Steve Litchfield
Analyst · Quinn Bolton with Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question
Thanks, Brian, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. Kishore unfortunately is unable to join us today, as he is attending to a family matter in India. We expect Kishore back soon and I'm sure you will see him at an industry conference or an investor event in the coming quarter. Our Q4, 2018, revenue was $87.6 million, which was largely consistent with our expectations of strong infrastructure revenue growth, modest upside in connected home and a macro-driven overall industry slowdown related weakness in the industrial and multi-market. Connected home stood at 49%, infrastructure at 26%, and industrial and multi-market at 25% of overall revenue. Overall, Q4 revenue was up 3% sequentially. Specifically, connected home was up 3%, infrastructure was up 15%, and industrial and multi-market was down 6%. In Q4 2018, we delivered solid profitability with earnings modestly above target along with strong operating cash flow approximately $24 million. While we continue to deliver strong profitability even at lower cable data revenue levels, we are encouraged to report the beginning of an anticipated recovery in our Connected Home business as first outlined back in August. In Q4, we realized double-digit sequential growth in our cable revenues. While we navigate through the revenue transitions in broadband, timing uncertainty of the new design win ramps and infrastructure markets in a dynamic macro demand environment, we have made significant progress in reducing our spending levels as reflected in our Q1 OpEx guidance. The expected reduced spend run rate levels not only have maintained profitability in the near-term, but also creates significant leverage when revenues recover in our multi-year infrastructure product initiatives ramp in the mid to longer term. Overall in 2018, we continue to execute well on our ongoing investment strategy, specifically, driving strong revenue growth in infrastructure and moderate growth in our industrial and multi-market, while sustaining our solid highly profitable business in connected home. Multiple key, new 5G wireless, and data center fiber infrastructure product launches combined with the strength of our wireless backhaul business and the beginning of the recovery of our broadband business provide us confidence in our ability to realize our strong mid-term and long-term growth aspirations as well as our ability to scale the business. Moving onto some of the exciting product and technology highlights in the large and attractive network and infrastructure markets. Our wireless backhaul infrastructure business posted nearly 50% growth in 2018 and is well-positioned for double-digit growth in 2019 as well. We continue to drive modem share gains across our broad customer base abetted by the initial ramp up of our backhaul RF transceiver product with our lead customers. As we have mentioned previously, our RF solution is the only solution to support channel aggregation which doubles data capacity in existing available spectrum for 4G and future 5G transport networks. As a result we are witnessing strong operator-driven adoption of our RF solution by backhaul OEMs. On the 5G wireless access infrastructure side we're excited to announce that we have taped down our 14-nanometer CMOS wireless single-chip RF transceiver solution and we remain on track for customer samples in the first half of 2019. With this major engineering milestone complete combined with our strong and deep engagements with our major wireless OEMs we are who are currently our customers, we are confident of being a major player in the large massive MIMO 5G wireless access infrastructure rollout slated for 2020. We look forward to sharing more details about our progress at Mobile World Congress in Barcelona later this month. We also made significant progress on the second leg of our multi-year infrastructure initiative with the production tape-out of our first 60-nanometer fiber-optic 400 gig PAM4 silicon addressing inside the data center application. We remain confident in our ability to leverage both our strong portfolio and are developing customer engagements to participate in the initial 400G PAM4 deployments supporting a large Tier 1 hyperscale data center build-out. We're on track for initial customer production shipments in Q1 and mass production for the end of 2019. Our 400 gig PAM4 DSP SoC with its integrated EAEML drivers offers the industry the lowest power and cost benefits, which positions us strongly to participate in the upcoming data center upgrade cycle. We look forward to sharing more about our progress in the data center market at OFC in early March. In the Connected Home market, we are a critical partner in the development of new architectures, supporting the next-generation multi-gigabit cable gateway access solutions. At CES, together with Intel and some of the world's largest cable operators we announced partnerships to deliver next-generation cable gateway platforms that enable 10-gigabit symmetrical lengths that use the RF full-duplex architecture, while maintaining support for legacy DOCSIS devices. In these next-generation platforms, the value of the RF mixed-signal bomb content is expected to double, which will significantly increase our addressable cable data market opportunity. Moving onto the specifics of our Q4 2018 financial results and Q1 2019 guidance. On revenue of $87.6 million, we saw Connected Home increase 3% driven by double-digit recovery in both our DOCSIS and MoCA businesses offset by the expected declines in our satellite business. Our infrastructure business was up 15% sequentially and led by strong broad base sequential growth in our wireless backhaul business. On the Industrial Multimarket side, sales were down 6% sequentially, due to macro pressure across our distributor channel with some influence from the continued trade tensions, consistent with the commentary from several of our other analog peers in this space. GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins for the fourth quarter were approximately 52.4% and 62.7% of revenue respectively. This compares to GAAP gross margin guidance of 52.5% and non-GAAP gross margin guidance of 63%. The delta between GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins in the fourth quarter reflects the amortization of $8.9 million of purchased intangible assets from previous acquisitions and $0.2 million of stock-based compensation and stock-based bonus. Fourth quarter GAAP operating expenses were approximately $56.6 million, which was slightly above our GAAP guidance of $56 million, due to restructuring related to our cost reduction initiatives. GAAP operating expenses included amortization of purchased intangible assets of $8 million, stock-based compensation and accruals related to stock-based bonus plan of $7.9 million and $2.2 million respectively and $1.7 million in restructuring. Non-GAAP operating expenses were $36.7 million, which was up $1.2 million sequentially, due to the large 16-nanometer 400 gig PAM4 production mass expense in the quarter. But $0.5 million below our guidance of $37.25 million, due to the disciplined expense management. We have continued diligently working to moderate the spend during this transition period with good success. We expect the core operating expense run rate to come down in the upcoming quarters as we tighten the spend and larger development efforts wind down. However, we expect project-related spending will cost some quarter-to-quarter fluctuations within our total spend. Moving to the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Our cash flow generated from operating activities in the fourth quarter of 2018 was approximately $24.2 million versus $30.7 million generated in the third quarter of 2018. We made $15 million in debt prepayments during the quarter towards our term loan, reducing our net leverage ratio to 1.75 at the end of the fourth quarter. In addition, we recently made another $15 million debt prepayment during Q1. This brings the total debt prepayments to $178 million and our loan balance down to $247 million. Our day’s sales outstanding for the fourth quarter were approximately 62 days which was below the prior quarter days sales outstanding of 63 days. Our inventory turns increased slightly to 4.0 compared to 3.8 in the third quarter. This leads me to our guidance. We currently expect revenue in the first quarter of 2019 to be approximately $82 million to $87 million. We expect Connected Home revenues to be up slightly with the improvements in cable revenues, albeit slower due to tariff impacts and supply chain shifts, offset by declines in satellite and connectivity. Within industrial and multi-market, we see continued softness in the upcoming quarter with revenue expected to be down 6% to 8%, but we hope to offset this overall trend with some new product introductions as well as market share gains that could help offset. Infrastructure is positioned for a strong double-digit growth for 2019, but we expect a pause in the wireless backhaul after an exceptionally strong Q4. And we believe a portion of the decline in our outlook is attributable to the seasonality as well. We expect first quarter GAAP gross profit margin to be approximately 52.5% to 53.5% of revenue and non-GAAP gross profit margin to be approximately 63% to 64% of revenue, up sequentially due to improved mix. As a reminder, our gross profit margin percentage forecast could vary plus or minus 2% depending on product mix and other factors. Even as we are focused on reducing our run rate spend levels, we continue to fund strategic development programs targeted at delivering strong top line growth in 2019 and beyond with particular focus on infrastructure initiatives and our stated goal of increasing the operating leverage in the business. As such, we expect Q1 2019 GAAP operating expenses to decrease approximately $0.4 million quarter-on-quarter to a range cash to a range of $56 million to $56.5 million with the decreases in certain acquisition-related purchased intangibles that fully amortized in Q4 offset by increases in restructuring related primarily to our Israel site closure. We expect Q1 2019 non-GAAP operating expenses to be down approximately $0.5 million sequentially to a range of $36 million to $36.5 million, driven primarily by lower tape-out expenses, as well as the full quarter impact of our cost reduction initiatives from Q4. We expect GAAP tax expense to be approximately $0.5 million and a non-GAAP tax rate of 7%. We expect interest and other expenses in the quarter to be $3.1 million to $3.2 million. In closing, we're pleased to report stability in our Connected Home business and strong growth in our Infrastructure business in Q4. As we continue to navigate through a transitional environment in the first half of 2019 we will continue to maintain strong profitability and cash flow generation. Specifically, we have taken decisive and appropriate action to reduce our expense run rate while maintaining our pace of strategic investments in infrastructure, high-performance analog and connected home solutions. These investments combined with our strong execution position us well to deliver strong leverage in our business and as many of the new product initiatives start to generate revenue. With that, I would like to open up the call for questions. Operator?