Rick Hessling
Analyst · UBS
Yes. Manav, just a few comments. When we look at this unprecedented situation and scenario we're in, you're seeing extreme volatility. And I really want to make that point because that leads to incredible capture generation if and when we execute, and I think you're going to -- you've seen here in 1Q and you'll see going forward, our team is extremely energized in this environment and our ability to expand the crack was quite evident. And I think you'll continue to see that going forward. So just a few examples to give you and things I want to leave you with mainly by products. So if I start with crude, think of the theme on crude that we are utilizing our inland connectivity to buy advantaged barrels versus high-priced waterborne barrels that are being bid up throughout the world. So those who have access to inland barrels are the big winner in these events, such as the one we're in. We more than doubled our U.S. Gulf Coast Canadian volumes in response to the rising premiums on the U.S. Gulf Coast that we've seen. And April actually is going to be a record volume of Canadian volumes for us system-wide. We've never hit volumes like we've seen now. And as you know, the differentials are quite attractive. So it's a double win for us. But then as you maybe move a little bit more into the heartland of where we're at, we've increased Bakken volumes in the Mid-Con and we're actually taking Bakken to the Pacific Northwest, which is backing out higher-cost waterborne barrels. And then even a little closer home here to Finley, Ohio, when you look at what's in our backyard with the Utica Marcellus, we are blessed to have condensate right in our backyard, and we are running record amounts of local crudes at Canton and Catlettsburg. In addition, Manav, we purchased 5 Advantage Ven cargoes in 1Q. And the Ven cargoes are getting a lot of press. And what I would leave you with there is we would have bought more but we had better alternatives leaning into heavy Canadian. So we didn't have the need to buy any more than 5 cargoes of vents crude. But I will say the Vans crude being on the market, Manav, is quite a tailwind for us because it's putting pressure on other grades. And then on the crude side, I'll leave you with, lastly, you've probably seen in print that we've purchased approximately 10 million barrels of advantaged SPR crude directly from the DOE, taking out the middleman, we're we are advantageously working with the DOE to run those barrels in 2Q. And we're hopeful we may even get some barrels to run in with the bid -- SPR bid that came out yesterday. Moving on to products. I'll leave you with really a couple of comments that are in line with what Maryann previously mentioned. We're MAX diesel, as you would guess, and Jet across our system. And boy, the Garyville project came online at the absolute perfect time for us. And it's really a classic example of our strategic capital deployment to enhance our yields and our competitiveness to create capture tailwinds. Jet was a big story for us. As you know, we're large producers of Jet, not only on the Gulf Coast, Mid-Con, but especially in L.A. Manav, where you see the ULSD to jet differentials blow out. Then when you look at the Jones Act waiver, we leaned into that in a big way as well. We took jet from the Gulf Coast to Alaska. We took alkylate from the Gulf Coast to L.A. and we had various Jones Act waiver moves around L.A. and PNW amongst many other moves. And Maryann, I guess, said and mentioned exports in her prepared remarks. So I'll touch on that a bit as well. We really were creative and made some unique movements on the export glass of trade this past quarter. We moved ULSD from LAR to Australia. First time ever we've done that. I give the team huge kudos on creativity and capturing a market opportunity, and we moved naphtha to Asia, first time we've done that. So from a jet export gas, diesel export opportunity, we continue to see strong markets, I would say, especially Manav in Europe and in Latin America. So I guess, moving forward, if I were to kind of say what should you look for in 2Q, I think the tailwinds are going to be butane blending with the RVP waivers. Certainly, the JET ULSD spreads that we're seeing. We continue to expect those to persist. As Maryann and Maria have mentioned, we are ready to run in 2Q, and we postured this quite well going into driving season. And now with the conflict remaining, we continue to be in a great spot to capture margin. And then we have incredible optionality on our crude diet with our Mid-Con avails. And then the SPR barrels will be a nice shot in the arm for us as well. And then lastly, Manav, maybe from a headwinds perspective, we're going to watch backwardation very closely. Obviously, it is extremely steep. So we're keeping a very close eye on our inventories, making sure we don't have any more than we need. But I think what you've seen, Manav, there is the prompt month keeps rolling up and rolling up. So we do expect that to continue to happen as long as the conflict persists. And then certainly, we're going to keep our eye on the secondary products market with how cracks move and how WTI and Brent moved. So hopefully, that gives you some color, Manav, maybe the more color than we had given you in the past, but I really felt like it was appropriate for me to lean into it this quarter because our commercial team really responded well.