Robert Qutub
Analyst · Evercore Partners
Good morning. Thank you for joining us. Let me share some highlights from the first quarter before we dive into the numbers. Earlier this morning, MSCI reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2013. Our operating results were highlighted by 10% growth in our total revenues aided by recent acquisitions, continued growth in our subscription run rate and a strong growth in our adjusted earnings per share. Our index and ESG subscription run rate continue to be a strong driver of our growth rising 9.5% organically, and the recovery of our governance business also continues. Our asset-based fee revenues also grew, rising 6% year-over-year, as we continue to benefit from strong inflows into MSCI's ETFs despite the impact of the loss of much of the revenue related to the 22 Vanguard ETFs, which started to transition away from MSCI indices this quarter. After adjusting for the loss of Vanguard in both periods, this business would've grown by 15%. Our portfolio management analytics unit continues to struggle as we expected in the first quarter, down -- fell and, to a lesser extent, the impact for the weakening end continued to put pressure on run rate growth. Our IPD acquisition accounted for $8 million of index and ESG revenues in the first quarter. First quarter, though, is the seasonally lowest revenue quarter for that product line, and we expect second quarter revenues to be significantly higher. I'll touch more on that later. Finally, we continued our policy of a balanced capital deployment. We acquired InvestorForce, divested CFRA and repaid a modest amount of debt in order to lower our overall interest expense. Now let's get into the numbers. MSCI reported first quarter revenues of $252 million, up 10% from first quarter 2012. Adjusted EBITDA was $110 million, up 8% year-over-year, and adjusted EPS rose 30% to $0.57 per share. Net income was $59 million, representing an increase of 34% over first quarter of 2012. Our first quarter revenue growth was led by the performance in the risk segment, which reported revenue growth of $21 million or 11% driven by a higher growth in index and ESG, energy and commodity analytics and risk revenues, partially offset by a decline in CMA. On an organic basis, which for purposes of analyzing revenues, excludes the impact of acquisitions of IPD and InvestorForce, Performance and Risk revenues rose by 6%. In addition, you should note, the first quarter of 2012 was negatively impacted by a $5 million revenue correction in our energy and commodity analytics product line. Our governance revenues segments rose $1.5 million or 5%. When you take a look at our revenue growth by type, quarterly subscription revenues grew the most with $22 million or 12% over the first quarter of 2012, or 7% organically, and asset-based fees rose 6%. On a run rate basis, our total subscription business grew by 8% to $848 million. On an organic basis, which for purposes of analyzing our run rate, excludes the impact of the acquisitions of IPD and InvestorForce and the divestiture of CFRA, our subscription run rate grew by 3% led by a 10% increase in index and ESG subscriptions, 5% growth in governance and 3% growth in risk. Also, the volatile foreign currency market continued to have an impact on our hour growth, reducing our subscription run rate by almost $8 million year-over-year. Total sales of $40 million were down 7% from first quarter 2012. Our overall retention rate remains solid at 92%. On a sequential basis, our run rate grew by 1% organically, impacted in part by $6 million of the currency headwinds relative to the fourth quarter of 2012. Let's take a look at the performance of our 4 major product lines starting with our index and ESG subscription products. Revenues there grew by $13 million or 18%. On an organic basis, revenues grew by 7%. Before I go on to discuss index in ESG, I want to spend a moment on IPD. IPD contributed $8 million in revenues during the first quarter 2013, a number that we expected to be a seasonal low for the year. This is because one of IPD's major products consists of annual benchmarking reports, many of which are delivered in the second quarter, resulting in a strong seasonal tilt in revenue recognition to the second quarter. We expect second quarter revenues to be approximately twice those of the first quarter and we also expect second half revenues to be recognized more evenly over the final 2 quarters. The timing of revenue recognition has no impact on cost which, for the most part, are recognized ratably [ph] over the year. Index and ESG subscription run rate grew 24% to $344 million or by 10% on an organic basis, driven by growth in index benchmark products. IPD got off to a good start to the year, but some of that progress was offset by a $2 million negative impact on foreign currency changes on the run rate. As I begin my discussion of asset-based fees, let me remind you that we continue to reflect Vanguard revenues in our reported P&L along with the related AUMs as a measure of performance. However, we have adjusted our run rate, which is a forward-looking measure, beginning in the third quarter 2012 to reflect the loss of the Vanguard ETFs. Our asset-based fees benefited from a combination of solid performance and strong inflows in ETFs linked to MSCI indices, offset in part by the migration of some of the Vanguard ETFs to other indices during the quarter. Revenues rose 6% on the back of an increase in overall assets under management and higher revenues from non-ETF asset products. Asset-based fee run rates fell 2% year-over-year to $134 million as a result of the Vanguard loss. But if we also excluded the run rate attributable to the Vanguard ETFs run rate at the end of the first quarter 2012, our annual asset-based fee run rate growth would have been 17%. There was $357 billion of assets under management in ETFs linked to MSCI indices at the end of March 2013, flat year-over-year, and down 11% from the end of December. On that, $72 billion was in Vanguard ETFs and have yet to transition with $285 billion in non-Vanguard ETFs. Excluding the transitioning of Vanguard ETFs, our average realized fee on MSCI-linked ETFs was 3.6 basis points at the end of the first quarter. On the flow side, MSCI had another strong quarter. In total, MSCI-linked ETFs benefited from $22 billion of total inflows. $14 billion of those flows were worked into ETFs that we expect will remain linked to MSCI. Those flows were offset by the migration of $83 billion in Vanguard ETFs. When we report our monthly AUMs tomorrow morning, or tomorrow afternoon, on our website, we will report the impact of further migration in April of an additional 8 ETFs, with total AUMs of $28 billion as of April 16. That leaves only 5 Vanguard ETFs with AUMs of $45 billion as of April 26 that remain to be transitioned. Risk management analytics revenues rose by 5% year-over-year, and by 3% on an organic basis. Run rate rose $17 million or 6% and by 3% organically. RMA sales remained flat year-over-year, but ticked up slightly on a sequential basis. We did see an uptick in sales in Europe during the quarter, but that was offset by weaker sales in other regions. Overall, I would describe business trends here as steady during the first quarter relative to prior periods. Retention rates remained strong at 94%. It is also worth noting that foreign exchange rates negatively impacted RMA run rate by $2 million relative to the fourth quarter 2012. During the quarter, we completed the acquisition of InvestorForce. We're only 2 months along, but the early trends are positive. Our portfolio management analytics product line continued to face challenging conditions during the first quarter. Revenues fell 5% to $28 million and run rate fell 10% to $106 million. As was the case last quarter, the decline in run rate was also impacted by changes in foreign currency rates, which lowered the run rate by $2 million on a year-over-year basis and $1.5 million relative to the fourth quarter. Sales picked up slightly from a quarter ago but continued to like [ph] cancels. We did launch several new products, including a significant upgrade to our portfolio management software, but too early yet to see any impact from those products. Governance revenues rose 5% to $32 million as the recovery in the segment continues. Our run rate fell 2% year-over-year as a result of the loss of CFRA. And on an organic basis, which excludes CFRA, run rate increased 5%. Total sales growth slowed as we began to lap the rollout period of our new U.S. compensation data and analytics products, but retention rates remained strong, especially for our core proxy research and voting products and services. We sold the CFRA forensic accounting product line at the end of the first quarter, so we will start to feel the loss of the $10 million in annualized revenues during the second quarter. As noted earlier, it has already come out of our run rate. Let's turn next to expenses. Our adjusted EBITDA expense rose by 12% to $142 million with substantially all of that growth coming from higher compensation expense. Total compensation expenses rose 16% to $107 million. The growth in compensation expense was driven primarily by the acquisitions of IPD and InvestorForce and, to a lesser extent, by an increase in overall annual compensation levels for other employees. Our headcount rose to 2,844 from 2,465 a year ago, and the percentage of our workforce in low call [ph] centers remain flat at 41%. Non-compensation expense was flat in the first quarter of 2013 despite the acquisition. That's the outcome of the continued tight focus on trying to minimize expenses in this area, as well as the impact of not having to carry some of the double-rent expense in IT cost we incurred 1 year ago as we shifted on New York and Rockville office locations and reconfigured our data center strategy, as well as other cost benefits. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 8% to $110 million in the first quarter of 2013. Our effective tax range was 29.5% in the first quarter of 2013, down from 35.6% in the first quarter of 2012 and 36.3% for all of 2012. Our tax expense benefited from several discrete items, including a reduction in state taxes and the reinstatement of the 2012 R&D tax credit. Taken together, those items totaled up to a $3.8 million benefit to our quarterly tax expense. We continue to expect our full year effective tax rate to be in the 34% to 34.5% range. Now let's turn to our balance sheet and cash flow. We finished the first quarter with total debt of $829 million and a total cash position of $263 million, of which $69 million is held offshore. During the first quarter, MSCI generated operating cash flow of $71 million. We spent $5 million of that for capital expenditures and used $23 million to acquire InvestorForce. We also spent $26 million to repay debt in the quarter, which we anticipate should enable us to reduce the interest rate on our remaining term loan by 25 basis points under the terms of this facility. The $100 million accelerated share repurchase that we announced in December continues to be ongoing and the 2.2 million shares we withdrew at the time enabled us to lower our average diluted share count by 1% since first quarter 2012. That ASR program will expire no later than July of this year. Looking forward, we continue to expect our CapEx budget to be in the $30 million-$35 million range for the full year. Our schedule debt repayments for the balance of 2013 are now $33 million, and MSCI did not use any cash to buy back stock during the first quarter because of ASR, so we continue to have an outstanding repurchase authorization for up to $200 million worth of our shares that we intend to use over the stated[ph] time. Now let me turn over to Henry for some additional comments.