John R. Croteau
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Thank you, Conrad. As Conrad pointed out, we had another solid quarter of taking share with more than 10% sequential growth at our catalog business, driven primarily by sales in multi-market. Our renewed focus on our core catalog business has now resulted in 4 straight quarters of sequential revenue growth. Taking a closer look at our revenue by market, 26% of our fourth quarter revenue was from Networks, 28% from aerospace and defense, 25% from automotive and 21% from multi-market. Multi-market was up 17%, and aerospace and defense was also up 2% this quarter despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. Automotive played out exactly as expected, slightly down, owing to Fourth of July pull-ins into Q3 by Ford, which we had mentioned last earnings call. Revenue into the Networks market was down 3% sequentially, driven by significant softening in our cable TV business. We saw sizable reductions in order intake, which affected Q4 shipments and which we expect will continue through Q1. This was largely offset by 7% sequential revenue growth into wireless backhaul and more than 10% sequential growth in our [indiscernible] electronics business. We continue to take share in wireless backhaul with major design wins for our eBand power amplifiers as well as with our 18 and 23 gigahertz power amplifier portfolio. Much like our peers who are also affected by year-end seasonal effects, we expect soft demand in fiscal Q1, driven by continued softness in cable TV. In addition, we expect a temporary pause in radar shipments in Q1, with order backlog showing full recovery in Q2. With that, I'd like to now talk about today's big news. As Leanne mentioned, you can access the slide presentation on the Investor Relations section of our website as part of the webcast or as a PDF. As you may have read, this evening, we announced the definitive agreement for the acquisition of Mindspeed Technologies based in Newport Beach, California. This move promises to be transformative for MACOM and is a major milestone in the company's long history. The proposed transaction will not only reposition our company, further elevating us as a leading supplier of high-performance RF and microwave solutions, but we believe it also redefines our small corner of the semiconductor industry and the competitive landscape for years to come. Our primary strategic interest in Mindspeed lies in the company's high-margin, high-performance analog business. This acquisition will transform MACOM into a leading global provider of 100G optical solutions and underscores our core growth strategy in the optical and networking markets. Concurrent with our proposed acquisition, Mindspeed is in advanced discussions with a potential buyer for its wireless business, which it plans to sell prior to the closing of our transaction. Mindspeed's high-performance analog portfolio, consisting of market-leading crosspoint switches, optical physical media devices and low-power signal conditioners, diversifies our business into the adjacent enterprise market and we believe aligns perfectly with MACOM's business model, offering gross margins approaching 70%, long product life cycles and sticky customer relationships. Targeted to close in December, we've entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Mindspeed for $5.05 per share and a cash tender offer. The transaction is valued at $271.7 million for Mindspeed's $132 million in trailing 12-months revenue, excluding Mindspeed's wireless business, as well as nonrecurring revenue and $23.9 million of cash equivalents as of September 27, 2013. It's important to understand that the acquisition will be immediately accretive to our non-GAAP gross margin, operating margins and earnings per share in the first full quarter following the closing. With substantial expected synergies coming from corporate overhead, SG&A and planned divestment or restructuring of nonperforming businesses, we currently estimate the transaction will be between $0.15 and $0.20 accretive to our earnings per share in fiscal 2014 and between $0.25 and $0.30 accretive in fiscal 2015. It may not be intuitively obvious to investors, but Mindspeed is highly complementary and compatible to MACOM and can serve as an accelerant to our growth strategy moving forward. They have a long and successful history and deep customer relationships servicing the communications industry. While you may know Mindspeed more for their communications processors voiceover IP and more recently their forays into wireless, the fact is that nearly half of their revenue comes from high-performance analog products for high-speed switching and signal conditioning and next-generation network gear. That part of the business is fully complementary to our portfolio and fits perfectly in our model, sticky value-added products and technologies with gross margins approaching 70%. Over the past year, you've heard me say that we'll spend our M&A dollars to accelerate our growth strategy in 100G optical. And well, Mindspeed is a perfect fit. We believe their strong position with blue-chip communications customers aligns perfectly with our growth ambitions in optical as well as the broader enterprise and networking spaces. Within 100G, MACOM will become the only vendor addressing all segments, long-haul metro and data centers, with a complete portfolio of physical media devices, modulator drivers, transimpedance amplifiers and clock and data recovery circuits, based on all requisite technologies, helium phosphite, gallium arsenide, silicon germanium, all of them. Strategically, the acquisition makes MACOM a much deeper, much broader and more globally diversified force in our corner of the industry. Mindspeed's silicon germanium-based capability will allow us to address new applications and additional system content in our core RF and microwave customers and applications. Mindspeed's market position and strong presence in the Asia Pacific will allow MACOM to broaden our customer base and deepen our customer penetration in this critical part of the world going forward. To top it all off, we fully expect that the acquisition will be highly synergistic and immediately accretive to MACOM's gross margins, operating margins and earnings per share in the first quarter following the acquisition with what we think will be plenty of room for expansion along all fronts going forward. Within the overall Mindspeed portfolio, our primary interest lies in the company's high-margin, high-performance analog business as well as its mature voiceover IP business. These comprise more than 60% of revenues, are highly profitable with 65% to 75% gross margins and have strong technology leadership positions in their respective product and market spaces. Mindspeed has built leadership positions in optical physical media devices, crosspoint switches, signal conditioners, and voiceover IP for enterprise applications. For this reason, we will adopt these businesses and care and feed them forward, if anything, higher than previously anticipated growth in profitability. Mindspeed also has a communications processor business which currently does not align with MACOM's long-term strategic focus. Therefore, options of this business will be explored while continuing to support its customers. Finally, as mentioned earlier, concurrent with our proposed acquisition, Mindspeed is in advanced discussions with a potential buyer for its wireless infrastructure business, which it plans to sell prior to closing. In the event the wireless business does not sell, it will be restructured and wound down while continuing to support its customers. One benefit of this transaction will be to diversify our end-market exposure, the value of which has become evident over the past year. Adding a substantial new revenue stream in central office enterprise equipment should help to weatherproof our business, reducing exposure to capital spending fluctuations in any 1 market, whether it be wireless carrier CapEx, DOCSIS cable-TV rollouts, or lumpy radar programs as were seen in this quarter. Therefore, upon closing of this deal, we intend to report Mindspeed revenues in enterprise as our fifth end-market. Mindspeed has been thriving in the enterprise space for decades, dating back to its roots as Conexant and Rockwell Semiconductor. Their customer base is a veritable who's who list in various communication sectors, from telecommunications to video broadcast systems. Each of these industries is continually challenged to keep up with new demands for bandwidth, new applications and new usage models, such as cloud computing, IPTV, video-on-demand and 4K UHD TV video streams. Applications from Mindspeed's high-performance analog products include high-speed transports switching and signal conditioning and optical modules, line cards, switch cards, backplanes and system chassis. Mindspeed boast technology leadership with the with industry's fastest crosspoint switches, which play a vital role in managing network latency. Latency is the primary value driver in these markets and applications in a world of exponentially increasing data density and numbers of connected devices. As many of you know who've been following MACOM, 100G optical is one of the growth drivers that we've identified for the company going forward. We're in the early stages of an anticipated decade-long buildout of 100G networks in infrastructure that's extremely rich in high-performance, high-value semiconductor content from companies like MACOM. To date, we've established a leadership position for 100G modulator drivers that are used in long-haul applications. These products require compound semiconductor technologies, like Indium phosphide, and gallium arsenide, which is right in our wheelhouse. We believe adding Mindspeed's complementary silicon germanium products and technology will allow us to expand in several dimensions simultaneously. First, we intend to extend into adjacent metro, data center and 100G Ethernet applications, so transmission distances less than 10 kilometers. These are some of the highest growth areas for 100G overall. From our customer's perspective, MACOM will be a clear vendor of choice with leading solutions across their breath of applications and full scope of product requirements. This should enable MACOM to capitalize fully on the buildout of 100G optical infrastructure worldwide. From a customer perspective, the merger of 2 strategic vendors of choice in their respective fields of expertise offers latent value. Mindspeed, like MACOM, is viewed by their long-term customers as a strategic partner that delivers key technologies that enable their own products roadmaps. I believe the combination of MACOM and Mindspeed will produce a totally different animal that no one from our RF and microwave industry or from the high-performance analog world has been able to create. Combined, we think we can solve problems that no one else can address. In addition, the opportunity to service Mindspeed's unique customers and applications with MACOM technologies and products, and vice versa, can be transformative. I've already described the opportunity in the 100G optical space. The same holds true for other high-growth applications, like millimeter wave, satellite communications and microwave AESA radars, to name a few. The combination of Mindspeed and MACOM will bring depth and breadth and what we expect to be significant upside to our growth aspirations. Dating back to our early days as Microwave Associates supplying magnetrons into the first microwave radar systems after World War II, MACOM's roots lie in the U.S. aerospace and defense industry. We've certainly made progress expanding into commercial markets, like cable-TV, wireless backhaul and optical infrastructure that are now sourced heavily out of China as well as Japan and Korea; 27% of our sales are now generated out of that region. By comparison, Mindspeed is light-years ahead of MACOM, if you can pardon the pun; 70% of Mindspeed's sales come out of Asia Pacific. For decades, they've had a well-developed sales channel and deep customer relationships that can accelerate the penetration of MACOM's RF and microwave portfolio in that region. Again, this promises upside to our growth aspirations if this plays out as we hope. The same holds true from a technology perspective. Mindspeed brings along a highly complementary technology base that effectively doubles our addressable market for MACOM's core RF and microwave business. MACOM has traditionally served as the highest performance part of the RF microwave market, which we estimate to be about 25% of the overall $9.5 billion sale. That part, shown here in blue, requires the use of compound semiconductor technologies, like gallium arsenide or gallium nitride, and a broad catalog of standard functional products because it's a highly fragmented market. Mindspeed brings with it silicon-based technologies, notably silicon germanium, that have evolved to similar performance levels and enabled much higher degrees of integration and application specificity. That's shown here in green. Applications that achieve greater scale and volume tend to play to the economic advantages of silicon germanium, that is, low unit costs at the expense of high development expense. With the potential acquisition of Mindspeed, MACOM will become the first RF microwave vendor that can service customers, markets and applications with truly world-class capabilities from gallium arsenide and gallium nitride to silicon germanium. The upside potential to our growth plans is again very substantial. That brings us to our combined financial model going forward, the best part yet. If you look at the last 12 months performance from Mindspeed, alongside MACOM, excluding Mindspeed's wireless business and nonrecurring revenue, it adds $132 million of revenue at 63% gross margin. This would yield a blended LTM adjusted gross margin of 50% for the combined entity. We see plenty of room for further margin expansion, depending on strategic decisions and MACOM's gross margin progression as already planned. Taking into account synergies, mostly in corporate overhead, SG&A and underperforming businesses, we believe we can improve operating margins for the combined entity minimally by 400 basis points. For that reason, you can see why we're excited about the accretive nature of this transaction in all respects. Gross margin, operating margins as well as earnings per share. In summary, I'm personally excited, in fact thrilled, to bring home this transaction to MACOM stakeholders. It's transformative in so many ways, bringing depth as well as breadth to the MACOM portfolio, technologically, geographically and bulking up in our target markets. We will be positioned to become a supplier of choice in 100G, with leadership positions across long-haul, metro and data center applications and covering the full scope of physical media requirements. We can, thus, capitalize fully on the decade-long buildout of 100G optical infrastructure worldwide. To top it all off, we believe the transaction will be highly accretive to gross margins, operating margins and the EPS within the first quarter after closing. We have identified strong synergy potential, which we plan to execute to within the first 100 days of the combined company. Thanks, everyone, for listening. I will now open the call for questions. Operator?