Brian D'Ambrosia
Analyst · BMO Capital Markets. Please proceed
Thank you, Rob, and good morning, everybody. Our performance in the third quarter, particularly in October and November, was challenged by general market conditions and lower labor productivity. The initiative that Rob just discussed, along with improved market conditions drove and proved comparable stores -- comparable store sales trends in December, which posted the best monthly comp store sales since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. This has continued into January with a comparable store sales increase of 3% supported by key sales improvements in our service categories. And looking at the third quarter results, an important takeaway relates to gross margin. Gross margin decreased 400 basis points to 33.8% in the third quarter. Variable gross margin was positively impacted by a 5% increase year-over-year in gross profit per tire driven by the completed rollout of our tire category management and pricing tool. This improvement was more than offset by a higher sales mix of tires compared to service categories. As expected, service items can be deferred for a short time during periods of economic slowdown. Additionally, variable margins were negatively impacted by higher technician labor costs as a percentage of sales, especially in the first 2 months of the quarter. This was largely due to the addition of approximately 700 new teammates from July through October. As Rob discussed earlier, these new teammates required training to reach full productivity. We are pleased that our training initiatives combined with the completed rollout of our data driven store staffing model have driven increased labor productivity as we move through the quarter. As a result, technician labor costs as a percentage of sales declined steadily in December, as well as January. As a reminder, also included in our cost of sales are distribution and occupancy costs which are largely fixed in nature. We were able to reduce these fixed costs primarily through rent concessions, but lower comparable store sales outpaced these fixed cost reductions, resulting in lower gross margin year-over-year. We continue to execute disciplined cost control, and saw benefits from our efforts to realign our marketing spend towards higher ROI digital channels, and right size store management staffing. The year-over-year increase [ph] in operating expenses also reflects lower expenses from 29 fewer stores. Lower comparable store sales outpaced these fixed cost reductions and drove a slight increase in operating expenses as a percentage of sales. But importantly, while we experienced a decline in operating margin this quarter, we expect to generate increased operating margin against this lower fixed cost structure as sales improve. Net interest expense for the third quarter decreased to $6.8 million. This was driven by a decrease in our weighted average interest rate from lower borrowing rates on new leases, partially offset by an increase of weighted average finance lease debt in connection with our fiscal 2020 acquisitions and lease renegotiations. Our effective tax rate was 25.2% for the third quarter, compared to 24.1% for the same period last year. Net income for the third quarter was $6.7 million, and diluted earnings per share was $0.20. Adjusted diluted earnings per share for the third quarter, a non-GAAP measure was $0.22, which excluded approximately $0.02 per share related to Monro.Forward initiatives and a penny per share of benefit related to a reserve for potential litigation that was no longer necessary. This compares to adjusted diluted earnings per share for the third quarter of fiscal 2020 of $0.60, which excludes $0.03 of costs related to Monro.Forward initiatives and a penny of costs related to acquisition due diligence and integration. We continue to have ample flexibility to support our operations and execute our growth strategy. We generated $159 million in operating cash flow during the first 9 months of fiscal 2021, representing an increase of 26% compared to $126 million for the same period last year. We invested approximately $39 million in capital expenditures, primarily related to our ongoing store rebrand and reimage initiatives and investments in technology and paid approximately $18 million for acquisitions. We distributed $22 million in dividends to our shareholders and paid approximately $24 million in principal for financing leases. We were able to reduce our bank debt net of cash by approximately $56 million during the first 9 months of fiscal 2021. We are well-positioned to continue to generate strong cash flow from operations in the fourth quarter and beyond. We substantially completed the rebranding or reimaging of 104 stores during the third quarter. Today we have completed the transformation of approximately 360 stores in a number of key markets, including rebranding 115 service stores to tire branded [ph] stores and continue to see outperformance of our rebranded and reimage stores compared to our chain average. We now expect a capital expenditure range of approximately $45 million to $50 million, assuming the transformation of approximately 150 stores in fiscal 2021. At the end of the third quarter, we had net bank debt of $165 million and a net bank debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.3x. As of January 23, 2021, we had cash and cash equivalents of approximately $25 million and availability on a revolving credit facility of approximately $376 million. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic continues to make it difficult to forecast accurately the impact of the pandemic on our future operations. So we are not providing fiscal 2021 guidance. We realized approximately $10 million in additional cost savings during the third quarter on top of the $20 million achieved in the first half of the year. These cost savings resulted from the optimization of store management staffing, the improvement of our marketing efficiency, and general overhead cost reductions. During the fourth quarter, we expect to achieve approximately $5 million in additional cost savings. As a reminder, our previously announced store closures are expected to benefit our operating income by approximately $3.8 million in fiscal 2021. Looking beyond fiscal 2021, we continue to expect approximately $15 million to $20 million in annual structural cost savings, in addition to approximately $5 million in annual benefits from store closures. I would now like to take a moment to provide an update on our acquisition strategy. We completed the previously announced acquisition of 17 stores in Southern California in the third quarter, expanding our growing presence in the West Coast region. These locations are expected to add approximately $20 million in annualized sales. We are particularly excited about the growth prospects for Monro in this attractive and dynamic region. Despite the impact of the COVID-19 related lockdowns, this year we have achieved strong earnings contribution from our previously acquired California, Nevada and Idaho stores. Our acquisition pipeline remains robust with over 10 NDAs currently signed for opportunities ranging from 5 to 40 stores. Strategically located acquisitions at attractive valuations remain a pillar of our growth strategy, and we are well-positioned to take advantage of the many opportunities for consolidation in our industry. And with that, I will turn the call back to Rob Mellor for some closing remarks.