Chris Stavros
Analyst · Credit Suisse
Thank you, Steve, and good morning everyone. I will go through some of the highlights around the first quarter results and then provide some additional guidance before turning it over for questions. For reference, any variance in my remarks related to the first quarter will be compared to the fourth quarter of 2018. From a reporting standpoint, the first quarter was somewhat easier to understand and more straightforward than prior reporting periods during last year. Looking at Slide 4 of the presentation that's posted on our website. We reported GAAP net income attributable to the Class A common stock of $13 million or $0.08 per diluted share for the first quarter of 2019. Total adjusted net income for the period, which includes the non-controlling interest and excluding transaction costs, was approximately $23 million or $0.09 per diluted share, which includes both Class A and B common stock. Investors and analysts should use the adjusted net income and method of calculating EPS when comparing us to similar companies. This compares to total net income of $58 million or $0.23 per diluted share for the fourth quarter of 2018. Broadly speaking, most of the sequential decline in income was the result of lower product prices. Our total production averaged 62.4000 boe per day during the first quarter, representing a slight sequential quarterly increase and in line with our previous guidance. Turning to Slide 5. Revenues totaled $219 million in the first quarter, which is down sequentially, primarily due to lower realized oil prices. Although benchmark oil prices declined sequentially, we continue to receive a premium to WTI with our realizations averaging 108% of the benchmark or $4.17 a barrel in the first quarter. One final point I'd make on product prices. NGL prices were particularly weak during the first quarter, averaging $18.12 per barrel or 33% of WTI, compared to 38% in the fourth quarter. Relative decline in NGLs is mainly due to the sharp drop in natural gas prices during the quarter. Turning to costs, and looking at Slide 6. Our LOE during the fourth quarter was $3.83 per boe, compared to $3.46 per boe in the prior quarter due to higher workover expenses in both Karnes and Giddings. We expect our LOE expense per boe to trend lower in the second half of the year and average approximately $3.75 per boe for 2019. Our first quarter DD&A rate was $20.64 per boe, compared to $19.65 in the fourth quarter, due to a small adjustment in reserves based on lower FCC product prices and mainly for oil and NGLs. We expect our DD&A rate to average about $20 per boe for 2019. Exploration expense was $2.5 million or $0.45 – or $0.44 per boe in the first quarter compared to $0.12 a boe in the prior quarter. The increase is mainly due to the application of microseismic, related to our appraisal and exploration program in Giddings. First quarter G&A expenses were $16.2 million or $2.88 per boe, which declined compared to $18.5 million or $3.25 per boe last quarter and partly due to lower cost for consulting and other professional services. The first quarter G&A costs also include $2.4 million of non-cash stock compensation expense. On a unit basis, these costs will fluctuate from period-to-period as we incur some additional expenses related to the build-out of our corporate structure and IT systems, although we expect G&A to average about $3 a boe for the full year. The effective tax rate was approximately 14% in the first quarter, a slight increase compared to the prior quarter and partly due to higher state taxes. We expect the full year 2019 tax rate to be about 15% due to the accounting treatment of the non-controlling interests. Our adjusted EBITDAX, as shown on Slide 7, was $160 million for the first quarter, and the sequential decrease was largely due to lower commodity prices. Our capital associated with drilling and completing wells was $139.8 million during the first quarter, which includes capital accruals. Looking at our first – at our cash flows for the first quarter on Slide 8. We had cash flow from operations before changes in working capital of $154 million and our change in working capital was a negative $38 million. Our cash outlays for capital spending, including drilling and facilities, were $128 million and we spent $52 million of cash acquiring oil and gas properties. We ended the first quarter with $76 million of cash on the balance sheet and an undrawn $550 million credit facility, providing us with ample liquidity to continue to execute on our strategy. Our long-term debt at the end of the first quarter was approximately $389 million. We do not expect to increase our [indiscernible] indebtedness, which is in line with our policy of maintaining low leverage. Summary balance sheet as of March 31 is shown on Slide 9. Shifting to some thoughts on guidance for 2019, and as Steve mentioned in his remarks. In terms of our capital spending and activity related to acquisitions, first quarter has really set the table for the rest of the year. We had a significant amount of activity and process during the first quarter and recently, a lot of this capital is related to the preparation and build-out of new pads in Karnes, and as you get ready to bring on new wells. This is partly why the capital was heavier in the first quarter. So mainly due to timing and the cadence of our activity, this is expected to start benefiting us in the second quarter. However, the total impact of this activity won't be fully evident until the third quarter. Moving to Slide 10. Based on both our organic activity and acquisitions, we're expecting production for the second quarter of 2019 to grow 3% to 5% sequentially and production for the third quarter should be greater than 70,000 boe per day. Our proportion of oil production, which was 52% in the first quarter, is expected to be about 54% during the second half of the year. As we have often stated, we continue to focus on smaller bolt-on transactions. Individually, these may not be material, but collectively they have had a meaningful and positive impact to our asset base. The common aspect of these acquisitions is that they do have familiar – similar financial and operational characteristics to the existing Magnolia business and fit our strategy well. In the beginning of August, we expect to increase our Karnes net acreage position about 50% from a little over 14,000 net acres to an expected level of approximately 21,500 net acres by the end of the second quarter 2019. We expect the transactions that Steve referenced in his comments and shown in Slide 10 to close by the end of the second quarter. Once closed, the acquired assets are expected to add at least 4,000 boe per day of production to our volumes in the third quarter. Our capital spending for drilling and completing wells is expected to decline through the remainder of the year, as we continue to expect that our full year 2019 capital to be within 60% of our 2019 EBITDAX. So, for example, if you were to use consensus EBITDAX for 2019 and multiply by 0.6 and subtract what we spent in the first quarter, you sort of get a feel for what we're likely to spend for the rest of the year. Our total shares outstanding, a combination of both Class A and B common stock fell by approximately 2 million shares at the end of the first quarter, due to the final settlement related to the transaction with EnerVest. Product price changes at current prices affect our earnings before income taxes by roughly $12 million on an annualized basis for every $1 per barrel change in oil prices, and $4 million on an annualized basis for a $0.10 per MCF change in natural gas prices. To wrap up, sort of where Steve began with his comments, I point you to Slide 11, which shows what we've done with all the cash during the eight months that we've been in business since last August. Our production is expected to climb – our production is expected to be at 20% higher, generated by a combination of organic growth and acquired properties. And we have not incurred any additional debt. We're now ready to take your questions.