Joe Foran
Analyst · BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open. Please go ahead
Dan, I would add a couple of things that I've learned from my 35 years' experience. One is look at the other side of the coin. Following up what David says, you are getting your finding costs down there in the range of $10. Where some say, well, you shouldn't be spending the money now, go down to two rigs, one rig -- if you believe that prices will strengthen over time, that the laws of supply and demand work and they will increase in the coming year and years to come, then establishing finding costs down there in the sub $10, as those prices rise, analysts will be commenting on what great margins we have. Well, the great margins won't be just because prices return in 2018 because what we do in 2018 -- part of those great margins will be observed because, at a time like this, we cautiously but methodically kept up the pace and delivered $10 finding costs. That will help these [indiscernible] assets that provide better to average margins for someone who is coming in to a new entrant. And then the other thing that we're establishing again on the record reserves that we're establishing -- yes, that isn't necessarily cash flow all today. But those are assets that will provide assumptions and increase value in years to come, that's the way we see it. I think prices are much more likely to go up than down. It feels like the worst is behind us. But if there's another spate, we think we're aware of that. We were very pleased with the offering and the indications of interest that we had. And we're really excited about the progress. But what -- and what I found over the years is that one is better off to look at it not from a single point of view, what is your precise rate of return today, but also look at the value you are establishing, the options you are establishing, the organization, the innovations you are establishing, the new technology you are learning. All these things will factor in when you think of yourself as a going concern. Also your outlook on prices, all these -- you know, it's just more complex [Technical Difficulty] sometimes and that's why you have to be cautious, you don't go too fast or you will miss out on some things and make it risky. But if you go too slow, you're going to miss out on some wonderful opportunities that are only available today. We think this year is off to a really strong start. We're where we wanted to be and where we projected we would be at the analyst. And the outlook for this next quarter is, look, we're going to have an increase in production. We've already experienced an increase in reserves. And the organization is stronger. We're better in every area -- Midstream production, drilling, completions. And the teams are coming up with lots of ideas, good technical work. I don't want to -- and the macro environment, I think, is improving. Relationships with vendors is, I think, excellent. So, there's some real intangible progress going on, along with just the simple rate of return, the cash flow coming back. And I think you will continue to see that progress as it goes along. And we try to be long-range thinkers and worry about the long-range price. And when we first went public, people worried about us because we were 90% gas, weren't oily enough. And we went down in the Eagle Ford and established ourselves there and then we were pushed back because we were not putting all of our money back into the Eagle Ford. But we were establishing the Permian position. We think those were the right decisions. And even out here in the Permian, we -- a couple years ago, you may remember that on these conference calls, people were giving us no value for the Rustler Breaks. That is turned out to be a good move. Midstream -- until recently, we were getting no value on the Midstream. So I think Matador has a lot of assets that are not always appreciated because I think we think of ourselves as being fairly low-key and waiting till they actually prove themselves. That's an example. And now Twin Lakes, for which we're receiving no credit, is an exploratory success with room to grow. And so I give a lot of credit to our Board and our management staff to have reached those decisions. And I hope that answers your question, Dan, that I think you have to hope that you -- or you all evaluate however you want. But in fairness I think you have to look broader and look at the intangibles and look at the decisions that we made, like going to the Delaware before it was cool. We didn't get much value, but it turned out to be right. Going to the Eagle Ford and being on the 9000 foot contour didn't receive a lot of credit until it happened and Midstream has been the same way. Thank you all I'll do a good job, the analysts. It's just we have the advantage of more information that we try to get out to you. And in that regard, I hope you and others that have commented -- we've had some comments that our press releases are too long. We've tried to condense it. So if there's a comment card, also let us know. If you want us to condense it more or you like the detail and we will try to comply because we're really trying to get it out to you in the form that is best suited to you all. I'm serious about the comments. Let us know if we're getting the right information to you.