Alfred M. Rankin, Jr.
Management
Well, as you know, we don’t provide earnings guidance and have not for many years as a general matter. This is a particularly difficult year in which to have a sense of how economic conditions will affect our various businesses. At Hamilton Beach, like many other companies that are selling into the consumer retail environment, December sales were weak. We did have comparable sales in 2007 in the fourth quarter to the previous year, and I think we certainly don’t see at this time any upturn in the consumer demand environment. So we would work hard to try to maintain the placements that we have and hope for good sell-through and to gain some additional new placements. The bigger impact, really, in terms of the difficulty of the environment, is more at the operating profit level, and of course, we have the full year of the interest expense associated with the $110 million dividend. So I think you can expect that there are factors that are going to affect operating profit. I mentioned, particularly, the cost pressures that are coming through in the business, and I think we’re in the same position that essentially all companies are that have established supply stores in China. That was a tremendous cost reduction opportunity over a good many years, but now the supply business is very competitive in China. And the global upturn particularly in China and India has put tremendous pressure on price increases of commodities, and it’s very difficult to come up with cost reduction programs to offset those. So I think there is an element of change here in moving into a more inflation-driven environment in terms of the cost profile in businesses such as Hamilton Beach’s than has been the case in previous years. The suppliers’ margins simply don’t permit the absorption of those increased costs, and, obviously, we work very closely to try to pass on appropriate cost increases to our customers. But as I intimated in my comments, the customer cycle for negotiation is, to some degree, different from the cycle of negotiation with our suppliers. And the cost increases that we are receiving from our suppliers, based on accelerating commodity cost increases, have been increasing above our anticipation of just six months ago. So there’s likely to be a lag time that affects 2008, when some of those factors are coming through. It’s also fair to say that we had some placements in 2007 with margins that were attractive; we hope for those kinds of opportunities in 2008, but it’s very difficult to count on them. And at this point, we think that, given the cost pressures and the weak consumer market, that products with higher margins may have a tougher time selling through than perhaps was the case in 2007 and 2006. As far as specifics are concerned, I wouldn’t go any farther than to give you the general perspective that I just outlined.