John R. Croteau - MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.
Management
Well, I'd say in terms of the recovery from a unit standpoint, it's upon us. I used the example, we had a substantial laser business in PON and backhaul and front haul, and that's back. I mean that's back on strong, as I mentioned. So it's why I emphasized for our particular mix of businesses, we hit the bottom and we're seeing recovery. It's too early to call the pace of that recovery, but it's unquestionably going to be progressively stronger as we go through the year. On the metro long haul stuff in terms of the China – the infamous China pause, I want to emphasize, we sell analog components, modulator drivers, TIAs, to Chinese transceiver customers. That demand, they have burned through much of the inventory. There's a little pocket of inventory left that they're burning through. We have seen recovery there. We have seen lifts in that business. We anticipate 15%. All of our customers have said, used the same number, 15% port count growth. The moderating factors are important, though. There's a big shift stronger than what we had anticipated from long haul form factors to metro, so these are CFP and there's a very substantial difference in ASPs. Gross margin percentage is still quite good. In fact, very good, but the ASPs are profoundly different. So that produces an element a little bit of a SAM compression in that traditional part of our business. And the reason why I said it's a transitional year is now we see the lift on the 5G side, the transition from LR4 to CWDM, which is placed right to our – the same products, CWDM4 and 100 gig PAM-4 showing promise to begin ramping in 5G over in China. So again, selling analog components, photonic components, lasers to Chinese manufacturer, servicing that local demand and quite likely global data center demand as well.