Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. My name is Jerome, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the M/I Homes Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker’s remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. Now, it's my pleasure to hand the call over to your host, Mr. Phil Creek, the floor is yours.

Thank you. Joining me on the call today is Bob Schottenstein, our CEO and President; Tom Mason, EVP; Derek Klutch, President of our Mortgage Company; Ann Marie Hunker, our VP and Corporate Controller; and Kevin Hake, Senior VP. First to address Regulation Fair Disclosure, we encourage you to ask any questions regarding issues that you consider material during this call, because we are prohibited from discussing significant non-public items with you directly. And as to forward-looking statements, I want to remind everyone that the cautionary language about forward-looking statements contained in today’s press release also applies to any comments made during this call. Also be advised that the company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements made during this call. Also during this call, we disclosed certain non-GAAP financial measures. A presentation of the most directly comparable financial measure calculated in accordance with GAAP and a reconciliation of the differences between the non-GAAP financial measure and the GAAP measure was included in our earnings release issued earlier today that is available on our website. With that, I'll turn the call over to Bob.

Thanks, Phil. Good afternoon and thank you, for joining our call to review our second quarter results. We had a very strong second quarter, highlighted by second quarter records in new contracts, homes delivered, revenue and income. During the quarter, we sold a record 1,731 homes, which was 6% better than a year ago. Our communities were up about 5% on average for the quarter, so our absorption pace was slightly better than last year. And in last year's second quarter, our sales set the previous record, which created a very tough comparison for this year. Last year, we sold 1,631 homes, which was 17% better than 2017. So obviously, we were very pleased to beat last year. We achieved record second quarter revenue of $624 million, an increase of 12% from 2018 second quarter, driven by a second quarter record level of 1,538 home closings during the quarter. This was a 9% increase over the last year's second quarter. The average sale price on homes closed was $389,000, up 1% from the year ago. Our pre-tax income for the second quarter increased by 23% to $41.2 million, also a second quarter record, as a result of the increased volume that I just mentioned along with an 80 basis point improvement in our SG&A expense ratio when compared to 2018 second quarter. Gross margins held steady at 19.2%, down 10 basis points from the first quarter and a decline from last year's second quarter of about 80 basis points, excluding the impact of 2018 purchase accounting charges. Net income for the second quarter increased to $30.2 million compared to $27.9 million in 2018 second quarter, and our diluted EPS increased to $1.08 per share from $0.96 per share last year as a result of a lower share count offset in…

Thanks, Bob. New contracts for the second quarter increased 6% to 1,731 compared to 1,631 for last year's second quarter, which was a 17% increase over 2017's second quarter. This quarter's 1,731 new contracts are a second quarter record for our company. Traffic for the quarter was down 5%. We were pleased that our sales increase was across the board with our Northern region up 7% and our Southern region up 5%. If you exclude D.C. from the Southern region, sales were up 9% in that region and total company sales increased 8% for the quarter. Our new contracts were down 3% in April, they were up 10% in May and up 13% in June. As to our buyer profile, about 43% of our second quarter sales were the first-time buyers compared to 38% in the first quarter and 48% of our second quarter sales were inventory homes compared to 47% in the first quarter. Our community count was 220 at the end of the second quarter, up 5% versus 2018's second quarter, and up 5% from year-end. The breakdown by region is 88 in the Northern region and 132 in the Southern region. During the quarter, we opened 24 new communities while closing 18. We opened 42 new communities during the first half of the year. And for 2019, our current estimate is that our average community count for the year should be up about 5% from the average of 205 communities in 2018. We delivered a second quarter record 1,538 homes in the second quarter, delivering 58% of our backlog compared to 51% a year ago. Revenue increased 12% in the second quarter, reaching a second quarter record $624 million. This was primarily a result of an increase in the number of homes delivered and a higher average…

Thanks, Phil. Our mortgage and title operations achieved pretax income of $6.7 million in the second quarter, 28% increase compared to $5.2 million in 2018's second quarter. Revenue was up 20% to a second quarter record of $14.3 million, due to higher volume of loans closed and sold along with some improvement in pricing margins. The loan to value on our first mortgage for the second quarter was 82% in 2019, the same as 2018's second quarter. 77% of the loans closed in the quarter were conventional and 23% were FHA or VA compared to 80% and 20% respectively for 2018's same period. Our average mortgage amount increased to $308,000 in 2019's second quarter compared to $306,000 one year ago. Loans originated increased 12% to a second quarter record of 1,037 and the volume of loans sold increased by 11%. For the quarter, the average borrower credit score on mortgages originated by M/I Financial was 745, which is the same as last quarter. Our mortgage operation captured about 79% of our business in the second quarter, down slightly from 80% last year. At June 30, we had $78 million outstanding under the MIF warehousing agreement, which is a $125 million commitment that was recently extended and expires in June of 2020, and we also had $26 million outstanding under a separate $50 million repo facility, which expires in October of this year. We expect to extend the repo facility prior to its expiration. Both facilities are typical, 364-day mortgage warehouse lines that we extend annually. Now, I'll turn the call back over to Phil.

Thanks, Derek. As far as the balance sheet, we continue to manage our balance sheet carefully, focused on investing in new committees, while also managing our capital structure. Total homebuilding inventory at June 30, 2019, was $1.8 billion, an increase of $111 million above June 30, 2018 level. This increase was primarily due to higher community count and more finished lots. Our unsold land investment at June 30, 2019, is $797 million compared to the $707 million a year ago. And at June 30, we had $368 million of raw land and land under development and $429 million of finished unsold lots. We owned 5,356 unsold finished lots with an average cost of $80,000 per lot and this average lot cost is 20% of our $395,000 backlog average sale price. Our goal is to maintain about a 1-year supply of own finished lots. And the market breakdown of our $797 million of unsold land is $330 million in the North region and $467 million in the Southern region. Land owned and controlled as of June 30, 2019 totaled more than 29,000 lots, 51% of which were owned and 49% under contract. We own more than 14,800 lots, of which 43% are in the Northern region and 57% in the Southern region. A year ago, we owned 13,000 lots and controlled an additional 15,000 lots for a total of 28,000 lots. During 2019 second quarter, we spent $86 million on land purchases and $62 million on land development for a total of $148 million, and about 42% of the purchase amount was for raw land. Our estimate for total 2019 land purchase and development spending is $550 million to $600 million, which includes the $283 million spent year-to-date. And this compares with $552 million in total land spending last year. At the end of the quarter, we had 464 completed inventory homes, about two per community, and 1,413 total inventory homes. And of the total inventory, 522 are in the Northern region and 891 are in the Southern region. At June 30, 2018, we had 374 completed inventory homes and 1,272 total inventory homes. Our financial condition continues to be strong with $904 million in equity and homebuilding debt to cap ratio of 45%. At June 30, 2019, there was $174 million outstanding under our $500 million unsecured revolving credit facility. We have continued to focus on managing our leverage and liquidity and balancing this with our land needs. This completes our presentation. We now open the call for any questions or comments.

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Thomas Maguire with Zelman Associates. Your line is now open.

Hey, guys. Great job this quarter, really impressive execution. Just first, I appreciate all the color on the demand and the orders by month. But drilling in there, can you qualitatively talk about just today's demand environment and how it's progressing since the beginning of the year? And kind of how do you think about the drivers of what seems like steady improvement in the market? Is it interest rates? Or what other dynamics do you think are out planned? And just any thoughts on how July is trending thus far?

Yeah, Thomas. Thank you, for your comment. As far as the question, I think that we've seen -- the biggest change that we've seen, and of course, you know there's very, very well, is at the beginning of the year, rates were very close to 5% and now they are very close to 4%. And I think that, that is a -- there's tremendous -- particularly, with first time buyers or first time mover, maybe, I think that there is -- we've now learned that there is significant rate sensitivity. And for many of us, a 5% rate is a wonderfully low historic rate. But for people that are just entering the market, or that maybe have gotten used, rates in the 3s over the last number of years, as the rates jumped up in the latter part of last year, I think it had a pretty obvious chilling effect on buyer demand with respect to new home purchases. As we've seen those rates fall, since January, roughly 75 or more basis points, depending upon the day. There's been a corresponding increase. I think it's fair to say in buyer demand, our sales have crescendoed since the beginning of the year, subject to the specific month-to-month numbers that Phil just mentioned. We don't comment on July, but we're optimistic about the conditions right now.

And just to add a little bit, we're excited about -- giving the scale on some of our markets, especially in Texas. We have more communities opened there than we did. Also we mentioned the growth in Sarasota. The acquisition for Detroit, we're progressing with additional units. So a lot of the plans we put in place and been working very hard on, the last couple of years, are coming out of the ground now. So we're very excited about that.

And the other thing too is, just to be very frank, we're not in a runaway demand situation by any measure. We are not nor as any other builder, there maybe a few pockets in the country where demand is off the charts. And if so, it probably doesn't matter what you do, you probably sell it anyway. But I think that, I mentioned this before, you mentioned it, I think we've had pretty solid, not across the board, we certainly made our share of mistakes, but we've had pretty solid execution in a whole lot of different places, particularly with some of our newer markets. And I think we're beginning to see the effects of that.

Absolutely, and it's great to see. And then just, if we think about the demand environment and the improvement that you talked about how's that changed, just the competition in the market between builders? Have you seen incentives and competition ease? I know there's a lot of seasonality that goes into that particularly, as we get to the summer. But just can you take a high-level view and talk about the competitive environment today? And may be any comments on pricing power you have across your portfolio?

That's a hard question because I think it's -- I don't think, we can paint all soon to be -- we've been operating in 16 markets, but D.C. is basically a closed down. So let's just talk about our 15 markets that we're going with. I don't think you can paint them with quite that broader brush, the situation is different from market to market. I don't think we've seen much more discounting over the last 30, 60, 90 days than maybe we were saying before. I mean, you see here and there and so forth. But in terms of pricing power, maybe in select communities, but I would not -- I think our margins, they might stay about where they are. There maybe 10 or 20 or 30 basis point movement up or down throughout the year. I don't see where there's significant pricing power. The good news is out of 220 communities, we do have a handful of them where we have some really good pricing power. There we'll take full advantage of it. It is a subdivision business. And in the same city, you may have a subdivision where your -- you can pull 26%, 28% margins, you may have another one, where it's the exact opposite. So we manage by subdivision. We do have a handful, may be several handfuls of them, where we have pretty good pricing power. But all-in-all, I think margins are going to be relatively stable. But a lot of that will depend upon the rate environment and probably a lot of factors that we don't have a whole lot of control over. But we are very optimistic about our business, not that it's going to go crazy through the roof, but it's in a very steady growth trajectory.

And we're opening a lot of stores. You know, last year, we opened 67 new stores, and we've opened 42 new stores in the first half of the year. So we're trying to do a really good job on having the right product at the right price. We only get one chance to open. We try to open the right way. We don't open, most of the time, too many lots for sale. We try to open a few and get a good feel for who really the buyers are and the price point, as Bob said, we could have a low pricing power to take that pricing up. But with opening basically, 100 new stores in 6 months, that's been a heck of an opportunity for us. And we have a number of stores scheduled for the second half of this year. So we're trying to pay a whole lot of attention to that.

Got it. Appreciate all the color. Congrats again.

Thanks.

Your next question comes from the line of Jay McCanless from Wedbush. You are now live.

Hey, good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for taking my question.

Thanks, Jay.

Absolutely. The first one I had, the SG&A margin improvement last year to this year was pretty impressive. Do you guys believe you all can pull that off in 3Q and 4Q if volumes hold up where they are?

I think that I'm going to let Phil to give the much more detailed answer. We believe we still have an opportunity to improve at that level. A year ago, we felt we had more opportunity because we had so many new markets that weren't even getting close to scale. We still think there's some upside there. At some point, it clearly levels off. So we are -- we remain focused as a high priority on continuing to get as much operating leverage as we can. Phil, I don't know if you want to add anything.

No. Not really. I mean, like you said, we are excited about getting scale in our Texas markets, working on Detroit and Sarasota. There's always the challenge, of it does take more people, whether our selling expense is running, we try to pay a lot of attention to cooperates and those types of things. But we've been working very hard on this for the couple of years and we'll continue to.

Great. That was -- it was impressive leverage. The second question, could you tell us as a percentage, maybe, of closings and orders this quarter and last year's second quarter? What percentage for Smart Series?

Of closings?

Yes. Of closing and the orders?

Jay, it would be a little less than sales because it takes a little while for them to get to the pipe. But if I were guessing, we talked about sales being 20%. I would guess the closings would be in the 15% range.

And may be even less than that because we've actually opened quite a number of Smart Series communities in the last 6 months, and a lot of that stuff is just in the process of beginning to come to closing. I mean, we're not full in closings board. We're closing houses when they are done and not until. And the encouraging thing about the Smart Series is not just the pace, which has been strong and the buyer acceptance, which, I guess, is the most important thing, but we've gotten -- I mentioned strong operating results there both with margins. And even below the line margins, I mean, many of our Smart Series communities are broker cooperated, slightly less than it would otherwise be with other non-Smart communities, and all of that finds its way eventually to the bottom line. Let alone a quicker cycle time and just a lot of things that at least in terms of margins can be strengthened by the continued success of Smart Series.

And if you look at year-to-date, the average sale price, Jay, on Smart Series sales is right at $300,000 compared to our overall average of almost $400,000. And as Bob said, it's above average. It's above company average on absorption pace and also on margins. So, that's been good.

Absolutely. And where -- by the end of the year or even maybe into next year, what percentage of total communities do you guys expect Smart Series to be?

You know, six or eight months -- six or nine months ago, I guess, I got to think in three-month increments when we have these calls. I think that we said that we had hoped that Smart Series would represent about 15% of the communities and may be a slightly higher percentage of sales by the end of this year, and it's running 20% of sales now. So, that's why I mentioned that it's exceeded our expectations. I think it's going to be pushing 25% within several quarters of company backlog. And if it gets to that point, we'll -- you'll ask a question again and we'll give you an update.

Absolutely. And then the next question I had on ASPs. The ASP has bounced or the average closing price has bounced around over the last five or six quarters. I know you don't guys don't like to give guidance, but if you have a notion of where you think ASPs might end up the year, if they're going to continue may be the trend down a little bit more. Just some help on the modeling side, so we can think about what total revenues might look like at the sales to-date?

You know, Jay, probably, we think it's going to trend down a little bit more. Now is that 3,000, 5,000, who knows? But that's kind of our thoughts. We kind of thought it might -- it trended down a little faster than it has already, that's hard to predict because with us doing 45% to 50% of specs that influences that also. But our guess is that it's going to trend down a little bit more as we go through the year.

And I think that range that Phil gave is probably very accurate. I don't think it's going to be a significant number.

And then on the gross margin. Have -- I know Bob you said, I think in an answer to a question that the gross margin or margin probably don't move much from here. But are we through the worst of some of the dirt sales that you guys did in second half of 2018 where you might have had to do a little bit extra discounting. Could that potentially be some incremental tailwind to gross margin as we move into the back half of the year?

I don't know. I don't really think about it that way. A year ago, I think we said we thought this was roughly a 20% margin business. And some quarters, we might be 20.5% and others, we might be 19.5% and it will move around a little bit. We're maybe few basis points lower than that now. I feel like the margin situation -- you're right, we do not give guidance on it. But if you have to come down somewhere, no one really knows. One of the reasons we don't give guidance on it. I mean, we know our margins and backlog, but one of the reason we don't give guidance on margins is because just to a certain extent playing in the dark, you really don't know what's going to happen. But I think in terms of what we believe, we think that they're probably going to stay about where they are. They may tick up a little bit, because of the Smart Series impact and we talked about that. So, I think that's where we come down.

Also, Jay, I mean, if you look at end of the fourth quarter of last year, the operating GP was like 18.9%; we were 19.3%, the first quarter; 19.2%, the second. We're hopeful that some of these markets as they get a little bit bigger and we get a few more communities, hopefully that will help us give a little room to operate as far as trying to get volume up and get to profitability and so forth. But it's something that we focus on very, very much because with the anticipated revenue number of over $2 billion, there's a lot of dollars there. But right now, we kind have been a little stable over the last three quarters, but obviously we're working on trying to improve that.

Sure. And the last one for me. The deliveries certainly were higher than what we were looking for. Was there any type of weather impact during the quarter? And what -- were there any insinuating circumstances that helped you guys close to little bit -- probably a little bit faster I think than what The Street was looking for in terms of your closing volume?

Jay, if you look at the cycle time, it's kind of stays where it is, maybe gotten a day or two worse. But it's not getting worse than what it was by week or so or a year or so ago. If you look the last few quarters, we've been closing -- 45% to 50% of our closings were specs. In the second quarter, we closed a little over 50% specs and that does help the cycle time a little bit. We also have a few more houses in backlog further along in the construction stage than it was the prior. But we were pretty pleased with the closing number in the quarter. But those were just couple of minor things. I wouldn't say anything significant as far as weather. Builders always use weather and mix. But I think it was a little more just getting a few more specs in the systems, and in the beginning backlog, having a few more houses further along.

It sounds great. Thanks for the time. I appreciate it.

Thanks, Jay.

[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of Alex Barrón with Housing Research Center. You are now live.

Hey! Alex. Alex Barrón: I am sorry. I was on mute. Hey, guys. Great job on the quarter, I wanted to ask as far as the Smart Series. So you gave us an idea of closings and orders. What about your land dollars? What percentage of your future communities are you guys, kind of allocating your investment dollars towards Smart Series?

It's a vary division-by-division analysis. I said a couple of minutes ago that we're in the subdivision business and that we manage by subdivisions. Those subdivisions, I don't mean to be simplistic but they exist in cities or divisions. And what we build, where we build, what price point and how much, it's all part of a constantly changing and iterative strategic, sort of, blueprint for every division. And when I say constantly changes, it doesn't change weekly. And it doesn't even change monthly. But from time to time, once or twice a year, we're constantly revisiting that plan. Are we positioned properly? Is -- what pieces and parts of the market are most conducive to more entry level housing, how much, how big, what type? So, that's -- other than to say that it may grow to 25% of our backlog, which means that we're bullish about it. And we plan for it to continue to increase. I'm not sure I could be more specific, Alex.

I mean, certain markets, San Antonio, which is a more affordable market for us, by nature, end up with more Smart Series and say Austin, Texas. But it's really driven more by the competitive landscape. Our leadership teams, what we think we're good at. And can do. What the availability is of land. A key part of Smart Series is we still like to have a well-located piece of land. Our strategy is not to go way out, maybe to -- and help grows that way. So every market's just a little bit different. Some will have more Smart Series than others will. Alex Barrón: Got it, and is there any way you can maybe, roughly quantify how much better the margins are, and how much better the sales pace is? Are we talking, like, is the sales pace like 20% better or 50% better, or even 100% better than your other type of communities?

We don't really get into that type of detail, Alex. The margins are better and the pace is better. But we're just kind of leave, it at that. Alex Barrón: Okay. One last one, as far as the interest allocation between what goes into cost-of-goods sold. And what gets expensed, is there any reason not expect the corporate interest expense to trend down as you get bigger?

Why don't you repeat that, Alex? Alex Barrón: So, some of your interest goes through cost-of-goods sold, right? And the rest goes -- gets expensed below the operating line. So I'm just kind of looking forward into next year, whether we should expect the interest portion that is expensed. Not in the cost-of-goods sold to start trending down?

We don't really get into projections like that. We put -- we try to run the business as far as what the business needs. As far as capital structure. And then, what's the best capital structure. Interest incurred for the quarter was up about $1 million. We try to not get too much capital interest on our books, but we kind of look at the business kind of that way. We don't really get into what goes through here and there.

Yeah. Alex, this is Kevin. We have a fairly conservative capitalization policy. So we do capitalize in the expense through cost of sales. But if you just combine the two. And compare us with other builders, I think, we have fairly low total interest expense percentage. And it has been trending down, just as a percentage of revenues for the last several years. And yes, I think, as we grow it, when and where our leverage goes and where rates go, and then having a trend down. Alex Barrón: Got it, okay. Keep it up the good work. Thank you.

Thanks, Alex.

[Operator Instructions] At this time, there are no further questions on queue. Presenters, you may continue.

Thank you very much. Look forward to talking to you next quarter.

Thank you. And that concludes today's conference. Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect.