Steven Appleton
Analyst · Citi
Thanks, Kipp. For those of you that were not able to make the call during the last quarter, I just want to remind everybody that we have a slight format change, and that is that I'm going to make some introductory comments, and then Ron Foster will cover some of the financial aspects of the release, and then we'll open it up for questions. So to start with, I'd like to open on the topic of Japan. Our first comment, we're thankful that none of our employees were injured during these tragic events, and we hope the best for the people of Japan as they start the recovery process. But more specifically to the impact on Micron, I know people are trying to determine whether it's a positive or a negative for Micron, and unfortunately, I can't answer that for you, but I will comment on the things that we are evaluating. First, our wafer fab operates more towards the center of Japan and away from the coast, and we did not sustain any damage nor did we experience any disruption on our production there. We do have a design center that's near Tsukuba, just outside of Tokyo, and as you might expect, we have some sales support offices in Tokyo, and they were both shut down for a limited amount of time. I think the greatest challenge there is they're experiencing what I believe most people are in the area, which is difficult transportation and rolling blackouts, which I'm sure is frustrating to a lot of people. Now a number of our suppliers are in Japan, and they do range from chemical to materials to wafers, many of them supply us from operations they have outside of Japan but also as well from operations they have inside of Japan, and some of them were not impacted, and obviously, some of them were. Now we have a pretty complex matrix analysis on everything, as you might imagine. And for the most part, the companies have been very open and they've been briefing us, really, daily or hourly depending on what the circumstances are. So our information is, obviously, only as good as theirs, and I think many of them are still trying to determine themselves what the best path back -- what is the best path back to full production. Now also, as you might expect, we're filling gaps on an hourly basis where we might have holes. And as it's been noted, I think, in the media, most of us had inventory for the near term, but really, we still need a couple of weeks to understand what, if any, remaining gaps might exist. So we're working on it pretty diligently. We don't have any other information than that. And we think it's something that we're going to have to stay pretty diligent on and stay on top of, but that's what we're doing. Now with respect to fiscal Q2, on operations and technology, we had a number of achievements I think worth noting. Probably the one to highlight the most is that IMFS is coming along ahead of schedule by about two months. Maybe hard to believe, but we're actually shipping now product from that facility. And I'll probably take this opportunity to mention capital. So in our Q1 capital, the prior quarter was about $570 million. We made note that this was going to be our big capital for the quarter, our big quarter for capital. I know it was about $840 million, which is a little bit less than we thought. And as also happens occasionally, sometimes things get pushed into the next quarter just in terms of payments. So Q3, I think, will be similar. But IMFS is going actually so well that we're going to continue to drive pretty hard on getting capital in there and getting that facility ramped. So I think we're going to be on the upper end of the range that we had given you. We had previously told you $2.4 billion to $2.9 billion, I think we'll be on the upper end of that range for the year. But we feel pretty good about it because, as I said, the operation is going pretty well, in particular, IMFS. In fact, I think, it's also worth noting that 20-nanometer NAND still looks very good for ramp in the second half of the year. Also, I would add that we completed our acquisition of TECH Semi. We owned most of it. We completed the acquisition of the rest of it, so we now own 100% of it, and it continues to operate pretty well. Now switching over to a few comments on markets and product segments. Let me start out with the DRAM market. I think in our last earnings call, I noted that we did not believe that, say, winter quarter was going to be similar to the winter of 2007 or 2008. I think that's proven to be the case, and we're not suggesting that it was a picnic, as some of our competitors proved with the reporting that they did with some pretty negative earnings. But I think the downturn bottomed this last quarter. Also, we mentioned that we thought it would be at a lower environment for pricing for our quarter two, but it wasn't going to get worse. In fact, it didn't get worse, and at least for Micron, it's proving at least to be somewhat mild. Clearly, I think that the new DRAM supply continues to be muted compared to last cycles. We've also made mention of that, and that's proven to be the case. It is true that Desktop continues to be somewhat weak. There are a lot of forecasts now that are pointing to something around 10% growth as opposed to some of the higher forecasts earlier, but I would remind everyone that content is still forecasted to grow 40%. And if you do the combination, that's still up 50%, or in some forecasts I've seen, even greater bit demand. So not too bad, really, for the weaker of the markets that we participate in, and all of the other markets actually look better. So on the pricing front, we don't think it's going to go crazy. In other words, it's not going to go crazy up, but I will tell you that we do see a continued improving pricing environment through the rest of our fiscal year. And I think most of you have seen that immediate some of that's actually materializing now. On the NAND front, I also mentioned in December that we felt we had a level where the NAND pricing would be pretty stable. Of course, it's fluctuated a little bit. It's gone up a little, it's gone down a little bit. For the most part, I think it's worthwhile saying that it has pretty much behaved as we would have expected it to, obviously notwithstanding the recent spikes due to the Japan effect. So Wireless, particularly the Smart phones, in terms of limit consumption, continues to look very good. I would also mention that our SSD shipments were up significantly quarter two over quarter one, and we see that trend continuing with quarter three. It's going to be over quarter two. And obviously, a lot of the news around tablets and those kind of devices are actually pretty positive for us in the NAND arena. So all those things added up look like -- all the demand signals going forward look pretty good for both the NAND and the DRAM environment. On the NOR front, the embedded markets, we have the business groups now, which Ron will just mention in a second, but the embedded markets for NOR, DRAM and NAND all look good. And, I think, as you would expect and we've tried to communicate earlier, for the most part, we're pretty stable in pricing and demand. I will say specifically to NOR, we believe we maintained our market share, in other words, our market share leadership at NOR. Obviously, we saw some modest seasonal decline in fiscal Q2, but that's pretty typical. I think another highlight is that we sampled our 45-nanometer NOR products for wireless and embedded, and actually began our 45-nanometer NAND production ramp. So all of that's on a good note. So all of this leads me to my final comments, which, execution, our product portfolio strategy is working. We think we're in pretty good shape. In fact, we think we're in as good a shape as we've ever been coming out of a negative period. The demand signals from the majority of our customers are strengthening from Q2 to Q3. And I think we're pretty well positioned so that even with stable to moderately improved pricing, we should now start to build margin back into the financials. So all in all, we feel pretty good about where we sit. And with that, I'll turn it over to Ron.