Earnings Labs

MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA)

Q4 2021 Earnings Call· Fri, Feb 18, 2022

$167.14

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day. And welcome to the MSA Fourth Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this event is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the conference over to Chris Hepler. Please go ahead.

Chris Hepler

Analyst

Thank you, Jason. Good morning, and welcome to MSA's fourth quarter and full year 2021 earnings conference call. This is Chris Hepler, Executive Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations. I'm here with Nish Vartanian, Chairman, President and CEO; Ken Krause, Senior Vice President, CFO and Treasurer; Steve Blanco, President of Americas; and Bob Leenen, President of International. Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that the matters discussed during this call may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, all projections and anticipated levels of future performance. Forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause our actual results to differ materially from those discussed today. These risks, uncertainties and other factors are detailed in our SEC filings. MSA undertakes no duty to publicly update any forward-looking statements made on this call, except as required by law. We have included certain non-GAAP financial measures as part of our discussion this morning and the non-GAAP reconciliations as well as our 2021 fourth quarter and full year press release are available on our Investor Relations website at investors.msasafety.com. Moving to today's agenda, Nish will discuss key highlights of the fourth quarter and full year. He will then turn the call over to Ken to discuss our financial performance. Nish will conclude with closing remarks. And then we will open up the call to questions. With that, I'll turn the call over to Nish.

Nish Vartanian

Analyst

Thanks, Chris. And good morning, everyone. On today's call, I'll start with an overview of the fourth quarter and also talk about the trends we're seeing in the market. Ken will then provide a more detailed financial review. After that, both Steve Blanco, President of the Americas, and Bob Leenen, President of International, will join us for a Q&A session, and it's nice to have Bob back in the U.S. for a couple of weeks. We delivered a very strong fourth quarter despite ongoing supply chain constraints, a challenging backdrop of rising inflation and the evolving impacts of COVID-19. I'm very pleased with our team's disciplined execution in navigating these headwinds. In the fourth quarter, we achieved all time records across many of our key financial metrics. Our quarterly revenue of $410 million was a record, up 6% from a year ago, driven by acquisitions and strong growth in industrial, personal protective equipment. And we achieved a record 19.5% adjusted operating margin in the quarter, up 150 basis points over the prior year. This is evidence of the progress we're making toward our aspirational goal of 20%-plus operating margins. Demand for our Life protecting products and technologies remain strong, and our backlog continues to trend at record levels as a result of a solid order pace and supply chain challenges. Backlog ended the year up more than $70 million from a year ago. Impacting GAAP numbers in the quarter was MSA LLC's non-cash charge, which Ken will discuss in more detail. As we continue to manage through the ongoing impacts of the pandemic, I want to again recognize and thank our entire global workforce for their tremendous commitment to delivering safety solutions to our customers around the world. At MSA, our greatest asset is our people. Their commitment and dedication…

Ken Krause

Analyst

Thanks, Nish. And good morning, everyone. I'll start the discussion with financial highlights centered around growth, profitability and our balance sheet before providing more detail on the fourth quarter. We had a strong finish. The acquisitions we made earlier this year, combined with strength in industrial PPE, notably head protection, portable gas detection and fall protection drove revenues to a quarterly record. While orders were strong in fixed gas and flame detection, SCBA and turnout gear, supply chain and labor constraints had an impact on deliveries and drove our quarterly book-to-bill ratio above one times and backlog to record levels. It was good to see the strong finish in margins. Despite the ongoing inflationary and supply chain challenges, we continue to see a very healthy level of gross margins, a strong improvement in adjusted operating margin and a return to over 40% incremental margins. This performance speaks to our ability to realize price improvement, combined with our ongoing focus on improving productivity. And we took the opportunity to continue to invest in the business to drive long-term profitable growth and enhance our market positions throughout 2021. We invested over $400 million for the year in strategic acquisitions, technology partnerships and capital expenditures and returned nearly $70 million to shareholders through dividends. Our balance sheet remains strong with net leverage of 1.6 times at year-end. We are positioned well to maintain our balanced approach to capital allocation. Before reviewing the details of the quarter, I want to summarize the non-cash charge, our subsidiary, MSA LLC took related to cumulative trauma product liability claims in the quarter. Consistent with prior years, in the fourth quarter, we conducted the annual review process to determine MSA LLC's cumulative trauma product liability claims reserve. Based on that review, MSA LLC's product liability reserve increased by…

Nish Vartanian

Analyst

Thanks, Ken. While supply chain disruptions and inflation continue to be - present ongoing challenges, I'm very pleased with how our teams work with speed and agility to ensure we're delivering products to our customers and meeting their needs, while maintaining discipline around pricing to ensure we're offsetting rising costs. I'm also pleased with the progress we're making with last year's two acquisitions and the introduction of key new products and technologies. Despite the challenges we face, we are positioned well for what I believe will be a successful 2022. Demand is robust for our products and solutions as we continue to build strength in the MSA brand around the world. Our balance sheet is healthy, and we'll continue to look to strengthen our market positions through both organic and inorganic investment. Thank you for your interest in our company, in your participation this morning. At this time, we'll be glad to take any questions you may have. Please remember that MSA does not give guidance. Having said that, we'll now open up the call for your questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Stanley Elliott from Stifel. Please go ahead.

Stanley Elliott

Analyst

Hey. Good morning, everybody. Thanks to all for taking the question.

Nish Vartanian

Analyst

Good morning.

Stanley Elliott

Analyst

You talked about the pricing piece within kind of the portfolio and orders up, I think it was kind of like mid-single-digit-ish. How much pricing tailwind should we expect kind of within the '22 period, all else being equal?

Nish Vartanian

Analyst

So I'll open up and then Ken will give a little more color. Stanley, we did have a price increase in the fourth quarter in Latin America and then in northern – in North America. So we did implement one, I think, it was October or November in each of those segments. So obviously, we'll get some benefit from that in 2022. We had a mid-year price increase in North America in July time frame. So we'll see a little increase from that for the first half of the year. And then in international, we had a price increase in January. And net effect of that, and Ken, you might want to give a little more color to that.

Ken Krause

Analyst

Yeah. The - it's interesting. We did an exceptional job at continuing to price the value of our product, Stanley, throughout the year, and we remain committed. If I just take it back to a higher level, when we think about outlook and we think about growth rates in the business in 2022, the order pace that we spoke about previously provides us a sense of confidence in our ability to continue to grow our business. When we think about growth rates of mid-single digit organically and then the additional acquisition-related revenues of another 3% to 4%, we think that a high single-digit sort of growth rate for the year is probably not out of the question. Now I'll hedge to that a bit when I think about the supply chain. It's going to certainly be a tough start to the year. When we think about the first half of 2022, we are dealing with unprecedented challenges with respect to electronic components and other supply chain material availability. So we continue to navigate that. We continue to navigate it well. But we feel like we are positioned to continue to grow this business into 2022.

Stanley Elliott

Analyst

Seasonally, the second half is always a little bit stronger. Could you help us, you know, how this is going to deviate from normal just kind of given the supply chain issues you are thinking about in the first half of the year and everything within that?

Nish Vartanian

Analyst

Sure, Stanley. So it really depends upon what we can get out the door in the first half and the pace of business throughout the year. So as you know, the market is tight for electronic components, and it's not improving. So we're taking some action in self-help. What we're doing is really two key actions there. We've created a microprocessor task force, and we're looking to find and secure compatible microprocessors for all critical components and platforms that are on allocation. And that will open up the market for us a bit in the second half, right. So it will get approval on some alternative products that we can bring in and implement with our products. So there will be some nice opportunity as we go forward with those self-help actions. Traditionally, we have a strong second half, and that's really driven largely by those assistance to firefighter grants in the SCBA business, the fire service business, in general, in the back half of the year. And then, of course, there are some large orders that go out for fixed gas and flame detection that traditionally hit in the fourth quarter. We anticipate that happening, and then we're trying to position ourselves for if there's any miss in the first half of the year, we can make that up in the second half. So at this point, we just don't know what that impact will be as the supply chain is just - it's just not very stable.

Stanley Elliott

Analyst

And then last for me, in terms of the cumulative trauma loss piece, my memory was that these were pre-1986 products, but we're seeing like an acceleration, it seems in claims, both last year and this year. Can you help us with the confidence around kind of taking the reserves out to 74. What sort of - is there any risk to that? Just how you're thinking about kind of where you are from a coverage standpoint, because I would have thought it would have been covered by now.

Nish Vartanian

Analyst

Well, Stanley, just a point of clarification. So we stopped selling those products in the late 1990s, and so no longer sold those products. That was not in the '80s. We sold those, I believe, from the '60s through the '90s, somewhere in that time frame. But Ken, you might comment?

Ken Krause

Analyst

Yeah, sure. No, it definitely is a volatile area for MSA LLC, Stanley. It's an area that we just can't know for certain where claims filings are going to go in the future. The spike occurred after the onset, the spike you referred to occurred after the onset of the pandemic, and it continued into '21. The big pandemic may have affected claiming rates. It may have not have, but there's really no short way of telling. What I can say is the increase in MSA LLC's reserve is really result of the increased level of new claims that were filed throughout 2021. For background, just for background, MSA LLC's reserves was increased in second and in third quarters, to account for an uptick in the number of new claims filed in those quarters, and during this annual comprehensive review at year-end, the claims filing activity for the full year was taken into account. It was really incorporated in the models that were used to estimate the number of future claims projected to be filed over several decades into the future. And as you so well point out, the reserve is through 2074 at this point.

Stanley Elliott

Analyst

Perfect, guys. Thanks so much. And best of luck.

Nish Vartanian

Analyst

Thank you, Stanley.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Rob Mason from Baird. Please go ahead.

Rob Mason

Analyst

Yes. Good morning, guys. You've kind of touched on it, I think, but again, maybe going to just trying to put your seasonality into context with both your backlog, as well as the supply chain constraints. I mean, should we - when you say things have gotten worse in the first quarter, it also looks like, again, based on maybe where we were thinking the fourth quarter would come in that you outperformed in the fourth quarter? And so should we be maybe basing our - I guess what I'm asking is what's the right baseline to work from off the fourth quarter where we thought we would be or where we kind of ended up at $410 million in revenue?

Nish Vartanian

Analyst

I'll kick that off and Ken will add some color to it. So think about our business. Traditionally, first quarter is traditionally our weakest quarter when it comes from a revenue standpoint. And that really stems, Rob, from those fast-turn products. And the fast-turn products really haven't been affected tremendously by the supply chain issues, right. So you're thinking hard hats, ball protection and even portable gas detection. Portable gas detection, we did a nice job of maintaining delivery. And I think that looks pretty good for the first quarter. We should be in pretty good shape with that. Where we're having some difficulties is with fixed gas and flame detection, self-contained breathing apparatus. And really turnout gear has been more of a labor issue with one of our plants, just getting employees there and then some contact tracing with COVID and some challenges we had there in the fourth quarter, which will hopefully go away. So you'll probably see that normal pattern of a lower first quarter occur because of those fast-turn products. And then as we can get the fixed gas and flame detection products and SCBA out in larger quantities, we expect that we'll start to catch up throughout the year on our turnout gear, that should improve. Ken, you want to add?

Ken Krause

Analyst

Yeah, just a finer point on that, Rob. It's been really good to see the business do so well to start the year from an order perspective. If you remember last year, it was a tough first quarter for us and certainly it was a tough year-over-year comparison as we were comparing to pre-pandemic levels. But as we start this year, we're seeing solid order growth of 10-plus percent. We feel like we should be able to show some growth, some potentially high single digit growth here in the first quarter. The one thing that I just want to point out and continue to point out is the fact that we're all dealing with supply chain challenges that are changing on a daily basis. And so if we continue to see what we have right now and we continue to see the performance coming through, a high single digit sort of growth rate in the first quarter is probably not out of the question. But again, it's just so many - there's just so many uncertainties we're dealing with.

Rob Mason

Analyst

I see. I see. Just on those short-term industrial products you talked about. Any sense that your channel - distribution channel is now comfortable stocking those? Are we able to do that fill stocking orders?

Nish Vartanian

Analyst

So when you think about portable gas detection, portable gas detection is really a made to order product. There is a lot of different configurations. So those are - that's not a stocking item. Well over half our hard hats have logos. And again, that's traditionally not a stocking item. So those, again, are made to order type products. And so we do get some stocking and fall protection and some stocking in, obviously, the non-logo hard hats, but that's not a significant part of the business. The inventory levels have been pretty consistent, we typically do get distributors loading up a bit here in March and April on hard hats because of the turnaround season, so we don't see a lot of that. So we don't expect a lot of change in the channels. There hasn't been any so-called panic buying, so to speak, where people are worried about inventory that might have been an issue last year when we bring into shortages of polyethylene. But that's really not the case today.

Rob Mason

Analyst

Just last question, Nish, I know that you're constrained on the fixed gas and flame. And so backlog is higher. But where do you think that the business is in terms of just the overall demand level recovering for that product line?

Nish Vartanian

Analyst

That's a really good question. We saw the traditional recovery in our business. If you go back and you look at the revenue for our hard hats, you saw that turn around, right. That's the business that picks up first. When employees get back to work, they typically get a hard hat safety glasses, earplugs, et cetera. And we saw that business come back as we normally do in a recovery. And then right behind that is the portable gas detection and fall protection. We saw that natural progression of business. And we - and now we're seeing fixed gas and flame detection. Demand for products for fixed gas and flame has been really strong. It's rebounded quite nicely. We're seeing that on a broad basis, not just here in the US, but on a global basis, we're starting to see demand pick up. And those end user customers, with oil prices got back over $90 a barrel. The CapEx budgets are pretty good, and we expect the spending to kick in as we normally do. So the outlook for that should be pretty good through '22 and hopefully into '23.

Rob Mason

Analyst

Very good. Thank you.

Nish Vartanian

Analyst

Thank you.

Ken Krause

Analyst

Thanks, Rob.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] There are no more questions in the queue. This concludes our question-and-answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Chris Hepler for any closing remarks.

Chris Hepler

Analyst

Thanks, Jason. And thank you all for joining us this morning. If you missed the portion of today's conference call, an audio replay and transcript will be available on our Investor Relations website for the next 90 days. We look forward to speaking with you again soon. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.