Chris Stavros
Analyst · KeyBanc. Please go ahead
Thanks, Steve, and good morning, everyone. As Steve mentioned, I plan to review some items from our third quarter results and provide some guidance for the fourth quarter and some initial thoughts for 2022 before turning it over for questions. Starting with Slide 4 in the presentation found on our website, which shows a summary of our third quarter, Magnolia delivered a very strong third quarter 2021 financial and operating results achieving several records. The company had adjusted net income for the quarter of $158 million or $0.67 per diluted share compared to total net income of $116 million or $0.48 per diluted share in the second quarter year of this year. Our adjusted EBITDAX was $221.5 million in the third quarter with total D&C capital at $67 million or 30% of our EBITDAX. Magnolia’s fully diluted share count declined by 6 million shares sequentially averaging $236 million during the third quarter. Total production volumes grew 4% sequentially to 67.4 Mboe/d of oil equivalent per day in the third quarter. Production in Giddings now represents 55% of total company volumes as Giddings has grown by 80% year-over-year. Sequential improvement in our quarterly financial results benefited from higher product prices, especially for natural gas and NGLs, increased production volumes and lower total costs. Product prices have risen further into the fourth quarter and as a reminder, we’re completely unhedged on all our oil and gas production. Looking at the quarterly cash flow waterfall chart on Slide 5. We began the third quarter with $190 million of cash. Cash from operations before changes in working capital was $211 million during the period with working capital changes and other small items benefiting cash by $6 million. Our D&C capital spending, including land acquisitions was $68 million, and we generated free cash flow of $143 million during the third quarter. Cash allocated towards share repurchases with $75 million and we paid our first dividend and $0.08 per share in September or $19 million. Ending the quarter with $245 million of cash on the balance sheet, or more than a $1 per share. Slide 6 shows our cash flow through the first nine months of 2021. For the year-to-date, we generated cash from operations of $528 million in before changes in working capital. During the nine month period, we incurred a $163 million drilling and completing wells. We spent $284 million on share purchases and paid $19 million in dividends. Summarizing our progress during the first nine months of the year, we’ve grown our total production by 11% from fourth quarter 2020 levels reduced our diluted share count by 22.6 million shares or 9% leading to 20% production per share growth over the period. This growth was all organically driven without incurring any debt and while building $52 million of cash. Looking at Slide 7, this illustrates the progress of our share reductions since we began repurchasing shares in the third quarter of 2019. Since that time we have reduced our total diluted share count by 34.1 million shares or approximately 13% in two years. We plan to continue to repurchase at least 1% of our outstanding shares each quarter, and currently have 8.5 million shares remaining under our repurchase authorization. Management’s philosophy is to maintain a strong balance sheet, and we do not plan to issue any new debt. Our $400 million gross debt is reflected in our senior notes, which are not call until next year and do not mature until 2026. We have an undrawn $450 million revolving credit facility in total liquidity of $695 million, including our $245 million of cash. And our condensed balance sheet and liquidity as of September 30 are shown on Slides 8 and 9. Turning to Slide 10 and looking at our cash cost and operating income margins. Our total operating costs and expenses declined by nearly $10 million sequentially and despite the increase in product prices. Most of the improvement was in the form of lower G&A expenses and other associated costs as a result of the termination of the operating services agreement with EnerVest in the second quarter. Our total adjusted cash operating costs, including G&A were $9.66 per boe in the third quarter, representing a 14% sequential decline compared to the second quarter of 2021. Including our DD&A rate of $7.74 per boe, which is generally in line with our F&D costs. Our operating income margin for the third quarter was $27.66 per boe or 60% of our total revenue. Turning to guidance for the fourth quarter. We continue to run two operated rigs across our assets and expect our fourth quarter capital to be approximately $80 million. This is lower than our earlier guidance and primarily due to ongoing efficiencies of Giddings. Total production is expected to be in the range of 68,000 to 70,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day during the fourth quarter. As I mentioned earlier, we are completely unhedged for both our oil and gas productions should benefit from any further improvement in product prices. Oil price differentials are anticipated to be approximately $3 per barrel discount to MEH during the fourth quarter and in line with recent quarters. We expect our fourth quarter 2021 effective tax rate to be approximately 2%. The fully diluted share count is expected to be approximately 232 million shares in the fourth quarter. And we expected to decline further into next year as we continue repurchasing our shares. Looking into 2022, our current plan is to continue to run two operated rigs on our assets and our operated activity should be similar to the level seen during the second half of 2021. One rig will continue to drill development wells in Giddings with the second rig drilling a mix of development wells in both Karnes and Giddings in addition to drilling some appraisal wells at Giddings. This level of activity should generate year-over-year production growth in the mid-to-high single digits. As Steve mentioned earlier, we continue to improve – see improvement in our operating efficiencies at Giddings while maintaining well productivity. Some of these improvements include increased drilling efficiencies up 10% compared to last year, in terms of drilling feet per day, a 14% increase in average lateral lengths per well more than – to more than 7,000 feet and a greater than 30% increase in the average wells per pad, leading a fewer pads. Since we’re still in the early stages of development in Giddings, these improvements should allow us to partially mitigate some of the materials in oil field inflation into next year. To summarize, Magnolia’s high quality assets and capital efficiency should continue to generate strong operating margins and sizeable free cash flow, allowing us to execute our strategy. Our strong balance sheet provides element of security amidst product price volatility, and is also an advantage in creating optionality for us to opportunistically repurchase our shares, pursue small bolt-on accretive acquisitions and pay a safe, sustainable and growing dividend. We’re now ready to take your questions.