Earnings Labs

Nabors Industries Ltd. (NBR)

Q1 2015 Earnings Call· Wed, Apr 22, 2015

$98.79

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning and welcome to the Nabors Industries, First Quarter 2015 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] After today's presentation there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Denny Smith, Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Denny Smith

Analyst

Good morning everyone and thank you for joining Nabors earnings teleconference. Today we will follow our customary format with Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer, Tony Petrello; and William Restrepo, our Chief Financial Officer, providing our perspectives on the quarter's results along with some insight into what we are seeing in our markets and how we expect Nabors to perform in these markets. In support of these remarks we have posted some slides to our website which you can access to follow along with the presentation if you desire. They are accessible in two ways; one, if you are participating by webcast, they are available to download within the webcast. Alternatively, you can download the slides from within the Investor Relations section at nabors.com under the Events Calendar Submenu, where you will find them listed in supporting materials under the conference call listing. Instructions for the replay are posted on the website. With us today in addition to Tony, William myself, William are Laura Doerre, our General Counsel; and the heads of our various business units. Since much of our commentary today will concern our expectations of the future, they may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Such forward-looking statements are subject to certain risk and uncertainties, as disclosed by Nabors from time to time in its filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. As a result of these factors, our actual results may differ materially from those indicated or implied by such forward-looking statements. Now, I'll turn the call over to Tony to begin.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Good morning everyone. Welcome to the Nabors Industries conference call to review results for the first quarter of 2015. We appreciate your participation. As Denny mentioned, we have posted the accompanying presentation slides on our website. I will begin with some opening remarks. William will follow with a financial review of the first quarter. I will then wrap up to take some questions. A lot has happened since our fourth quarter earnings announcement, which was just last month. There have been three developments which I want to call particular attention to. First, on March 24 we closed the transaction with C&J Energy Services. The transaction is transformative for both companies. For the Nabors shareholders we significantly enhanced our balance sheet liquidity. At the same time Nabors retained just over half the equity ownership in the new C&J. Now that the deal has closed, we are looking forward to a long and mutual beneficial relationship with the team at C&J. Second, we have been awarded a contract to deploy six new built PACE-X rigs with a customer in Colombia. These rigs constitute six of the eight on contracted X rigs which we previously indicated we intended to build in 2015. This contract illustrates the appeal of our advanced rigs and markets beyond the Lower 48. These six rigs will be the first X rigs to work outside the U.S. Third, the Big Foot platform was floated out with our rig installed to the Gulf of Mexico in late March. This 4,600 horsepower rig on that platform is one of the largest drilling rigs in use today. It represents very significant capital investment on our part. This milestone enables us to begin generating a return on the investment. Now, I will comment on the performance in the first quarter. Our overall results…

William Restrepo

Analyst

Thank you Tony and good morning everyone. Net income from continuing operations as reported for the first quarter was $124.4 million or $0.43 per diluted share, on revenue of $1.42 billion. Consolidated revenue for the quarter decreased by 20% as compared to the fourth quarter of last year. Revenue for the businesses remaining in Nabors following the C&J transaction fell by 11%, while the completions in production business fell by 39%. I would like to point out though that as a result of the effective date of the transaction, these product lines have 9% fewer days available in the first quarter. Therefore the sequential reduction in Completion & Production activity on a comparable basis was similar to the one experienced in our U.S. Lower 48 land drilling business. The company’s first quarter results included several items whose net impact somewhat obscured the operational trends of the company. These included first, capital gains related to the C&J transaction for the total impact after taxes of $61.9 million or $0.22 per share. Second, various benefits from prior year taxes related to settlements on existing contingent exposures and the filing of tax returns in several jurisdictions for a total of $10.5 million or $0.03 per share. And third, after tax severance cost incurred in adjusting the company’s structure to the current market situation totaling $6.3 million or $0.02 per share. Adjusting for the above items, first quarter net income was $58.3 million or $0.20 per share as compared to an adjusted $96.3 million or $0.33 per share in the fourth quarter of 2014. The above first quarter still included Completion & Production financial results that will be replaced from the second quarter onwards by 53% of the C&J Energy Services net income. This item will be reported as earnings from affiliates below the…

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Thank you, William. Let me finish with a summary of our overview and outlook. First, the U.S. drilling market continues to contract and that is rippling through other markets globally. We are responding with focused efforts to balance current market pricing and utilization and adjust our cost structure and capital budget as necessary. Second, we continue to pursue opportunities to add rigs and high-spec drilling markets around the globe at attractive risk-adjusted rates of return. Third, in this environment, the importance of financial flexibility becomes paramount. With the proceeds from the C&J transaction we have significantly improved the company’s financial position and we are well positioned to withstand the current market downturn. Fourth, we are committed to our vision of the future drilling market, one where technology enables improved well productivity and a meaningfully lower cost structure for our customers. We continue to invest through this downturn. We intend to emerge from the downturn with drilling solutions that position Nabors as the clear driller of choice. That concludes my remarks this morning. Thank you for your time. With that, I will take your questions.

Operator

Operator

We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Ole Slorer of Morgan Stanley.

Ole Slorer

Analyst

Thanks a lot and congrats with a very robust performance in a difficult backdrop. I wonder whether you could maybe first of all just give us a little bit of a sense of a stand in terms of streamlining the organization, not just from a cost standpoint, but previously you’ve been talking about changing the way you are marketing the rigs in North America and making other structural changes to the organization. So Tony, where do you think you stand now in terms of achieving some of these structural objectives for the company?

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Actually we’re in the process of a consolidation of our historical business unit structure of kind of combining it. So we’re going to a more unified management structure where the U.S. operation, Canada and International would all have a common management structure and common goals and objectives, etcetera. So we’re in the process of doing that and we’re going to be announcing something on that very shortly and that’s a continuation of the change that we’ve made so far in terms of consolidating certain corporate staff functions like engineering, etcetera, so we think that’s the first step. The second thing is we are looking at changes to market, taking the benefits of Canrig's Technology in terms of making it more paramount in the marketing of our rigs, which we think really differentiates Nabors rigs. So part of this re-org that’s going on right now, it’s going to do that as well. So that’s a clear priority for us right now.

Ole Slorer

Analyst

And when do you think we get some more color on that? And you said there is an imminent announcement, but is this an initiative that will last for the next 18 months or is this something that you will carry out with the full benefit of the current down cycle and see a more completion of it in 2015.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

This is happening now. It’s going to happen this quarter.

Ole Slorer

Analyst

Okay, thank you. As a follow-up, on the PACE-X rigs who you have mentioned 9% to 7% utilization, but also that the current, for the rest of this down cycle, I think you suggested that your own decline in rig count would be in line with the industry. So could you talk a little bit about the resilience of PACE-X rigs into this, you highlighted that some of your end equipment will now start going down. So could you just shed a little bit more color on how this decline really impacts the various segments of your fleets?

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Ole, we didn’t quite understand the question. Could you say that again?

Ole Slorer

Analyst

Yes, I mean you highlighted that there will be a continued slowdown in the overall industry rig count into the second quarter and that you owned, if I understood correctly, that a drop in your own rig count would mirror that of the overall U.S. rig count. Did I misunderstand or could you just shed some more light on that?

Tony Petrello

Analyst

No, I think that’s correct. I don’t think we expect to do as good as the industry frankly and obviously the drops should be tempered by the existence of the term contracts. So almost 90% of our rigs are on term contracts, so that provides some additional protection compared to the market as a whole. So I think given that, the market as a whole doesn’t 90% on term. I think we should do better at the market as being shipped out to the bottom here, that’s the way I look at it. Of course the other thing is that it’s hard to say where the bottom is. I think what’s clear is that the rate of decreases has slowed, but I think we are still not ready to call the bottom.

Ole Slorer

Analyst

And in the context of that, your PACE-X rigs, how do you see rigs rolling off contract? Do you think you’ll get them back to work and displace competitor rigs or do you see that the PACE-X rigs will also lose utilization in line with your overall reductions?

Tony Petrello

Analyst

I think the PACE-X rigs are still the preferred rigs. To accept the operators plays in today’s market with the economics and closed pad drilling, the X rig is still a preferred rig and frankly the X rig is – weakly we’re out performing everything. In fact we’re moving the X rig where most people would have looked at the X rig as rated moves slower than some of the fast moving 1,500 horsepower rigs that don’t have the same pad capability, but we now can actually move the X rig and we’ve had to move it for three days. So for the rig that tries to move in three days, less than three days I’m told, the guys are telling me. So I think the X-rig is really differentiating itself. So I expect as long as the economics for the operator include pad drilling, the X rig is going to be the favored rig.

Ole Slorer

Analyst

Okay, thanks a lot for clarifying that for me. I’ll hand it back.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And our next question will come from Angie Sedita of UBS.

Angie Sedita

Analyst

Thanks. I echo the sentiment. Congratulations on that solid quarter, particularly in the U.S. given current conditions.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Thank you.

Angie Sedita

Analyst

So Tony, it was mentioned a little bit there by William, but if you think about 2009 right, clearly a very different cycle, but one that we did start to see a recovery in the fourth quarter of the year and I think you guys touched on a possibility of seeing a recovery in Q4 of this year, which was an interesting comment. So can you talk a little bit about your thoughts about the pace and the timing of the recovery in 2016 in a $60 to $70 oil world?

Tony Petrello

Analyst

So, as I said before in conference calls, if I could predict oil prices I wouldn’t be doing this job Angie. I’d be creating it for my own account, so that’s pretty clear. So in terms of – I don’t subscribe to the V [ph] theory and I think I’ve said that previous to everyone. I don’t see the V recovery here. I view it more as an elongated, slightly increasing loan bathtub. In other words, we got a decline and over the next 18 months it’s going to be a slow climbing up with gigs and jags [ph]. I think those, number one, uncompleted wells are about – I’ve heard estimates now close to 4,000 is the estimate I’ve heard. Once we see some kind of rebound in pricing you’ll see some production response to that. I think it’s going to make everything a little bit of a jag at return. So our strategy frankly is, we’re hunkering down for planning the 2016 is not a great year and we’re acting accordingly. So we have certain priorities, I have articulated on the call here today that are guiding us. Obviously the first thing is our cost control. Things within our control to do the best of lowering our cost structure, not just SG&A but our direct expense and you saw our merge that improved. In part we’ve gotten some corporation from vendors, helping us lower our cost as well, that’s been helpful. We also have a priority here of extracting more out of our asset base. I think Nabors has a terrific global asset base and to accept that that’s fully utilized or optimally utilized, that’s a real priority. We actually have an internal metric that we’re imposing on the business units to make them have incentives to do…

Angie Sedita

Analyst

No, that’s fair and we would think the same that it’s very shallow at that exit point of the year at a lower than where we entered in that year and so therefore if you think about the world that way in 2015 and obviously we will see some resumption of activity and the pace that and clearly are showing their medal. Do you think it’s the industry as a whole or do you have your PACE-X rigs all back to work and your peers have their “pad capable of rigs” back to work. Do you think you could actually see a raising or rising stay rate environment for those rigs even if we have idle SDR mechanical rigs or….

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Yes, we’re rising from today, yes I could see that. I mean I think – I don’t see us getting back quickly to numbers that we were 10 months ago, but we’ll see as 2016 unfolds how rapid that increase occurs, so.

Angie Sedita

Analyst

Great, thanks. I’ll turn it over.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Okay.

Operator

Operator

And the next question is from Douglas Becker of Bank of America.

Douglas Becker

Analyst

Thanks. Tony, you highlight the value proposition that you’re focusing on for customers. The PACE-X rigs are getting very high utilization. Normally finally we do see activity improving. How do you see market share among the four larger players playing out. Just really given the differences in the fleets and the fact that everyone had now a pretty valuable pad capable and drilling rig.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Well I think there is a role for the four and I think the four as a group frankly should – if you look at other industries I think this thing should consolidate more and more to your larger percentage of your total pie, that’s what I think is going to happen over time. I think the natural thing to happen and as the operators expectations change in terms of what they demand for safety and performance, etcetera, I think the 10 rig operation is just not going to be competitive. So I see over time and especially in this market right now, all those others players will be driven out and its going to be something like the Big Three or the Big Four left of course we want to one of them, so…

Douglas Becker

Analyst

On an organic basis would you expect to be taking share as well?

Tony Petrello

Analyst

That’s our mission, obviously. Our missions is we think we have the best, the best arsenal and we are going to – I think you’ve seen the new Nabors in the past 12 months and I think you can see hopeful the next 12 months some other steps will be taken to make sure that we can differentiate ourselves and show something to grow disproportionate to the market; that’s our mission.

Douglas Becker

Analyst

That makes sense. And then just briefly on the operating cost, very impressive in the first quarter. If we think about it for Lower 48 on a per day basis, do those continue to trend down over the course of the year even though activity might be turning lower or is that just too much to offset.

William Restrepo

Analyst

You mean the cost themselves are your saying.

Douglas Becker

Analyst

Yes, on a per day basis.

William Restrepo

Analyst

Yes, I would say they are going to continue to tend down. So that’s obviously the goal. There is obviously a fixed element of cost here that doesn’t get a certain number and they will be plateaus reached. So I think there is going to staggered levels where at certain points where you can’t get to the next level at a certain rig count. So you are stuck with a kind of fixed overhead in the field somewhere. But generally I think we’ve been pretty good about adjusting as quickly as we can our rig counts or our infrastructure, including fixed cost and that’s one of the missions for the guys here that they are really very focused on. And we will try to do our best on that.

Douglas Becker

Analyst

The first quarter bears to that. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And next we have a question from Kurt Hallead of RBC Capital.

Kurt Hallead

Analyst

Hey, good morning.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Good morning.

Kurt Hallead

Analyst

I’m kind of curious as we’re going to go through this cycle downturn and as we come out the other size of this cycle. You think that there is going be a structural shift back to how business used to be down in the context of well-to-well drilling activity and is this hole fervor and about manufacturing style drilling and pad style drilling and the need for three year contracts is – is that kind of like – is that going to change in this next phase. What’s your take on that?

Tony Petrello

Analyst

I think the underlying motivation is still going to be the same. In other words, if the shales are here to stay and you’re committed to a manufacturing environment, the only way you really get there is consistency and repeatability. And so whether the actually same kind of term contract is the vehicle to make sure that happens or not, I can’t be sure to say, but I think there is going to have to be something that makes that become a priority with the customer. And frankly even in this market today as things are being jockeyed about, one of the things that we are finding is customers are recognizing that building the lions relationship with one or two people is core to them for those reasons. So I do think that’s going to be made a priority. As I said, whether that means that when we continue new building against term contracts and I think that will be to spend at frankly bigger macro issues like supply and demand, availability of rigs. But I think operators and contractors, it’s in their collective interests to not go through this gig jag with was characteristics of years ago. I think one of the reasons why you see this growth productivity and performance frankly is because a large portion, we are on term contracts and it’s like a baseball team, right. If you put a good bunch of guys on the field that never worked together and they are only there for a couple of innings, they don’t perform, but if they get the time to work together over time, that improves the team performance and I think those kinds of dynamic supply in our business and I think small operators are realizing that and its up for us to make that clear to them an give them a reason to go down that path.

Kurt Hallead

Analyst

Okay and then secondarily I know that there’s been some subletting of land rigs out there by your customers. Kind of an interesting dynamic that’s usually been reserved for the offshore drilling space. What’s your take on that and how exposed is Nabors from sublet?

Tony Petrello

Analyst

It’s not a big exposure, I mean but frankly it does affect operators in terms of the availability of operators for us to put back rigs to work because they are filling other customers needs by transferring term contracts. So I think it is a factor in terms of the resistance point for us, but not a big factor in terms of our problem ourselves.

Kurt Hallead

Analyst

Okay, great, that’s it from me. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Marshall Adkins of Raymond James.

Marshall Adkins

Analyst

Bravo gentlemen, good work. Let’s hone in on the international side. We haven’t delved into that in too much detail. Obviously your mark will turn around from a few years ago. The new rigs that you have going into the International market, could you give us a field for number one, geographically where those are going for; number two, I assume some of them will be going to Saudi. Are those replacing – since you have a dominate position, are they replacing some the rigs that were there, are they incremental, just highlight us on the overall geographic outlook.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

I’m going to let [inaudible] take the call, okay.

Unidentified Company Representative

Analyst

So, thanks for your nice comments regarding the management. So the...

Tony Petrello

Analyst

It’s been a while, it’s hitting $100 million quarter operating number and frankly I was really pleased that it would happen this quarter. I actually didn’t expect it myself. So I think what it does show Marshall is the real depth of international, which we’ve been talking about for a while and we know we had disappoints in prior years and I can’t say that as we said in our remarks this thing is going to continue at this rate right now. But I think it does demonstrate what we have as really an operation with a lot of potential, so Siggy [ph].

Unidentified Company Representative

Analyst

So regarding the question, the rigs that go to Middle East they are clearly incremental rigs while the other rigs that Tony talked about that are going to South America. It’s a mix of incremental and existing fleet. So it’s a mix of replacing existing rigs and its – we are replacing for the legacy rigs basically inputs 16 new rigs.

Marshall Adkins

Analyst

Okay and then the follow-up on that, just stick on the same subject is, obviously that is likely to slow, we all know it lags. Any thoughts on looking after ‘16 and beyond? Do we see it stabilize in ’16 and move up or is this going to be a multi-year battle or fight on the international side?

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Well, to be honest with you, it’s still yet to be determined. I think the battle – as we mentioned before, there is a battle on pricing right now, but the interesting thing Marshall is bid activity is still ongoing in both South America and Middle East. So that gives me some expectation that things could be okay in 2016, but we’ll have to see. But we do have – actually we do have current bid activity in both locations right now. So that’s the only visibility I have to answer your question.

Marshall Adkins

Analyst

All right, that’s where I’m getting at. It sounds like things, it didn’t just shut down, we are going to keep going there. Right, thanks.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

People haven’t just got it and closed the door basically, that hasn’t happened internationally, like in some quarts in the U.S. that hasn’t happen at least in some of our core markets, so...

Marshall Adkins

Analyst

Great job. Thank you all.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Thank you.

Denny Smith

Analyst

Laura, this is Danny. We are getting close to the top of the hour. Why don’t we just take one more question please.

Operator

Operator

Sure. That final question will come from Robin Shoemaker of KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Robin Shoemaker

Analyst

Yes, thank you. On the international activity in these pricing concessions that you’re mentioning, how does that work. I mean you’re customers are asking for pricing concessions and your giving them. Is there any tradeoff there with regard to contract term or is it kind of like at this point mainly a unilateral type of move on your part.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Well, I think you can assume that that’s obviously one of our objectives and we try to make it work both sides and that’s one of the things we pitch to the operator and more term or you will be picking up additional legacy rigs that someone else – that they are laying down on somebody else to add more share to us. Those and some of the things that we had, and then also we also tried to get more content. For example, selling them off some performance tools which will also hit margins. So there’s a bunch of things like that. That’s why I said in today’s environment it’s hard to figure out when you hit pricing, you can’t read too much into it, because one of these other things are going into effect in these new deals, but extension of term is clearly one of them.

Robin Shoemaker

Analyst

Okay good. So you are getting something in return there. And so then you are expecting the international activity to be down in the second half of the year. I believe you said along with reflecting the pricing concessions that you made, and it’s down 10% in the second quarter in terms of your rig years. I assume it goes down from there?

Tony Petrello

Analyst

We said for the full year, 10% reduction in rigs. We did say the second quarter would be affected already by some pricing concessions that are in the pipeline. But we still expect a strong quarter in the second quarter for international. The sharp decline would be in the second half of the year.

Robin Shoemaker

Analyst

Okay, and if I may ask just on your domestic rigs, the 18 that are stacked on rate, and your including those in your active or your rigs on rate. So is the margin on those rigs stack on rate comparable to working rig.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

I would say comparable is a good phrase. I mean obviously there’s pluses and minuses and maybe a little bit more pluses but comparables is probable the beast way to say it.

Robin Shoemaker

Analyst

Okay and assume that those are unlikely to go back to work, but are more likely to be just stacked for the duration of their term.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Maybe likely stacked for the duration of the term, but depending on what happens in the market our historical experience has been things that gets back to our rate. A lot of times we’ve had operators once they changed their mind, they quickly come back and say they want to reactivate it. So the question is, how soon does anything turn around over there, prompt in thinking those terms. But we have had situations where nothing’s stacked on rate, but things where the operator actually gave us a full payout and came back to us within six months and said we want the rig back, so both have happened to us.

Robin Shoemaker

Analyst

Okay, all right. Thank you very much.

Tony Petrello

Analyst

Thank you. Thanks very much.

Denny Smith

Analyst

Laura that will wind up the call today, and thank everybody for participating and if your question didn’t get answered, feel free to give us a call.

Operator

Operator

The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.