Operator
Operator
Good morning and welcome to the Meritage Homes First Quarter 2016 Analyst Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Brent Anderson, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead. Brent A. Anderson - Vice President-Investor & Media Relations: Thank you, Aaronson. Good morning and welcome to our analyst call to discuss our first quarter results, which we issued in a press release before the market opened today. If you need a copy of the release or the slides that will accompany our webcast, you can find them on our website at investors.meritagehomes.com or by selecting the Investor Relations link at the bottom of our homepage. I'll refer you to Slide 2 of the presentation. Our statements during this call and the accompanying materials contain projections and forward-looking statements, which are the current opinions of management and subject to change. We undertake no obligation to update these projections or opinions. Our actual results may be materially different than our expectations due to various risk factors listed and explained in our press release and our most recent filings with the SEC, specifically our 2015 Annual Report on Form 10-K. Today's presentation also includes certain non-GAAP financial measures as defined by the SEC. And we provided a reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the closest GAAP figures within our earnings press release. With me today to discuss our results are Steve Hilton, Chairman and CEO of Meritage; Hilla Sferruzza, Executive Vice President and CFO and Phillippe Lord, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Meritage Homes. We expect the call to go about an hour today and a replay will be available on our website approximately an hour after we conclude. It will remain active for 30 days. I'll now turn it over to Steve to review our first quarter results. Steve? Steven J. Hilton - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Thank you, Brent, and welcome to everyone who is participating in our call this morning. The housing market has remained healthy through the first quarter of 2016 and we continue to experience solid demand overall. We believe the economy can support continued growth of the housing market, additional household formations based upon pent-up demand, jobs and income growth, low mortgage rates, and the easing of mortgage credit criteria. We were generally pleased with our results for the first quarter. We closed 1,488 homes during the quarter, 11% more than a year ago, and are on track to achieve our expected 7,000 to 7,500 closings for the full-year. Combined with a 3% increase in our average sales price, our home closing revenue rose 15% over the first quarter of 2015. Our gross profit on homes closed increased 8% year-over-year. The increase in revenue allowed us to better leverage our selling, general and administrative expenses, which were 90 basis points lower than they were in the first quarter of 2015. That additional overhead leverage offset most of the decline in the home closing gross margin, which we had anticipated. Our pre-tax earnings increased 14% and we captured additional energy tax credits on our energy-efficient homes, reducing our tax rate to 27% for the quarter. All that combined to drive a 28% increase in our net earnings and a 25% increase in diluted EPS. In addition, our East region improved, growing orders and improving our absorption rates in Georgia and the Carolinas after the changes we made last year. Even our sales in Houston exceeded our expectation; first quarter 2016 orders in Houston were equal to last year's first quarter. We ended the first quarter with a healthy backlog that was 16% higher in units and 21% higher in value than the first quarter of 2015. Based on that growth and our confidence in the market, we continue to invest in land and development. There are a couple of metrics that require some explanation as our gross margins were lower than a year ago and orders were up just slightly. So we'll now turn to Slide five. Our home closing gross margin for the first quarter of 2016 was 17.4%, compared to 18.5% in the first quarter of 2015. While we anticipated that decline in our budget, there are two primary reasons that explain much of that. Number one, first and foremost, land and labor costs are higher than they were in the first quarter of 2015 as we're still experiencing tight supplies of labor and land in better locations. Although these costs are no longer outpacing appreciation in the home prices, as they did last year, they did reduce our first quarter 2016 margins compared to 2015. We expect home closing gross margins to be more in line with last year in the back half of this year, as we lap the sharp cost increases caused by the tightening of the labor market in the third quarter. Secondly, our margins in the West region were particularly impacted by a handful of communities in Southern California and Arizona that were acquired in 2013 prior to the reduction in the FHA loan limits. When these loan limits were reduced, we weren't able to get the prices we expected in those communities, resulting in substandard margins that were well below our company average. As we're selling through our remaining lots in these communities in order to redeploy the capital into better positions, those low margin closings reduced our margin for the region and the company as a whole. Turning to Slide six. I'll now address our orders for the first quarter of 2016. Orders for 1,987 homes were in line with the first quarter of 2015 despite our average community count for the quarter being 8% higher in 2016 compared to 2015. It helps to understand a few reasons for the flat order volume. First, we had a number of very successful communities with high absorptions in the first quarter of 2015 that closed out early, so we didn't have the benefit of those in 2016. Secondly, we made a strategic decision to meter our sales in certain communities in Northern California and Colorado, where demand has been especially strong or selling at an exceptionally high pace. And third, our sales pace in Houston was lower than a year ago due to the impact of the lower energy prices. All those combined to reduce our absorption in the first quarter of this year relative to last year. I'll now turn it over to Phillippe to review our operating trends in a little more detail. Phillippe? Phillippe Lord - Chief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President: Thank you, Steve. We had a good first quarter and I'm proud of our people for what they accomplished. I'll walk through our markets to provide some color on what our trends are in each of them. Slide seven. Beginning in the West region, closings were up 20% and our backlog of orders were up 8% year-over-year in the first quarter. Orders were down 11% due to lower absorptions for the regions Steve explained earlier. Demand remained strongest in Northern California and Colorado, which have the highest absorptions in the company. Land is expensive and difficult to find in those markets and labor is tight, so we are metering out sales in those markets. Southern California and Arizona are slower and we're working through some underperforming communities as Steve pointed out earlier. Slide eight. In Texas, orders and closings were up 6% and backlog was up 10% in units, primarily due to additional communities opened. Our ASP increased 10% on orders year-over-year, so our order value was up 17% and backlog value increased 19%. Dallas and San Antonio are still the best markets for us in the Texas region, but Austin and Houston are not far behind. San Antonio improved their sales pace over last year and we believe we could have another record year there. While our absorptions in Houston weren't as high as a year ago, we haven't seen a dramatic fall-off in our sales pace. With oil prices on the rise again, we're becoming more optimistic. Slide 9. We're pleased with our progress in the East region, where closings, orders and backlog were up 8%, 10%, and 33% in units, respectively, over the first quarter of 2015. The changes we made last year have already begun to make a positive difference and we expect them to continue to improve. We grew our average community count 90%, particularly in Atlanta and Nashville, and are expecting to improve our sales pitch there over time with our newer communities and to improve our margins over time with the products replacements we've made. Our average community count in Nashville was 80% higher than a year ago, while our absorption was 41% lower. The reason for that is that we introduced new product that should have higher margins and we basically shut down production while we re-bid the contracts for those new plans. Orlando demand remained solid despite fewer international buyers. Our Florida orders were lower than last year's first quarter due to slightly fewer communities on average and a slower absorption pace in Tampa. In general, land and labor cost inflation has eased somewhat, so we don't expect those cost to come down anytime soon. The land market is generally fully priced making it difficult to expect higher margins. We are continuing to pursue innovative ways to deal with that by expanding our presence in the entry-level plus market and moving towards a more even-flow production model. Neither is easy, but both of them should allow us to increase our sales while reducing our costs and therefore, improve our leverage and net margins over time. I'll now turn it over to Hilla for some additional details on our financials. Hilla? Hilla Sferruzza - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Thank you, Phillippe. Since Steve and Phillippe covered the operating results and key variants as compared to last year's first quarter, I'll hit a few of the items on the income statement and some of the other metrics we typically provide. Starting on slide 10. We gained 20 bps on leverage on commission and other selling costs from the increase in closing revenue in the first quarter, which was 7.8% in 2016 compared to 8.0% in 2015. Our general and administrative expenses were flat year-over-year on an absolute basis. So we picked up another 70 basis points on leverage there, with the first quarter of 2016 at 5.0% of revenue compared to 5.7% a year ago. The additional 90 bps combined savings overhead leverage almost completely offset the decline in our home closing gross margins. We captured approximately $2.2 million in energy tax credits during the first quarter for homes we had previously closed, bringing our effective tax rate for the quarter down to 27% compared to 35% in the first quarter of 2015 and our guidance of 32% for the full year. We still expect that we will be in the 31% to 33% range for 2016. Slide 11. Our effective tax rate is well below the statutory rate of 35%, in large part due to our energy efficiency of our homes. We spent approximately $1 to $1.50 per square foot for the spray-foam installation, upgraded HVAC systems, Loewen Windows and ENERGY STAR appliances that get to our HERS Rating and enabled us to qualify our homes for energy tax credit. No other builder has qualified nearly as high a percentage of homes closed as we have over the past several years. If we could reflect the tax benefit with its corresponding cost in our cost of goods sold rather than below the line in taxes, it would offset much of that additional cost and raise our gross margin on home closings by approximately 40 bps to 50 bps in 2016. While accounting rules don't allow for that, we're just pointing out the fact the financial cost and benefit from our energy-efficient strategy are reflected in different sections of our income statement. Turning to slide 12, our backlog conversion rate was 55% in the first quarter of 2016 compared to 63% in the first quarter of 2015, primarily due to the large volume of late fourth quarter sales in 2015, which we expect will close later in 2016, and relatively fewer closings from spec inventory. Just 39% of our 2016 closings were from spec inventory compared to about 43% of last year's first quarter closings. We expect our backlog conversion rate to increase throughout the remainder of the year. We ended the quarter with approximately 1,160 specs at March 31, 2016 compared to about 1,120 a year ago, an average of less than five specs per community. Of those, approximately 35% were completed at the end of the first quarter of 2016 compared to 45% for the first quarter of 2015. As we open up more entry-level plus communities where buyers typically want to move in quicker, we expect our spec levels to increase somewhat and the percentage of closings from spec to increase as well. Based on our focus market research and confirmed by what we're seeing on the ground, we confidently invested approximately $190 million on land and development during the first quarter of 2016 compared to approximately $154 million in the first quarter of 2015. Almost three-quarters of that was for new land. We added approximately 2,400 lots under control and after transferring approximately 1,760 lots, to wit for start, our balance of lots increased by approximately 640 during the quarter, ending the first quarter of 2016 with 28,400 lots owned or controlled, or approximately 4.3 years lot supply based on trailing 12-month closing. We remain committed to maintaining a four to five years supply of land replenishing our pipeline with lots in our strongest market. Our ending cash position decreased approximately $90 million during the first quarter of 2016 to $172 million as of March 31, nearly all of which was for additional homes under contract under construction. Our total real estate inventory increased approximately $121 million to $2.2 billion as of the end of the quarter. Our net debt-to-capital ratio was 42.4% at March 31, 2016 compared to 40.4% at the end of 2015 due to our use of cash during the first quarter to grow our land supply and inventory of homes under construction. With that, I'll turn it back over to Steve. Steve? Steven J. Hilton - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Thank you, Hilla. In summary, we were pleased with our operating results for the first quarter of 2016 and are confident in achieving our projected level of closings for the year based upon our closings and orders in the first quarter of this year. We generated strong earnings growth during the quarter from top line growth and overhead leverage aided by a lower tax rate. Our orders closing the backlog were up – backlog were all up year-over-year in units, ASPs, and dollar value. Our newer markets are beginning to show improved performance after the changes we made last year and demand remained solid and we believe that we're positioned in some of the best housing markets to take advantage of the return of the first-time homebuyer. I appreciate all of our employees for their roles in putting families into new Meritage homes every day. Considering our increased home closing revenue during our first quarter and a 21% higher ending backlog value at the end of the quarter, we are confident that we'll achieve revenue and earnings growth in 2016 despite the margin compression we've experienced over the last year. We reiterate our expectation for 7,000 to 7,500 closings in 2016. For some time now, we've been talking about our entry-level plus strategy, which targets the growing number of first-time homebuyers or entering the market and looking for something better than a shelter-oriented strip down entry-level home. They want a home with features they would normally find in a move-up home, but at affordable price. Features like granite countertops, kitchen islands, upgraded appliances, walk-in pantries, and more closet space, which you don't typically find in most entry-level homes. We've been acquiring land positions that will allow for more affordable homes, and we've incorporated many of those features into the smaller homes that we offer today in our bungalows and townhouses. The big difference is that no other builder can offer all of that and the high energy efficient standards that Meritage Homes offers. We believe that puts us in a unique position to address the entry-level market, and we will be introducing a new product line in the next couple of months to formally plant our flag in that space. So thank you for your interest in Meritage Homes and for supporting our growth and success. We will now open it up for questions, and the operator will remind you of the instructions. Operator?