Brian Schopfer
Analyst · Citigroup
Thank you, Tom, and thank you all for joining our call. I'll review the detailed financial results beginning on Slide 13. Fourth quarter enterprise revenue grew 9% to $277.4 million compared to the prior year's fourth quarter of $254.3 million. Over half of the year-over-year improvement came from M&A. Both Paragon's December results and a full quarter of Certrec are reflected in the numbers. FX was a tailwind to total Q4 revenue, contributing 3.4% of the 9% increase versus Q4 '24. As a reminder, about 36% of our 2025 revenue is euro-denominated. Fourth quarter organic growth was 0.5% negatively impacted by tough comps within both segments, as we highlighted on last year's fourth quarter call. The Nuclear and Safety segment organic growth in 2024 was 13.9%, making for a tough comp. In Medical, Nuclear Medicine was up 21% in Q4 '24, while dosimetry was up 14% in Q4 '24. Adjusted EBITDA was $77.6 million, up 11.5% versus Q4 '24. Adjusted EBITDA margins expanded 60 basis points despite margin dilutive impacts from Paragon being included for December 2025, our largest month. Excluding Paragon, adjusted EBITDA margins would have been 28.6% or 120 basis points higher than last year. Q4 adjusted EPS was $0.15 or $0.02 lower than Q4 '24. This reflects the addition of approximately 30 million shares to our diluted share count from the convertible notes and approximately $20 million from the weighted impact of the equity raise supporting the Paragon acquisition that we did at the end of Q3. We've included a slide in the appendix that illustrates how the converts work at different stock prices. Q4 adjusted free cash flow was $78 million, contributing to a full year's $131 million adjusted free cash flow generation and 57% conversion. Full year performance outperformed the 2025 initial guide. Q4 orders increased 62%, reflecting $140 million of large opportunity orders awarded in Q4 from the nuclear power end market. Even excluding these orders, our Q4 order book was strong at up 11%. Slide 14 showcases key nuclear power metrics for the year. Adjusted nuclear power orders grew 52% in 2025. This excludes any acquisition-related orders as well as the turkey debooking last year. Nuclear power order growth was supported by all 3 verticals: new utility scale reactors, the installed base and SMRs. For instance, we booked $39 million of SMR-related orders in 2025 compared to $17 million in '23 and '24 combined. This momentum continued into 2026, where we've already seen approximately $10 million of SMR orders just in January. Nuclear power end market organic revenue grew 11% for the year compared to 4.4% for the Collective Nuclear and Safety segment. The nuclear power end market organic revenue growth is expected to post double-digit growth again in 2026. Slide 15 has the Q4 order book details. As mentioned, we booked $140 million of large orders in the quarter, including the $55 million Asia installed base order disclosed on our October earnings call. Outside of nuclear power, our defense and diversified end markets saw a doubling of orders in Q4, primarily in the U.S. and with NATO. Medical segment orders declined in the quarter. Recall, we had tough comps in both the nuclear medicine and dosimetry end markets. Slide 16 bridges our large opportunity pipeline. Tom covered much of this in his prepared remarks already. Here, you can see how we arrived at the $200 million of previously communicated large opportunities that make up a portion of the more than $400 million 2026 pipeline. Timing is always the wildcard here, and we believe our right to win is strong on all these projects. Let's get into the P&L on Slide 17. We'll focus on full year results since we detailed Q4 already. Full year revenue totaled $925.4 million, up 7.5% versus 2024. More than half of the growth is organic. The rest comes from equal parts M&A and FX. Nuclear power and nuclear medicine were meaningful contributors to organic revenue growth for the year. Full year adjusted EBITDA totaled $227.9 million, up 12% compared to 2024. Margins expanded 90 basis points for the full year, reflecting procurement initiatives and operating leverage, partially offset by tariff and the impact from the Paragon acquisition, which closed in December 2025. Full year adjusted EPS was $0.46, a 12% increase despite an approximately 50 million share increase in 2025 from the convertible notes and the equity raise associated with the Paragon purchase. Slide 18 provides a 30,000-foot view of the moving pieces impacting 2025 revenue versus our initial guidance from December 2024. Overall, FX and acquisitions were both tailwinds to revenue. Recall, we initially baked in a $1.05 euro to USD rate while we ended the year at approximately $1.17. In addition, the acquisitions of Certrec and Paragon in the back half of 2025 contributed favorably to total revenue growth. Conversely, top line performance was negatively impacted by organic headwinds of approximately 250 basis points. The U.S. government shutdown and DOGE initiatives primarily impacted our labs and research end market in the Nuclear Safety segment. Additionally, as we've been discussing, our RTQA market was sluggish, mainly related to hardware headwinds in North America, China and Japan, partially offset by our performance in software and services. For example, our RTQA services business reported a 2-year revenue CAGR of 12% from 2023 to 2025. Now let's turn to the segments beginning on Slide 19. Nuclear and Safety segment Q4 revenue was $194.9 million, up 15.5%. Organic revenue increased 3.1% as the segment was lapping a tough 13.9% comp from last year. Q4 2025 organic revenue growth was aided by over 12% nuclear power end market growth, partially offset by continued softness in Labs and Research and to a lesser extent, from the Defense and Diversified end market off a large 2024 comp. The Labs business was definitely impacted by the 43-day government shutdown. We continue to believe this is a delay rather than a decline. We expect it to take some time to get back to a more normalized state, as you can see in our organic revenue growth guide in the back of the deck. Total year Nuclear and Safety segment revenue was $614.6 million, up 9.5% compared to 2024. Full year organic growth reflects 11% nuclear power growth, partially offset by an 8.5% decline from the global labs and research end market. More specifically, our U.S. labs business connected mainly to the DOE was down approximately 15% for the year. Additionally, the defense component of our Defense and diversified end market declined, while the industrials component grew. More importantly, had we owned Paragon in 2025, their year-over-year growth was 20%. Going into 2026, it is expected to be approximately 25% plus. Nuclear Safety segment Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $60 million or 13.6% higher than last year. Q4 margins declined 50 basis points. As we've discussed, we closed the Paragon acquisition on December 1, which impacted Q4 margins. Excluding Paragon's December results, Q4 margins would have instead expanded 50 basis points, reflecting operating leverage, lower incentive compensation and procurement initiatives. Full year adjusted EBITDA for the Nuclear and Safety segment was $177.7 million or 11.2% higher than last year. Full year margins also increased, up 40 basis points. Again, excluding Paragon's December results, full year margin expansion would have been 70 basis points or a 30 basis point swing. Next, on to the Medical segment on Slide 20. Q4 Medical segment revenue declined 3.5% to $82.5 million. On the October earnings call, we expected flattish Q4 revenue. Q4 RTQA organic revenue growth -- revenue declined 4%. The difference was the RTQA end market was negatively impacted by Asia and Europe hardware headwinds. Additionally, as mentioned earlier, nuclear medicine and dosimetry were bumping up against tough comps. Full year Medical segment revenue grew 3.7% to $310.8 million, reflecting double-digit organic revenue growth from the nuclear medicine end market, offset by lower RTQA organic revenue. We expect double-digit organic revenue growth in 2026 from the nuclear medicine end market as well as a rebound to mid-single-digit plus organic revenue growth from RTQA. RTQA should see a rebound in Europe hardware sales and continued adoption of our software platform globally as well as a number of new product launches. Meanwhile, we expect flattish 2026 dosimetry organic revenue due to lower hardware sales. We are encouraged by our InstaVUE adoption, particularly what we are hearing from the nuclear power end market. Medical segment adjusted EBITDA grew in Q4 despite softer revenue versus last year. Q4 grew 5.1% to $34.9 million and expanded margins 350 basis points, primarily due to procurement savings of approximately 100 basis points and 250 basis points mainly from OpEx in-year initiatives. Meanwhile, full year adjusted EBITDA grew 11.2% to $116.3 million. Full year adjusted EBITDA margins expanded 260 basis points from procurement and similar OpEx in-year initiatives. It was a tough year for Medical on the top line, but I am encouraged by the margin expansion and the team's focus on cost and productivity. Turning to Slide 21. You can see the marked improvement in adjusted free cash flow this year. 2025 adjusted free cash flow totaled $131 million, approximately double 2024's $65 million. 2025's performance represents a 57% conversion of adjusted EBITDA. 2025 step change performance reflected improved earnings, reduced net interest expense from capital structure improvements and lower CapEx. Recall, we reduced our Term Loan B size from $695 million to $450 million and refinanced down to SOFR plus 200. We also issued 2 convertible notes at 0.25% and 0% coupons in 2025. These actions reduced our 2025 pro forma total cost of debt to 2.9% versus 7.4% in 2024. In 2026, we expect to increase our adjusted free cash flow while maintaining a similar conversion rate, consistent with our long-term guidance. Before we open the lines for Q&A, let me share some additional detail for 2026. From a full year 2026 perspective, we expect Q1 to be the lightest quarter for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA. The rest of 2026 phasing, we expect to be consistent with prior years. For Q1 2026, total organic revenue growth is expected to be low single digits. Medical organic revenue growth should be mid-single digits, while Nuclear and Safety will likely be flat. Within Nuclear and Safety organic growth, our sensing business volume within nuclear power will be lower from a tough comp in 2025 due to project timing. This impacts both revenue and margins. Total Q1 2026 enterprise EBITDA margin should contract compared to Q1 2025 despite expected margin expansion in the Medical segment. Remember, Q1 now includes the full impact of Paragon, which is dilutive to overall margins. We expect to return to margin expansion in the back half of the year and for the full year. As Tom mentioned, 2026 adjusted EPS now includes stock-based compensation. We made the change to be more reflective of the true cost of doing business. In addition to the full year guidance that Tom walked you through, there are additional modeling assumptions in the appendix. With that, I'll ask the operator to open the line for questions.