Dave Banyard
Analyst · Wells Fargo Securities. Please proceed with your question
Thanks, Monica and good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us. I am going to start on Slide 3 with summary of Q1 2016. In general, I would like to start by saying I am very pleased with our results in the first quarter. Mainly because we came in exactly where we thought we would. I think it's very important that you do what you say you are going to do and I am very excited that we did both on the top and the bottom line. Going through the summary here. Our net sales were down 3.3%, about 2% of that was currency and organic we are down 1.3%. again, this is in line with our expectations. Our gross margins were up nicely. 260 basis points to just under 32% due to a combination of lower input costs and operational improvement along with our some product line rationalization. Our adjusted earnings per share were up 75% to $0.21 and our free cash flow -- pause here for a minute -- it's a negative number but it was $4 million better than last year and just to remind everyone, we do have a bit of a first half, second half seasonality to this business, so generally speaking, we do have a negative cash flow in the first quarter and I will go into more detail on that in a later Slide. We do have several large onetime charges during the quarter that I will go into more detail later on, but $8.5 million of that was non-cash impairment charges in our Brazil business and $2 million related to severance charges. Next Slide. I will go into a little more detail on the financial summary. Starting at the top with our sales, down 1.3% on an organic basis and I want to highlight here that if you factor in the price reduction that we have from our resin -- the businesses indexed to resin, we were up in volume by about 1.3%. So not a bad result. On the gross profit line, up 260 basis points. A real nice operational improvement there. About half of that improvement was from our input cost, our resin cost. The other half was from operational improvement and product rationalization. I will also say that we were up about the same amount, 260 basis points on a sequential basis from Q4 and as I pointed out, we do have a seasonality so the revenue is up. So real nice flow through on the increased revenue from Q4 which we are very pleased with. Our adjusted SG&A was down a little bit, that’s mainly corporate costs, resulting in an adjusted operating income of about 220 basis points. And I want to highlight here that in our first half operating margin of 7.7% of the pretty good number, 7.5% to 8%, is historically a pretty good number for us. So we are very pleased with the 7.7 operating margin. A number of details on here about the other components. That brings us down to our adjusted earnings per share from continued ops at $0.21. Next Slide. Going to a more detail here on the balance sheet starting in the upper left corner of the Slide. Balance sheet is in great shape. It did increase our net debt slightly but our net debt to EBITDA ratio is still 2.9 times. On the cash flow side, on the lower left you can see that we do have a negative number in the cash from continuing ops, it does reflect a little bit of our seasonality as we come into a higher volume half of the year. I will also say here that some of that decline in cash is due to some self-induced inefficiency that we are going to work on moving forward. So a better result there year-over-year but something we still have some opportunity to work on. The middle section here in CapEx. That’s a big number and it's bigger than I think our run rate is. The vast majority of that capital spending is the result of projects that we are already in process from last year due to fourth quarter. So it's a bigger number than I think we are going to have it all going forward and that’s all to say about for now. Moving over to the right side here, working capital. About 9% of sales. I think that’s a good reflection of where we are, operationally. I think it's a decent number if you compare it to other companies but I think there is also opportunity here for us to improve on that moving forward. So that’s a good base line but I think we are going to operate in the mode of improving that as we move forward. Next Slide. Now I am going to spend a little time going through each of the segments results for the first quarter, starting on the left side with material handling. Sales were down 3%, on an organic basis they were flat. We had some nice winds in our industrial businesses, both gaining share with some nice project wins as well as increasing our channel coverage. And I think if you look at the industrial markets out there overall, we outperformed in the first quarter. Similarly, we had some nice share gains in our vehicle segment, particularly in the auto business. We won a nice large model launch at a major auto manufacturer. And that business has done quite well for us so far of the past few quarters. In our food and beverage segment -- excuse me, in our food and beverage markets, as you know a large component of that is the ag business. The volume was actually up in the first quarter, I don’t believe that says anything about the year other than it was some pent up demand from last year not being strong towards the end of the year. But it's a nice sing that we did have a good steady pace of business through the fourth quarter. Volume up with the -- as you mentioned earlier, with the indexed pricing, some of our volume -- our revenue was down. In Brazil, both the auto and the beverage markets were down significantly and that severely affected our business. I think going into a little more detail here on the impairment charges. Towards the end of the quarter, we heard from our -- one of our large customers that their orders were going to be spotty throughout the year and that there wouldn’t be any orders for a significant portion of the year. That triggered us looking at our goodwill and resulted in the impairment. Moving forward, as you may remember, we took some restructuring action in the fourth quarter. We thought that would be enough. As we look forward we are looking at next steps to take here through the second quarter and we will come back to you with more on that as we figure out what the best option for us is in Brazil. On the margin side of the material handling business, the margins were up nicely as a result of both of the favorable input cost but also from some nice work that we have done last year with some restructuring but also factory efficiency throughout the organization as well as some good work in product rationalization. Picking the right products to sell at the right margins. Moving over to the distribution business. Sales were down 4%. The market indicators there would say that the market was maybe flat, maybe slightly up in some cases. So we feel that we are not doing as well there. A large part of that has to do with the sales force initiative that we are working on right now. Again, as I said last quarter, this is the right initiative to do. It's the right strategy but it's going to take a little bit of time and we are going to -- our business is going to hurt a little bit from it on the way. We did a lose a few days of selling as we were implementing this in the first quarter and we are hoping to continue to work through this for the rest of the year and to this particular business turnaround. On the goods though, here on our patch rubber Patch Rubber business we did see a nice large win in the retread business there. And on the margin side, if you break the business out a little bit in more detail, the distribution side through a lot of the product rationalize and improvements we have made, did have decent margins through the quarter but our Patch Rubber business had a poor operational efficiency in the quarter in that factory and that resulted in the reduction and operating margin. Next Slide. I could finish here by talking about our 2016 outlook. The main message here is that our outlook hasn’t changed. We are holding to what we said a couple of months ago. We are expecting our full year revenue to be flat to down low single digits. One thing I wanted to highlight in here is that the second quarter is a tougher comparison to the second quarter of 2015. We had a very strong quarter last year in Brazil in the second quarter and we also had a number of our ad customers ask to have orders delivered in the second quarter, although more seasonally higher than what we would normally see. So we expect the second quarter to be down low to mid-single digits but we are still holding our ear to what we said before. In the middle section here, you see our revenue and profit initiative. Those haven't changes since last we spoke. And then at the bottom here you see our capital allocation priorities, again none of which have changed since last quarter. On the right side I want to talk a little bit about our market by market growth outlook. In the consumer business, we are expecting net market to be slightly flat. And that’s slightly worse than what we said last quarter and really what's happening there is we see that that market is starting up a little later in the season than what we are used to and so we are thinking that that’s going to be slightly worse than what we saw last time. Our vehicle segment, we are going to hold where we said last time, up low single digits. In the food and beverage market, slightly worse, down mid-single digits and that’s all due to the Brazil business. Our business here in North America is doing as we expected. The industrial business, we are expecting to be slightly better and that’s mainly due to some of the share gains and channel expansions that we have done here in the first quarter. That market itself is fairly choppy with a number of the indicators going in a couple of different directions. And finally in the auto aftermarket. We think that market is perhaps flat for the year but for our performance, we are expecting it to be slightly down and that’s again mainly due to our performance [indiscernible] on the sales force initiative. That’s all I have from our prepared remarks and we will be ready to take questions now.