Somsak Chivavibul
Analyst · KBW. Your line is open sir
Thanks Jack. Good morning everyone. During my prepared remarks, I will review both the quarterly and year-end results for 2016 that we recorded last night, as well as provide guidance for 2017. And I’ll be referencing the earnings call presentation available on our company’s website beginning with slide 4, which provides a summary of our core earnings. In the fourth quarter, we reported an adjusted core EPS of $0.47 compared to $0.48 in the fourth quarter of 2015. For the full year of adjusted EPS, we recorded a $1.89 compared to a $1.82 for 2015. Our fourth quarter adjusted operating expenses totaled $226 million versus $228 million from a year ago. During the fourth quarter, we transitioned $2.7 billion of Navient owned FFELP loans that were being serviced as a third party to Navient servicing platform. As a result of this transition, we incurred an additional $7 million of one-time operating expenses in the quarter. For the full year, total operating expenses before regulatory related and a legal contingency cost were $917 million. Excluding the expenses associated with the Gila and Xtend Healthcare acquisitions and the one-time servicing transition cost, we reduced our operating expenses by 7% which is better than the 6% reduction we guided to at the beginning of the year. In the fourth quarter, the company identified an error which understated previously reported FFELP loan net charge-off and the provision for losses in 2015 and earlier years. The impact of this error to all prior period was immaterial and the numbers throughout this presentation and the earnings release reflect this correct. Let’s now turn to slide 5 discuss our FFELP segment results. In 2016, we acquired $3.5 billion of FFELP loans and while we are optimistic about the opportunity to purchase FFELP portfolios coming to market this year, our 2017 guidance will reflect acquisitions at similar levels that we saw in 2016. Our FFELP core earnings were $68 million for the fourth quarter of 2016 compared with $71 million in the fourth quarter of 2015. The net interest margin for the fourth quarter of 2016 came in at 89 basis points and reflects the revised application of prepayment grades disclosed in the third quarter of 2016 Form 10-Q. As a result of this change, the FFELP loan premium balance increased by $7 million, which resulted in the same increase to our net interest income. The FFELP net interest margin in the quarter was primarily higher than anticipated due to this change. We also saw significant year-over-year improvement in the credit quality of our FFELP portfolio, but the late stage delinquency rate declined by 23%. Let’s now turn to slide 6 in our Private Education Loan segment. Core earnings in this segment declined by $15 million from a year ago quarter to $41 million. In the quarter, our net interest margin was 308 basis points and reflects the impact from the prepayment adjustment mentioned earlier. The private education loan discount balance increased by $9 million, resulting in a corresponding decrease to net interest income and a 14 basis point decrease to the private education loan NIM in the fourth quarter. The decline in the NIM from the prior years and the third quarter is attributable to this adjustment as well as higher cost of funds from our LIBOR based debt and the timing of when our private based earning asset reset versus when our LIBOR based debt [refresh]. The outlook for private education loan losses continued to improve as a result of the overall improvement in our charge-off trends. Charge-offs declined a $146 million or 22% from the prior year. While the total delinquency rate increased slightly from the prior year, our delinquency rate declined by 19% for our non-TDR portfolio and by 3% for our TDR portfolio. In addition, we saw double digit declines in our forbearance rates. Our charge-offs on a dollar basis are expected to decline in the mid-teens in 2017, with provision falling at a slightly lower pace due to the additions of newly acquired private education loans. Let’s turn to slide 7 to review our Business Services segment. In this segment, core earnings were $71 million in the quarter, compared with $81 million in the fourth quarter of 2015. This decline is primarily driven by the increase in reserves for legal contingencies and one-time cost to transfer third party to our servicing system. Our non-education to fee revenues increased 77% from the prior to $174 million, and we’re excited about the growth opportunities in this space in 2017 and beyond. During the year, we grew our total federal loan servicing book by $5 billion and recently submitted our bid for the Department of Education single servicing solution. While the contract was originally anticipated to be awarded in February, the contract is currently under bid protest by another bidder that could potentially delay the announcement of the award. Our guidance for 2017 does not include the impact from this potential contract. I’d like to highlight the financing activity that took place over the course of 2016 on slide 8. In 2016, we completed a renewed financing transaction in every area of our liability structure including returning to the FFELP ABS market where we issued $5.8 billion of FFELP ABS through seven transactions, and FFELPS spreads improved 17% from our 2016-2 transaction to our most recent deals. We also issued term private ABS of $488 million. We renewed conduit facilities in our both FFELP and private - both our private education portfolios. We completed a second private credit residual financing transaction and finally we issued unsecured debt of $1.25 billion through two transactions. In 2016, we reduced our total unsecured debt outstanding by $1.4 billion and reduced through repurchased our near-term debt maturities in both 2017 and ’18 to very reasonable and manageable levels. We’ve reduced our 2017 debt maturities to $700 million and will continue to work towards reducing our 2018 and ’19 debt maturities throughout the year. During the quarter, we repurchased 12.5 million shares for $180 million at an average price of $14.43. And for the full year, we reduced our outstanding shares by 17% through the repurchase of 16 million shares at an average price of $12.68. In total, we’ve returned $956 million to shareholders through both share repurchases and dividends in 2016. On December 8, 2016, we announced a new share repurchase program for up to $600 million from the company’s outstanding common stock. All of this activity was undertaking while maintaining a strong capital position and a tangible net asset ratio of 1.24. And we have managed this ratio within our target range of 1.2 to 1.3 over the past five years. Slide 9 provides a full year 2017 guidance, in addition to the growth opportunities that Jack highlighted for 2017 and beyond. In the third quarter and in recent company presentations, we had highlighted the widening of the three month LIBOR rate compared to the one-month LIBOR and prime rate and how we manage this basis risk. While we have already seen these spreads come down off its most recent highs, our guidance is based on a higher than historical one month or three month spread for the mid-20s for 2017, which is not where we are today. Our guidance also includes the impact of two interest rate hikes of 25 basis points in 2017. As a result of these factors, we expect full year FFELP net interest margin in high 70s and full year private education net interest margin in the mid-320s for 2017. Also included in our 2017 guidance are our operating expenses below $900 million excluding regulatory cost and business services revenue excluding inter-company loan servicing to range between $630 million and $660 million. And finally, while we see potential opportunities to grow EPS from our 2016 levels and are eager to pursue these opportunities, we expect 2017 core earnings per share to be between $1.80 and $1.84 excluding expenses associated with regulatory costs. Finally, turning to GAAP results on slide 10, we recorded fourth quarter GAAP net income of 145 million or $0.48 per share compared with net income of 283 million or $0.73 per share in the fourth quarter of 2015. The primary differences between core earnings and GAAP results are the marks related to our derivative positions and expenses related to structuring of the organization. I will now open the call for questions.