Anthony G. Petrello
Analyst · Raymond James
Thank you, Denny. Good morning. Welcome to the Nabors Industries Conference Call to review results for the fourth quarter of 2013. Thank you all for participating this morning. As Denny mentioned, we have posted the quarterly presentation slides on nabors.com. I will refer to these by slide number during my remarks. Yesterday, we announced our results for the fourth quarter, which exceeded our expectations. Our GAAP earnings per share from continuing operations totaled $0.42 a share. This includes a few nonoperational items that should be considered. These include $0.12 per share of tax benefits related to the fourth quarter impact of our debt tender offer, discrete tax items as favorable geographic mix; second, $9 million or $0.02 per share from the favorable settlement of a previously reserved customer bankruptcy; and third, $5 million or $0.01 per share of lump sum early termination revenue in U.S. Lower 48 business. Collectively, these items account for $0.16 per share, thus, our fourth quarter non-GAAP earnings per share from continuing operations totaled $0.26 per share. The sequential earnings growth we are announcing today, without the impact of early termination revenue and other items, was driven by strong growth in our International Drilling and U.S. Lower 48 Drilling business. In the International segment, our days on revenue once again exceeded our expectations while, in our U.S. Drilling segment, margins benefited from favorable expense variances. In Completion Services, a relatively full pumping calendar through the quarter substantially offset the negative impact of harsh weather in December. Unusually severe winter weather conditions continue to significantly affect our completion operations in our northern operating areas this quarter. I will talk more about that in our outlook. Our Canadian Drilling business remained challenged by generally tougher market. Finally, we incurred increased expenses relating to both our strategic review process, as well as our expense rationalization efforts. These are reflected in other reconciling items. First off, I'd to talk about some highlights for 2013. Before I go into the details of each operation, I'd like to spend a few moments on our notable accomplishments during 2013. First and foremost, during the year, we were awarded contracts for 34 newbuilds at substantially upgraded rigs. That collectively added approximately $1.9 billion to our revenue backlog. Second, we deployed the first 15 PACE-X rigs among 7 customers. Third, we completed the sales of several nonstrategic businesses, including Peak, Airborne, several lower spec International rigs in undesirable locations and our interest in the Eagle Ford Oil and Gas property. We realized cash proceeds of over $275 million from these transactions and several other smaller transactions. Finally, we refinanced nearly $800 million of high coupon notes, allowing us to reduce our interest expense and spread out our debt maturity. In spite of the $208 million premium paid to refinance these notes, we still reduced long-term debt by $475 million and net debt by almost $200 million. At the same time, we invested just under $1.2 billion in our global fleet, while returning $47 million to shareholders by beginning a quarterly dividend. Cumulatively, since embarking on our back to the future initiative in 2012, we have invested in new technology, drilling rigs and retooled the fleet to capitalize on emerging opportunities. We have realized over $600 million from asset sales. We have reduced net debt by nearly $700 million, and we instituted payment of a dividend on our common shares. Now let me turn to our outlook. We remain convinced of the sustained upturn in the International rig market. Last quarter, we identified several short-duration items, which would fuel near-term improvement in our International business, including time between contracts of several impactful rigs coming off-contract in early 2014 and the shipyard visit of our largest jackup in the first half. The strength of the International rig market is evidenced by the signing of new contracts for many of the rigs recontracting, both in the Middle East and Latin America, which will commence this year. Also, internationally, our newbuild rig and personnel expansion programs, supporting the previously announced rig awards, remain on target to achieve rig deployments during 2014 and the first quarter of 2015 as planned. Similar to the third quarter, our days on rate in the International segment in the fourth quarter were higher than expected, reflecting both excellent operational execution and minimum significant rig moves or other interruptions. Our fourth quarter performance in International segment once again highlights the international potential resident in the current business, not to mention the potential after deployment of the recent awards. Turning to the U.S. Lower 48. Our U.S. Lower 48 outlook is favorable. We think we have seen the bottom on rates in utilization, and believe there's an opportunity to achieve pricing improvement as rigs contracted during the late 2012 and early 2013 softness are recontracted this year. That said, our growth in this business is dictated by our ability to deploying new PACE-X rigs. We have an active newbuild program supporting the deployment in 2014 of 8 remaining contracted units on top of 3 rigs already delivered in 2014. However, we believe we could deploy even more into the field if we have them ready to go. We foresee increased demand for pad-capable AC rigs and are committed to maintaining a consistent newbuild program to meet this demand. Our current plan calls for an additional 9 PACE-X rigs to be built in 2014 and 5 in 2015 that are not currently contracted, and we are evaluating increasing our monthly pace further. Of course, we remain in active discussion with customers to track [ph] these rigs and for additional newbuilds built on-contract. In the meantime, utilization of our other AC rigs is already quite high. We are seeing opportunities to increase prices modestly on AC rigs as contracts expire. At the end of the quarter, 129 of our rigs were on term contracts and 59 were on spot. Demand for our legacy rigs other than upgraded SCR units, remains challenged. The recent spike in domestic natural gas prices may support some incremental rig demand, although we believe operators will require more visibility at this price level before increasing their gas-directed drilling programs. Prospects for the remaining U.S. drilling businesses, namely Alaska and U.S. Offshore, are somewhat mixed. In Alaska, we believe the market is strong enough to support work for at least 1 additional rig this year and 2 more in 2015. Please remember, in Alaska, rigs are typically much larger than a typical land rig, and a rig in Alaska can yield almost 4x the margin of a Lower 48 land rig. Offshore, prospects for our Gulf of Mexico jackups and barges are limited. Accordingly, we continue to examine alternatives for these rigs. Utilization for our Gulf of Mexico platform rigs is stable, and discussions are underway with customers for additional units. Deployment of the rig for the Big Foot platform is dependent on the deployment of the platform itself. We anticipate the rig going out in the fourth quarter with full operation in mid-2015. Moving on to Canada. We have previously described that market as the most challenged amongst our drilling segments from a return point of view. However, there are a number of potential projects targeting Canadian natural gas liquids that continue to generate interest in the Northwest part of the Western Canadian sedimentary basin. Additionally, the Montney, Horn River and Duvernay areas are expected to benefit from any future LNG export projects. Within our Rig Services segment, which now consists almost entirely of our Canrig drilling equipment and technology business, and the Ryan directional drilling business, we entered 2014 with a backlog at Canrig that has roughly doubled since bottoming in the second quarter of 2013. Importantly, both the third-party and intercompany backlogs have increased by roughly the same proportion. Finally, let's turn to our Completion & Production Services segment. For some time, we have discussed the pending expiration of our last 2 remaining take-or-pay contracts in the Pressure Pumping business and the challenge of replacing the contracted utilizations. As expected, those contracts rolled off with the new year. The efforts of our marketing team in this segment paid off, and we have a more than replaced the prior utilization with the addition of new customers, yet at a significantly lower per stage rate, reflecting the stark difference in market conditions in the Eagle Ford from when they are initially signed. The punishing weather thus far in the first quarter has greatly constrained our ability to work in the northern operating areas. We lost about 2 weeks of work in the Rockies and Appalachia, which are home to 14 of our 24 frac crews. Beyond the winter weather, the outlook for our Completion Services business is improving. Our near-term pumping calendar is relatively full, we believe due to our execution in the field. The new 24-hour pumping schedule and constrained competitive cash flow is likely aging the industry's equipment fleet, and we expect this attrition to improve industry utilization throughout this year and next. We believe market pricing across basins is hitting the floor as competitors begin pricing in the significant maintenance component of their equipment. We have recently seen less of the aggressive discounting that has characterized much of 2013. I will finish this outlook with our near-term expectation. Several specific factors will adversely impact our results in the first quarter. First, traditionally higher expenses due to annual resets on employment taxes in workers comp will come into effect. Second, weather has been unusually severe in many of our Lower 48 operating areas. In particular, operations in our Completion & Production Services segment either slowed dramatically or ceased all together in the extreme cold. Weather also greatly impacts our customer plans and, therefore, impacts our utilization. And finally, Rig 660, our largest jackup working in the Arabia Gulf, as mentioned on a previous conference call, entered the shipyard in mid-December, as expected. The rig remains under contract, but is off day rate during its shipyard stay. We expect the rig to return to revenue late in the second quarter. Beyond these factors, we expect seasonal upticks in both Alaska and Canada, so I would note the post-holiday rebound in the industry rig demand in Canada has been slower than a year ago. In the International segment, in addition to the impact of the jackup, we foresee a slightly lower revenue base as more rigs are off-day rate while deploying to new operating locations. The impact of the newbuilds and renewals that we have previously announced should be most pronounced in the second half of 2014. In the U.S., we expect modestly higher quarterly rig years as our PACE-X rigs enter service in Q1, effectively offsetting erosion in our legacy rig fleet. Demand in Completion Services and in Pressure Pumping in particular, is improving and pricing is stabilizing after last year's tendering season, but our operations remain challenged due to brutal weather. We expect EBITDA to decline sequentially due to the aforementioned take-or-pay contract roll-off and the weather. However, the actions we took late last year to stem losses in our coiled tubing at Canadian Pressure Pumping businesses will help mitigate the impact on this segment's results. We anticipate capital spending in the range of $1.6 billion to $1.8 billion, depending on our actual our level of PACE-X newbuilds during 2014. We have seen some slippage in our International CapEx into 2014 from 2013. Finally, you should assume an effective tax rate of 20% to 22% for 2014. Now let me turn to the financial results. Our consolidated financial results are illustrated on Slide 6. Operating income was $160 million compared to $154 million in the fourth quarter of 2012 and $166 million in the third quarter. Operating cash flow was $437 million for the fourth quarter versus $427 million in the fourth quarter of 2012 and $439 million in the third quarter. This comparison includes lump sum early termination payments of $5 million in the fourth quarter of 2013 and $34 million in the third quarter. The fourth quarter results also reflects $9 million from the full recovery of funds owed to Nabors by a bankrupt customer. Net income from continuing operations was $129 million or $0.42 per diluted share compared to a net loss of $91 million or $0.30 per share in the third quarter and $132 million or $0.45 per share in the fourth quarter of 2012. Operating revenue and earnings from unconsolidated affiliates totaled $1.6 billion the quarter. Also during the fourth quarter, we've reduced net debt by nearly $150 million. Now I will review the results from each of our operating segments. First, let me turn to the Drilling and Rig Services section. Drilling and Rig Services consists of our land drilling operations, offshore rigs, specialized rigs, drilling equipment and manufacturing, drilling software and automation and directional drilling operations. Our results are summarized on Slide 8. In the fourth quarter, these operations recorded operating income of $157 million, including a total of $14 million of combined drilling termination revenue and proceeds from a bankruptcy settlement compared to $162 million in the third quarter, which included $34 million of early termination income. The U.S. portion of our Drilling & Rig Services segment earned operating income of $75 million, including the aforementioned $14 million. Of this, Alaska was roughly flat, as was offshore. During the fourth quarter, rig years in the Lower 48 business totaled 183, up from 179 in the third quarter. We expect first quarter rig years to improve slightly from the fourth quarter level. Our average daily rig market for the fleet increased to $9,712 a day, normalized for the early termination revenue and is attributable to future periods. Results benefited from typical year-end adjustments, including workers' comp. We expect daily markets to decline steeply in the first quarter as expenses for workers comp and unemployment insurance resume at levels typical of the beginning of the year. Today, we have 187 rigs on revenue, including 5 on standby rigs. Our AC rig count stands at 145. Utilization of our AC rigs in the fourth quarter remained at 94%, and utilization for our pad-capable AC rigs was even higher at 98%. We continue to believe that the prevalence of wells drilled on pads and the number of wells per pad will continue to increase as our customers shift to development drilling. Drilling a large pad is now common in the Bakken and Marcellus. We see a similar trend rapidly developing in the Eagle Ford and Permian Basin. These trends confirm the direction we took with the PACE-X rig, which was designed from the ground up to optimize productivity and reduce frac time when drilling deep and complex wells on large, multi-role, multi-well pads. As I mentioned earlier, rates in the Lower 48 are generally moving higher. For AC rigs, spot rates range in the low 20s, depending on basin and rig configuration. For rigs with walking systems, we currently see $1,000 per day premium, and this is increasing $500 or more across regions. During the fourth quarter, contracts on 23 of our rigs expired. 15 of those received extensions averaging 7.3 months at rates around the low 20s. For the first quarter, we have 29 rig contracts expiring. This all boils down to a flat outlook with a slight upward bias as deployment of PACE-X rigs at higher rates are offset by deteriorating utilization in pricing in the legacy fleet. We're encouraged by the potential impact of recent commodity prices on our customers' cash flows, although we do not anticipate a material increase in gas-directed drilling. We continue to see some churn in our existing fleet. However, this churn gives us the opportunity to reprice. Demand for new drills at attractive economics remained strong. Now I'd like to turn to the U.S. Offshore. Our fourth quarter results in the U.S. Offshore business did not see the usual post-hurricane season step-up in utilization. Rig years were down, both sequentially and annually. We anticipated a slow rebound, and it wound up lower than anticipated on both the pricing in utilization front. However, for the rigs that did work, gross margin per day per rig was $21,543, compared to $18,717 the prior quarter and approximately $15,000 in the prior year when normalized for the allowance of doubtful [ph] accounts. The year-over-year improvement in this business has mostly been due to cost improvement, following the consolidation of this business into our U.S. Drilling segment. We are now anticipating deployment of our modular offshore dynamic series platform rigs supporting the Big Foot development in the Gulf of Mexico to occur either late this year or in 2015. Our timing is dependent on deployment of the platform out to the location by our customer. Next, Alaska. Our Alaska business performed relatively well, and several of our rigs commenced operations earlier than we anticipated and earnings benefited from favorable mix of rigs as margins were up $32,428 per day versus $29,476 last quarter and $22,344 the prior year. We think this start [ph] is a good entry point into the 2014 winter drilling season. We remain optimistic for additional drilling activity, thanks to last year's change in the tax structure. We are also engaged in advanced discussions with several operators on large development projects. Timing is still 1 year or 2 out, but remember, an incremental rig in Alaska is potentially 3 to 4x more profitable than an incremental rig in the Lower 48. Next, Canada. Among our large drilling businesses, the market for our Canadian drilling segment remains the most challenged. Rig years increased to 33 versus the third quarter of 30, and we exited the year with 42 working rigs. Although our average reflects what we had anticipated as we entered the high season for Canadian drilling. Day rates and daily margins were roughly in line with our expectations, with margins at $11,478 per rig per day, down from $14,389 in the prior year, as the mix of rigs working was weighted more towards the lighter and more competitive range. We remain optimistic that large-scale LNG developments will pull through rig demand. I will caution you that timing is uncertain, but are thinking of 2015 at the earliest. Now let me turn to International. Slide 11 shows the countries where rigs are currently working. The fourth quarter results for our International Operations once again demonstrates the earnings potential that resides within this business unit. Our operating income were $70 million. We experienced favorable variances versus the previous quarter and our internal forecast. Those variances were evident across several markets and illustrate the segment's current earnings power, combined with operational excellence as we continue to rectify the cost issues that have plagued several of these markets. Our average daily rig margins nearly reached $60,000 [ph] in the quarter, matching our all-time high and up from $12,000 in the fourth quarter of 2012. It is important to note that the fourth quarter's financial performance reflects no impact from the awards we announced on the third quarter conference call or any impact from the rig renewals we also announced. That, combined with efforts contained [ph] in our backlog which should become evident in earnings as we progress through 2014. Similar to our outlook a quarter ago, we would caution against trending near-term projections from the fourth quarter performance. The transitory events we noted on the October conference call are still looming, mainly the shipyard visit of our Rig 660 and time-off rates for several rigs, either for maintenance, rig moves or as they transition between contracts. As we look at the International market, we see demand for additional rigs and the supply of the idle rigs as limited. That situation is likely to lead to rate and margin increases. In turn, we could see additional newbuilds to fill in the increase in demand. Turning to the Rig Services segment. Our Rig Services segment consist mainly of our Canrig equipment and technology business and our Ryan Directional Drilling business. Tender revenue was roughly flat versus the third quarter, while segment EBITDA and operating income each dropped by approximately $5 million. Canrig's profits were roughly flat on slightly higher revenue, reflecting a modest change in mix. We're encouraged by the uptear in Canrig's equipment backlog since bottoming in the second quarter of 2013. The increase in the third-party backlog reflects continuing broad acceptance of Canrig's technology. We continue to pursue multiple initiatives that could ultimately advance the state of drilling technology. At the same time, we are working to improve the cost structure within Canrig. Next, the Completion & Production business. Our Completion & Production Services business consists of services that completely maintain wells, including Pressure Pumping, well-servicing, workover coiled tubing rigs and fluid management. Operating income for this division is tabled out on Slide #13. Completion & Production Services posted operating income of $41 million, up from $39 million in the third quarter. We suggested a quarter ago that the calendar was relatively full leading into the fourth quarter, and the quarter results bear that out. Drilling down at the Completion Services, the Completion Services segment reported fourth quarter operating income of $14 million, up slightly from the previous quarter, despite the expected impact from holidays and the unexpectedly severe weather that took hold in December across many of our operating locations. The quarter's results were negatively impacted by coiled tubing as we curtailed operations in stimulation as we reconditioned towards our out of the Canadian Pressure Pumping market and into the Lower 48. Overall, Pressure Pumping market remained competitive, though market pricing appeared less cutthroat than in previous quarters. We added several new customers during the fourth quarter. We began providing pumping services for a few of these during the quarter, and the balance are coming on in this current quarter. We believe our success aiding customers is a function of our field performance. We don't think we are buying business. Currently, 14 of our 24 frac crews are working on a 24-hour pumping schedule, another 5 on 12-hour schedules, 5 spreads are idle. Across basins, the trend in pricing appears flat. Utilization is generally up. We think that the combinations suggests that the business is marking a bottom in pricing, so we are neither seeing nor projecting a rebound at this time. Turning to Production Services. Results in our Production Services business benefited from the inclusion of the trucking acquisition we made at the beginning of the quarter. Operating income in the fourth quarter was $27 million, up from $26 million in the third quarter. The increase in income in our Fluid services line offsets the seasonal decline in our other services. Even so, revenue per rig hour in our Well Services business stepped up even as rig hours declined seasonally. I'd like to make 2 additional points. The first, with regards to safety. In 2013, I'm proud that we've had our best all-time safety record for the company as a whole. This reflects our focus on execution and performance, and a terrific effort by all our field personal throughout the company. The second thing is, we previously announced in the press release that William Restrepo will be joining the company as CFO. And as you know, we've been searching to fill that job with the right person with the right mix of talent, both operational and financial, and we think we have confidence in William, and we're excited about his joining us later this month. Let me summarize our reviews and actions. We see improving, growing markets globally. The improvement is particularly evident at the high-spec end of the market, both domestically and internationally. We anticipate booking significant additional newbuild awards this year. The 2014 impact of the improving market is weighted to the second half of the year. This is due to the fact that our newbuild rollout is heavily weighted to the second half, and also due to the fact that several of our domestic customers have expressed caution for the early part of the year and adverse weather has been a material factor. We remain committed to streamline the company's activities. Our efforts to prune non-core assets continue across multiple fronts. At the same time, we are consolidating functions to cease operations where that makes sense. Despite the near term that we saw, we are positioned to improve earnings in the second half of the year. Longer term, the outlook is positive, and we are aligning our business to capitalize on that environment. Thank you for the time this morning. With that, I will take your questions. Thank you.