Anubhav Verma
Analyst · Cantor Fitzgerald. Andres, your line is live
Thanks, Sumit. Before I dive into the Q3 results, let me first discuss what our first few potential RFQ wins could look like and how they might impact our financial results, especially in 2024 and soon after. We expect any near-term RFQ wins to translate into the following two revenue streams. Number one, NRE or non-recurring engineering revenue from OEM related to the customization of our sensors. This revenue would likely be payable upon us hitting agreed milestones. Number two, revenue related to the sales of LiDAR sensors as the volumes ramp up at possibly multiple locations in EU and Asia from the customers in line with their expected production schedule. Later in 2024, we would work towards potentially securing additional customers for similar products with minimal customization to achieve economies of scale. In this case, the LiDAR sensor, once it achieves maturity and has gone through the PPAP process, we would then be scaling similar products with multiple customers. Now let's talk about modeling the expenses. With design wins, we would expect our revenue mix to include both NRE revenue and serial production revenue from OEMs at a blended gross margin of 30% to 40%. We think all successful LiDAR companies will trend towards this blended rate as OEM volumes ramp and economies of scale begin to be achieved. We believe we are well-positioned to be a successful LiDAR business and on our way to achieve these goals. Upon reaching this point, we would plan to further improve gross margins by offering our perception software to OEM customers along with our hardware. Now let's talk about production. From a business model standpoint, we have always stated that partnering with an established contract manufacturing partner will be most capital efficient and importantly will be required by OEMs. As we navigate the final rounds of RFQs with OEMs, customary visits and quality audits at production facilities have been important for customer confidence. In our experience, OEMs want to see multiple manufacturing locations around the globe, including in the EU, Asia and North America. Of course, key points in our RFQ negotiations center on the allocation of liability and product warranties. In terms of operating expenses, including R&D, MicroVision has a meaningful strategic advantage when it comes to quickly and efficiently scaling up operations. Scaling operations with multiple customer wins will not require us to add proportional headcount to our engineering teams. We do not believe that we will need to add more hardware engineers as we expect to just need more dedicated Project Managers along with quality and operations team to manage multiple relationships as we increase volumes and enjoy the resulting economies of scale. We have the ability to add such resources at OEMs preferred locations in North America and Germany. We see no need to double or triple headcount to support potential revenue growth. That said, in the event of increasing volumes, we would anticipate the need to continue to add software engineers to work alongside our dedicated hardware engineering team to advance our product roadmap. The resulting economies of scale would be expected to add significantly more revenue with limited addition to R&D expense, thereby translating into faster growing operating profits. Our customers and potential partners appreciate MicroVision's strong and deep IP portfolio with the industry experience, financial discipline of managing expenses, and technical knowledge, all of which are key differentiators for us. I think both Sumit and I covered strategic sales in quite a bit of detail. Let me now talk about our focus on direct sales as well, which will be over and above the strategic sales. These direct sales channels include the sale of MOVIA to non-automotive customers and MOSAIK software to automotive customers. While revenue from direct sales is not necessarily recurring, the associated revenue stream tends to have shorter sales cycle as compared to strategic sales that have longer sales cycles. In the near term, we expect the revenue contribution from the direct sales channel to be meaningful and drive high contribution margins, especially in the initial few quarters. In fact, in this third quarter alone, we saw adjusted growth margins of 80%. While we're expecting revenue from direct sales to have consistent growth year-over-year in the near to midterm, potential revenue from strategic sales would be significantly higher than direct sales revenue once OEM serial production volumes have ramped up. Now let's dive into our Q3 results and discuss them in more detail. For the third quarter, we recorded revenue of a million dollars. As we have previously indicated, revenue in 2023 and for a good part of 2024 will primarily come from the sale of software and MOVIA sensors to non-automotive customers. The majority of this third quarter, revenue is related to our MOSAIK software product and is from a leading OEM. We expect continued momentum in revenue in the fourth quarter and expect sequential growth to hit our updated 2023 revenue targets of $6.5 million to $8 million. Now this revenue is slightly below our previously announced range of $10 million to $15 million. The reduction in our revenue expectations is primarily related to direct sales with some revenue opportunities appearing to have moved into 2024. In connection with the integration with Ibeo, we have tightened our forecasting processes with some smaller legacy Ibeo customers to better estimate their sales cycle and predict revenue from the sale of hardware and software. Since these are smaller dollar opportunities, we're beginning to have better visibility into the sales funnel as we integrate the two companies, bringing together our sales force and co-leasing them around common platforms and processes. To further support momentum in direct sales, we also placed an order to build new MOVIA inventory with ZF Autocruise to help satisfy demand from non-automotive customers and drive revenue in 2024 and beyond. We expect this strategic investment in building our inventory to drive revenue growth in near term and beyond. Coming back to this quarter, the split of this quarter's revenue is 80% software and about 20% hardware. The growth margin profile this quarter resembles that of a typical software business, as demonstrated by an 80% growth margin, primarily by MOSAIK. While we expect these high growth margin to continue in the following few quarters, we expect the blended growth margins to normalize as the revenue scales up and mix changes to more strategic sales including NREs. Expenses; in terms of expenses, we had approximately $24 million of R&D and SG&A, which includes $4.7 million of non-cash stock-based compensation and $2.1 million of non-cash depreciation and amortization. For the second quarter, $20.4 million cash was used in operating activities, which included a $3.1 million payment to build up the MOVIA inventory to support the near-term momentum in direct sales. Removing these one-time items, our cash burn for the quarter is around $17 million, which is in line with previously communicated expectations. To remind our investors, we continue to show financial discipline with our cash burn being within our expectations and on a healthy trajectory. As expected, CapEx in the second quarter of 2023 was $0.5 million, in line with our expectations. Now let's talk about our balance sheet. As of September 30, 2023, we have made most of the payments associated with the Ibeo acquisition. A liability of €2.7 million remains on our balance sheet as the final expected payment relating to this acquisition. We expect to pay this amount to the seller later this year once we and Ibeo reconcile and agree to the amounts. Our total liquidity was $78 million as of September 30, including cash and cash equivalents. We have one of the cleanest capital structures amongst our peers. In these times of uncertainty and weaker macroeconomic conditions, MicroVision stood out and beat competitors in terms of maintaining one of the lowest cash burn rates in the industry with a highly talented age pool of engineers in both, the U.S. and Germany, and strong balance sheet. We have a $35 million ATM on file to strategically raise capital as and when needed. To date, we have only raised approximately $4 million under this facility, that leaves about $31 million available on this ATM facility. Both these facts are indicators of financial stability to our potential customers and important attributes in the due diligence reviews conducted by OEMs as part of the RFQ processes. The ability to strategically and opportunistically raise money via ATM positions, MicroVision very favorably as compared to our peers, some of which have had to resort to structured finance transactions to raise capital at significant discounts to their stock price. We believe that with our current cash on hand and our ATM facility we're well-situated to deliver to the OEMs. Based on our current operating plan, we anticipate that we have sufficient cash and liquidity to fund our operations through at least the end of 2024. As described earlier, with the relationship between revenue and operating expenses that we have modeled out, we expect to see reduced need for additional capital as the company grows and focuses on achieving economies of scale. To summarize, we're really excited about 2024, and beyond. With our first commercial wins within reach and key focus on winning nominations, we're strongly marching towards proving to the market our value proposition as a unique well-positioned LiDAR company in large and growing automotive and non-automotive markets. With this, operator, I would now like you to open the line for questions.