudreaux. In our jackup fleet, the Charles Copeland, Gus Androes and Kenneth Delaney, all returned to work during the fourth quarter. Utilization in the fourth quarter rose to 83% from 78% in the third quarter while average daily revenues improved from $168,600 in the third quarter to $174,000 per day in the fourth quarter. Mobilization and demobilization payments and improved bonus revenues, primarily from certain rigs operating in Brazil, added $11 million to fourth quarter revenues. The quarter-over-quarter increase in revenues was partially offset by an increase in unpaid fleet downtime, which rose to 5.7% of operating days. This compared to 4.1% in the third quarter. The unpaid days, which reduced revenues by approximately $30 million, were attributable primarily to certain rigs operating in our Brazil, Middle East and U.S. Gulf of Mexico regions. 5 rigs that began in service in 2012, the Bully I, Bully II and Globetrotter I, which completed commissioning and client acceptance testing during the first half of the year and also the Leo Segerius and the Phoenix, which completed significant enhancements or maintenance programs during the third quarter, together accounted for approximately 33% of the downtime in the fourth quarter as early rig performance was challenged in regards to certain critical components, specifically subsea components such as BOPs. Our contract drilling services costs for the fourth quarter were at $484 million or $35 million higher than the third quarter total of $449 million. This 8% increase was driven in part by increased labor costs primarily relating to the previously noted rigs returning to work and a full quarter of operations on the Globetrotter I. These items added $15 million to costs in the fourth quarter. Also, mobilization costs contributed to the quarterly increase. The Clyde Boudreaux transit to Australia and the drillship Muravlenko mobilization from Brazil to the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, where it was cold-stacked, added $14 million to costs in the quarter. And finally, higher repair maintenance costs added $9 million in the quarter, which was partially offset by a $3 million reduction in other costs. DD&A for the fourth quarter was $209 million, within the range of guidance provided earlier. The quarterly total was up from $195 million in the third quarter, primarily due to the completion of the Leo Segerius shipyard project as well as the full quarter of operation for the Globetrotter I. SG&A expenses of $25 million were in line with guidance that was provided on our last call and compared to $27 million during the third quarter. Our tax rate in the fourth quarter was 29%, beyond our range of guidance of 17% to 20%, due to the unexpected change in the mix of pretax income following higher-than-expected idle time in our Middle East and Brazil divisions. The effective tax rate for the full year still came in at 21% or generally as predicted. Capital expenditures in 2012 totaled $1.67 billion compared to guidance of $1.8 billion. The lower amount was due to anticipated spending for subsea components which did not take place because of delayed deliveries by vendors and lower-than-expected major project capital expenditures which were deferred to 2013. The components of the 2012 total spend included $587 million for newbuild rigs; $693 million related to major projects including subsea-related expenditures, which was actually below guidance; $254 million for sustaining capital projects, also below guidance; and $136 million in capitalized interest. Before I turn to guidance for 2013, I'd like to briefly comment on the balance sheet and liquidity. At December 31, 2012, cash and cash equivalents totaled $282 million. Liquidity, measured as the sum of cash and cash equivalents and availability on revolving credit facilities, totaled $1.7 billion. As we reported, on January 17, 2013, the company elected to increase the maximum amount available under its 2 existing revolving credit facilities, adding a combined $500 million of capacity and bringing the maximum available under both facilities to $2.3 billion. Following this increase in the revolvers, the company's liquidity is approximately $2.2 billion. Accounts receivable at December 31 of $744 million decreased from $791 million at September 30 despite an 11% increase in contract drilling services revenues. The decline was due primarily to the collection of delayed payments from 2 customers as well as collection of mobilization revenues on the Charles Copeland, which were discussed during the third quarter 2012 call. Finally, total debt at December 31, 2012, was $4.6 billion, approximately unchanged from September 30, while debt to total capitalization was right at 35%. Moving on to guidance. I'd like to focus on the full year 2013 and also what we expect for the first quarter of the year, covering certain line items of the P&L as well as capital expenditures. First, unpaid downtime in the Noble fleet for 2013 is expected to range from 3.5% to 4.0%. This compares to actual unpaid downtime in 2012 of 4.1%. The higher range of guidance for 2013 compared to 2012 guidance is primarily driven by predicted initial start-up challenges on the new rigs to be added over the year. These being the drillships, Dawn Taylor and Globetrotter II, along with the new jackups, Mick O'Brien and Houston Colbert. Contract drilling services costs are expected to be in the range $2.05 billion to $2.15 billion for the full year 2013. Let me provide a reconciliation of the increase from the 2012 level of $1.8 billion. Firstly, new rig operating costs add approximately $125 million in 2013, new rig start-up costs of $40 million, then new operating locations and rigs returning to service in 2013 at $45 million, cost inflation was estimated at 6% to 7% adds $60 million, additional shore-based costs add $40 million including not only 2 new locations but also enhanced subsea and supply chain costs, and in a general bucket of other -- adds a further $15 million. In addition, we anticipate 2013 costs in the range $160 million to $180 million for labor contract drilling services and reimbursables, resulting in total operating costs of $2.2 billion to $2.3 billion. For the first quarter of 2013, contract drilling services costs are expected to be in the range $485 million to $495 million. Costs are expected to increase approximately $20 million per quarter thereafter. Costs associated with labor contract drilling services and reimbursables are expected to run $40 million to $45 million per quarter. DD&A for the full year is estimated to be in the range $865 million to $875 million. The increase is due primarily to the addition of the drillships, Donn Taylor and Globetrotter II, along with the new jackups, Mick O'Brien and Houston Colbert. For the first quarter, DD&A is expected to be in the range $205 million to $210 million. SG&A is expected to total $110 million for the year and approximately $26 million in the first quarter, with these costs split about evenly from quarter-to-quarter. Interest expense, net of capitalized interest, is expected to total $120 million to $130 million, $40 million above the total for 2012 due to lower amounts of interest capitalized with the completion of 4 newbuilds and the major drillship projects in Brazil. Net interest expense in the first quarter is expected to be $25 million to $30 million, remaining at this level until the fourth quarter when it's forecast to increase by about $10 million with the startup of operations on the 4 newbuilds. The minority interest line on our P&L, which as a reminder represents the Bully I and Bully II 50-50 joint ventures with Shell, is expected to total $55 million to $60 million in 2013, spread about evenly through the year. Our effective tax rate for 2013 is expected to be in the range 20% to 21% and likely towards the high end of this range. As you are aware, any changes in the geographic mix of sources of revenue or levels of profitability and tax assessments or settlements, all movements in exchange rates can all affect this line, as we saw in the final quarter of 2012. Finally, we expect our capital expenditures for 2013 to be approximately $2.8 billion, up from approximately $1.7 billion in 2012. The breakdown, by major spending category, is expected to be as follows: in our newbuild program, we expect to spend $1.5 billion, remaining CapEx needed to complete the newbuild program during 2014 should total approximately $1.2 billion. Major projects in 2013 are expected to total approximately $870 million, up from $693 million in 2012. This amount includes subsea component purchases, which reflects the timing of deliveries delayed from 2012. Completion of the life enhancement project on the drillship Roger Eason and several rig maintenance and regulatory inspection programs including the Discoverer, Paul Romano and Paul Wolff. Sustaining capital is expected to total $320 million of the total CapEx spend in 2013, up from $254 million in 2012 as a result of an increase in fleet size and also the change to a more premium mix of assets. Capitalized interest is expected to total $95 million to $105 million in 2013, again, distributed evenly across the first 3 quarters and decreasing approximately $10 million in the fourth quarter following the commencement of contracts on our new rigs. First quarter 2013 capitalized interest should run approximately $30 million. And total capital spending for the first quarter is expected to be about $1.0 billion. That concludes my comments, and Roger will now cover market outlook. Roger?