Katherine Scherping
Analyst · Eric Handler with MKM Partners. Please proceed with your question
Thanks, Andy. I'll walk through the results that Andy highlighted in further detail and discuss our thoughts on the quarter and our full-year outlook. For the first quarter, our total revenue increased 11.5% versus Q1 2017 to $80.2 million. This was driven by a 23.4% or $10.4 million increase in national advertising revenue and partially offset by an 8.9% or $1.7 million decrease in local and regional advertising revenue and a 4.8% or $400,000 decrease in beverage revenue. Total Q1 adjusted OIBDA increased 32.4% or $5.7 million versus Q1 2017 to $23.3 million and adjusted OIBDA margin increased to 29.1% from 24.5% over the same time period. The margin increase was driven by an increase in higher-margin national advertising revenue. Partially offsetting some of the revenue growth was an increase in adjusted operating expense of $2.6 million primarily related to an increase in affiliate advertising payments of $1.8 million related to higher revenue as well as a 5.5% or 362-screen increase in the number of affiliate screens compared to the first quarter of last year. A $1.3 million increase in personnel-related expense due to a decrease in capitalized internal labor costs and $300,000 in professional fees for the first quarter 2018 compared the first quarter of 2017. Also included in the first quarter is a non-cash impairment charge of $375,000 related to an investment made in prior years compared to a $1.4 million impairment charge in Q1 2017. Our Q1 2018 advertising revenue mix was 68% national, 22% local and 10% beverage versus Q1 of 2017 that was 62%, 26% and 12% respectively. For the first quarter, national ad revenue was $54.8 million, a $10.4 million or 23.4% increase versus Q1 2017, driven by a 21.8% increase in impressions sold and a 2.3% increase in CPMs. The increase in impressions sold was due to strong demand in the scatter market, driving inventory utilization to 95.2% in Q1 2018 from 76.2% in Q1 2017, partially offset by a 2.5% decrease in network attendance. Overall, CPMs increased due to an increase in scatter CPMs as well as heavier weighting of scatter revenue versus the first quarter last year. From a category perspective, we experienced strong growth in several categories including the government sector, telecom, Internet technology, apparel and insurance in Q1 2018 compared to Q1 2017. Q1 local and regional advertising revenue was $17.4 million, a decrease of $1.7 million or 8.9% due to a 10.5% decrease in total contract volume and in particular a 30% decrease in contracts greater than $100,000. As Andy mentioned, at the end of Q4 2017, we reorganized our local and regional sales team. We believe we are now through the transition period and we're seeing the benefits take hold as we enter Q2. Q1 2018 beverage revenue was $8 million, a decrease of 4.8% or $400,000 versus Q1 2017, driven by a 4.1% decrease in founding member attendants, partially offset by a 1.1% increase in beverage revenue CPMs in the first quarter 2018 compared to the first quarter 2017. At the beginning of 2018, we adopted a change in accounting principle related to our accounting for the payable to founding members under the tax receivable agreement. The change had no impact on revenue or operating income. More details on the change and the impact of non-operating expenses, net income and EPS are included in the first quarter 10-Q, which is expected to be filed tomorrow with the SEC. For the first quarter, we reported GAAP diluted EPS loss of $0.03 versus a loss of $0.02 in Q1 2017. The Q1 2017 EPS loss has been recasted to include the impact of an error in our accounting for income taxes that we disclosed in our 2017 10-K and the change in the accounting principle from $0.08 previously reported to $0.02 included in the corrections and change. Our capital expenditures were $3.5 million for the first quarter 2018 compared to $3 million for Q1 2017, with the increase driven primarily by our investment in our digital infrastructure. We estimate that our full-year 2018 capital expenditures will be in the $19 million to $21 million range or approximately 4.5% of revenue. The increase in CapEx over 2017 is related to approximately $8 million to $9 million that will be invested in our newly digital platform and approximately $2 million related to our headquarter move. We will receive $1.1 million of tenant improvement allowances to be paid by the landlord, which will reduce our rent expense over the 10-year life of the lease. Excluding the digital capital investment and move-related costs, our capital expenditures would be $9 million to $10 million or approximately 2.5% of revenue, which is slightly below our historical levels of investment. Now, moving on to our balance sheet, our total debt outstanding at NCM LLC at the end of Q1 2018 was $953 million versus $950 million at the end of Q1 2017. Our revolver balance at the end of the quarter in 2018 was $33 million compared to $30 million at the end of Q1 2017. Our average interest rate on all debt was approximately 5.4% at the end of Q1, including our $270 million floating-rate term loan bank debt and revolving credit facility that had a rate of approximately 4.4%. Excluding revolver balances, 68% of our total debt outstanding at the end of Q1 2018 had a fixed interest rate. Our consolidated cash and investment balances as of Q1 2018 was $81 million, in line with Q1 2017, with $78 million of this balance at NCM, Inc. We announced today that our Board of Directors have authorized the company's regularly scheduled quarterly cash dividend of $0.17 per share of common stock. The dividend will be paid on June 1, 2018 to stockholders of record on May 18, 2018. The dividend level was determined based on our plan to invest in the business over the next few years while providing financial flexibility. We intend to pay a regular quarterly dividend for the foreseeable future at the discretion of the Board of Directors consistent with our intention to distribute over time a substantial portion of our free cash flow. The declaration, payment, timing and amount of any future dividends payable will be at the sole discretion of the Board of Directors who will consider general economic and advertising market, business condition, the company's financial condition, available cash, current and anticipated cash needs and any other factors that the Board of Directors considers relevant. Our annual dividend yield is currently 12.2% based on Friday's closing share price of $5.58. Our pro forma net senior secured leverage at NCM LLC as of Q1 2018 was approximately 3.1 times trailing four quarters adjusted OIBDA, which is well below our senior secured leverage maintenance covenant of 6.5 times. You should also note that while we have no NCM LLC total leverage covenant, our total leverage at NCM LLC, net of cash balances, was approximately 4.2 times at the end of Q1 2018 and in line with Q1 2017. During the first quarter, we recorded $2.2 million of AMC and Cinemark integration and other encumbered theater payments for Rave and Carmike Theaters Raven versus $400,000 in Q1 of 2017. You should note all integration and encumbered theater payment are added to adjusted OIBDA for debt compliance purposes, but are not included in our reported revenue and adjusted OIBDA as they are recorded as a reduction to net intangible assets on our balance sheet. We expect to record approximately $21 million to $23 million of integration and other encumbered theater payments from our founding members during 2018. Now, I'll share with you our guidance for full-year 2018. As Andy noted earlier, we had a strong first quarter and the second quarter is off to a good start as well. Taking this into account, we are reiterating our revenue guidance, flat to up 4.5% versus 2017 or in the range of $425 million to $445 million and adjusted OIBDA of down 2.5% to up 4.8% or in the range of $200 million to $215 million. Turning now to our available cash calculation for 2018, starting with our adjusted OIBDA of $200 million to $215 million, you'll add the following as a build to available cash. Integration payments of $21 million to $23 million. Two, cash payments from the Fathom net receivable of approximately $4.5 million. As a reduction to available cash, you will subtract the following. One cash interest expense of approximately $52 million to $53 million. Two, capital expenditures of $19 million to $21 million, net of $1.1 million to be reimbursed from the tenant improvement allowances. And three, non-cash stock comp for inc. employees of approximately $6 million to $8 million. These are the components that will allow you to arrive at a projection for available cash at NCM LLC in 2018, which is paid to the four members of the partnership quarterly based on their ownership at the end of the quarter. This concludes our prepared remarks and we would now like to open the line up for questions. Melissa?