Rodney Sacks
Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead
Hi, thank you. Good afternoon ladies and gentlemen. Thanks for attending this call. I am Rodney Sacks. Hilton Schlosberg, our Vice Chairman and President is with me; as is Tom Kelly, our Executive Vice President of Finance.Before we begin, I'd like to remind listeners that certain statements made during this call may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended, and are based on currently available information regarding the expectations of management with respect to revenues, profitability, future business, future events, financial performance and trends.Management cautions that these statements are based on our current knowledge and expectations and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, many of which are outside the control of the company that may cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements made during this call.Please refer to our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K filed on February 28, 2019, and our most recent Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q filed on November 7, 2019, including the sections contained therein entitled Risk Factors and Forward-looking Statements for a discussion on specific risks and uncertainties that may affect our performance. The company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.An explanation of our non-GAAP measure of gross sales and certain expenditures, which may be mentioned during the course of this call is provided in the notes and designated with asterisks in the condensed consolidated statements of income and other information attached to the earnings release dated February 27, 2020. A copy of this information is also available on our website at monsterbevcorp.com in the Financial Information section.We are planning to leave some more time for questions on today's call and on subsequent calls. With that in mind, we will not repeat many of the numbers covered in our earnings release.Consumer Beverage preferences and tastes continue to evolve at an increasing pace and we are endeavoring to address them through our ongoing innovation of new products. In the fourth quarter of 2019 net sales were at $1.02 billion, up 10.1% from $924.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2018, adjusting the 2018 fourth quarter for advanced purchases made following our November 1, 2018 cost increase in the U.S., as well as foreign currency movements. Net sales for the 2019 fourth quarter would have been up 7.5%.Diluted earnings per share for the 2019 fourth quarter increased 9.7% to $0.47 from $0.43 in the fourth quarter of 2018. According to the Nielson report for the 13 weeks through January 25, 2020, all outlets combined namely convenience, grocery, drug, mass merchandisers, sales in dollars in the energy drink category, including energy shots increased by 7% versus the same period a year ago.Sales of the company’s energy brands including Reign grew 3.7% in a 13-week period; sales of Monster were down 3.9%; sale of NOS decreased 4.3% and sales of Full Throttle decreased 13%. Sales of Red Bull increased 5.5%; sales of Rockstar decreased by 7.4%; sales of 5-Hour decreased 5.5% and sales of Amp decreased 37.2%. As there were no comparable sales of our Reign products last year, we have not referenced Reign.According to Nielsen, for the four weeks ended January 25, 2020, sales in the convenience and gas channel, including energy shots in dollars increased 5.7% over the same period the previous year. Sales of the company’s energy brands which include Reign grew 4.1% in the four-week period in the convenience and gas channel. Sales of Monster decreased by 4.2% over the same period versus the previous year, NOS was down 4.9% and Full Throttle was down 13.3%. Sales of Red Bull were up 5.9%, Rockstar was down 8.6%, 5-Hour was down 5.8% and Amp was down 31%.According to Nielsen, for the four weeks ended January 25, 2020, the company’s market share of the energy drink category in the convenience and gas channel, including energy shots in dollars decreased by 0.6 of a point over the same period the previous year to 40.8%.Monster share decreased 3.4 share points to 33.2%, Reign share was 3.4%, NOS’s share declined 0.4 share points to 3.5% and Full Throttle share declined 0.2 points to 0.8%. Red Bull share increased 0.1 point to 33.4%, Rockstar share was down 0.9 points to 5.5%, 5-Hour share was lower by 0.7 points at 5.6% and Amp share decreased 0.2 points to 2.4%. VPX Bang share increased 0.2 points to 7.6%.According to Nielsen for the four weeks ended January 25, 2020, sales of coffee plus energy drinks, which includes Cafe Monster and Espresso Monster in dollars in the convenience and gas channel increased 6.3% over the same period the previous year. Sales of our Java Monster alone were 5.5% higher than in the same period the previous year. Sales of our coffee plus energy drinks were 2.7% lower, while sales of Starbucks Energy were 15.2% higher.Our company share of the coffee plus energy category, which includes Java Monster, Cafe Monster, Espresso Monster, Starbucks Double Shot and Triple Shot, Rockstar Roasted and Bang Keto Coffee for the four weeks ended January 25, 2020 was 52.6% down 4.9 points. Java Monster share on its own for the four weeks ended January 25, 2020 was 49.2%, down 0.4 of a point, while Starbucks Energy share was 45%, up 3.5 points.According to Nielsen, in the convenience and gas channel in Canada, for the 12 weeks ended January 4, 2020, the energy drink category increased 5% in dollars. Sales of the company’s energy drink brands were flat versus a year ago. The market share of the company’s energy drink brands was 37.1%, down 2.2 points. Monsters market share decreased 1.7 points to 33.2. NOS’s sales decreased 2% and its market share decreased 0.2 share points to 2.7%. Full Throttle sales decreased 10% and its market share decreased 0.3 points to 1.2%. Red Bull sales increased 7% and its market share increased 0.4 points to 36.2%. Rockstar sales increased 6% and its market share increased 0.2 points to 16%.According to Nielsen, for all outlets combined in Mexico, the energy drink category grew 20.9%. For the month of December 2019 Monster sales increased 11.9%, our market share in value decreased 2.3 points to 29.3%, against the comparable period the previous year.Sales of Burn were down 77.5%. Burn’s market share decreased 1.2 points to 0.3 of a percent. Red Bull’s sales decreased 8.1% and its market share decreased by 2.5 points to 7.8%. Vive 100 sales decreased 5.5% and its market share decreased by 6.7 points to 24%.Vault’s sales increased 47.2% and its market share increased 3 share points to 16.8%, while Boost sales decrease 5.5% and its market share decreased 2.2 points to 8%. Amp and affordable energy brand launched in March 2019 increased its market share to 9.4% in the month of December 2019. Coca-Cola energy market share was 3.5% in the month of December 2019.The Nielsen statistics for Mexico cover single months, which is a short period that may often be materially influenced positively and/or negatively by sales in the OXXO convenience chain, which dominates the market. Sales in the OXXO convenience chain in turn can be materially influenced by promotions that maybe undertaken in that chain by one or more energy drink brands during a particular month. Consequently, such activities could have a significant impact on the monthly Nielsen statistics for Mexico.According to Nielsen, for the month of December 2019 compared to December 2018, Monster’s regional market share in value increased in Argentina from 16.9% to 33.5%; in Brazil from 19.6% to 27.4%, and in Chile from 34.9% to 39.8%.I’d like to point out that the Nielsen numbers in EMEA should only be used as a guide, because the channels read by Nielsen in EMEA vary from country-to-country and are reported on varying dates within the month referred to from country-to-country.According to Nielsen, in the 13 week period ended January 55, 2020, Monster’s retail market share in value as compared to the same period the previous year grew from 12.7% to 12.8% in Belgium, from 24.8% to 28.2% in France, from 16.4% to 17% in Germany, from 20.3% to 21.9% in Great Britain, from 17.8% to 24.9% in Norway, from 31.7% to 34.5% in Spain, but declined from 7.3% to 6.1% in Netherlands and from 13.8% to 12.8% in Sweden.According to Nielsen, in the 13-week period ended in December 2019, Monster’s retail market share and value as compared to the same period the previous year grew from 13.3% to 13.6% in the Czech Republic, from 33.6% to 34.7% in Greece, from 18.8% to 23% in the Republic of Ireland, from 18.1% to 20.6% in Italy, and from 10.9% to 14.5% in Poland and from 15.8% to 17.4% in South Africa.According to IRI in Australia, Monster’s market share in value for the four weeks ended December 29, 2019, increased from 7.5% to 9.3% as compared to the same period the previous year. Mother’s market share in value decreased from 13.5% to 12.5% during the same period.According to IRI New Zealand, Monsters market share in value for the four weeks ended December 29, 2019 increased from 5.6% to 6.3% as compared to the same period the previous year. Live Plus market share in value decreased from 8.5% to 8.2% and Mother’s market share in value increased from 7.8% to 9.6%.According to Nielsen in South Korea, Monsters market share in value in all outlets combined for the quarter ended December 2019 grew from 37.6% to 50.6% as compared to the same period in the previous year. Monster is now the leading energy brand by market share in value in all outlets in South Korea.According to INTAGE in Japan, Monster’s market share and value in the convenience store channel for the 13-week period ended December 30, 2019 grew from 46.7% to 54.2% as compared to the same period in the previous year. We again point out that certain market statistics that cover single months or four-week period may often be materially influenced positively and/or negatively by promotions or other trading factors during those periods.Net sales to customers outside the U.S. were $319.6 million, 31.4% of total net sales in the 2019 fourth quarter compared with $274.3 million or 29.7% of total net sales in the corresponding quarter in 2018. Foreign currency exchange rates had the effect of decreasing net sales in U.S. dollars by approximately $9.1 million.Included in reported geographic sales are our sales to the company’s military customers, which are delivered in the U.S. and trans-shipped to the military and their customers overseas.In EMEA supply chain and production issues have largely been resolved. In EMEA net sales in the fourth quarter increased 8.6% in dollars and it increased 12.8% in local currencies over the same period in 2018. Gross profit in this region as a percentage of net sales for the quarter was 38.7%, compared to 42.1% in the same quarter in 2018. Gross profit percentage for the region was impacted by country and product mix.We are also pleased that Monster continues to perform well and gain market share in Belgium, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Great Britain, Greece, Italy, Norway, Poland, Republic of Island, South Africa and Spain.In Asia-Pacific net sales in the fourth quarter increased 49.9% in dollars and 47.9% in local currencies over the same period in 2018. Gross profit in this region as a percentage of net sales was 40.2% versus 46.1% over the same period in 2018 as a result of country and product mix.In Japan net sales in the quarter increased 84.2% in dollars and 76.8% in local currency. In South Korea, net sales increased 51.5% in dollars and 58.5% in local currency as compared to the same quarter in 2018.In Oceania, which includes Australia, New Zealand, Tahiti, French Polynesia, New Caledonia, Papua New Guinea and Guam, net sales decreased 4.1% in dollars and increased 0.8 of a percent in local currencies. Although I would like to point out that sales of the Monster brand increased 18.4% in dollars and 24.5% in local currency as compared to the same quarter in 2018.In Latin America, including Mexico and the Caribbean, net sales in the fourth quarter increased 6.9% in dollars and 16.2% in local currencies over the same period in 2018. Gross profit in this region as a percentage of net sales was 42.6% compared to 44.7% over the same period in 2018.In Brazil, net sales in the quarter increased by 35.8% in dollars and increased 44% in local currency. Net sales in Chile decrease 14.8% in dollars and 7.6% in local current in the quarter.In January 2020 Monster Energy was launched by the Coco-Cola bottler in Israel. We continued the rollout of Monster across India and began the launch of Mango Loco in December. We also continued Ultra Violet’s expansion from Septembers launch to further provide a broad portfolio with strong taste experiences for Indian consumers.The Monster range continues to build significant active distribution increases across China in the 2019 fourth quarter versus a year ago, but the situation in China is currently challenging. I wanted to provide an updated regarding the recent coronavirus or COVID-19 outbreak.First of all, our number one priority is the safety of our employees in China. We are thinking of everyone who has been affected by coronavirus and we continue to monitor the situation closely. In addition to having employees in China, we and our suppliers currently globally source certain ingredients from third party manufacturers in Wuhan and other parts of China. We also manufacture finished goods through third party bottlers and co-packers in China.The coronavirus outbreak could adversely affect our business and cause disruptions internationally due to the closure or suspension of activities at such third party manufacturers, as well as within China at our co-packing facilities and our china office. Ingredient sourcing delay could also interfere with, and would delay production of certain of our products internationally.In addition, the outbreak tougher with the accompanying special government measures could adversely affect the growth of our business in China and affect demand for our products. However, it's too early to determine what impact it will have on our global supply chain and our operations. As I said before, our first priority is employee safety and we are continuing to monitor the situation closely.I will now briefly discuss our litigation with Vital Pharmaceuticals Inc., VPX, the maker of Bang energy drinks. Monster filed a lawsuit against VPX in September 2018 for false advertising. VPX filed a trademark lawsuit in March 2019 against Monster in relation to our Reign Total Body Fuel high-performance energy drinks and another lawsuit in August 2019 against Monster alleging a host of legal challenges, including many similar to the claims Monster alleged against VPX. These proceeding are ongoing.In October 2019, the U.S. District Court denied VPX’s motion for a preliminary injunction against our Reign Total Body Fuel high-performance energy drinks in its trademark lawsuit. In his decision, the Court ruled that VPX failed to meet any of the elements of a preliminary injunction and failed to establish that it is likely to succeed on the merits of its claims.In October 2019 VPX announced its intention to launch its own line of Reign branded energy drinks in 16 ounce cans to be sold in convenience stores. Later that month we filed an expedited motion for a preliminary injunction asking the court to stop this product launch and to prevent VPX from infringing Monster’s trademark rights in this way.In November 2019 VPX stipulated that it would refrain from launching such products until the District Judge entered the final order on the preliminary injunction motion. In January 2020 the Magistrate Judge issued a report in recommendation that an injunction be drawn in Monster favor. Motions for some rejudgment had been filled by Monster in this proceeding and which are currently pending.In the event that some rejudgment is not granted, the matter is rescheduled for trial in May 2020. As our litigation and other pending proceedings with VPX are subjugated, we will not be answering any questions on this matter on today’s call.In October we launched Java Monster Farmers Oats, which contains Oatmilk is our first plant based coffee product being non-dairy and vegan, as well as two new flavors in the Reign brand family, Strawberry Sublime and Mango Magic to supplement out Reign Orange Creamsicle line extension which was launched at the end of the third quarter. During the fourth quarter 2019 we also extended Ultra Paradise, Reign Melon Mania and Reign Razzle Berry in multipacks.In 2020 in the United States we will be discontinuing our Cafe Monster line of products and repositioning our Espresso Monster line. We launched Reign Inferno™ thermogenic fuel in Jalapeno Strawberry, Red Dragon and True Blue at the end of January 2020.We launched Mango Loco in Argentina during the fourth quarter of 2019. In Porto Rico in January 2020 we launched Reign Strawberry Sublime and Mango Magic, as well as Muscle Monster, vanilla and chocolate.We launched Monster Energy, Monster Energy Absolutely Zero and Monster Energy Valentino Rossi in Israel in January 2020. Monster Pacific Punch was launched in Belgium, Great Britain, Northern Island, the Republic of Ireland in January 2020 and is planned to be launched in to a further seven markets in 2020.Monster Pipeline Punch will be launched in the Baltics in Norway this year and will then be available in 17 markets across EMEA. Monster Ultra Paradise was launched in Great Britain, Northern Island and the Republic of Island in January in 2020 and in Sweden in February in 2020 and is planned to be launched into a further 18 markets throughout 2020.Espresso Monster was launched in Belgium, the Republic of Island and Poland in the fourth quarter of 2019, in both milk and Vanilla variance. We also launched both variances in the Baltics, the Netherland and Portugal in January 2020 and in Austria in February 2020. Espresso Monster Milk and Vanilla variance are now available in 14 markets in the EMEA. We are planning to rollout two flavors of Espresso Monster in a further nine markets throughout 2020.Additionally, we have launched Espresso Monster Salted Caramel in Germany and Great Britain in December 2019. We are planning to rollout out Salted Caramel Espresso variance in the further five EMEA markets throughout 2020.Reign was launched in Great Britain, Northern Island and the Republic of Island in the fourth quarter of 2019, and we are planning to launch Reign in Germany by the end of the first quarter of 2020. Additionally, we are planning to launch into a further seven markets throughout 2020.Monster HydroSport was launched to Germany, Great Britain, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland in the fourth quarter of 2019 any in France in January 2020. We are planning to launch HydroSport in Norway and Sweden by the end of the first quarter of 2020.We launched Predator, our affordable energy brand in Kenya and Uganda in the fourth quarter of 2019. Additionally we launched Predator in Poland in January 2020 and are planning to launch Predator in Afghanistan, Czech Republic, Ghana and Hungary in the first quarter of 2020.We are also planning to launch Predator into a further 11 EMEA markets throughout 2020; Azerbaijan, Belarus, Bosnia, Croatia, Ethiopia, Iraq, Russia, Slovenia, Nigeria, the Netherlands and the UAE.We launched Mother Epic Swell in Australia during the fourth quarter of 2019, with a convenience customer before a national launch in January 2020. Monster Mule also launched in Australia in January 2020.In South Korea we further expanded Pipeline Punch to 90% of convenience stores with initial positive results. We launched Mango Loco in India during December and completed the Ultra White rolled out in India, Vietnam and Malaysia during the 2019 fourth quarter.We are planning to launch a number of products in Asia Pacific over the upcoming months, including a full country relaunch of Pipeline Punch in Japan in March 2020, and the Ultra Paradise in South Korea and Japan later this year.We estimate January 2020 gross sales to be approximately 15.3% higher than in January 2019. On a foreign currency adjusted basis, January 2020 gross sales would have been approximately 15.7% higher than comparable January 2019 gross sales. January 2020 had the same number of selling days than in January 2019.In this regard we caution again that sales over a short period are often disproportionately impacted by various factors, such as for example selling days, days of the week in which holidays fall, timing of new product launches and the timing of price increases and promotions in retail stores, distributor incentives, as well as shifts in the timing of production, in some instances where our bottlers are responsible for production and unilaterally determine their production schedules, which affects the dates on which we invoice such bottlers, as well as inventory levels maintained by our distribution partners, which they alter unilaterally for their own business reasons.We reiterate that sales over a short period such as a single month or even two months should not necessarily be imputed to or regarded as indicative of results for a full quarter or any future period.In conclusion, I would like to summarize some recent positive points. Retail sales statistics for many countries around the world demonstrate that the energy category is continuing to grow and that Monster is generally going ahead of the category in line with the earlier periods.New additions to the Monster family continue to add to the company’s sales. We are excited about the prospects for our brands and our new product launches this year, as well as our innovation pipeline in 2020.We are encouraged by the prospects for our Reign Total Body Fuel high-performance energy drinks, and Reign Inferno™ thermogenic fuel high performance energy drinks, not only within the U.S., but also internationally.We are pleased with our growth and performance in our international markets. Net sales in the fourth quarter in EMEA increased 12.8% in local currency, in Asia Pacific increased 47.9% in local currency and in Latin America and the Caribbean increased 16.2% in local currency.We reiterate the growth potential for us in China and India. We are proceeding with our plans for future launches of our affordable energy brands internationally. We are also proceeding with our plans for the launch of Reign Total Body Fuel, high performance energy drinks in certain countries outside of the USA.I would like to open the floor to questions about the quarter and the year.