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Nabors Industries Ltd. (NBR)

Q3 2017 Earnings Call· Wed, Oct 25, 2017

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the Nabors' Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note today's event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Denny Smith, Vice President of Investor Relations Development. Please go ahead.

Dennis Smith

Analyst

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining Nabors' third quarter earnings teleconference. Today, we will follow our customary format with Tony Petrello, our Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer; and William Restrepo, our Chief Financial Officer, providing perspective on the results, along with insights into our markets and how we expect Nabors to perform in these markets. In support of these remarks we have posted some slides to our website, which you can access to follow along with the presentation if you desire. They are accessible in two ways. One, if you're participating by webcast, they're available as a download within the webcast. Alternatively, you can download the slides from the Investor Relations section of nabors.com under the submenu, Events Calendar, where you will find them listed as Supporting Materials under the conference call listing. Instructions for the replay are posted there as well, under teleconference information. With us today in addition to Tony, William, and myself are Siggi Meissner, President of Worldwide Drilling Organization; Chris Papouras, our President of Nabors Drilling Solutions; John Sanchez, our Chief Operating Officer for Canrig; and other members of our senior management team. Since much of our commentary today will include our forward expectations, they may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Securities Exchange Acts of 1933 and 1934. Such forward-looking statements are subject to certain risk and uncertainties as disclosed by Nabors from time to time in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. As a result of these factors, our actual results may differ materially from those indicated or implied by such forward-looking statements. Also during the call we may discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures, such as adjusted operating income, EBITDA, and adjusted EBITDA. All references to EBITDA made by either Tony or William during their presentations, whether qualified by the word adjusted or otherwise, mean adjusted EBITDA as that term is defined on our website and in our earnings release. We have posted to the Investor Relations section of our website a reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most recently comparable GAAP measures. Now we'll turn the call over to Tony to begin.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Good morning, everyone. Welcome to the call. We appreciate your participation as we review our operations for the third quarter of 2017 and our view of the market going forward. William will follow with a review of our financial results. I will then wrap up, and we will take your questions. The third quarter served as a great example of how Nabors continues to execute on our new business model over the contract drilling industry. First, we signed two strategic acquisition agreements this quarter. These transactions represent major steps forward in realizing the vision of providing fully automated drilling operations. On August 14, we announced the signing of an agreement to acquire Tesco Corporation. Tesco has an excellent reputation worldwide as a top-notch service provider and rig equipment manufacturer. As I noted at our Investor Day last year, our vision is to leverage the drilling rate to serve as the delivery platform for Rig Services. We are doing this successfully across multiple product lines. Now we are ready to accelerate these efforts with Tesco's premium monitor tools and automation technology. The combinations of our complementary rig equipment product lines will also enhance scale, product offering and aftermarket service to our customers. Integration teams are working hard identifying how we can hit the ground running as combined team on day one. Close of the transaction is expected by the end of the year with synergy target as initially expected. Following the Tesco announcement, we announced on September 5 that we had closed the acquisition of Robotic Drilling Systems or RDS. This exciting technology represents a fully automated robotic drill floor. It is applicable both at onshore and offshore markets, on newbuilds, as well as retrofits. By combining the RDS technology portfolio with the Nabors global drilling platform, we are uniquely positioned…

William Restrepo

Analyst

Good morning and thanks for joining us today. Net loss from continuing operations attributable to Nabors of $121 million represented a loss per diluted share of $0.42. These numbers are slightly lower than the second quarter’s totals of a $117 million and $0.41 per share respectively. The reduction in income resulted from lower tax benefit than in the prior quarter. Revenue from operations for the third quarter was $662 million as compared to $631 million in the prior quarter, a 5% improvement. U.S. earning revenue increased by 19% to $223 million reflecting seven more rigs in the Lower 48 along with margin improvement for the segment. Lower 48 revenue increased by 18% as the higher volume was supplemented by an overall improvement in the average daily revenue of about $1600 per day. Renewals and new contracts increased our average day rate as multiple rigs were signed at spot rates exceeding the fleet average. In addition reimbursable expenses and limited to no margin also increased. We expect the favorable day rate trend to continue, especially with the five remaining new builds joining the fleet over the next two quarters and additional rigs rolling on to higher day rates. International revenue decreased by 2% to $374 million. This decrease reflected a reduction in average rig activity of just over one rig, partially compensated by higher margins of nearly $500. As Tony mentioned some of this margin increase was driven by exceptional performance of certain regions. We also anticipate a return to more normal performance levels following the strong second quarter. Canada began its recovery from the typical seasonal breakup. Revenue improved by 6% to $18 million as average rig count for the quarter increased from 12 to nearly 14. The improvement was somewhat dampened as compared to initial expectations. As clients showed…

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Thank you, William. I want to conclude my remarks this morning with the following summary. This quarter we took significant steps to increase our technology leadership in the drilling industry. We are adding a leading global KP and tubular running services provider to our drilling technology portfolio. We boasted our manufacturing operations with additional products and scale. And finally we took a big step forward in developing the goal of a manless fully automated drilling flow and both out and offshore. With these strategic acquisitions we believe that both our technology and rigs are second to none in the marketplace. Our mission now is to market in next Q to drive maximum cash flow from these investments. As William mentioned our leveraging cash generation will continue to be an area of focus. We will continue to enforce capital discipline. We will also keep squeezing for out of our operations to compensate for increased working capital requirements. These requirements have arisen as a result of our strong and sustained growth. I will finish my comments by saying that the market we're facing still present some challenges. However, we are experiencing increased interaction with our customers on future activity and on the introduction of new technology. These interactions indicate our customers are busy and focused on future projects. With the operators continued focus on lowering dollars spent per BOE we’re finding that their interest in technology is increasing. We are positioned to meet that need in terms of both drilling efficiency and resource recovery. From that point of view the environment certainly feels better than three months ago and it seems to be playing to our strength. We have invested both in our asset and in new technology and we are now position to reap the benefits of these efforts. That concludes my remarks this morning. Thank you for your time and attention. With that I will take your question.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Today's first question comes from Ole Slorer of Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Ole Slorer

Analyst

The drilling operations team came in pretty much in line with what we were looking for in Canada maybe a little weak. But Canada, the surprise this quarter was out of Canrig, I wondered whether you could sort of discuss a little bit just exactly what went wrong there why the weak numbers and clearly you’re in the process of putting together something much bigger on that front. So the strategy between RDS and RSS how far away you are from what you think integrating this and delivering something that, it's actually they can allow you take a bigger role of share in a rig market affects bit maybe leveling off in the 130/140 level?

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Well first of all just go to thank - I am equally annoyed and disappointed about the number as the shortfall. And it make no mistake about it. And it’s not really acceptable what happened. But I also have to put things in context, first of all what happened in Canrig. I think the first you can point out, the 2Q numbers as we pointed out Tesco list, as Tesco the 2Q numbers reflected particularly the margin and in fact that our value did an exceptional good job that quarter you were getting raise on that, so therefore they see working longer during that 2Q than normal. And actually if you look at the share of the rig count in the 2Q versus the first quarter, actually our market share in the 2Q we’re not disproportional then the so-called practice because of that. So the delta between the 2Q and 3Q is very good to something that was exceptional to 2Q that’s point one. Point two, what nearly happened, as we had a core customer that once the prices start turning they dropped two rates on us and the second customer deferred queries as well up there. So that combines with the cost to choose of having people on the payroll made to do that work that’s all contributes to the delta. Now that being said, we have put this in context that the fourth quarter we're going up a couple rigs and also the margin we expect to increase that by 30%. I’ll return to Canrig next. So on Canrig the issue there was frankly that we had five different flowing contractors all of whom cancelled orders at the last minute in the quarter. Those orders range from up to six top drives four engine and five catalogs collectively…

Ole Slorer

Analyst

It does Canrig, so you highlighted that there is very big cancellations I purse with those cancelations come with equipment that said pretty hefty down payments on that would that be correct?

William Restrepo

Analyst

Down payments are typically - down payments that are not refundable I mean they are not refundable so that’s the problem in this market today that’s the situation so that’s the issue.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

So Ole, the cancelations were only some of the equipment one piece of equipment was canceled another rig was moved to early Q1 2018 and most of the other equipment was deferred into the fourth quarter. So we expect a fairly decent quarter in the fourth for Canrig.

Ole Slorer

Analyst

Yes, it sounds like you should yes - you’re talking about deferred delivery of equipment that effectively you've collected down payment on. But Tony, the second question was around the losses in Canrig theoretic makes people nervous about your rig equipment expansion and you've added - the RDS and you added Tesco sorry in a process of adding. So you could kind of remind us a little bit about your vision for putting this together if it's possible to fill some synergist numbers around that or some other kind of reason you have for being confident that this combination will work out for you?

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Sure, so first of all so with Tesco acquisition, Tesco acquisition, the closing expect to occur sometime before the end of the year number one. Number two, I think the casing running business is a natural fit with our NDS strategy and they have huge inventory of existing unused assets which will kick start. There is a lot of room to grow in the U.S. alone on Nabors rigs where Tesco in terms of penetration today. And if we apply our NDS model so that casing running business as opposed to how the business is run by the major case running companies today we’re going to use interest raise and the way reduce the number of labor that we need on casing et cetera. I think we have a process back forth as significant a growth in 2018 with that casing business. The rest is performing and so we cost these are the manufacturing side of all the union with Canrig. So the way we see this performance combined with a sort of hyper growing accelerating the casing running business. But in terms of synergies I think at least $20 million for 2018 and $30 million to $35 million to 2019 based on the core side that’s not revenue synergies, that’s just core synergies that’s when we look at that today. And in terms of RDS, I think RDS and some of you are aware we already have one of the RDS pipe handlers working on our new rack continue to make this in the yard which we’re expecting to add for customer shortly. So that will be two commercialization of the technology. We’re in discussions with several large very large offshore drilling companies that have interest in the RDS technology for new drilling packages or retrofits on existing rates. And we are also looking at combined some of the RDS stuff with our iRacker stuff to make even more robotic. So those things I think we’re going to start, and you start to see those rolling out in the first two quarters of 2018.

Ole Slorer

Analyst

So looking into the middle of '18 and we should have an optimal size cost efficient rig building division, would that be fair?

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Well, we are not reading [indiscernible] between those optimal rig building or that’s cost efficient, I mean if you actually look at it Canrig's numbers historically, their returns on capital their willingness et cetera it was actually very cost effective this is midst because of these orders and the order magnitude yes its $5 million but your put it all in context.

Ole Slorer

Analyst

No sure, I was putting in the context of Tesco as well so yes thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

And ladies and gentlemen our next question comes from Marshall Adkins of Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Marshall Adkins

Analyst

I was just curious,[indiscernible] tickets this weekend just kidding, that's a joke, now don’t answer that never mind. Recognizing obviously Canrig’s is not huge component of the story going forward but that’s question. As for we’re going to be getting questions on today I just want to drill down a little bit more on that particular issue. Can you give us some sense of kind of what type of equipment was canceled or delayed, where was the equipment going geographically I mean was it mainly definitely U.S. and I guess the last component - go ahead.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

I’d say it was all the U.S. and six, seven were top drives and the rest were cat walks and ranches I love that.

Marshall Adkins

Analyst

I don’t want to read anything in this but are you getting any customer pushed back I mean you guys are pushing the envelope on putting together some bad rigs here for your own use so you’re getting a customer push back at all between selling the equipment to other contract drillers?

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Yes, there is one or two competitor in the marketplace that seems to have the view that they don’t want to buy from Nabors because we compete - Nabors of course we buy from everybody including people don’t compete us people like Weatherford we buy stuff from Weatherford even though we compete with them internationally. But the point is that I think the case that we have a number of contracts in the U.S. they actually like the fact that Nabors is using equipment and Nabors is behind it because first of all have the credibility and they know it works and it’s a good product. So the answer is yes, so current penalize it’s a mix bag so are those that give us but right now the cause is that out last them and as we get more interesting stuff out there people are becoming are even more interested, I find it very interesting that we are noticed, Canrig is not known its being in the offshore part of the segment even though we do have a bunch of top drives 750 drives these more towards offshore rigs but we’re not knowing but since this RDS acquisition people are thinking a second look at Canrig and realizing that they may offer a different path. So one way it’s really packaged that they can’t get anywhere else. So survey know I am moving this in fact the every this you really look at them in that whole arena which is a new frontier here for us.

Marshall Adkins

Analyst

That’s just what I needed. Shifting gears on my second one, I don’t know if these here, but I always love getting some color from on what the ups and downs or pros and cons that you are seeing right now in the international markets, which markets are hottest which markets are weakest that kind of stuff. Can you just give us a quick overview there?

William Restrepo

Analyst

So Marshall the markets - the only really bidding activities ongoing it’s in the Middle East, Latin America rightly be flat and maybe Argentina but not that much exciting stuff going on right now I would say.

Marshall Adkins

Analyst

Outside of Middle East you say.

William Restrepo

Analyst

There is some activity in Russia as well but as you probably know those thing take a long time. As there you added some activity but it’s nothing I mean it’s relatively flat I would say besides the activity in the Middle East.

Marshall Adkins

Analyst

And overall it's probably bottomed?

William Restrepo

Analyst

I hope so.

Marshall Adkins

Analyst

Thank you all very much.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Marshall the indication of the Middle East for example can reach this quarter it should be shipping to catwalks to Kuwait, so gives you an idea we’re supporting the cost of this we’ll be saying that there is activity there in the marketplace.

Operator

Operator

And our next question today comes from Kurt Hallead of RBC. Please go ahead.

Kurt Hallead

Analyst

So on the general tone of what you guys put forward here seems to be fairly constructive, I know you mentioned some cautious optimism around it. Can you give just some general update on where you see pricing in the U.S. market as you head out into the fourth quarter, I think last quarter a lot of conversation kind of centered around kind of the high teens kind of spot rate. So I just want to give us just an update on how you see the things pressing in fourth quarter and given your survey what you think may transpire as you head into the first part of next year for U.S. Lower 48?

William Restrepo

Analyst

The pricing has remained fairly stable for rigs that are rolling off and rolling into new contract and you’re right it’s in the high teens. Our new deployments though are getting somewhere in the range of $22,000 $23,000 per day so the new rigs obviously generate a little bit more juice but the ones that are upgraded to SmartRig are also and pretty high levels. We were expecting to see more momentum on pricing in the fourth quarter some - a few months back but prices have - I think right now stabilized around high teens and 19,000 kind of range?

Kurt Hallead

Analyst

Along those lines, I know you mentioned going into the fourth quarter about half the increase is expected to come from rate, the other half comes from lower cost. What can you guys do at this juncture with respect to the cost structure, is labor tight supply chain can you just comment on that?

William Restrepo

Analyst

Yes, labor is a little bit tight that’s correct. Supply chain not so much, I mean we’re not really even close to some activity levels that we were sometime in the past. So a couple years ago so supply chain I don’t feel is that tight but labor is starting to get a little bit tight and some competition for people out there in the market. What we're seeing though is a lot of these start-up cost that we incurred over the past quarters it’s gradually being amortized out of our balance sheet and I think in the fourth quarter we will see an impact on that a reduction in the amortization of those startup cost. And obviously we ramped up our headcount in expectation of maybe a few more rigs some of those were delayed by Harvey and others by a little bit more cautious or refrain from our client but as we head into the fourth quarter those extra hands were just flowing to the new rigs that are being deployed. So we should expect to see on a daily margin basis some improvement on the cost side and definitely on the revenue side we’re seeing it - we have high hopes for the dayrate progression for the feed during the fourth quarter.

Christopher Papouras

Analyst

Yes Marshall on the people issue - unlike before where I think I said this last call where can dig into a reservoir of existing people that reservoir obviously much more limited therefore the timing effort training issues there is more cost there and we had to give some increases to some people but as you know generally we share those with the first customer. So I think it’s fair to say though compared to the prior up cycle, we don’t have the labor pain that was putting us back then right now I wish not yet.

Kurt Hallead

Analyst

And then maybe just kind of one additional one, just coming back around to the totality of Rig Services going forward, once you roll in Tesco and RDS how should we as an investment community kind of think the revenue generation from that Rig Services business in 2018, what kind of level we’re looking at?

William Restrepo

Analyst

So we were hoping nobody would ask that question because in the middle of putting together all the numbers and the synergies with Tesco but we feel that Tesco does accelerate our initial plan and nothing that we’re going to go beyond our $200 million, $250 million target for 2020 but we do think we’ll get there faster. I think we expect the very material growth in 2018 versus our run rate for the fourth quarter which as I mentioned was $50 million. So we’re not ready yet to give you a specific number but definitely very material growth year-on-year and versus the run rate of the fourth quarter.

Kurt Hallead

Analyst

Just to clarify so that $50 million run rate was for the totality of Rig Services not just for the NDS?

William Restrepo

Analyst

No, that’s NDS, that’s NDS. Yes, Rig Services and then I mean Canrig if you look at last year the numbers for Canrig were much worse than this year. So we’ve really made some strides in getting closer to breakeven and we fully expect to be breakeven in the fourth quarter and then positive for Canrig even without Tesco next year. So Tesco will just see an incremental to those numbers as well.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from Waqar Syed of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Waqar Syed

Analyst

William, as you acquire Tesco with equity how would the net debt to cap ratio change for Nabors?

William Restrepo

Analyst

The Tesco position obviously is very helpful to the covenant calculations on our debt and it takes it down by roughly close three percentage points depending on what the closing share price for Nabors is, but that's the expectation including the cash that comes in with Tesco plus the equitization coming from the RDS is about three percentage point turnaround. So it is very helpful to our metrics.

Waqar Syed

Analyst

And then any early thoughts on CapEx for 2018?

William Restrepo

Analyst

I think you should not expect the number higher than this year.

Waqar Syed

Analyst

Okay.

William Restrepo

Analyst

And to put it in perspective remember that we’ve really been working very hard in capital discipline. First year I was here a few years back on the drilling we spent about $1.5 billion, the next year we cut that down to about $900 million and last year we had about $430 million. So - and this year we’re traveling at about a $500 million range despite the fact that maintenance CapEx that we’re developing of the rigs went up - somewhat. So that’s going to continue be our focus next year making sure that we really spend the money where its going to give us the most payback and try to limit how much we spend overall.

Waqar Syed

Analyst

And could you also talk about maybe Tony on the arrangement with Weatherford house that proceeding?

Tony Petrello

Analyst

So, we have our technical team making progress. It identified can work together and we’re just carrying that out and so we hope to conclude something this quarter.

Waqar Syed

Analyst

On managed special drilling.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Yes, on managed special drilling.

Dennis Smith

Analyst

We're starting to run close on time. Let's just take one more question and wrap up the call please.

Operator

Operator

Today's final question will come from of Jim Wicklund of Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.

Jim Wicklund

Analyst

I think that’s great you guys just saved the best for last that was incredibly smart I’ll include in my note? Good job. Tony you talked about robotics on offshore rigs first, you got platform rigs, your rigs that you're building are state-of-the-art. Longer-term how much of that business is going to be captive business for you guys and how much of it is going to be third-party commercial?

Tony Petrello

Analyst

I would like a significant part to be third party commercial offshore basically Exxon pipe, I think it should be authored for you obviously and I’m sure I think we have a way to go ahead get penetration on our own rigs first, there could be component - remember to make motivation there is several components of tool kit that you need, you need all of that, first you need rolling skating mouthful different things and these components I think we’re going to starting letting third-parties buy some of the components because the dozen stuff is only existing marketplace. So it will be a partial third-party build-up of stuff of the onshore versus but offshore we're ready to let offshore have it.

William Restrepo

Analyst

So typically in Canrig about half our sales come from third-party. So we probably have a 10% market share of the rigs and of the rig business and therefore probably our Canrig business addresses somewhere in the range of 20% of the total market including Nabors.

Jim Wicklund

Analyst

Okay, that's helpful. And my follow-up if I could. We've seen companies obviously do the running case against tubing you already directional drilling. Is there any temptation to put your toe back in the water on cold tubing or high end workover rigs or heaven forbid pressure pumping or any of those type completions related are you just stick with everything that’s kind of more ancillary to a drilling rig?

Christopher Papouras

Analyst

Jim though hit our blood pressure on that.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Our place is pretty full right now Jim. Our place is pretty full though we have right now may work. So we want to do the best to work on right now okay.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I’d like to turn the call back over to the management team for any closing remarks.

Dennis Smith

Analyst

I just want to reiterate, thanks for everybody participating today and if we didn’t get to your questions or you have any other questions just feel free to give us a call or email us at anytime. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

And thank you sir. Today's conference has now concluded and we thank you all for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines, and have a wonderful day.