Mike Broderick
Analyst · BMO Capital Market. Please proceed with your question
Thank you, Felix, and good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us. Let me start off by saying that our Monro Forward Strategy and the meaningful investments we're making, are driving significant change. We are on a journey to transform this great organization and unleash its full potential. Our accomplishments in the third quarter indicate clear progress towards the achievement of our transformational goals. As highlighted on Slide 3 and 4, we delivered another solid quarter and continued our momentum, from the first half of the fiscal year. Q3 marks our third consecutive quarter of double-digit comparable store sales growth. Top-line performance also exceeded pre -pandemic sales levels for the third straight quarter. We once again posted double-digit comp sales growth across all of our regions and categories. Our comp sales growth was led by our key Brake and Alignment service categories, both of which grew 28% in the quarter. We are confident that normal fall and winter weather in the Northeast would have more positively impacted our tire category, which would have helped us to deliver an even stronger topline result. Encouragingly, tire unit sales were in line with the industry trends and variable gross profit per tire increased 9% year-over-year. The overall strength of our sales in the third quarter reflects robust demand for our product and service categories, as well as the quality of our execution and the continued traction of our Monro Forward Strategy. We continue to increase the mix of our higher-margin service sales, which contributed to the improvement in gross margin during the quarter. I will discuss the specific progress we made in the critical area of staff in just a few moments. I do want to highlight that in the third quarter, we saw higher technician payroll costs as a percentage of sales. This was largely driven by incremental investments to increase the quantity and strengthen the quality of technicians in our stores. The investments in technician staffing were critical to delivering improved topline performance in the quarter. We were staffed and ready for winter and believe top-line performance would have been even higher with a more normal weather backdrop. As I will discuss in greater detail, we will continue to increase our technician staffing levels and ensure that we have the right mix of trained technicians in each of our stores. We are fully committed to building a best-in-class service model that our customers can rely on for their car care needs. Capitalizing on robust industry demand and multiyear industry tailwinds, this service model will position us for outsized sales and earnings growth. Moving to our fourth quarter, our preliminary fiscal January comparable store sales increased 1% compared to fiscal January of last year and were 4% above pre -C OVID levels. Our incremental staffing has allowed us to manage through a particularly difficult six weeks with COVID-related absences increasing significantly in our stores. Our higher staffing levels have allowed us to keep our stores open and our hours of operations normal. We expect that once this COVID wave has passed, our teammates will once again be fully focused on delivering topline growth. I'd like to use this as an opportunity to discuss the true impact of COVID on our business. We have incurred incremental expenses necessary to keep our teammates, customers, and community safe. These expenses include items such as personal protective equipment, hand sanitizer, and retrofitting our stores to allow for appropriate social distancing. Due to the service based nature of our business, the largest impact of the pandemic has been on our teammates. COVID has required a high level of resiliency and flexibility from the teammates in our retail, commercial, and wholesale locations, as well as those in our distribution centers and store support center. We've experienced substantial disruption to our store operations throughout the pandemic, and we have always treated the costs associated with this disruption as part of our normal operating results. These include appropriate investments in necessary adjustments to our in-store procedures and business operations. We recognize COVID as a significant challenge for us to overcome and we believe we are making meaningful progress. Leveraging the collective experience of our senior leadership team, we have driven double-digit top-line growth, expanded margins, significantly grown earnings per share, and generated significant amounts of cash. We've done all this while also completing value-creating acquisitions and positioning our business for the future. I would be remiss if I didn't use this as an opportunity to recognize all of our teammates across the country for the incredible job they have done taking care of our customers’ needs and providing stability to our business. Our people are our most important asset, and I'm proud and grateful for their perseverance and unwavering dedication to Monro and our customers. Now, let's talk about the progress we made on our operational execution in the third quarter. Moving onto Slide 5, I'd like to update you on the critical in-store initiatives we refer to as our Big Five, as well as our store re-image program. As a reminder, our Big Five are the key areas of staffing, scheduling, training, attachment selling, and outside purchase management. These initiatives, along with the investments we're making to support them, are the single best path to sustainable comp sales growth and are expected to lead to improvements in gross profit and operating margins. And ultimately, these improvements allow us to create additional value for our shareholders through enhanced earnings-per-share, significant cash generation, and higher returns on invested capital. Starting with the first two, which are staffing and scheduling, in the third quarter, we added over 200 high-quality net new technicians. This is incremental to the more than 250 technicians we added in the prior quarter. Embedded within our net new technician ads is a sequential improvement in turnover of approximately 10% between the second quarter and third quarter. This is a significant accomplishment for two reasons. First, the fact that we are adding technician headcount during the historically tight labor market demonstrates that we are progressing towards our goal of becoming the employer of choice in the auto service aftermarket industry. And second, the investments we're making in labor, particularly in our low-volume stores, represents both an important organizational pivot and essential cultural change at Monro. Let me provide some additional context to this pivot and why this cultural change represents a critical component of Monro's future success. Many of our stores are understaffed with some technicians working upwards of 70 hours per week with little to no time off. Amongst other things, this leads to unwanted turnover of experienced technicians. The turnover these technicians leads to stores that are further understaffed and a customer experience that is inconsistent and far from desirable. This results in lower sales and as a key contributor to inconsistent operating performance. The investments we're making in labor are specifically aimed at addressing and resolving these issues and ensuring a more sustainable business model longer term. This is exactly the pivot and cultural change that we must undertake to assure that we can capitalize on incremental sales opportunities that will ultimately bring more consistency to our operating results. Nothing will deter us from continuing to invest in high-quality labor in our stores as we develop a reliable service model that our customers can count on and trust. This will position us to take disproportionate gains in the future as our business will be better equipped to capitalize on customer demand from multiyear tailwinds, such as an improvement in vehicle miles traveled, and consumers that are holding onto their cars longer. In lock step with our additions to in-store labor, we are also utilizing our scheduling tool to manage and control variability in labor costs so that we can match capacity with demand and allocate resources appropriately between front-of-shop and back-of-shop activities. Our focus on staffing and scheduling resulted in a 24% sequential reduction in overtime hours in the third quarter. This reduction, along with our pricing power, allowed us to significantly offset wage pressures. Next, regarding training, we continue to significantly expand our teammates training to our online learning management system, Monro University, as well as instructor-led sessions held virtually and hands-on developments done in-store. Serving as a key enabler of future growth, training has been embedded in every aspect of our other initiatives, which will ensure we have the right skill set to deliver a best-in-class service model. The next item is attachment selling. Attachment selling was a critical factor in driving our comp sales growth in the third quarter. Our comp sales performance in alignments during the quarter is a great example of the headway we're making in this area. Alignment comp sales grew approximately two-and-a-half times more than our entire category. This clearly shows how our store teams are more consistently recommending alignments to our guests purchasing new tires and is another example of our improving in-store execution. In addition, courtesy inspections on our customer vehicles were also critical in driving out performance in our service categories during the quarter. We look forward to providing more insight into the benefits of our courtesy inspection as we continue to make opportunistic investments in this important area of the business. And lastly, on outside purchase management, we are consolidating our purchasing behind our high quality, high availability, low-cost preferred suppliers to gain important economies of scale. This allows us to build strong partnerships with fewer suppliers. This consolidation along with our pricing power and category management, has allowed us to significantly offset cost pressures in tires and parts. While our focus is on the Big Five initiatives, we made important advancements in our store re-image program. We initiated and substantially completed the re-image of 53 of our recently acquired stores on the West Coast in the third quarter. Most of these stores have now been equipped with our consistent approach to merchandising, as well as marketing and branding elements such as new digital signage. This new digital signage displays various promotions and seasonal messages with the objective of conveying a modernized look and feel to the in-store experience for our customers. In addition, improvements such as upgraded service pods, the installation of new flooring and brighter lighting, more comfortable waiting room chairs, as well as the bathroom renovations have also created a more inviting guest experience. And while still early, we are pleased with our customers’ initial response to this program. We are in the process of finalizing a full review of our portfolio of brands. And once complete, we intend to expand our store re-image program to a broader number of stores across the country. We are also continuing to perform a review of the inventory stocking plan needed to support any store-level brand changes. Turning to Slide 6, our strong cash flow and balance sheet continues to position us to capitalize on strategic and value-enhancing consolidation opportunities in our fragmented industry. As part of our growth strategy, we are, and will continue to be a key acquirer of successful businesses. In the third quarter, we completed the previously announced acquisitions of 17 stores, with 6 stores added in Southern California and 11 in Iowa. As a reminder, these stores are expected to add annualized sales of approximately $25 million and further expands our geographic reach. This brings our year-to-date acquisition total to 47 stores with expected annualized sales of $70 million. Next, I'd like to provide an update on our corporate responsibility and ESG efforts. In keeping with the Monro Forward responsibility report that we issued last year, we are continuing to integrate elements of ESG into all facets of our business. Demonstrating the fundamental importance of these efforts, our Board of Directors has been engaged with us as we work to establish measurable ESG goals that not only create value for our shareholders, but also hold us accountable to our teammates, customers, and the communities where we do business. Additionally, we have been meeting with investors to take in valuable feedback as we actively incorporate ESG initiatives as a regular part of our operations and further increase the transparency of future disclosures. And while we are still formalizing our plan, some examples of ESG topics that we look forward to updating you on in the future quarters, and in our next corporate responsibility report, include 1. Our approach to human capital, 2. Supply chain, and other assessments, and 3. Vital enhancements being made to our customer experience. In summary, we have made significant progress this quarter as we continue to drive top-line growth and margin improvement. This ultimately enhances our earnings potential and provides higher returns on invested capital. As shown on Slide 7, we are committed to the highest standards of operational excellence that will enable a virtuous cycle of earnings growth and cash flow generation, allowing us to continue investing in value-enhancing acquisitions. We will continue to build a strong, scalable platform for long-term sustainable growth. Looking ahead, our focus remains on our teammates, customers, and in-store execution as the critical drivers to realizing the full potential of our Monro Forward Strategy. Our leadership team and our teammates are aligned with our vision. They are energized by our mission of being a best-in-class, service-first organization that prioritizes its customers and the communities it serves. Together, we are keenly focused on bringing customers the professionalism and high quality service they expect from a national retailer, with the convenience and trust of a neighborhood garage. This focus will maximize the value that we can create for our customers and all of our stakeholders. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Brian, who will provide an overview of Monro's third quarter performance and strong financial position, Brian?
Brian D’Ambrosia: Thank you, Mike. And good morning, everyone. Let me take a few minutes to talk about our third quarter performance and the meaningful progress we made in the quarter. Turning to Slide 8, sales increased 20.1% year-over-year to $341.8 million in the third quarter, up approximately 4% compared to pre-COVID levels in fiscal 2020. Same-store sales increased 13.8%, driven by broad-based strength across all product and service categories. Sales from new stores increased by $18.5 million, primarily from recent acquisitions. Gross margin increased 150 basis points from the prior year to 35.3%, accelerating from the 140 basis point improvement in the second quarter. The year-over-year increase was due to higher comparable store sales which resulted in lower fixed distribution and occupancy costs as a percentage of sales. Also contributing was a higher sales mix of service categories compared to the prior year period. Variable gross profit was positively impacted by a 9% year-over-year increase in gross profit per tire, reflecting the ongoing benefits of our tire category management and pricing tool. We made an incremental investment in technician payroll costs to support current and future top-line growth amidst improving consumer demand trends for our product and service categories. We estimate that this incremental investment in technician payroll, which approximated $5 million, impacted gross margin by 150 basis points in the quarter. As a reminder, we were staffed for a more supportive weather backdrop, which we believe would have resulted in higher sales. We continue to execute discipline cost controls with total operating expenses of $93.1 million or 27.3% of sales as compared to $80.5 million or 28.3% of sales in the prior year period. The dollar increase is due to higher store management payroll and store operating expenses in the quarter to support strong consumer demand. The remaining dollar increase was from the expenses of 43 net new stores. Operating income for the third quarter grew substantially to $27.4 million or 8% of sales as compared to $15.7 million or 5.5% of sales in the prior-year period. Net interest expense decreased to $5.7 million as compared to $6.8 million in the same period last year. This is principally due to a decrease in weighted average debt. Income tax expense was $5.5 million at a tax rate of 25.3%, compared to $2.3 million at a tax rate of 25.2% in the prior-year period. Net income was $16.3 million as compared to $6.7 million in the same period last year. Diluted earnings per share was $0.48 compared to $0.20 for the same period last year. Adjusted diluted earnings per share, a non-GAAP measure, was $0.49 in the quarter and excluded $0.01 per share of costs related to our Monro Forward initiatives. This compares to adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.22 for the same period last year, which excluded $0.02 per share of costs related to our Monro Forward initiatives and a benefit related to the reversal of a reserve for potential litigation. As highlighted on Slide 9, we continue to maintain a solid financial position to support our operations and enable the execution of our long-term growth strategy. We generated $127 million of cash from operations during the first nine months of fiscal 2022. We maintained our measured approach to capital allocation and invested $17 million in capital expenditures, paid $83 million for acquisitions, and spent $29 million in principal payments for financing leases. Additionally, we distributed $26 million in dividends. Our balance sheet and liquidity position remained strong. At the end of the third quarter, we had net bank debt of $185 million, and a net bank debt-to - EBITDA ratio of one time. We ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $9.5 million and availability under our revolving credit facility of $375 million. Last quarter, we amended our credit agreement primarily to reduce our LIBOR interest floor from 0.75% to 0%. We continue to expect that this will contribute $1 million in annualized interest expense savings at current debt levels. As we progress through the fourth quarter of fiscal 2022, we remain committed to comp sales growth, margin expansion, and significant cash creation. First, we plan to continue executing operational enhancements across our business to grow sales and expand margins. These efforts will drive growth in EBITDA and increase cash flow generation. In addition, we remain focused on working capital improvements and we believe we have additional opportunities in this area. Specifically, we are focused on improving our cash conversion cycle with an emphasis on inventory and payable. Turning to our outlook on Slide 10. The COVID-19 situation remains fluid which makes it difficult to accurately forecast the impact of the ongoing pandemic on our future operations. While we're not providing formal guidance for the remainder of fiscal 2022, we remain optimistic given our third quarter momentum and the positive trends in the business. In addition, we have provided some financial assumptions to assist you with your modeling. We expect tire and oil cost to continue to increase year-over-year. Considering the inflationary environment, we will continue to optimize our supply chain, leverage our strong strategic partnerships, and capitalize on our cost leadership position. We have a long history of managing the business successfully through periods of inflation. And to reiterate, we will continue to invest in high-quality labor in our stores as we develop a reliable service model. As we make these investments, we expect gross margin improvement in the fourth quarter versus prior year as our service category sales strengthen. Lastly, regarding our capital expenditures, we expect to spend approximately $30 million to $40 million in fiscal 2022. And with that, I will now turn the call back over to Mike for some closing remarks. Thanks, Brian. We're encouraged by our solid performance in the third quarter and optimistic about the outlook of our business for the fiscal fourth quarter and beyond. Overall, we remain well-positioned to capitalize on strong demand while having the financial flexibility to execute our growth strategy and deliver long-term value creation for our shareholders. With that, I will now turn the call over to the Operator for questions.